Discussion 2022 NFL RDT Dream Team Discussion
- Thread starter mvdi
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Looks like we have 2 standout RB options that will be in all decent teams & loom as starting on field options :-
Bijan Robinson
EXPERT NOTE
Texas running back Bijan Robinson was the consensus No. 1 RB across all pre-draft publications and was selected 8th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Atlanta Falcons.
Robinson finished the 2022 college football season as PFF's second highest-graded rusher in the FBS, tallying 18 rushing TDs and 1,575 rushing yards en route to a 37% dominator rating in his final year as a Texas Longhorn. He forced 104 missed tackles (40% broken tackle rate) which has shown to be super predictive of success rushing at the NFL level. Compared to last year's running back class, only Breece Hall posted a higher dominator rating (40%). Factor in that Robinson also finished third among RBs in yards per catch (16.5) with zero drops and there's no question as to why he's the locked-in 1.01 for rookie drafts and top-3-ranked running back in season-long formats. At 5-foot-11 and 215 pounds, Robinson has the requisite size and all the tools to be a successful three-down running back in Arthur Smith's offense. Last season in Atlanta's offense, Tyler Allgeier finished as PFF's highest-graded rookie running back and 6th in rushing EPA as a former 5th-round pick. Allgeier also averaged nearly 18 carries and 96 rushing yards per game from Week 13 onward. If Robinson inherits that workload, he is easily projecting 300-plus carries and 1,500 rushing yards in an offense that ranked first in early down run rate and +13% in run rate above expectation.
Andrew Erickson - FantasyPros
Fantasy Impact
After investing a top-10 overall pick on Robinson, it is clear the Falcons have plans on utilizing him as more than just a running back. He should be in line for an immediate workhorse role in the Falcons backfield this season.
Jahmyr Gibbs
EXPERT NOTE
Jahmyr Gibbs spent his first two college seasons at Georgia Tech, posting a 24% dominator rating as the team's RB1 alongside future NFL running back, Jordan Mason. In both his years at Georgia Tech, Gibbs finished second in PFF receiving grade. However, he elected to not stay at GT for his junior year and instead transferred to Alabama to be the Crimson Tide's next RB1. He led Alabama with 926 rushing yards and flashed receiving ability by catching a team-leading 44 passes for 444 receiving yards. Gibbs finished third in the FBS in receiving yards, one year removed from leading all RBs in the nation in receiving yards (470). He also flashed his explosiveness by ending the year fifth in the class in PFF's breakaway run rate (53%).
At 5-foot-9 and 199 pounds, Gibbs is on the smaller size for an every-down role. But he more than makes up for it with his receiving and speed. And the Detroit Lions hardly seem concerned about his size, considering they selected him 12th overall in the NFL Draft. The draft capital alone mitigates any workload concerns for Gibbs based on his somewhat smaller frame. Detroit paid a premium, and that means he is going to get his touches (likely high value in the form of receptions) regardless of what the team paid David Montgomery during free agency.
Last season ex-Lions and newly acquired Eagles running back D'Andre Swift was uber-efficient on a per-touch basis: fourth in fantasy points per touch, third in yards per carry, 23rd in points per game and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift (10.3) and Jamaal Williams (16.1) combined for 26.4 touches per game. Even with a projected 50-50 split, Gibbs is looking at a 224-touch workload. With a 55% split, Gibbs is flirting with nearly 250 total touches over a 17-game season. Simply put, the former Alabama running back needs to be ranked as back-end RB1.
Andrew Erickson - FantasyPros
Fantasy Impact
It has been an impressive start to the o***eason program for Gibbs. He has lined up at multiple spots, including at wide receiver. After trading up for him back in April and trading D'Andre Swift, all signs point to Gibbs seeing a huge immediate role this season in the Lions backfield. It looks like Gibbs and David Montgomery will have a similar share to what we saw from Swift and Jamaal Williams last season in Detroit.
Bijan Robinson
EXPERT NOTE
Texas running back Bijan Robinson was the consensus No. 1 RB across all pre-draft publications and was selected 8th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Atlanta Falcons.
Robinson finished the 2022 college football season as PFF's second highest-graded rusher in the FBS, tallying 18 rushing TDs and 1,575 rushing yards en route to a 37% dominator rating in his final year as a Texas Longhorn. He forced 104 missed tackles (40% broken tackle rate) which has shown to be super predictive of success rushing at the NFL level. Compared to last year's running back class, only Breece Hall posted a higher dominator rating (40%). Factor in that Robinson also finished third among RBs in yards per catch (16.5) with zero drops and there's no question as to why he's the locked-in 1.01 for rookie drafts and top-3-ranked running back in season-long formats. At 5-foot-11 and 215 pounds, Robinson has the requisite size and all the tools to be a successful three-down running back in Arthur Smith's offense. Last season in Atlanta's offense, Tyler Allgeier finished as PFF's highest-graded rookie running back and 6th in rushing EPA as a former 5th-round pick. Allgeier also averaged nearly 18 carries and 96 rushing yards per game from Week 13 onward. If Robinson inherits that workload, he is easily projecting 300-plus carries and 1,500 rushing yards in an offense that ranked first in early down run rate and +13% in run rate above expectation.
