Discussion 2020 NFL RDT Dream Team Discussion

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It will be interesting to see how those with Burrow handle their QB byes. Stick with him or trade him on.
Well we'll find out soon enough with both Russ and Herbert on bye this weekend. I'm guessing the vast majority of Russ owners will roll Burrow out. Last week really was an outlier. Wouldn't expect Burrow to register another single digit score all season unless he gets injured. Yes the Colts defense is no joke but Burrow is still projected to score around the 30pt mark give or take.

Anyway not something you or I have to worry about @KLo30 this week. I'm probably planning to swap out Burrow for Herbert next week with that schedule easing up for the Chargers. Should be better cover should my QB1/2 miss a game here or there through injury and not just for their byes.
Ideally turning Burrow into L Jackson for around or less than $5 million before the Kansas City bye via a downgrade of Gano to a kicker loophole and a downgrade of J Taylor/DST/etc. Will leave me with P Mahomes, C Newton and L Jackson for the 2nd half of the season.
 
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I already plan to trade out Jefferson to Fulgham.
But OUT JuJu - IN Claypool, is it a wasted trade? :unsure:
(Claypool is only $670K less than JuJu, but Claypool has a BE -29, so will make money and has a high ceiling).

Extract from the article below:
.........The path to upside is tougher for JuJu Smith-Schuster. As mentioned, both Claypool and Johnson have multiple games with at least two deep targets. Smith-Schuster has two deep targets the entire season. He hasn't topped 69 yards yet in a game, and unless you expect his role to change, it's hard to see that outlook getting brighter.........

https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news...otball-sannes-situations-to-monitor-in-week-6
The Arrival of Chase Claypool
There were a couple of factors that led to Chase Claypool's big game. He had big efficiency, and at least some of his volume was thanks to Diontae Johnson's injury. Neither of those things are locks to stick going forward.

That doesn't mean Claypool goes back in the box now. (UPDATE: Johnson has since been ruled out, elevating Claypool's floor but putting a slight dent in Roethlisberger's ceiling.)

Although this isn't always the case in the NFL, past productivity can often lead to future volume. When said productivity includes dropping four tuddies on the Philadelphia Eagles, you know this guy's going to have a role moving forward. Why on earth would the Pittsburgh Steelers bottle him back up after what he did?

It's also encouraging that the Steelers acknowledged Claypool's talent. They gave him three rush attempts in Sunday's game. It's an indication they want the ball in his hands, in addition to the points you can squeeze out of a rush attempt. Both of those are valuable.

So, will Claypool see 11 targets when Johnson is healthy? Maybe not. But he might not need to in this matchup.

The opposing Cleveland Browns rank 27th against the pass, according to numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. They're going to have a tough time slowing down Claypool, and it's a game we should be inclined to stack. Claypool should be a part of those stacks.

This isn't to say you should write off Johnson, assuming he gets the green light to play. He had 23 targets the first two games, and he had a pair of deep targets in both Weeks 2 and 3 (despite being limited to just 19 snaps in the latter). We should just prioritize Claypool as it seems likely he'll be the one getting the hyper-valuable downfield looks between the two, but Johnson would be a potential pivot if we get clearance on his health.

The path to upside is tougher for JuJu Smith-Schuster. As mentioned, both Claypool and Johnson have multiple games with at least two deep targets. Smith-Schuster has two deep targets the entire season. He hasn't topped 69 yards yet in a game, and unless you expect his role to change, it's hard to see that outlook getting brighter.

Instead, you could consider Eric Ebron as the tertiary outlet within the offense. Ebron has at least five targets in three straight games, and among relevant options, his aDOT is second on the team behind Claypool. Ebron fills a gross position for just $5,200 and is facing a Browns defense that has already allowed at least six targets to six different tight ends this season.

In the lineups where you use Claypool, Johnson, or Ebron, Ben Roethlisberger is a viable quarterback play, even though he hasn't shown upside yet this year.

