Discussion NFL RDT Dream Team Discussion

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Dependent on price a QB setup of C Newton, B Roethlisberger and J Burrow will be very tempting.
 

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2020 NFL Bye Week Schedule

Week 5: Detroit, Green Bay
Week 6: Las Vegas, New England, New Orleans, Seattle
Week 7: Indianapolis, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Tennessee
Week 8: Arizona, Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Pittsburgh, Washington
Week 9: Cincinnati, Cleveland, Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia,
Week 10: Atlanta, Dallas, Kansas City, Los Angeles Chargers,
Week 11: Buffalo, Chicago, Miami, New York Giants, New York Jets, San Francisco
Week 13: Carolina, Tampa Bay
 
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In NFL DT he played two weeks and averaged 17 points. Not sure how they'll treat him,but he should be an underprice option.
 

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In NFL DT he played two weeks and averaged 17 points. Not sure how they'll treat him,but he should be an underprice option.
Will try and flick back to the start of the thread before last season when I posted the averages from Sportsdeck for the past 1-3 seasons to see if I can find any examples applicable.
 

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In NFL DT he played two weeks and averaged 17 points. Not sure how they'll treat him,but he should be an underprice option.
Will try and flick back to the start of the thread before last season when I posted the averages from Sportsdeck for the past 1-3 seasons to see if I can find any examples applicable.
Miss the whole season through injury- approx 25% to 33.33% off (H Henry,etc)

D Freeman played 2 games in 2018 for an avg of 10.5
Priced at $8,100,000 last season
2017 avg of 25.36
Magic number around $402,000
Freeman priced at an approx avg of 20.15 (close to double 2018 avg)
 

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In NFL DT he played two weeks and averaged 17 points. Not sure how they'll treat him,but he should be an underprice option.
Eagerly awaiting the start of the NFL season and the numerous value options will hopefully compensate for several of our poor starts to AFL SC.
 

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Each day rotoworld are releasing fantasy previews for all of the NFL teams. Below are the links to the currently released articles and relevant excerpts.

https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/cardinals-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/falcons-fantasy-preview-0

Arizona Cardinals:
One of the easiest ways to win a fantasy league? Find the next quarterback cheat code, a la Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen is sucking up all the Twitter oxygen this summer, but it’s Murray who has the better case. Not that this is a controversial statement, as Murray’s ADP is generally one spot ahead of Allen’s. Murray is everything Allen is not, offering smoothness as a runner and accuracy as a passer. He makes fewer mistakes and faster decisions. Murray does have to cut down on his sacks after taking a league-leading 48 of them as a rookie. A huge part of that was his offensive line, though any improvement to Murray’s blocking will be modest after only third-round tackle Josh Jones was added to the mix. This means Murray must get even savvier and quicker.

One of the biggest factors in Murray’s relatively quiet rookie campaign — one that still produced OROY honors — was his lack of weapons at pass catcher. Larry Fitzgerald could be counted on to do the dirty work over the middle of the field, but second-year pro Christian Kirk was wildly uneven as he shuttled between the slot and boundary. Tight end? Charles Clay “led” the group with 18 receptions. Behind Fitzgerald and Kirk, the Cardinals’ receiver talent fell off a cliff.

But if the group isn’t deeper, it is more top heavy. DeAndre Hopkins isn’t just a No. 1 receiver, he’s a No. 1 amongst No. 1s. His move to Arizona transforms both his fortunes and Murray’s. Bill O’Brien made life difficult for Hopkins in 2019, turning him into an Edelman-ian type chain mover instead of a sideline dominator. With his average depth of target plummeting from 12.2 to 10.5, Hopkins’ yards per catch plunged from 13.7 to 11.2. If BOB has a tendency to make offense look hard, Kingsbury wants it to be as easy as possible, spreading defenses out to create cushions and space.

One of the pre-eminent body control artists of his generation, Hopkins is a match made in heaven with Murray’s drop-in-a-bucket accuracy outside the numbers. Fantasy drafters have been concerned about a decrease in volume — Hopkins has reached at least 150 targets five years running — but no team was more starved for quality looks than Arizona. Hopkins should dominate targets just as thoroughly as he did in Houston. 150 is a reasonable over/under in an offense that could spike its attempts from 550 to near 600. Even if you think Hopkins will fall back to the 130-140 range, top-five WR1 status is a given. Hopkins’ WR1 overall odds are as good as anybody else’s.


