Latest (19/01/2018) HS subscribers only article
We look at the top picks to be the highest SuperCoach scorer at every club
Herald Sun
January 19, 2018 12:00pm
Subscriber only
THERE are some tantalising battles in store in SuperCoach 2018.
While we expect Danger and Dusty (with Tom Mitchell a dark horse) to go head-to-head for the No.1 SuperCoach season average, there are some tough choices at club level.
The TAB has framed markets for every club’s highest SuperCoach season average and we’ve looked at the top contenders.
Players must play a minimum of 10 games to be considered but surprises are rare in SuperCoach land.
Can Buddy Franklin upset gun midfield trio Kennedy, Parker and Hannebery at the Swans? Will Scott Pendlebury hold off young bucks Adam Treloar and Taylor Adam at Collingwood? What about the Battle of the Daynes? Zorko and Beams at Brisbane.
Who would you pick?
ADELAIDE
$1.60 Matt Crouch
$3 Rory Sloane
$6.5 Bryce Gibbs
$34 Brad Crouch, Sam Jacobs, Rory Laird
Matt Crouch ($1.6 — $608,300 Mid)
The younger Crouch brother averaged an incredible 121.9 over the last 16 matches of last season, including finals. With Bryce Gibbs’ arrival, Crouch is now even less likely to be tagged.
2017 average: 110.6 Best season: 110.6 in 2017
Rory Sloane ($3 — $605,800 Mid)
How do scores last season of 146, 168, 177, 169 and 151 sound? Opposition teams are likely to tag either Sloane or Bryce Gibbs, meaning one will get off the chain each week.
2017 average: 110.2 Best season: 114.8 in 2014
Bryce Gibbs ($6.5 — $563,000 Mid)
Similar to Sloane, if Gibbs is allowed to run free he can posts big scores with 208, 148, 147, 142 and 140 to his name from the past two seasons.
2017 average: 102.4 Best season: 107 in 2009
Rory Laird ($34 — $550,800 Def)
Likely to be the most popular defender this season, but though there are question marks over what Brodie Smith’s absence will mean for Laird’s output.
2017 average: 100.2 Best season: 100.2 in 2017
Gilbert Gardiner says: Not ready to write off Sloane just yet, especially as his contract status remains up in the air.
Ben Higgins says: Matt Crouch and Rory Sloane are the clear favourites but it won’t take much for prolific half-back Rory Laird to claim the crown.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Matt Crouch ($1.60) went to a new level in the last half of 2017 and with Sloane and Gibbs likely to be tagged before him, he should win this market.
BRISBANE
$1.60 Dayne Beams
$2.50 Dayne Zorko
$21 Stefan Martin
$34 Daniel Rich
Dayne Beams ($1.60 — $557,600 Mid)
Beams showed some of the form late last season that made him the second highest scorer in the competition back in 2012. If you think he can stay fit next season, take the $1.60.
2017 average: 101.4 Best season: 122.9 in 2012
Dayne Zorko ($2.50 — $608,900 Mid)
An underrated SuperCoach jet that has averaged 109 and 110.8 across the past two seasons.
2017 average: 110.8 Best season: 110.8 in 2017
Gilbert Gardiner says: The only certainty here is the winner will be a Dayne. Both prolific scorers on their day, but Zorko the safe play.
Ben Higgins says: How Zorko is second favourite is beyond me. Beams’ injury history is well documented. Money for jam.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: It has been six years since Beams has played more than 19 games in a season and every time he finds some form he gets injured again so I’m tipping Zorko.
CARLTON
$2.25 Matthew Kreuzer, Marc Murphy
$4.50 Patrick Cripps
$34 Kade Simpson
Matthew Kreuzer ($2.25 — $603,700 Ruck)
The 2007 No.1 draft pick averaged 117.2 after Round 5 last season as he struck career-best form.