A big part of the reason for Roethlisberger's lack of a ceiling is that he isn't throwing deep. His aDOT is 6.8 overall, and you need some big run-after-the-catch action or touchdown luck to pop on that. However, Roethlisberger's aDOT is 7.4 in the two games with Claypool's snaps up, and it could inch higher if we get both Johnson and Claypool active. That's enough to justify taking a swing at Roethlisberger in the ideal script for a quarterback in DFS.
 
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Ideally turning Burrow into L Jackson for around or less than $5 million before the Kansas City bye via a downgrade of Gano to a kicker loophole and a downgrade of J Taylor/DST/etc. Will leave me with P Mahomes, C Newton and L Jackson for the 2nd half of the season.
Lamar Jackson's Decreased Rushing Volume
There's no doubt that Lamar Jackson is running less this year. His rush attempts per game are down 3.5 from last year, and it has led to 32.8 fewer yards per game.
We just have to decide if that's reason enough to avoid him this week against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Part of the issue is that the Baltimore Ravens haven't been in many competitive games. For the entire season, the Ravens have run just 74 plays in the second half in which the game was within 14 points. For comparison, the Kansas City Chiefs have run 120 such plays. The Jets are the only other team yet to have their bye who have run fewer than 80 such plays. That means fewer passing chances for Jackson and less incentive for him to make plays with his legs.
 
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Lamar Jackson's Decreased Rushing Volume
There's no doubt that Lamar Jackson is running less this year. His rush attempts per game are down 3.5 from last year, and it has led to 32.8 fewer yards per game.
We just have to decide if that's reason enough to avoid him this week against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Part of the issue is that the Baltimore Ravens haven't been in many competitive games. For the entire season, the Ravens have run just 74 plays in the second half in which the game was within 14 points. For comparison, the Kansas City Chiefs have run 120 such plays. The Jets are the only other team yet to have their bye who have run fewer than 80 such plays. That means fewer passing chances for Jackson and less incentive for him to make plays with his legs.
That stat about 3.5 less rush attempts this year is a little mis-leading. Factor out week 5 when he played injured and he avrages 9.75 per game - but that is still down on his 11.73 from last season.
Pre-season Harbaugh did say that he wanted Jackson to be more of a passer, less of a runner.
I started with Jackson because all the talk pre-season was of him having improved, again, on the previous season. I realised that he might rush less but I didn't think it would matter so much. I thought that natural development, entering his 3rd season, would compensate.
I guess I was wrong.
 
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I already plan to trade out Jefferson to Fulgham.
But OUT JuJu - IN Claypool, is it a wasted trade? :unsure:
(Claypool is only $670K less than JuJu, but Claypool has a BE -29, so will make money and has a high ceiling).

Extract from the article below:
.........The path to upside is tougher for JuJu Smith-Schuster. As mentioned, both Claypool and Johnson have multiple games with at least two deep targets. Smith-Schuster has two deep targets the entire season. He hasn't topped 69 yards yet in a game, and unless you expect his role to change, it's hard to see that outlook getting brighter.........

https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news...otball-sannes-situations-to-monitor-in-week-6
The Arrival of Chase Claypool
There were a couple of factors that led to Chase Claypool's big game. He had big efficiency, and at least some of his volume was thanks to Diontae Johnson's injury. Neither of those things are locks to stick going forward.

That doesn't mean Claypool goes back in the box now. (UPDATE: Johnson has since been ruled out, elevating Claypool's floor but putting a slight dent in Roethlisberger's ceiling.)

Although this isn't always the case in the NFL, past productivity can often lead to future volume. When said productivity includes dropping four tuddies on the Philadelphia Eagles, you know this guy's going to have a role moving forward. Why on earth would the Pittsburgh Steelers bottle him back up after what he did?

