Marking Contests:
• The ‘hands in the back’ rule interpretation has been repealed so a player can now:
• Place his hands on the back of his opponent to protect his position in a marking contest
• PROVIDED he does not push his opponent in the back.
Importance?
This rule allows players greater ability to hold space and protect their position behind an opposition player. Strong forwards that embrace body contact will likely make most use of this but marking midfielders may have more opportunities to utilise the new rule.
Advantages who?
Players ahead of the ball/their opponent. A ball that gets through a forward press will be harder to defend when the forwards are allowed to protect their space. Stay at home forwards are likely to benefit, as are defences that do not attempt to press as high up the ground.
Deep forwards/marking midfielders: Jenkins, Hawkins, Fyfe, Cripps
Disadvantages who?
It will increase the risk for teams that heavily press up the ground. Undersized defenders who cannot engage in battles of strength will also be more exposed. This should make defenders capable of dropping off their man to assist a marking contest even more important than they already are.
Undersized defences: Melbourne, Collingwood, Fremantle.
Ruck Contests:
• A ruckman who takes direct possession of the ball from a bounce, throw-up or boundary throw-in will no longer be regarded as having had prior opportunity.
• Where there is uncertainty over who is the designated ruckman, the ruckman for each team will still be required to nominate to the field umpire.
Importance?
Gives ruckmen more ability to control the state and speed of the game. It will be much easier to kill time with a dominant ruckman. Secondary rucks will also be more important, as dominating a weak second ruck will have larger consequences. It also increases the risk of playing only one ruckman as a mid-game injury could be devastating.
Advantages who?
Teams with two first class rucks. These rucks who are capable disposers of the ball and able to use the ball from the ruck will be able to slow the game right down if they get ahead, or speed it up if they need to make a comeback.
Teams with two top tier rucks: Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Collingwood, Hawthorn.
Disadvantages who?
Teams with undersized rucks/one non-elite ruckman. As being beaten in the ruck is now more significant there is likely to be an added focus on exhausting a single ruckman and putting this advantage to better use.
Teams with weak ruck stocks: Richmond, Adelaide, St Kilda, Bulldogs.
50m Penalties:
• The player with the ball:
• Must be allowed to advance the mark by 50m without the infringing player delaying the game.
• Will be able to play on while the 50m penalty is being measured out.
Importance?
50m penalties will now be much more fluid as play will not be forced to stop for a set period of time as the umpire sets up the new mark. Players will have the chance to play on before the mark is set, and those with significant speed are expected to run off and exploit it as a scoring opportunity. This could make 50m penalties more impactful as the ball will be able to be moved much faster than previously.
Advantages who?
Fast moving teams and teams with speedy players who like to play on will make best use of this adjustment to how 50m penalties are carried out. The chance to use this rule will be rare but very punishing if used appropriately.
Teams with fast offensive players: North Melbourne, Collingwood, West Coast
Disadvantages who?
Any players or teams that often argue with the umpires is going to find them getting hurt for it much more often. Teams that give away excessive 50m penalties are likely to feel the impact on the scoreboard more than before.
Teams that give away the most 50m penalties: Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda
Increased Defensive Space from Mark:
• When defenders mark or receive a free kick within nine metres of their own goal, the man on the mark will be brought in line with the top of the goalsquare.
Importance?
More space will be provided to defenders when taking kicks deep in defence. This is likely to cut down on the need for short kicks to a pocket as well as completely eliminate the comical scenario of players kicking back through the wrong part of their own goals (effectively scoring an own-point). It should result in less pressure on defenders and allows more room for precision kicks coming out of defence.
Advantages who?
Players playing on the last line of defence. There will be both less pressure on them, and greater opportunity to use good skills if they’re capable of hitting precision kicks. Expect slightly fewer short chip-kicks to a non-threatening player and fewer long kicks down the line in these circumstances.
Teams that defend deep in their back half: Sydney, Adelaide, Carlton
Disadvantages who?
Whilst unlikely to have any major disadvantages, this rule will hinder teams that take very few marks on the last line of defence/defend much higher up the ground relative to those that do.
Teams that depend on the forward press: Richmond, Collingwood, Melbourne