Atlanta Falcons:
Atlanta ditched any efforts to #Establi**** in its first year under OC Dirk Koetter, leaning on an NFL-leading 42.8 pass attempts per game at the fifth-fastest pace (26.2 seconds) between plays. Diving deeper, the Falcons passed the ball at the league’s highest rate when trailing (77%) and kept their foot on the gas at the fourth-highest rate (55%) while protecting an in-game lead. Hayden Winks projects this offense with the second-most plays per game at season’s end, slating all protagonists (see below) with a salivating weekly floor no matter the game script at hand. This offense has also proved to be explosive under coach Dan Quinn and his play-callers, ranking 13th, 1st, 3rd, 5th, and 15th in yards per play over the past five seasons.

With at least 129 targets in six consecutive seasons, Jones yet again joins Michael Thomas, Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and DeAndre Hopkins as the unwritten Big Five at their position. Julio’s yards per target (8.9) dipped below his career rate (9.7) on the surface, but the 31-year-old still led the entire league with 1,913 air yards (127.5 per game) across 15 appearances. He may frustratingly strike pay dirt far and few between, but Julio remains worthy of his top-five recognition given that he hasn’t finished outside the top-six receivers since sustaining a foot injury during the 2013 season. Atlanta also has a league-high 18 targets inside the 10-yard line missing from last year, a majority which should be sponged by Julio’s massive 6’3/220 frame in red zone territory.

25-year-old Ridley enters his third year in the league as one of the offseason’s biggest risers following the losses of both Mohamed Sanu and Austin Hooper; a key reason the Falcons have the most available targets (258) up for grabs from last year’s production. Ridley quietly led the team in both targets (49) and air yards (653) in the six games he played once Sanu was dealt to the Patriots, averaging 17.4 fantasy points — a mark that would’ve ranked seventh among wideouts at season’s end — in that stretch. Coupled with receiving lines of 8/143/1, 6/85/1, and 8/90/0 in the three contests Hooper was unavailable for last year, it’s easier to forecast Ridley as a low-end WR1 than it is to fence him out of the top-12 altogether. I have him ranked as the overall WR10 for re-draft purposes.

The Falcons shipped a second- and fourth-round pick to the Ravens for Hayden Hurst, who remains only two seasons removed from exiting South Carolina with school records in catches (100) and receiving yards (1,281) for a tight end. Already 27 in August, Hurst played second fiddle to Mark Andrews in Baltimore but does land as the direct shoo-in for Hooper’s position-high 39.3 routes per game.

Less than 24 hours after Gurley was released from Los Angeles, the Falcons brought the injury-plagued 25-year-old home to Georgia on a one-year, $5.5 million deal to compete with the same group that failed to lend any amount of confidence in place of Devonta Freeman last year. Transitioning from the Rams’ offense, which targeted running backs at a league-low rate (10%) while finishing 19th-overall in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards metric, to Atlanta’s uptempo attack gifts Gurley an abundance of opportunity — Falcons enter the year with 190 unaccounted for carries — behind a healthy o-line that lost a combined 16 games from former first-round starters James Carpenter (concussion) and Chris Lindstrom (broken foot).
 

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Each day rotoworld are releasing fantasy previews for all of the NFL teams. Below are the links to the currently released articles and relevant excerpts.

https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/cardinals-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/falcons-fantasy-preview-0

Arizona Cardinals:
One of the easiest ways to win a fantasy league? Find the next quarterback cheat code, a la Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Josh Allen is sucking up all the Twitter oxygen this summer, but it’s Murray who has the better case. Not that this is a controversial statement, as Murray’s ADP is generally one spot ahead of Allen’s. Murray is everything Allen is not, offering smoothness as a runner and accuracy as a passer. He makes fewer mistakes and faster decisions. Murray does have to cut down on his sacks after taking a league-leading 48 of them as a rookie. A huge part of that was his offensive line, though any improvement to Murray’s blocking will be modest after only third-round tackle Josh Jones was added to the mix. This means Murray must get even savvier and quicker.

One of the biggest factors in Murray’s relatively quiet rookie campaign — one that still produced OROY honors — was his lack of weapons at pass catcher. Larry Fitzgerald could be counted on to do the dirty work over the middle of the field, but second-year pro Christian Kirk was wildly uneven as he shuttled between the slot and boundary. Tight end? Charles Clay “led” the group with 18 receptions. Behind Fitzgerald and Kirk, the Cardinals’ receiver talent fell off a cliff.