It's also encouraging that the Steelers acknowledged Claypool's talent. They gave him three rush attempts in Sunday's game. It's an indication they want the ball in his hands, in addition to the points you can squeeze out of a rush attempt. Both of those are valuable.

So, will Claypool see 11 targets when Johnson is healthy? Maybe not. But he might not need to in this matchup.

The opposing Cleveland Browns rank 27th against the pass, according to numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. They're going to have a tough time slowing down Claypool, and it's a game we should be inclined to stack. Claypool should be a part of those stacks.

This isn't to say you should write off Johnson, assuming he gets the green light to play. He had 23 targets the first two games, and he had a pair of deep targets in both Weeks 2 and 3 (despite being limited to just 19 snaps in the latter). We should just prioritize Claypool as it seems likely he'll be the one getting the hyper-valuable downfield looks between the two, but Johnson would be a potential pivot if we get clearance on his health.

The path to upside is tougher for JuJu Smith-Schuster. As mentioned, both Claypool and Johnson have multiple games with at least two deep targets. Smith-Schuster has two deep targets the entire season. He hasn't topped 69 yards yet in a game, and unless you expect his role to change, it's hard to see that outlook getting brighter.

Instead, you could consider Eric Ebron as the tertiary outlet within the offense. Ebron has at least five targets in three straight games, and among relevant options, his aDOT is second on the team behind Claypool. Ebron fills a gross position for just $5,200 and is facing a Browns defense that has already allowed at least six targets to six different tight ends this season.

In the lineups where you use Claypool, Johnson, or Ebron, Ben Roethlisberger is a viable quarterback play, even though he hasn't shown upside yet this year.

A big part of the reason for Roethlisberger's lack of a ceiling is that he isn't throwing deep. His aDOT is 6.8 overall, and you need some big run-after-the-catch action or touchdown luck to pop on that. However, Roethlisberger's aDOT is 7.4 in the two games with Claypool's snaps up, and it could inch higher if we get both Johnson and Claypool active. That's enough to justify taking a swing at Roethlisberger in the ideal script for a quarterback in DFS.
Yeah there's way too much risk for me there Bermi. Claypool scored just 5pts the week before and as you noted Johnson will be back soon. Big Ben does love the kid but I'd probably just keep JuJu for now. If he stinks it up again maybe look to upgrade him next week to Metcalf, with the money you made on Jefferson, or some other top 10 WR.
 

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Lamb sure has been one of the few bright spots for the Cowboys. It's going to be interesting to see what the Dak injury means for Cowboys WRs, TEs and maybe even Zeke going forward, now that Dalton is at the wheel, from a fantasy point of view.

It seems reasonable to downgrade the expected output of the receiving corps in particular. They are still probably going to have to throw the ball a fair bit, given how horrendous that defense is, but maybe that completion rate of 68% and 8.4 yards per attempt (both stats better than Mahomes) goes down. :unsure:
Lamb to a bye free DK Metcalf next round will be extremely enticing for those without any/many other holes to fill as well as those that own all of or 2 of T Hill, C Ridley and J Jones.
 
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Lamb to a bye free DK Metcalf next round will be extremely enticing for those without any/many other holes to fill as well as those that own all of or 2 of T Hill, C Ridley and J Jones.
We'll get a good look at the new Dalton regime on MNF. If it turns into a sh****ow and Lamb is barely sighted then yes there will be a mass dumping of Lamb stock next week. But if he continues to produce ok I'll probably be keeping him as bye cover myself a little while longer before getting rid of him. I agree those with a lot of Rd10 bye holes will be looking to offload him soon and Metcalf is the one putting his hand up right now.

Atm I only have Hill myself so it's not a major concern. The Cowboys do also have a couple of tasty looking matchups in Washington and the Eagles up next too so would personally prefer to offload him in Weeks 9 or 10 instead. But let's see what happens on MNF. if it's a train wreck I might feel differently. :LOL:
 
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Score: 517
Rd Rank: 269
Overall Rank: 350 (from 469)
Trades made:
Out: AJ Green and A Ekeler
In: T Hill and K Hunt

What a relief to go through a round with no extra injuries and hopefully the bye has served D Adams well and C Newton and J Jones are able to return from their absences. Only A Kamara on the bye this round with J Robinson or J Taylor coming on field to replace him.

