Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Slammer · 2 Jun 2016

G'day Rowsus,

Just keen for some advice on my situation.
Still have BKen but currently in fwd line with no dpp.
Therefore I cannot downgrade him to a Matheson or Trengove.
My mid bench rookies are Keays, Hewett, Davis and JSmith.
Should I downgrade Hewett to Matheson and BKen to Buddy or I can offload my mistake trade (Hutchins-Don't ask) instead of BKen to Dahlhaus

Prochard · 2 Jun 2016

Hi Rowsus,
I'm in a bit of a dillema right now.
I want to trade Menadue and Loneragan out and am targeting Mcveigh+Rance
Would you do Menadue+Loneragan for Tucker/Collins+Rance/Mcveigh
And then bring the other player in next week?

Or
Do double downgrade to Tucker+Collins
Double upgrade the week following for Rance+Mcveigh

From a price point of view Tucker+Mcveigh seems to be maximising the team value.
However, doubts over both players prevents me from locking these 2 in.
What do you think?

Cheers

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

whiteTiga2k said:

Hi wT2k,
I'm backing Mcveigh to score something like his old self from here on in. I'm not sure we will get the full JMcV package, but I think he will score at a worthwhile level from here. Being more likely to start jumping in price, it's probably better to go McVeigh first over Dahl.
Obviously Mathieson goes out the window now. The downgrade targets might be problematical this week, and waiting for Sunday teams to be finalised is probably the best option.

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

Capper35 said:

Hey Capper35, welcome aboard.
Doing the Brownlow thread really eats a lot of time, and I've chosen not to do the thread this year.

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

blue dreamer said:

Hi Brian,
I think it's likely that Lycett will end up scoring somewhere just below a good/better F6 from here, but you do get that all important Ruck cover. Obviously Mathieson is no good this week, and it might make your preference of just doing the one trade an easy choice. I certainly don't think you'll lose too much in waiting a week or so Zorko/Dahl.

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

Aenimist said:

G'day Adam,
Gray is certainly attractively priced and has that lowish B/E, but he certainly won't get out of range, if you wait a week.
Gray's price will alter to the following formula.

(score - 73) * 440

So he rises $4,400 for every 10 points over 73.

ie if he scores 120 he goes up (120 - 73) * 440 = $20,700 he will go up. 105 will see him rise by $14,100.

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

Slammer said:

G'day Slammer,
I think you've made your mistake with Hutchins, you may as well ride it out for a bit. Last weeks score not withstanding, I can't see you losing too much on him, so why not see what happens?
Obviously Mathieson is not an option this week, so I guess we have to wait and see what other options the Sunday benches present us, before making any decisions. I certainly wouldn't go Trengove this week!

Rowsus · 2 Jun 2016

Prochard said:

Hi Pro,
I don't think I'd risk a double downgrade this week, especially to two Freo players. I'd take it one at a time, and see what information you have next week, before comitting to anyone else. If you're not confident with McVeigh, take Rance first, but I'd do it the other way around.

Aenimist · 2 Jun 2016

Rowsus said:

Thanks Row this what I was hoping you'd say.

I may be forced into not getting him if Goldy is a late out, and if so, it's handy to know he won't soar out of range on the back of one decent score.

Cheers!

Slammer · 3 Jun 2016

Rowsus said:

Cheers Row,

I am looking at BKen to Tucker via AMT and either holding cash or/and upgrade Hewett to Gray. Just not sure on Tuckers JS. Do you or anyone else know about his JS? Did he play ok in his first two games?
I guess I was just looking at trading BKen but I guess it is not absolutely necessary as he is not going to lose cash this week. Just cannot see any other rookies on the horizon. Any further thoughts appreciated.

Bones · 3 Jun 2016

Hi Rowsus,

Not many coaches seem to be upgrading Wines and I'm not sure why - he's pretty much a straight swap to Gray and save about $40k on projections. I have Barlow, Wells, Libba and Wines - I am happy to hold Wells as long as he's fit, Barlow if he gets games and Libba is OK for the moment but Wines! Good or bad move? I don't see any downgrade options I like this week.

Cheers

Rowsus · 3 Jun 2016

Slammer said:

Unfortunately, I agree with the general consensus. Tucker will score better, but Collins probably has better JS. Who can ever tell what Lyons will do? If you have no dead wood Rookies, go Tucker, otherwise go Collins, so you avoid the chance of another one ....... probably!
Yes, I'd go ahead with that Hewett to Gray trade. I can't see the point in waiting.

Rowsus · 3 Jun 2016

Bones said:

Hi Bones,
I actually suggested to someone last week, that may best be rid of Wines before he leaks too much Cash. I'd jump now, while the jumping is easier!

Chasing · 7 Jun 2016

Are you actually considering keeping kerridge as a keeper in a forward line that really is not offering to much besides the top 4 in dahlhouse, zorko, martin, and merret i guess? And wells. Montagna looks old, delidio i guess is a viable option, hall is fading quicker than sand in a tornado, and baring putting a big power forward in the options are slim.. Thoughts?