Andrew Erickson - FantasyPros
Fantasy Impact
After investing a top-10 overall pick on Robinson, it is clear the Falcons have plans on utilizing him as more than just a running back. He should be in line for an immediate workhorse role in the Falcons backfield this season.
Jahmyr Gibbs
EXPERT NOTE
Jahmyr Gibbs spent his first two college seasons at Georgia Tech, posting a 24% dominator rating as the team's RB1 alongside future NFL running back, Jordan Mason. In both his years at Georgia Tech, Gibbs finished second in PFF receiving grade. However, he elected to not stay at GT for his junior year and instead transferred to Alabama to be the Crimson Tide's next RB1. He led Alabama with 926 rushing yards and flashed receiving ability by catching a team-leading 44 passes for 444 receiving yards. Gibbs finished third in the FBS in receiving yards, one year removed from leading all RBs in the nation in receiving yards (470). He also flashed his explosiveness by ending the year fifth in the class in PFF's breakaway run rate (53%).
At 5-foot-9 and 199 pounds, Gibbs is on the smaller size for an every-down role. But he more than makes up for it with his receiving and speed. And the Detroit Lions hardly seem concerned about his size, considering they selected him 12th overall in the NFL Draft. The draft capital alone mitigates any workload concerns for Gibbs based on his somewhat smaller frame. Detroit paid a premium, and that means he is going to get his touches (likely high value in the form of receptions) regardless of what the team paid David Montgomery during free agency.
Last season ex-Lions and newly acquired Eagles running back D'Andre Swift was uber-efficient on a per-touch basis: fourth in fantasy points per touch, third in yards per carry, 23rd in points per game and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift (10.3) and Jamaal Williams (16.1) combined for 26.4 touches per game. Even with a projected 50-50 split, Gibbs is looking at a 224-touch workload. With a 55% split, Gibbs is flirting with nearly 250 total touches over a 17-game season. Simply put, the former Alabama running back needs to be ranked as back-end RB1.
Andrew Erickson - FantasyPros
Fantasy Impact
It has been an impressive start to the o***eason program for Gibbs. He has lined up at multiple spots, including at wide receiver. After trading up for him back in April and trading D'Andre Swift, all signs point to Gibbs seeing a huge immediate role this season in the Lions backfield. It looks like Gibbs and David Montgomery will have a similar share to what we saw from Swift and Jamaal Williams last season in Detroit.
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Panthers' Bryce Young named starting QB: No. 1 pick calls move a 'huge blessing,' won't change his approach (msn.com)
Panthers' Bryce Young named starting QB: No. 1 pick calls move a 'huge blessing,' won't change his approach
Story by Garrett Podell • 4h ago
Carolina Panthers head coach Frank Reich took the air out of what would have been the team's biggest training camp story -- its starting quarterback position for Week 1 -- between 2023 No. 1 pick Bryce Young and 12-year NFL veteran Andy Dalton, whom the team signed to a two-year, $10 million deal this o***eason.
Even though new Panthers Pro Bowl running back Miles Sanders has called Dalton "a future Hall of Famer," and Dalton himself said "there aren't 32 [quarterbacks] better than me" this o***eason, Reich has made the determination that Young is better suited for the Panthers starting quarterback job after one training camp practice.
"Yes, he's QB1,'' Reich said Wednesday after the first day of Panthers training camp.
Bryce Young
CAR • QB • #9
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The Panthers traded 2023 first- and second-round picks, a 2024 first-round pick, a 2025 second-round pick, and wide receiver DJ Moore to the Chicago Bears in exchange for the No. 1 selection, which they used to take Young out of Alabama. Reich isn't shocked by how the 2021 Heisman Trophy winner has established himself as the guy this early in camp.
"I always felt like [general manager] Scott [Fitterer] and I, the coaching staff, imagined and saw the vision when we decided to pick Bryce that we would be standing here today saying he's QB1."
Young said being named starting quarterback "means a lot" and is a "huge blessing," but it won't change his approach as he prepares for the 2023 campaign.
Young made clear Wednesday after learning the "competition" is over and that he won that the status won't change his preparation for his rookie year.
"I respect the coaches and I want to do whatever I can to play whatever role it is I'm called on to help the team. So that means a lot [being named the starting quarterback]. For me, it's making sure I take things day by day. It doesn't change my approach. I want to keep improving, keep growing.''
Panthers' Bryce Young named starting QB: No. 1 pick calls move a 'huge blessing,' won't change his approach
Story by Garrett Podell • 4h ago
Carolina Panthers head coach Frank Reich took the air out of what would have been the team's biggest training camp story -- its starting quarterback position for Week 1 -- between 2023 No. 1 pick Bryce Young and 12-year NFL veteran Andy Dalton, whom the team signed to a two-year, $10 million deal this o***eason.