Current trades for RD6:
Out: H Hurst and TY Hilton
In: R Tonyan and T Fulgham
Remaining salary: $4,900,000

Have sufficient cash to turn Hurst into Kelce but with the form of J Smith at TE2 it is not currently necessary and hopefully the cash generated by Tonyan in the coming rounds means I can afford the upgrade to Kelce at a later stage for minimal cash. Also instead of trading Hurst to Tonyan, I could upgrade Robinson to D Henry but will leave that trade until Robinson is on his bye and can hopefully eke out another 1 to 2 million.
Side for RD6:
1602985134783.png
 
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Any suggestions for a few of my options below would be awesome:
1) trade Bills to Ravens DST but go without one next week (also have Dolphins) OR hold a trade on DST and play the Bills then the Phins BOTH against an awful Jets team in back to back weeks. Then just reassess from there.
2) Fulgham or Claypool IN this week? Probably won’t play any time soon - but mostly for cash gen and the late plug in if required.
3) Burrow to Herbert this week? If I don’t trade my DST, I could do this one this week. Herbert provides an easy loop option for Mahomes VC (or go Kyler after Mahomes).
Cheers!
 

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Any suggestions for a few of my options below would be awesome:
1) trade Bills to Ravens DST but go without one next week (also have Dolphins) OR hold a trade on DST and play the Bills then the Phins BOTH against an awful Jets team in back to back weeks. Then just reassess from there.
2) Fulgham or Claypool IN this week? Probably won’t play any time soon - but mostly for cash gen and the late plug in if required.
3) Burrow to Herbert this week? If I don’t trade my DST, I could do this one this week. Herbert provides an easy loop option for Mahomes VC (or go Kyler after Mahomes).
Cheers!
Would you be able to post your side to further help with recommendations?
 
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An option could be:
Out: J Jefferson and H Hurst
In: T Fulgham and R Tonyan

$4,000,000 for next round.
Allows an RB to be upgraded to D Henry.
Or those funds could be used to upgrade Jeudy or Ju Ju to DK Metcalf/etc.
Yeah I considered Fulgham earlier in the week but I’ll be playing Kelce and Kittle every week bar their bye. Not sure about using trades in the TE spot if I don’t have to.
Just saw James Robinson has a BE of 34 or something. So just about peaked. I don’t mind the idea of Henry - is he used enough in the passing game to ensure a high enough floor during the weeks he doesn’t score?
Fulgham in for Chark before he bleeds too much cash I think
 
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Yeah I considered Fulgham earlier in the week but I’ll be playing Kelce and Kittle every week bar their bye. Not sure about using trades in the TE spot if I don’t have to.
Just saw James Robinson has a BE of 34 or something. So just about peaked. I don’t mind the idea of Henry - is he used enough in the passing game to ensure a high enough floor during the weeks he doesn’t score?
Fulgham in for Chark before he bleeds too much cash I think
Sorry.. I meant that “I considered Tonyan earlier in the week at TE” my bad
 

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Yeah I considered Fulgham earlier in the week but I’ll be playing Kelce and Kittle every week bar their bye. Not sure about using trades in the TE spot if I don’t have to.
Just saw James Robinson has a BE of 34 or something. So just about peaked. I don’t mind the idea of Henry - is he used enough in the passing game to ensure a high enough floor during the weeks he doesn’t score?
Fulgham in for Chark before he bleeds too much cash I think
Rarely used in the passing game but his rushing volume will compensate. Bye free for the remainder of the season and his high ceiling will likely mean he doesn’t drop significantly from his current price.
 
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