Discussion General Discussion

[Ironhawk]

Saw this horse was running in R7 at Rosehill today:



Good name, but lucky I didn't put any money on it, as it came 4th last. Pretty typical of someone else by that name in any sport: generally well back in the pack rather than getting the win.

 

[Connoisseur]

@Herbie66

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1835989575535149421

 

[freowho]

@Herbie66

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1835989575535149421

That was great. I'll have to watch it again. I love the flick pass and the barbed wire separating sections of the crowd!

 

[PC]

What a great song.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09...ike-about-football-historic-feature/103610414

 

[freowho]

What a great song.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-09...ike-about-football-historic-feature/103610414

There's a few reportable incidents in the videos.

 

[Beg2Differ]

I played golf today at the club in the neighbouring town where I am not a member. I played with 3 guys I have never met before but they were friends. We got to the 7th tee and one of them asked which footy team I followed. I responded sheepishly with North Melbourne expecting the normal sighs of sympathy in response. To my surprise he got very excited informing me he was a North supporter as were the other 2 members of the group. So all 4 members of the group were North supporters. What are the chances of that?

btw - none of them thought recruiting Jack Darling was a good idea.

 

[Ironhawk]

I played golf today at the club in the neighbouring town where I am not a member. I played with 3 guys I have never met before but they were friends. We got to the 7th tee and one of them asked which footy team I followed. I responded sheepishly with North Melbourne expecting the normal sighs of sympathy in response. To my surprise he got very excited informing me he was a North supporter as were the other 2 members of the group. So all 4 members of the group were North supporters. What are the chances of that?

btw - none of them thought recruiting Jack Darling was a good idea.

Hard to calculate exactly. As they are all friends, they may have bonded at some point over their support of the same club. I'd say a group of friends supporting the same club has a higher chance than 3 random strangers. Let's say twice as likely here and double the odds of the general population.

In Vic, there's 10 teams, they would likely account for around 90% of supporters. North had 6.3% of the Vic memberships. Let's round that to 5.7% of people supporting North in Vic.

Your support is known, so it's just the odds of the other 3 all being North supporters. 5.7% x 5.7% x 5.7% is around 0.02%, doubling that makes it 0.04%, or around 1 in 2500 chance.

Possibly well off the mark, but that's my best guess.

 

[freowho]

I played golf today at the club in the neighbouring town where I am not a member. I played with 3 guys I have never met before but they were friends. We got to the 7th tee and one of them asked which footy team I followed. I responded sheepishly with North Melbourne expecting the normal sighs of sympathy in response. To my surprise he got very excited informing me he was a North supporter as were the other 2 members of the group. So all 4 members of the group were North supporters. What are the chances of that?

btw - none of them thought recruiting Jack Darling was a good idea.

The chances that 4 people who follow North Melbourne could afford to play golf are extremely small.

 

[wolfbunny]

I played golf today at the club in the neighbouring town where I am not a member. I played with 3 guys I have never met before but they were friends. We got to the 7th tee and one of them asked which footy team I followed. I responded sheepishly with North Melbourne expecting the normal sighs of sympathy in response. To my surprise he got very excited informing me he was a North supporter as were the other 2 members of the group. So all 4 members of the group were North supporters. What are the chances of that?

btw - none of them thought recruiting Jack Darling was a good idea.

Is this neighbouring town formerly zoned to North? May contribute to a greater than usual support to a particular team.

 

[Rowsus]

Is this neighbouring town formerly zoned to North? May contribute to a greater than usual support to a particular team.

I like the thinking! Outside the box, and definitely could be an influencing factor!

 

[Beg2Differ]

Is this neighbouring town formerly zoned to North? May contribute to a greater than usual support to a particular team.

I like the thinking! Outside the box, and definitely could be an influencing factor!

Good thinking but incorrect. I live in the Latrobe Valley which I think used to be Hawthorn and/or Footscray zones.

 

[Beg2Differ]

The chances that 4 people who follow North Melbourne could afford to play golf are extremely small.

Surely you can do better than that.

I was waiting for "Wow - all North supporters in the same place at the same time".

 

[Connoisseur]

Is this neighbouring town formerly zoned to North? May contribute to a greater than usual support to a particular team.

Ageing population, golf on a Friday , likely born in the late fifties to late sixties/early seventies and started supporting North either prior or during their success in the mid seventies.

 

[KLo30]

 

[Rowsus]

Ageing population, golf on a Friday , likely born in the late fifties to late sixties/early seventies and started supporting North either prior or during their success in the mid seventies.

I love this sort of thinking too!

 

[Beg2Differ]

Ageing population, golf on a Friday , likely born in the late fifties to late sixties/early seventies and started supporting North either prior or during their success in the mid seventies.

I love this sort of thinking too!

Good thinking but doubt that explains it either.

I think it is right in my case as I was born in 1971 and believe I follow North because they were successful during my impressionable years when I first started watching footy. Both my parents followed Collingwood. One guy was 5 years older so that could explain him however the other two guys were quite a bit younger (guessing mid 30 to early 40s) and would have been born after that successful era.

 

[Rowsus]

Good thinking but doubt that explains it either.

I think it is right in my case as I was born in 1971 and believe I follow North because they were successful during my impressionable years when I first started watching footy. Both my parents followed Collingwood. One guy was 5 years older so that could explain him however the other two guys were quite a bit younger (guessing mid 30 to early 40s) and would have been born after that successful era.

Just to continue the theme, maybe those younger guys jumped on in the late 90's? North were pretty good then!

 

[freowho]

Surely you can do better than that.

I was waiting for "Wow - all North supporters in the same place at the same time".

Asked for a priority pick after 9 holes?

 

[Manikato1]

My son in law is a North supporter. Been some lean times for them but in recent years with me being an Eagles supporter we have been able to commiserate with each other over a beer.

 

[Ironhawk]

My son in law is a North supporter. Been some lean times for them but in recent years with me being an Eagles supporter we have been able to commiserate with each other over a beer.

As someone whose club has been just about as bad in recent years, I understand. It's all part of a cycle. Bottom out, rebuild, make finals, win 4 GF in 8 years, then repeat. And do it all while other clubs don't win a single final in that time.

Roos and Eagles have mastered the first part of the cycle at least.