Even though new Panthers Pro Bowl running back Miles Sanders has called Dalton "a future Hall of Famer," and Dalton himself said "there aren't 32 [quarterbacks] better than me" this o***eason, Reich has made the determination that Young is better suited for the Panthers starting quarterback job after one training camp practice.
"Yes, he's QB1,'' Reich said Wednesday after the first day of Panthers training camp.
Bryce Young
CAR • QB • #9
View Profile
The Panthers traded 2023 first- and second-round picks, a 2024 first-round pick, a 2025 second-round pick, and wide receiver DJ Moore to the Chicago Bears in exchange for the No. 1 selection, which they used to take Young out of Alabama. Reich isn't shocked by how the 2021 Heisman Trophy winner has established himself as the guy this early in camp.
"I always felt like [general manager] Scott [Fitterer] and I, the coaching staff, imagined and saw the vision when we decided to pick Bryce that we would be standing here today saying he's QB1."
Young said being named starting quarterback "means a lot" and is a "huge blessing," but it won't change his approach as he prepares for the 2023 campaign.
Young made clear Wednesday after learning the "competition" is over and that he won that the status won't change his preparation for his rookie year.
"I respect the coaches and I want to do whatever I can to play whatever role it is I'm called on to help the team. So that means a lot [being named the starting quarterback]. For me, it's making sure I take things day by day. It doesn't change my approach. I want to keep improving, keep growing.''
Fantasy Football Rankings 2023: Sleepers from unbiased NFL model that nailed Tony Pollard's big season (msn.com)
Top 2023 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2023 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett. The veteran agreed to a restructured contract this o***eason, freeing up nearly $6 million in cap space. Lockett put together another quality season last year, racking up 1,033 yards and nine touchdowns on 84 receptions.
He was the WR16 in Fantasy points per game, commanding a 22.8% target share and 30.5% air yard share. The 30-year-old appears to have plenty left in the tank, especially after finishing second in open rate behind only Diontae Johnson last year. His consistency has been admirable, finishing with at least 1,000 yards in four straight seasons and scoring eight-plus touchdowns five straight years.
Another sleeper that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2023 have identified: Cowboys running back Tony Pollard. With over 1,000 scrimmage yards in 2021, Pollard had already established himself as an important part of the offense. However, he took his production up a notch in 2022, rushing for 1,007 yards and nine touchdowns while also catching 39 passes for 371 yards and three scores to get his first Pro Bowl nod.
Now, Pollard should be in line for an even bigger workload with the Cowboys making the decision to let Ezekiel Elliott walk in free agency. Elliott remains a free agent and Pollard is now the clear No. 1 back in Dallas, playing on a one-year, $10.91 million contract after signing a franchise tender. The model likes him as a top five running back despite the fact that he's been the ninth back off the board on average in early 2023 Fantasy football ADP. See which other Fantasy football sleepers 2023 to pick here.
Top 2023 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2023 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett. The veteran agreed to a restructured contract this o***eason, freeing up nearly $6 million in cap space. Lockett put together another quality season last year, racking up 1,033 yards and nine touchdowns on 84 receptions.
He was the WR16 in Fantasy points per game, commanding a 22.8% target share and 30.5% air yard share. The 30-year-old appears to have plenty left in the tank, especially after finishing second in open rate behind only Diontae Johnson last year. His consistency has been admirable, finishing with at least 1,000 yards in four straight seasons and scoring eight-plus touchdowns five straight years.
Another sleeper that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2023 have identified: Cowboys running back Tony Pollard. With over 1,000 scrimmage yards in 2021, Pollard had already established himself as an important part of the offense. However, he took his production up a notch in 2022, rushing for 1,007 yards and nine touchdowns while also catching 39 passes for 371 yards and three scores to get his first Pro Bowl nod.
Now, Pollard should be in line for an even bigger workload with the Cowboys making the decision to let Ezekiel Elliott walk in free agency. Elliott remains a free agent and Pollard is now the clear No. 1 back in Dallas, playing on a one-year, $10.91 million contract after signing a franchise tender. The model likes him as a top five running back despite the fact that he's been the ninth back off the board on average in early 2023 Fantasy football ADP. See which other Fantasy football sleepers 2023 to pick here.
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If you haven’t been following it closely this provides a good summation of the off season;
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id...eason-recap-signings-coach-hirings-draft-news
Also does anyone here listen to NFL and NFL Fantasy podcasts that they can recommend?
Can highly recommend the GM Shuffle as a great podcast that is always building my knowledge of the game and the NFL landscape.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id...eason-recap-signings-coach-hirings-draft-news
Also does anyone here listen to NFL and NFL Fantasy podcasts that they can recommend?
Can highly recommend the GM Shuffle as a great podcast that is always building my knowledge of the game and the NFL landscape.
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- Joined
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