But if the group isn’t deeper, it is more top heavy. DeAndre Hopkins isn’t just a No. 1 receiver, he’s a No. 1 amongst No. 1s. His move to Arizona transforms both his fortunes and Murray’s. Bill O’Brien made life difficult for Hopkins in 2019, turning him into an Edelman-ian type chain mover instead of a sideline dominator. With his average depth of target plummeting from 12.2 to 10.5, Hopkins’ yards per catch plunged from 13.7 to 11.2. If BOB has a tendency to make offense look hard, Kingsbury wants it to be as easy as possible, spreading defenses out to create cushions and space.

One of the pre-eminent body control artists of his generation, Hopkins is a match made in heaven with Murray’s drop-in-a-bucket accuracy outside the numbers. Fantasy drafters have been concerned about a decrease in volume — Hopkins has reached at least 150 targets five years running — but no team was more starved for quality looks than Arizona. Hopkins should dominate targets just as thoroughly as he did in Houston. 150 is a reasonable over/under in an offense that could spike its attempts from 550 to near 600. Even if you think Hopkins will fall back to the 130-140 range, top-five WR1 status is a given. Hopkins’ WR1 overall odds are as good as anybody else’s.


Atlanta Falcons:
Atlanta ditched any efforts to #Establi**** in its first year under OC Dirk Koetter, leaning on an NFL-leading 42.8 pass attempts per game at the fifth-fastest pace (26.2 seconds) between plays. Diving deeper, the Falcons passed the ball at the league’s highest rate when trailing (77%) and kept their foot on the gas at the fourth-highest rate (55%) while protecting an in-game lead. Hayden Winks projects this offense with the second-most plays per game at season’s end, slating all protagonists (see below) with a salivating weekly floor no matter the game script at hand. This offense has also proved to be explosive under coach Dan Quinn and his play-callers, ranking 13th, 1st, 3rd, 5th, and 15th in yards per play over the past five seasons.

With at least 129 targets in six consecutive seasons, Jones yet again joins Michael Thomas, Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and DeAndre Hopkins as the unwritten Big Five at their position. Julio’s yards per target (8.9) dipped below his career rate (9.7) on the surface, but the 31-year-old still led the entire league with 1,913 air yards (127.5 per game) across 15 appearances. He may frustratingly strike pay dirt far and few between, but Julio remains worthy of his top-five recognition given that he hasn’t finished outside the top-six receivers since sustaining a foot injury during the 2013 season. Atlanta also has a league-high 18 targets inside the 10-yard line missing from last year, a majority which should be sponged by Julio’s massive 6’3/220 frame in red zone territory.

25-year-old Ridley enters his third year in the league as one of the offseason’s biggest risers following the losses of both Mohamed Sanu and Austin Hooper; a key reason the Falcons have the most available targets (258) up for grabs from last year’s production. Ridley quietly led the team in both targets (49) and air yards (653) in the six games he played once Sanu was dealt to the Patriots, averaging 17.4 fantasy points — a mark that would’ve ranked seventh among wideouts at season’s end — in that stretch. Coupled with receiving lines of 8/143/1, 6/85/1, and 8/90/0 in the three contests Hooper was unavailable for last year, it’s easier to forecast Ridley as a low-end WR1 than it is to fence him out of the top-12 altogether. I have him ranked as the overall WR10 for re-draft purposes.

The Falcons shipped a second- and fourth-round pick to the Ravens for Hayden Hurst, who remains only two seasons removed from exiting South Carolina with school records in catches (100) and receiving yards (1,281) for a tight end. Already 27 in August, Hurst played second fiddle to Mark Andrews in Baltimore but does land as the direct shoo-in for Hooper’s position-high 39.3 routes per game.

