Here is my current breakdown and analysis for those interested as at Round 21.
There has only been one difficult year to pick since 2015, with Fyfe in 2019 winning when any of 6 could. His win in '15, followed by Danger, Dusty, TMitchell and later Neale were all lay down mazaires.
Right now I think Oliver should likely be leading, but all of Bont, Steele, Wines and Walsh are in the hunt. Miller is also at risk of polling maximum votes and being ineligible.
Oliver has polled coaches votes in 16 out of 20 games, vs Bont 12 out of 20. Bont's top end has been higher, no doubt, but weight of opportunities to poll is what I'm seeing as Oliver's advantage to get across the line, at least to the end of round 21.
Good money on Mills to finish top 20 (2.75).
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