2017 average: 109.8 Best season: 109.8 in 2017
Marc Murphy ($2.25 — $595,000 Mid)
Murphy enjoyed a return form last season, notching his highest average since 2012. With Bryce Gibbs leaving, more opposition attention will go towards Murphy and Patrick Cripps.
2017 average: 108.2 Best season: 118 in 2011
Patrick Cripps ($4.50 — $537,300 Mid)
It seems a matter of time before Cripps posts a huge SuperCoach average. If he recaptures his late 2016 form, when he averaged 131.7 from Round 18 to 23, he will comfortably win Carlton’s market.
2017 average: 97.7 Best season: 107 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: As long as he stays fit, Cripps is lengths ahead of his rivals. Value.
Ben Higgins says: The key to becoming the top SuperCoach scorer is playing games and in this Marc Murphy has Patrick Cripps and Matthew Kreuzer covered.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Take the $4.50 while you still can for Patrick Cripps — a solid pre-season and Bryce Gibbs leaving should only help the untaggable Bluebagger.
COLLINGWOOD
$1.65 Taylor Adams
$2.25 Scott Pendlebury
$11 Adam Treloar
$34 Steele Sidebottom
$51 Brodie Grundy
$101 Jeremy Howe
Taylor Adams ($1.65 — $591,000 Mid)
Could be a unique selection in 2018 without dual position status. You’d expect at 24 he still has improvement in him, but a fit Daniel Wells hurt Adams on the scoring front.
2017 average: 107.5 Best season: 107.5 in 2017
Scott Pendlebury ($2.25 — $586,500 Mid)
SuperCoach royalty that had his worst average since 2009 last year. Injuries and a role across half-back saw Pendlebury post a 106.7 average but back the champion to return to form this year.
2017 average: 106.7 Best season: 129.2 in 2011
Adam Treloar ($11 — $557,600 Mid)
Treloar finds enough of the ball to post an average in the 110-115 range but is let down by sloppy ball use. If he fixes that, the $11 could be very tempting.
2017 average: 101.4 Best season: 111.3 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: This time next year, Treloar all the way, but for now, Pendlebury is still the Magpies’ ace.
Ben Higgins says: Pendles has dominated SuperCoach for years so is hard to look past but Adam Treloar is coming with a bullet.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: I’m tipping Pendlebury to return to his best ... but Treloar does look value at $11.
ESSENDON
$1.50 Zach Merrett
$4 Michael Hurley
$8 Dyson Heppell
$11 Tom Bellchambers
$21 David Zaharakis
$51 Brendon Goddard
Zach Merrett ($1.50 — $600,600 Mid)
Still only 22, Merrett looks set to be a SuperCoach must-have for the next decade, after posting 111.5 and 109.2 in the past two seasons.
2017 average: 109.2 Best season: 111.5 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: Let’s not over-complicate things, Zach Merrett.
Ben Higgins says: Looks a one-man field. Would take something extraordinary for Zach Merrett to get beaten here.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Can’t see anyone beating Zach Merrett here, still has a lot of improvement left in him.
FREMANTLE
$1.15 Nathan Fyfe
$5 Lachie Neale
$17 Connor Blakely
$51 Michael Walters
$101 David Mundy
Nathan Fyfe ($1.15 — $597,900 Mid)
Did you see how Fyfe was moving during the International Series? Fyfe looked like he was back to his best and he did average 126 over the last eight matches of 2017.
2017 average: 108.8 Best season: 124.3 in 2015
Lachie Neale ($5 — $599,300 Mid)
When Neale hits form he can post some big scores — in 2017 he averaged 132.2 from Round 4 to 9 and in 2016 he went at 123.1 between Round 4 to 11.
2017 average: 109 Best season: 112.6 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: Fyfe a moral but Mundy worth a saver, especially if injuries strike the more fancied Dockers.
Ben Higgins says: The accumulator Neale against the one-man wreaking ball Fyfe. The more, the merrier if you know what I mean.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Nathan Fyfe finally looks over his leg injury and he could push back up into the 120-125 range.