Less than 24 hours after Gurley was released from Los Angeles, the Falcons brought the injury-plagued 25-year-old home to Georgia on a one-year, $5.5 million deal to compete with the same group that failed to lend any amount of confidence in place of Devonta Freeman last year. Transitioning from the Rams’ offense, which targeted running backs at a league-low rate (10%) while finishing 19th-overall in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards metric, to Atlanta’s uptempo attack gifts Gurley an abundance of opportunity — Falcons enter the year with 190 unaccounted for carries — behind a healthy o-line that lost a combined 16 games from former first-round starters James Carpenter (concussion) and Chris Lindstrom (broken foot).
K Drake:
Avg with Miami Dolphins RD1-8: 13.67 from 6
Avg with Arizona Cardinals RD9-RD17: 35.75 from 8 (4/8 30+)
8 rushing touchdowns and an average of 80.4 rushing yards per game during his 8 games at Arizona.

T Gurley:
2017 and 2018 avg= 46.93 from 29
2019 avg= 26.47 from 15
Departed the Los Angeles Rams and has acquired a new home with the Atlanta Falcons.
 

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Each day rotoworld are releasing fantasy previews for all of the NFL teams. Below are the links to the currently released articles and relevant excerpts.

https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/cardinals-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/falcons-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/ravens-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/bills-fantasy-preview-0

Baltimore Ravens:
Lamar Jackson was (somehow) overlooked in the 2018 NFL Draft despite averaging 28.5 passing touchdowns and 19.5 rushing touchdowns over his final two collegiate seasons. It took approximately one game of his second NFL season for @OldTakesExposed to have enough content for a lifetime. Even his biggest haters weren’t surprised to see how athletic he looked against NFL defenses, but few could expect the passing avalanche that ensued last season. Jackson not only led the NFL in passing touchdowns (36), but he did so on the fewest team dropbacks (468), not to mention Baltimore’s below-average receiver depth chart.

The primary question for Jackson’s 2020 fantasy outlook is how much will he regress? No quarterback posts 9.0% passing touchdown rates in back-to-back seasons, but I’d argue we should still expect Jackson to be inside the top-eight in passing touchdowns. The main reason for that is more volume. It’s doubtful that the Ravens will have a lead on 73% of their offensive plays in the second half like they did last season, so Jackson should go from 401 pass attempts to the 430-470 attempt range. The other reason I remain relatively bullish on Jackson as a passer is the fact that Lamar’s expected passing touchdown rate was the second highest in the NFL last season at 6.2%. The Ravens run-first offense sets him up for more one-on-one coverages, more deep shots, and keeps Lamar closer to the end zone than your typical drop-back passer. For these reasons, I actually don’t mind taking the over on 26.5 passing touchdowns for Jackson this season. We’ll get to his rushing ability later.

Marquise Brown flashed glimpses of what he was accomplishing at Oklahoma (18.3 YPR), but due to last year’s nagging Lisfranc injury, his rookie season was more-or-less just a preview of what’s likely to come. Brown only played three games with a 75% plus snap share and only had four games of at least 80 yards, including his 7-126-0 receiving line against Tennessee in the playoffs. He had the screw removed from his foot in February and has reportedly had a “great offseason physically” since, so Brown should play more snaps and be more explosive in year two. In this highly efficient offense and with his first-round draft profile, Brown should pay off his borderline WR3/4 price tag with just 90-110 targets. His ceiling is higher in non- and half-PPR formats, however.


Buffalo Bills:
Entering year three, this is an extremely pivotal season for Josh Allen. The Bills have put all of their chips in Allen’s basket for 2020, and coach Sean McDermott has already admitted that Buffalo can only really go as far as Allen can take it. “Most times, how the quarterback goes is how the team goes,” McDermott said. “Josh is very aware of that in his responsibilities.” To say it’s a make-or-break year for Allen might be too strong, but at the very least he has to get the Bills to the playoffs again and possibly win a postseason game to not face competition or worse in 2021. Allen’s 2019 marked an improvement on his 2018 rookie year, increasing his completion rate, touchdown rate, and QB rating while simultaneously lowering his interception total. He also rushed for nine more touchdowns after scoring eight times on the ground as a rookie. Only Lamar Jackson ran the ball more times among quarterbacks than Allen’s 109 attempts. In terms of fantasy, Allen had a run of spiked weeks coupled with crippling lows as a true boom-or-bust QB1, finishing as the overall QB6 at season’s end. From a talent perspective, this is the best Bills team we’ve seen in years following the trade for Diggs. Allen has all he needs to succeed, but it will be up to him. He’s never going to complete a high percentage of his throws, but 30-plus combined touchdowns through the air and on the ground is very achievable. Allen is an elite best-ball proposition, but he’s a very shaky week-to-week fantasy QB1 who is being drafted as a top-eight quarterback. Allen owners are going to need a strong QB2 plan.
 