And of course what to do with hall? Hmm.. trying to get him onto the pine

Bomber18 · 7 Jun 2016

Hey Rowsus,

What do you make of Tom McDonald's season so far? He had 8 120+ scores last season but yet to register one this season! Was last season just a one off? As a Dees supporter have you noticed anything change from last season that has negatively affected TMac? He seems to be hitting a bit of form with some high 90s and could be a sneaky unique post byes option, but easily could derail a season too if he doesn't turn his form around!

Another, potential option I'm considering around the byes is Kade Kolo. He was highly rated in the preseason but just hasn't had the season you would have expected from someone of his pedigree. In fact, he's only score above 80 once this season! Anything you've noticed about him? I've heard Eade say he has some sort of undisclosed injury issue that won't be discussed, which has resulted in a couple of late outs this season. That's enough to scare me off. However, last season he finished very strongly with 98+ scoring in the second half and GC have a good run home too. Your thoughts please!

Thanks, and good luck with your own side
B18

Rowsus · 7 Jun 2016

Chasing said:

Not many Coaches will have the luxury of shifting Hall to the bench. most will need to hang onto him, or trade him out, as the dollars will be needed to complete their team. The problem that complicates Hall, is that GC are going to come into a really easy section of Draw after the byes. Do we trust he scores better against easier opposition, or do we cash him during the byes? I'm leaning towards the latter.
My plan for Kerridge at the moment, is to hold him and Wells, and loophole them at F6/M9 through Greenwood from Adelaide. Adelaide have the best FD Draw after the bye, and Greenwood is a $102k M/F.

THCLT · 7 Jun 2016

Rowsus said:

Not many Coaches will have the luxury of shifting Hall to the bench. most will need to hang onto him, or trade him out, as the dollars will be needed to complete their team. The problem that complicates Hall, is that GC are going to come into a really easy section of Draw after the byes. Do we trust he scores better against easier opposition, or do we cash him during the byes? I'm leaning towards the latter.
My plan for Kerridge at the moment, is to hold him and Wells, and loophole them at F6/M9 through Greenwood from Adelaide. Adelaide have the best FD Draw after the bye, and Greenwood is a $102k M/F.

J Beech is the other $102k M/F from Adelaide.

Maso · 7 Jun 2016

Rowsus said:

Not many Coaches will have the luxury of shifting Hall to the bench. most will need to hang onto him, or trade him out, as the dollars will be needed to complete their team. The problem that complicates Hall, is that GC are going to come into a really easy section of Draw after the byes. Do we trust he scores better against easier opposition, or do we cash him during the byes? I'm leaning towards the latter.
My plan for Kerridge at the moment, is to hold him and Wells, and loophole them at F6/M9 through Greenwood from Adelaide. Adelaide have the best FD Draw after the bye, and Greenwood is a $102k M/F.

bombers are donut friendly also with 6 sunday and 2 saturday games

Rowsus · 7 Jun 2016

Bomber18 said:

Hey B18,
not many people know this, but Tom McDonald was actually just Alex Rance wearing a Melbourne jumper last season!
But seriously, many of us query Rance's scores, because a lot of it comes from unnoticed things, that don't necessarily appear on the basic stats sheets. Intercept marks, 1%'s, pressure acts, forced turnovers etc. McDonald was similar last season. I watched every Melbourne game last year, and there were 3 or 4 games, where I thought "Ok, that'll be an 85-90 for McDonald" only to see he scored a 120! It really was as bad as people talk about Rance. Some of Rances scores come from when he backs himself to run off his opponent. McDonald was doing that a lot last season too, but to the naked eye, not so much this season. He was also getting Forward now and then, and kicking a goal or two. Ok, he only kicked 5 last season, but this season he has 1. His contested marks are running at about half the rate of last season (1.32/game 2015, 0.64/game 2016), while this is small, it can be reflective of other things, like intercept marks etc. It's a lot of little things, that are adding up to a big difference in his scores. He's definitely playing more "stay at home, and lock them down" this season, which as we all know, is SC poison. I would want to see a pretty positive change, before I though about getting him in my team this year.

Rowsus · 7 Jun 2016

THCLT said:

It's good that we have a few rock bottom options, from FD friendly teams!

Maso said:

Nice pick up Maso!
In fact Essendon is actually technically the best post bye FD team. Using the 1 for first game of the round, and 9 for last for game of the round, the best FD teams after Round 15 are (keeping in mind we don't need FD's during the byes!):

Essendon: 9, 3, 7, 9, 8, 7, 9, ? - ave 7.4
Options - Long M/F $117,300, Francis D/M $198,300, Grimley F/R $123,900

Adelaide: 7, 6, 5, 9, 6, 9, 6, ? - ave 6.9
Options - Greenwood/Beech M/F $102,400, Lowden F/R $123,900

St Kilda: 9, 8, 6, 5, 7, 5, 3, ? - ave 6.1
Payne M/F $117,300

Melbourne: 6, 8, 4, 7, 3, 6, 7, ? - ave 5.9
M King x 2 F/R $117,300

Adelaide, no games below "5", and the only team with a good FD Draw AND rock bottom priced options!

Opinion Questions For Rowsus

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