GOLD COAST
$2.25 Aaron Hall
$3.75 Jarrod Witts
$5 Jarryd Lyons
$9 Tom Lynch
$11 David Swallow
$17 Steven May
$26 Michael Barlow, Jack Martin
Aaron Hall ($2.25 — $507,200 Mid)
Hall famously shot to prominence in SuperCoach circles in 2016 when he posted 129, 124, 134 and 114 to start the season. He has the highest ceiling of all the Suns midfielders but the question is with no Gary Ablett, does he now get more attention?
2017 average: 92.3 Best season: 95.5 in 2016
Tom Lynch ($9 — $467,600 Fwd)
With his contract expiring at the end of the season, Lynch will be keen to impress possible suitors.
2017 average: 85.1 Best season: 93.2 in 2016.
David Swallow ($11 — $468,500 Mid)
No.1 draft pick cruelled by injury, with luck could figure.
2017 average: 85.2 Best season: 103.2 in 2014
Michael Barlow ($26 — $462,700 Mid/Fwd)
With Gary Ablett departing the Suns, an experience midfielder will be needed to fill his shoes and Barlow fits the bill.
Last season: 84.2 Best season: 116 in 2010
Gilbert Gardiner says: Lynch in an even field, where 100 average could be more than enough to get the chocolates. Lottery.
Ben Higgins says: Harder to pick than a broken nose. I’ll be very interested to see how unpriced Lachie Weller and Pearce Hanley go.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: This looks like the toughest one to pick. I’m going with Jarryd Lyons at $5 but it wouldn’t surprise me to see Michael Barlow wind back the clock.
GEELONG
$1.05 Patrick Dangerfield
$13 Mitch Duncan
$17 Gary Ablett
$51 Joel Selwood
$101 Sam Menegola, Scott Selwood, Zac Smith, Zach Tuohy
Patrick Dangerfield ($1.05 — $749,800 Mid)
With Dangerfield it is more a question of why can’t he win. Gary Ablett’s inclusion could mean more time forward for the 2016 Brownlow Medallist, but he did score 135 and 141 last year in games where he was the key forward.
2017 average: 136.4 Best season: 136.4 in 2017
Gary Ablett ($17 — $631,100 Mid)
The SuperCoach GOAT, with season averages of 140.1, 138.4 and 136.7 to his name. Can still go big with scores of 210, 159, 146 and 139 in 2017.
2017 average: 114.8 Best season: 140.1 in 2009
Joel Selwood ($51 — $562,000 Mid)
The skipper has four seasons with between 117.7 and 120.9 to his name, which at any other club would be enough to win this market.
2017 average: 102.2 Best season: 120.9 in 2014
Gilbert Gardiner says: The new ‘Big Three’ could cut each other’s throats in the race for points but Dangerfield ticks all the boxes. Selwood the insurance play.
Ben Higgins says: The only reason Patrick Dangerfield doesn’t finish No.1 in the AFL — let alone Geelong — is injury.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: No surprises here tipping Dangerfield. Will be interesting to see how much time he spends forward but it shouldn’t matter, he could play at full-back and still average 120.
GWS GIANTS
$1.10 Josh Kelly
$7.50 Callan Ward
$26 Stephen Coniglio
$34 Dylan Shiel
$101 Toby Greene, Tom Scully, Lachie Whitfield, Zac Williams
Josh Kelly ($1.10 — $628,600 Mid)
He is a superstar who improved his average from 87.1 to 114.3 last season and is still only 22 years old.
2017 season: 114.3 Best season: 114.3 in 2017
Callan Ward ($7.50 — $548,300 Mid)
The Giants skipper finished 2017 impressively, averaging 114.1 after Round 12.
2017 season: 99.7 Best season: 112.8 in 2014
Toby Greene ($101 — $528,100 Fwd)
Since he became a full-time forward, Greene’s average has plateaued after peaking at 102.9 in 2014 as a midfielder.