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https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/ravens-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/bills-fantasy-preview-0

Baltimore Ravens:
Lamar Jackson was (somehow) overlooked in the 2018 NFL Draft despite averaging 28.5 passing touchdowns and 19.5 rushing touchdowns over his final two collegiate seasons. It took approximately one game of his second NFL season for @OldTakesExposed to have enough content for a lifetime. Even his biggest haters weren’t surprised to see how athletic he looked against NFL defenses, but few could expect the passing avalanche that ensued last season. Jackson not only led the NFL in passing touchdowns (36), but he did so on the fewest team dropbacks (468), not to mention Baltimore’s below-average receiver depth chart.

The primary question for Jackson’s 2020 fantasy outlook is how much will he regress? No quarterback posts 9.0% passing touchdown rates in back-to-back seasons, but I’d argue we should still expect Jackson to be inside the top-eight in passing touchdowns. The main reason for that is more volume. It’s doubtful that the Ravens will have a lead on 73% of their offensive plays in the second half like they did last season, so Jackson should go from 401 pass attempts to the 430-470 attempt range. The other reason I remain relatively bullish on Jackson as a passer is the fact that Lamar’s expected passing touchdown rate was the second highest in the NFL last season at 6.2%. The Ravens run-first offense sets him up for more one-on-one coverages, more deep shots, and keeps Lamar closer to the end zone than your typical drop-back passer. For these reasons, I actually don’t mind taking the over on 26.5 passing touchdowns for Jackson this season. We’ll get to his rushing ability later.

Marquise Brown flashed glimpses of what he was accomplishing at Oklahoma (18.3 YPR), but due to last year’s nagging Lisfranc injury, his rookie season was more-or-less just a preview of what’s likely to come. Brown only played three games with a 75% plus snap share and only had four games of at least 80 yards, including his 7-126-0 receiving line against Tennessee in the playoffs. He had the screw removed from his foot in February and has reportedly had a “great offseason physically” since, so Brown should play more snaps and be more explosive in year two. In this highly efficient offense and with his first-round draft profile, Brown should pay off his borderline WR3/4 price tag with just 90-110 targets. His ceiling is higher in non- and half-PPR formats, however.


Buffalo Bills:
Entering year three, this is an extremely pivotal season for Josh Allen. The Bills have put all of their chips in Allen’s basket for 2020, and coach Sean McDermott has already admitted that Buffalo can only really go as far as Allen can take it. “Most times, how the quarterback goes is how the team goes,” McDermott said. “Josh is very aware of that in his responsibilities.” To say it’s a make-or-break year for Allen might be too strong, but at the very least he has to get the Bills to the playoffs again and possibly win a postseason game to not face competition or worse in 2021. Allen’s 2019 marked an improvement on his 2018 rookie year, increasing his completion rate, touchdown rate, and QB rating while simultaneously lowering his interception total. He also rushed for nine more touchdowns after scoring eight times on the ground as a rookie. Only Lamar Jackson ran the ball more times among quarterbacks than Allen’s 109 attempts. In terms of fantasy, Allen had a run of spiked weeks coupled with crippling lows as a true boom-or-bust QB1, finishing as the overall QB6 at season’s end. From a talent perspective, this is the best Bills team we’ve seen in years following the trade for Diggs. Allen has all he needs to succeed, but it will be up to him. He’s never going to complete a high percentage of his throws, but 30-plus combined touchdowns through the air and on the ground is very achievable. Allen is an elite best-ball proposition, but he’s a very shaky week-to-week fantasy QB1 who is being drafted as a top-eight quarterback. Allen owners are going to need a strong QB2 plan.
L Jackson:
2019 Avg: 55.53 from 15

Likely to treat Jackson similar to Mahomes last year (in viewing him as an upgrade target) with Mahomes to be paired with a value QB as my 2020 starters.

P Mahomes 2018 Avg: 52.94 from 16
P Mahomes 2019 Avg: 40.93 from 14
 

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https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/panthers-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/bears-fantasy-preview-0

Carolina Panthers:
D.J. Moore hopes to turn his second-year breakout into a third-year explosion. Even while working with Kyle Allen and Will Grier for the majority of the season, Moore saw the 10th most targets in the league (135) and turned those opportunities into 87 catches for 1,175 yards and four touchdowns. Positive touchdown regression should be in his future, as Moore’s expected receiving touchdown figure was closer to 5.5. He remains one of the best yards after catch threats in the NFL, forcing the seventh most missed tackles among all receivers in 2019.

