Discussion 2022 NFL RDT Dream Team Discussion

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Essendon
I understand and accept what you have written but the box scores quite often contain an adjustment to the pass yds that puzzles me.
e.g. when KC beat Cincinnati in the AFC Championship game last season:
Burrow had 270 pass yds and the Cinci pass catchers had 270 receiving yds in total but the team was listed as having only 238 pass yds
Simlarly, Mahomes and his receivers had 326 passing/receiving yds but the team was listed as having 315 pass yds

Do you know why there is this discrepancy?
I'm guessing the explanation is simple - and obvious once known - but I can't think of one.
Pretty sure the difference is to do with sacks and the yards lost to a sack count towards the teams passing yards.
 
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West Coast
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St Kilda
Rates Bijan Robinson number 3 overall, wow 😮

More on Robinson-
Biggest player takeaway after watching 2 days of Falcons training camp: Bijan Robinson is going to have an incredible year. Don’t like to overhype rookies but Bijan looks even better than advertised especially as a pass catcher.
I'm a tad sceptical.
The best rookie RB season I can remember is Barkley in 2018: 261 carries and 91 catches; 2,028 total yds; 15 TDs.
It was a great season and definitely top-10 RB.
But in his favour: an old Eli Manning at QB; no competition at RB

Robinson has a poor QB but he does have Allgeier - who had a decent rookie RB season last year.
I can see Robinson being used in the passing game but not to the extent Barkley was in the running game: 261 carries is a lot.
But that's just me.
 
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Adelaide
The fact that Bijan is ranked higher than Jacobs Henry, Chubb, Saquon in some rankings is baffling
Jacobs might not play this season, Henry is declining.
All 4 are not receiving backs. The league does not seem to be valuing RB’s that are not receivers and game style last few years and stats are starting to back that up
 
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Jacobs might not play this season, Henry is declining.
All 4 are not receiving backs. The league does not seem to be valuing RB’s that are not receivers and game style last few years and stats are starting to back that up
understandable. But I’m still hesitant to take an unproven RB over RBs that have proven themselves
 
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Collingwood
Kyle Shanahan all but confirms the outcome of 49ers QB battle (msn.com)

...........This off-season, there is a battle going on in the 49ers training camp to see who will get the starting nod between Purdy, Lance, and free agent signing Sam Darnold. Well, it appears there is a favorite to get the job.

After practice on Thursday, head coach Kyle Shanahan spoke about the team's performance. Shanahan then spoke about Purdy's recovery from his elbow injury, saying that he was not worried. Why's that? Because Shanahan says Purdy's "the real deal."........
 
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St Kilda
Kyle Shanahan all but confirms the outcome of 49ers QB battle (msn.com)

...........This off-season, there is a battle going on in the 49ers training camp to see who will get the starting nod between Purdy, Lance, and free agent signing Sam Darnold. Well, it appears there is a favorite to get the job.

After practice on Thursday, head coach Kyle Shanahan spoke about the team's performance. Shanahan then spoke about Purdy's recovery from his elbow injury, saying that he was not worried. Why's that? Because Shanahan says Purdy's "the real deal."........
I'd have been surprised if Purdy wasn't the starting QB.
The 49ers won all 7 regular season games in which Purdy started and the first two play - off games before he was injured in the championship game loss.
In his eight full games he had a passing completion rate of about 67% with 16 TDs to 3 Ints.
In those 8 games his lowest passer ratings were 88.8 in his first start and 87.4 in the Divisional game.
He had passer ratings of 130+ in three games: 134.0, 140.3 and 131.5 (Wild Card).
Those are decent numbers.

Fantasy-wise his 35.5 RDT average for his 6 regulars season starts would have had him ranked at #13 QB - just behind Tua's 35.9 and just ahead of Cousins and Prescott. [Although Tua's includes an injury-affected 6.]
 
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Collingwood
I'd have been surprised if Purdy wasn't the starting QB.
The 49ers won all 7 regular season games in which Purdy started and the first two play - off games before he was injured in the championship game loss.
In his eight full games he had a passing completion rate of about 67% with 16 TDs to 3 Ints.
In those 8 games his lowest passer ratings were 88.8 in his first start and 87.4 in the Divisional game.
He had passer ratings of 130+ in three games: 134.0, 140.3 and 131.5 (Wild Card).
Those are decent numbers.

Fantasy-wise his 35.5 RDT average for his 6 regulars season starts would have had him ranked at #13 QB - just behind Tua's 35.9 and just ahead of Cousins and Prescott. [Although Tua's includes an injury-affected 6.]
So, one could expect him to improve this year?
If so, it would be interesting to see his starting price, to see if he could be a money-making upgrade target.
 
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St Kilda
So, one could expect him to improve this year?
If so, it would be interesting to see his starting price, to see if he could be a money-making upgrade target.
In short, no.
There are three rookie QBs who look to be guaranteed starts:
Bryce Young:
Carolina #1 draft pick - very accurate passer with two year 23-4 record; 79 TD to 12 Int.s; only missed one game; 59 long throws including a 94 yder
downside - he's only 5ft 10in and 194 lbs (177.8cm and 88kg)
C J Stroud:
Houston #2 draft pick - 85 TDs to 12 Int.s in two college seasons;
downside - Houston has a bad list: Pierce and Singletary are decent RBs; the WRs Nico Collins; R Woods and J Metchie III don't excite; there new TE Schultz was rarely targeted at Dallas
Anthony Richardson:
Indianapolis #4 draft pick - arguably the best fantasy pick this year although only one full college year. In 8 games he had 103 carries for 654 yds and 9 TDs. That's top-flight rushing QB stat.s. At 6ft 4in and 244 lbs (193 cm and 110.7kg) he's built.
Streichen is the new head coach - he has worked with Rivers, Herbert and Hurts and they all starred; as Philly OC in 2022 they scored well.
Downside: he was a poor passer with a 59.4% completion rate, 17 TDs to 8 Int.s. He has to beat out Gardner Minshew to be the starter.
 