2017 season: 96.1 Best season: 102.9
Gilbert Gardiner says: Kelly in a league of his own.
Ben Higgins says: Kelly is hard to look past as one of the AFL’s hottest young players.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Kelly is at Winx-like odds at $1.10. You don’t tip against Winx and you shouldn’t tip against Josh Kelly.
HAWTHORN
$1.02 Tom Mitchell
$11 Ben McEvoy
$51 Jack Gunston
$101 Shaun Burgoyne, Ryan Burton, Jarryd Roughead, Isaac Smith
Tom Mitchell ($1.02 — $653,500 Mid)
Mitchell was a revelation last season and plays a game style that is hard to stop for opposition. Injury is the only thing that can stop Mitchell winning this market, and he has now played 52 games in a row, so that’s unlikely.
2017 season: 118.9 Best season: 118.9 in 2017
Gilbert Gardiner says: Mitchell is not without a chance of challenging Dangerfield and Martin for the overall prize. A goal or two a game would put him in the conversation.
Ben Higgins says: Tom Mitchell is the AFL’s metronome. Pick him and watch the scores tick, tick, tick tick in.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: If anyone gets within 15 of Tom Mitchell’s average it will be a surprise.
MELBOURNE
$1.50 Clayton Oliver
$4.25 Nathan Jones
$5 Max Gawn
$11 Michael Hibberd
$51 Cameron Pedersen, Christian Petracca
$101 Jordan Lewis, Jack Viney
Clayton Oliver ($1.50 — $612,800 Mid)
Oliver was the surprise of 2017, improving his average from 70.3 to 111.5. Posted a remarkable 17 tons last year after none in 2016.
2017 season: 111.5 Best season: 111.5 in 2017
Max Gawn ($5 — $503,700 Ruck)
The popular ruckman has put in a big pre-season, trimmed down and looks set to recapture his 2016 form in which he was the number one ruck in the league.
2017 season: 91.6 Best season: 118.5 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: It is the chicken or the egg dilemma in SuperCoach, a strong season from Gawn will only benefit Clarry. Gawn in a blanket finish.
Ben Higgins says: Midfielders are usually the go and Clayton Oliver is the Demons’ best but what if Max Gawn repeats his 2016 heroics when he finished third overall.
TAB Nick Quinn says: Clayton Oliver to defeat Max Gawn in a close one. Gawn should get back to that 110 range but an improved Gawn could also help the clearance king Oliver improve his points.
NORTH MELBOURNE
$2.75 Ben Cunnington
$3 Shaun Higgins
$3.5 Todd Goldstein
$9 Jarrad Waite
$15 Jack Ziebell
$26 Luke McDonald
Ben Cunnington ($2.75 — $500,800 Mid)
The hard nosed midfielder can produce some big scores (137, 136, 129, 126 and 125 last year) but also throws in the occasional stinker (34, 44, 52, 52 and 62).
2017 season: 91.1 Best season: 95.8 in 2013
Shaun Higgins ($3 — $505,000 Mid)
Higgins finished last season strongly, with an average of 95 over the past eight matches.
2017 season: 91.9 Best season: 95.3
Todd Goldstein ($3.50 — $521,400 Ruck)
Three years ago Goldstein was the No.1 player in SuperCoach, averaging 128.8 — including an incredible mid-season run of 151.3 over 10 matches. Going to be tough holding out Brayden Preuss this season.
2017 season: 94.8 Best season: 128.8 in 2015
Luke McDonald ($26 — $461,100 Def/Mid)
McDonald ended 2017 strongly, with nine consecutive games with 20 possessions and 91.1 average. More midfield time beckons in 2018.
2017 season: 83.9 Best season: 83.9 in 2017
Gilbert Gardiner says: McDonald the most SuperCoach upside and loves kicking a goal.