If we can look at Joe Brady’s last two stops in LSU and New Orleans, one receiver on each team dominated the target volume - Michael Thomas and Justin Jefferson. Thomas posted an average depth of target of 8.0 yards while running 36% of his routes out of the slot. Jefferson’s average depth of target was 9.4 yards while spending 93% of his time in the slot. If any player on the Panthers is going to command the same amount of volume, it is Moore, although his role might shift because of it as his average depth of target last season was 11.1 yards while seeing just 16% of his snaps out of the slot. Brady will alter his offense to whatever creates the best results, but the point stands that Moore’s skillset on short to intermediate routes best situates him to draw production from Teddy Bridgewater compared to his peers - possibly even finishing among the top five in targets this season. For these reasons, D.J. Moore is already being drafted as a WR1.

It takes time for young tight ends to hit their stride in the NFL - Ian Thomas will have his opportunity in 2020. Longtime mainstay Greg Olsen is gone, as are his 82 targets in 14 games last season. The Panthers declined to bring in any competition, so the job is there for Thomas to take. We have seen him maximize previous opportunities, posting lines of 5-57-1, 9-77-0, 4-48-1 and 5-61-1 in his past in full-time duty. Thomas is among the many high ceiling, athletic TE2s this season.

There is one name in the Panthers’ backfield: Christian McCaffrey. The player who led the NFL in touches last season (403), produced just the third 1,000/1,000 campaign in NFL history and contributes an immediate 10-point advantage per game in fantasy football compared to every other back. McCaffrey’s time on the field actually increased in 2019, playing 93% of the team’s snaps. There are natural questions whenever a new playcaller takes over and how it might impact a star player’s usage. In McCaffrey’s case there should be no questions, as Joe Brady featured running backs in the passing game at a remarkable rate at LSU. Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s 55 receptions last season were the most by an SEC running back since 2000, and he was the first in conference history to achieve a season with 1,000 rushing yards and 50-plus receptions. McCaffrey remains the No. 1 overall pick in fantasy football.
 

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https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/panthers-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/bears-fantasy-preview-0

Carolina Panthers:
There is one name in the Panthers’ backfield: Christian McCaffrey. The player who led the NFL in touches last season (403), produced just the third 1,000/1,000 campaign in NFL history and contributes an immediate 10-point advantage per game in fantasy football compared to every other back. McCaffrey’s time on the field actually increased in 2019, playing 93% of the team’s snaps. There are natural questions whenever a new playcaller takes over and how it might impact a star player’s usage. In McCaffrey’s case there should be no questions, as Joe Brady featured running backs in the passing game at a remarkable rate at LSU. Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s 55 receptions last season were the most by an SEC running back since 2000, and he was the first in conference history to achieve a season with 1,000 rushing yards and 50-plus receptions. McCaffrey remains the No. 1 overall pick in fantasy football.
C McCaffrey:
2018 Avg: 40.81 from 16
2019 Avg: 50.8 from 16
 
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Must admit I haven't looked at any USA sports for months .... not convinced any will start or even recommence in the short term yet ...

- Will do a crash course of research for a week if any look likely ...
 

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https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/bengals-fantasy-preview-0
https://www.rotoworld.com/article/team-previews/browns-fantasy-preview-0

Cincinnati Bengals:
Pro Football Focus’ highest-graded collegiate quarterback under pressure, outside of the pocket, on long-developing plays (3.1 seconds to throw), into tight windows, and when targeting his second read last year, Ohio’s prodigal son, Joe Burrow, lands in an elite situation poised to maximize his unfazed demeanor and surgical accuracy to the shallow (86.5% completion rate), intermediate (68.6%), and deep (56.6%) levels of the field from day one. Burrow’s transition from Joe Brady’s spacious quick-tempo attack to Taylor’s scheme should be seamless: both play-callers led their respective leagues in 11 personnel, utilizing three-wide sets flush with talent at FBS- and NFL-high rates. (Cincinnati did finish 12th in shotgun rate and 30th in no-huddle usage — staples of Brady’s National Championship offense — last year, but OC Brian Callahan has hinted at evolving in order for Burrow “to be himself.”) The 23-year-old also offers a heightened rushing floor with 243/767/12 and 8.6 carries per game across 28 starts with LSU. Gifted the eighth-softest passing schedule on paper and the legs to separate himself from the middle of the pack under center, Burrow’s outlook includes a top-12 finish as a weekly starter in standard leagues. He’s currently being valued as the overall QB18 in high-stakes formats.

