If your trades aren't needed elsewhere, I'd go NicNat this week. See below.
Hyg dig!
Not sure I'm in love with Martin coming back in so quickly. Maybe having the courage of your conviction, and at least seeing how he looks is the better option. Otherwise you have used 2 trades for probably very little return!
Hi guys,
sorry, I had planned to do my usual strength of scoring for Rucks table to answer your questions.
Unfortunately, between getting trapped into a 14 hour work day on Wednesday, and the Round starting early on Thursday, time has got away from me.
Here's a general overview, and road map, that might help you to decide:
Gawn $620,300 B/E 161
Ryder $487,100 B/E 111 (+$133,200)
Kreuzer $491,900 B/E 43 (+$128,400)
Naitanui $513,700 B/E 75 (+$106,600)
Witts $479,400 B/E 105 (+$140,900)
So, you basically need to assign an opinion to each of these players. That's game count, and average from here.
Something like:
Gawn - 9/112 = 1,008
Ryder - 10/98 = 980
Kreuzer - 9/100 = 900
Naitanui - 10/103 = 1,030
Witts - 10/98 = 980
Obviously, your opinion will vary greatly, and if you have Ruck cover, you need to factor that in. My figures above assume you cop a donut if your Ruck misses a game.
I'm assuming none of them get through without missing a game, and, even though Kreuzer is the only Ruck NOT to miss a game in the second half of the season, in the past 3 seasons, I have him down as missing two games. Without Ruck cover, that excludes him in my book. Any of the other 3 look viable picks, especially NicNat, who I have down as outscoring Gawn from here (but not out averaging him). They all have their risks, without doubt. When factoring in what the loose change will produce, points wise, I'd be using something around $6,500-$7,000/points. Even though the MN is tending toward 5,000, I think it is best to be conservative, when working out how well spent cash will perform.
My figures imply, that Ryder's cash will produce around 19-20/Round, Kreuzer 18-19/Round, NicNat around 15-16/Round and Witts around 20-21/Round.
What you need to do, drive home any advantage this might produce, is look to see how the cash might be used, this week or next. Then do a rough sum ...... will it produce the points you need?
I think the incoming players B/E is something to be considered, too. Gawn has don the right thing, and given himself a large B/E. This is important, as you want the traded out player to drop in price, and it is preferable, if the traded in player is rising in value. This is your escape clause. If the trade becomes regrettable, it's a heck of lot easier to fix in this scenario, than if Gawn suddenly goes back up in price, and your replacement starts falling in price.
All things considered, if I was doing it this Round (I already did Gawn to Ryder in Round 11), I think I would take a punt on NicNat. Having said that, I'd only be doing it, if I can see an immediate use for the $106k, where you are confident it will produce a 15+/Round benefit.
Hyg dig!
Not sure I'm in love with Martin coming back in so quickly. Maybe having the courage of your conviction, and at least seeing how he looks is the better option. Otherwise you have used 2 trades for probably very little return!
Hi guys,
sorry, I had planned to do my usual strength of scoring for Rucks table to answer your questions.
Unfortunately, between getting trapped into a 14 hour work day on Wednesday, and the Round starting early on Thursday, time has got away from me.
Here's a general overview, and road map, that might help you to decide:
Gawn $620,300 B/E 161
Ryder $487,100 B/E 111 (+$133,200)
Kreuzer $491,900 B/E 43 (+$128,400)
Naitanui $513,700 B/E 75 (+$106,600)
Witts $479,400 B/E 105 (+$140,900)
So, you basically need to assign an opinion to each of these players. That's game count, and average from here.
Something like:
Gawn - 9/112 = 1,008
Ryder - 10/98 = 980
Kreuzer - 9/100 = 900
Naitanui - 10/103 = 1,030
Witts - 10/98 = 980
Obviously, your opinion will vary greatly, and if you have Ruck cover, you need to factor that in. My figures above assume you cop a donut if your Ruck misses a game.
I'm assuming none of them get through without missing a game, and, even though Kreuzer is the only Ruck NOT to miss a game in the second half of the season, in the past 3 seasons, I have him down as missing two games. Without Ruck cover, that excludes him in my book. Any of the other 3 look viable picks, especially NicNat, who I have down as outscoring Gawn from here (but not out averaging him). They all have their risks, without doubt. When factoring in what the loose change will produce, points wise, I'd be using something around $6,500-$7,000/points. Even though the MN is tending toward 5,000, I think it is best to be conservative, when working out how well spent cash will perform.
My figures imply, that Ryder's cash will produce around 19-20/Round, Kreuzer 18-19/Round, NicNat around 15-16/Round and Witts around 20-21/Round.
What you need to do, drive home any advantage this might produce, is look to see how the cash might be used, this week or next. Then do a rough sum ...... will it produce the points you need?
I think the incoming players B/E is something to be considered, too. Gawn has don the right thing, and given himself a large B/E. This is important, as you want the traded out player to drop in price, and it is preferable, if the traded in player is rising in value. This is your escape clause. If the trade becomes regrettable, it's a heck of lot easier to fix in this scenario, than if Gawn suddenly goes back up in price, and your replacement starts falling in price.
All things considered, if I was doing it this Round (I already did Gawn to Ryder in Round 11), I think I would take a punt on NicNat. Having said that, I'd only be doing it, if I can see an immediate use for the $106k, where you are confident it will produce a 15+/Round benefit.
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