Ben Higgins says: Throw a dart and hope for the best.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Goldstein is good value here. He’s an incredible scorer at his best and North will want to play him regularly to increase any potential trade value.
PORT ADELAIDE
$2.75 Patrick Ryder
$3.5 Oliver Wines
$6 Tom Rockliff
$7 Brad Ebert
$9 Charlie Dixon
$11 Robbie Gray
$17 Chad Wingard
$51 Travis Boak
$101 Justin Westhoff
Patrick Ryder ($2.75 — $566,500 Ruck)
Ryder hit a rich vein of form last season, if he can go on with the job expect the Power to win a lot of games.
2017 season: 103 Best season: 105.5 in 2012
Oliver Wines ($3.50 — $543,500 Mid)
Has averaged 98.9, 98.1, 97.3 and 100.3 over the past four seasons, could this be the breakout season?
2017 season: 98.9 Best season: 100.3 in 2014
Tom Rockliff ($6 — $529,400 Mid)
Former Lion has produced some incredible SuperCoach games, with scores of 204, 182, 179 176, 175 and 170 to his name. The question is, will he play enough midfield at the Power?
2017 season: 96.3 Best season: 132 in 2014
Gilbert Gardiner says: Happy to risk Ryder for Rocky, a ball magnet with a point to prove.
Ben Higgins says: Paddy Ryder’s went to another level in 2017 and it’s hard to see anyone keeping pace with him.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Tom Rockliff will be keen to prove a few doubters wrong at his new club and if the Power are to become a top four side they will need Rockliff on the inside pumping the ball out to Wingard, Polec and Co.
RICHMOND
$1.02 Dustin Martin
$13 Trent Cotchin
$51 Bachar Houli, Kane Lambert, Dion Prestia
$101 Brandon Ellis, Shaun Grigg, Alex Rance
Dustin Martin ($1.02 — $656,000 Mid)
The only thing stopping Dusty winning this market is an injury and he is as close as indestructible as you can get — he’s missed just four games in eight years.
2017 season: 119.3 Best season: 119.3 in 2017
Dion Prestia ($51 — $456,000 Mid)
Prestia was a big part in Richmond’s unbelievable finish to the season, averaging 110.7 over the last seven games.
2017 season: 82.9 Best season: 106 in 2014
Gilbert Gardiner says: For all of Dusty’s dominance, his 119 average looks a bit thin for a prohibitive $1.02 quote. Cotchin to cause a boilover.
Ben Higgins says: This one is done and Dusted. Pun intended.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Dusty will win this, the interesting part is how close to Patrick Dangerfield can he get this year.
Jack Billings at St Kilda training.
Jack Steven at St Kilda training.
ST KILDA
$1.75 Seb Ross
$6 Jack Billings, Jack Steven
$8 Jack Steele
$9 Dylan Roberton
$15 Luke Dunstan
$26 Shane Savage
$101 Jack Sinclair
Seb Ross ($1.75 — $555,300 Mid)
With Nick Riewoldt and Leigh Montagna retired, Ross will be one of the players that will need to step up his leadership for the Saints.
2017 season: 101 Best season: 101 in 2017
Jack Billings ($6 — $509,500 Fwd)
After being moved back to the forward line early in 2017, he averaged 97 for the rest of the year.
2017 season: 92.7 Best season: 92.7 in 2017
Jack Steven ($6 — $498,600 Mid)
Steven never really recovered after a punctured lung in Round 2, but the three-time best-and-fairest winner has the highest ceiling of all St Kilda players, with scores of 171, 170, 164, 161, 157 and 153.
2017 season: 90.7 Best season: 110 in 2013
Gilbert Gardiner says: With a clear run, Steven could average 115+. Should be enough.
Ben Higgins says: If St Kilda are to make finals, Jack Billings and Jack Steven must fire.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Jack Steven to find his best form again though Luke Dunstan and even Jack Sinclair at $101 could surprise.