Green, 32 at the end of July, is reportedly “fully healthy” ahead of camp but has yet to sign his $17.9 million franchise tag after long-term negotiations with the team fell through. Having appeared in just 35 of a possible 64 games the past four years (and 9-of-32 in the last two), Green has ultimately been sidelined since Week 9 of the 2018 season. Given his range of outcomes (including ruin) as an unknown commodity in this offense and organization, he’s a player I’m more than comfortable being lower than consensus on universally.

Cleveland Browns:
Almost any new hire was going to be a noticeable upgrade over Freddie Kitchens, but I’d argue that Kevin Stefanski has more promise than your average guy off the street. First off, I have loved his press conferences this offseason (definitely a “process” guy) and the fact that he’s actually reading analytical pieces from Twitter, but secondly and most importantly, he turned a Kirk Cousins-led offense into the sixth-highest scoring offense per drive last season. The two easiest ways Stefanski will help the Browns in 2020 will be by increasing their play-action usage and offensive pace. Last season, Cousins was fourth in play-action rate (31% of his passes) and was second in quarterback rating on those plays, while Baker Mayfield ranked 32nd in quarterback rating on passes without play-action. The Vikings also played at the 10th-fastest neutral-situation pace, while the Browns ranked 26th. Stefanski has yet to meet most of his team in-person, but I’m buying Browns stock because the offense should be more mature with this new coaching staff.

Between Kitchens’ game plans and his own sports hernia (an injury Odell claims to be one of the worst of his football career), I’m definitely willing to toss out Odell Beckham’s career-low 64.7 yards per game average from last year. He’s already back to 100% following a successful offseason rehab and gets a head coach whose scheme fits beautifully with his play-making ability. Stefanski’s projected uptick in play-action attempts will allow for more Odell deep targets (a segment of the field where Odell is a positive regression candidate) and Odell was already third in air yards among all receivers last season. If he and Baker can get on the same page timing wise and if he rebounds in the red zone (Odell only converted 1-of-11 red zone targets into scores last year), Odell could get back into the fantasy WR1 conversation in 2020. For now, I’m viewing him as a high-end WR2, although it certainly helps that he faces the third-easiest strength of schedule based on opponent win totals.

Nick Chubb is in the conversation for best pure runner in the NFL and with the upgraded offensive line (see below), it’s possible that Chubb posts top-five rushing production once again -- he was second in rushing (1,494 yards) and ninth in scores (8) last season. The issue in PPR leagues is his lack of RB1 receiving production with Kareem Hunt involved. Through the first nine weeks, Chubb was the RB7 overall in adjusted fantasy usage (18.0 expected fantasy points per game), but that number dropped to 15.6 expected fantasy points per game (RB16) from Week 10 through Week 17 when Hunt returned from suspension. During that seven-game stretch with Hunt, Chubb only caught nine passes despite the Browns’ 3-4 record over that span. He has game-breaking ability and the offense should be more consistent with coach Stefanski, but I’m viewing Chubb as a borderline RB1/2 in PPR leagues instead of a locked-and-loaded RB1. I'll take my chances with Joe Mixon, Miles Sanders, and Kenyan Drake over Chubb in PPR leagues. Kareem Hunt is one of the best mid-round targets in PPR leagues. Following his eight-game suspension, Hunt was the RB25 in expected fantasy points per game from Weeks 9-16, which is actually better than his current average draft position (RB27). He caught 4.6 passes per game and added another 5.4 touches on the ground over that eight-game run in the second half of last season. It’s possible that Hunt pays off his price tag as a weekly flex option even if Chubb were to play a full season, and Chubb’s lengthy injury history certainly doesn’t make that a guarantee. If Chubb were to miss time, Hunt would vault into the top-8 running back discussion. Whenever I’ve opted for a zero RB or modified RB strategy in fantasy drafts, I’ve gone out of my way to land Hunt.
 
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