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.......The immediate future for the Atlanta Falcons offensive line looks bright.........

If a NFL Team has a good Offensive Line, who does that benefit for Fantasy Points, QBs, RBs or WRs?
All of the above - except for DSTs.
But a good O-Line can refer to two different types:
good for rushing: the offensive linemen can maneuver the defensive ones into positions where the RB carrying the ball has either: a gap to run through; space outside the linemen.
good for protecting the QB: protecting the QB gives the WRs time to run their routes and get into space. A good offence tries to provide the QB with multiple pass options = short, middle and deep, If the QB isn't protected he has the option of a dump-off short. If he's protected he and the WR might be given the time to connect on a deep throw.

In the first case, the obvious beneficiary is the RB.
In the second case, it is the QB and WR and, at times, the TE. [The TE often ends up blocking.]

Not all O-lines are good at both. Although that depends as much on the coaching as it does on the attributes of the linemen.
If a team tends to run the ball, the defence doesn't often rush the QB as that can open up gaps for a RB to exploit. They place most of the defenders in the box to block the run.
If a team tends to pass the ball, the defence tends to adopt a dual approach: rush the QB in an attempt to either sack him or force a hasty throw; have their safeties/CBs/linebackers guarding the offence's pass cachers - not just the WRs but also the TEs and pass-catching RBs.

Of course, it's not that simple.
The best offences do one of two things:
excel at rushing or passing and dare the defences to do their best to stop them. e.g. Tennessee with Derek Henry; Tampa Bay with Brady
set up their offence pre-snap in such a way that either a rush or pass play is possible and the defence is confused as to which is planned. e.g. New England during a lot of Bellichick's reign; any team with a good dual-threat RB.
The phrase "play-option" refers to such a set-up where the QB has the choice between handing the ball to a RB or keeping it for a pass.

The best defences try something similar:
set up for rush/pass plays and dare the offence to go ahead. [Of course, that presumes they are correct in what the offence will do.]
set up the defence in such a way that the offence doesn't know what's coming. e.g. will they rush the QB? will they block the run? Belichick is renown for confusing offences with his defensice set-ups. Experienced QBs aren't necessarily confused but rookie QBs? Belichick's record against first-year QBs is something like 29-6.
 
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All of the above - except for DSTs.
But a good O-Line can refer to two different types:
good for rushing: the offensive linemen can maneuver the defensive ones into positions where the RB carrying the ball has either: a gap to run through; space outside the linemen.
good for protecting the QB: protecting the QB gives the WRs time to run their routes and get into space. A good offence tries to provide the QB with multiple pass options = short, middle and deep, If the QB isn't protected he has the option of a dump-off short. If he's protected he and the WR might be given the time to connect on a deep throw.

In the first case, the obvious beneficiary is the RB.
In the second case, it is the QB and WR and, at times, the TE. [The TE often ends up blocking.]

Not all O-lines are good at both. Although that depends as much on the coaching as it does on the attributes of the linemen.
If a team tends to run the ball, the defence doesn't often rush the QB as that can open up gaps for a RB to exploit. They place most of the defenders in the box to block the run.
If a team tends to pass the ball, the defence tends to adopt a dual approach: rush the QB in an attempt to either sack him or force a hasty throw; have their safeties/CBs/linebackers guarding the offence's pass cachers - not just the WRs but also the TEs and pass-catching RBs.

Of course, it's not that simple.
The best offences do one of two things:
excel at rushing or passing and dare the defences to do their best to stop them. e.g. Tennessee with Derek Henry; Tampa Bay with Brady
set up their offence pre-snap in such a way that either a rush or pass play is possible and the defence is confused as to which is planned. e.g. New England during a lot of Bellichick's reign; any team with a good dual-threat RB.
The phrase "play-option" refers to such a set-up where the QB has the choice between handing the ball to a RB or keeping it for a pass.

The best defences try something similar:
set up for rush/pass plays and dare the offence to go ahead. [Of course, that presumes they are correct in what the offence will do.]
set up the defence in such a way that the offence doesn't know what's coming. e.g. will they rush the QB? will they block the run? Belichick is renown for confusing offences with his defensice set-ups. Experienced QBs aren't necessarily confused but rookie QBs? Belichick's record against first-year QBs is something like 29-6.
👍
@Rupert, just out of curiosity, are you a human or an AI? 😉
 
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👍
@Rupert, just out of curiosity, are you a human or an AI? 😉
Both, I suppose.
You know that operation where you can get a USB port installed just behind your left ear? You can plug a digital data memory into it so that your left hippocampus - which is responsible for story acquisition and recall - can access it's data.
I've had that operation. That's why I've got a bit of a mullet haircut - it hides the USB port.
 
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