SYDNEY
$1.65 Josh Kennedy
$5 Lance Franklin, Luke Parker
$11 Daniel Hannebery
$13 Isaac Heeney
$51 Zak Jones
$101 Jake Lloyd
Josh Kennedy ($1.65 — $564,200 Mid)
Like many Swans, Kennedy had his worst season since 2011 last year. Class is permanent though and you’d expect Kennedy to get back close to his best this year.
2017 season: 102.6 Best season: 120.2 in 2012
Luke Parker ($5 — $546,000 Mid)
Parker’s 2017 form mirrored that of his side, posting two tons before the bye and 10 after.
2017 season: 99.3 Best season: 111.9 in 2016
Daniel Hannebery ($11 — $535,100 Mid)
For those that had him in their 2017 team, Hannebery was possibly the most frustrating player to watch. If he is played on the ball, and not on the wing, $11 represents good value.
2017 season: 97.3 Best season: 114.5 in 2015
Gilbert Gardiner says: Isaac Heeney could be ready to take the competition by storm, capable of big numbers, strong overhead and kicks goals. One to watch.
Ben Higgins says: If you like to play it safe Josh Kennedy is the obvious choice but Dan Hannebery is fully fit and ready to explode.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Luke Parker for me, when the Swans are flying, he has become the main man in their midfield.
WEST COAST
$2.75 Nic Naitanui
$3 Elliot Yeo
$4.5 Luke Shuey
$8 Shannon Hurn
$11 Josh Kennedy
$17 Andrew Gaff
$21 Jeremy McGovern
$101 Jack Redden
Nic Naitanui ($2.75 — $465,900 Ruck)
The decision whether to select Naitanui or not is likely to be the biggest question facing SuperCoaches this year. How long will it take him to get back to his best?
2017 season: — Best season: 114.2 in 2012
Elliot Yeo ($3 — $561,230 Def)
If Yeo is played as an intercept defender, he will win this market. If he is played in the midfield, as he was in the last half of 2017, he won’t.
2017 season: 102.1 Best season: 102.1 in 2017
Jack Redden ($101 — $437,900 Mid)
The former Lion was moved into the midfield for the last seven games of 2017, where he averaged 97.3.
Last season: 79.6 Best season: 103.1 in 2014
Gilbert Gardiner says: Big Josh Kennedy well over the odds, Andrew Gaff could surprise should the Eagles deploy a more free-flowing attacking game in the absence of genuine inside midfielders.
Ben Higgins says: Wouldn’t touch Nic Nat with a 10-foot pole. The question you need to ask yourself is who replaces Matt Priddis.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: Believe it or not, I’m picking Jack Redden at $101. With Sam Mitchell and Matt Priddis retiring, Redden should spend the whole season in the midfield. He averaged 103 in 2014, could be enough to win the Eagles’ market.
WESTERN BULLDOGS
$1.6 Jackson Macrae
$2.25 Marcus Bontempelli
$34 Luke Dahlhaus, Mitch Wallis
$51 Toby McLean
$101 Lachie Hunter
Jackson Macrae ($1.60 — $587,800 Mid)
Macrae was one of the few Dogs to improve last season, getting better as the season went on and producing an average of 111.1 after the mid-season bye.
2017 season: 106.9 Best season: 106.9 in 2017
Marcus Bontempelli ($2.25 — $577,800 Mid)
The Bont started last season as many expected, with an average of 123.6 over the first seven matches before he tailed off.
2017 season: 105.1 Best season: 107.7 in 2016
Gilbert Gardiner says: At his best, Bontempelli has panels on this lot.
Ben Higgins says: There’s not much to write home about outside of Macrae and Bontempelli but if I were forced to pick an upset, Luke Dahlhaus is my man.
TAB’s Nick Quinn says: I’m tipping the Bont to win this. The addition of Josh Schache should mean that Bontempelli spends more time in the midfield where he does his best work.
TAB ODDS — correct at time of publishing