Analysis Rolling Perfect Team

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#61
Could a ghost ship have won the overall comp? By that I mean could a team selected for round 1 with captain, vice and emergencies set and no trades made during the year scored higher than the overall winner. I believe the answer to that question is yes.

The following team would have scored a total of 40,902 points at an average of 2,264 and beaten the overall winner by 436 points (total 40,466 at an average of 2,248).

Note that whilst I believe this would be very close to the highest scoring team of this nature I don't actually think it is the max score achievable. I have tried to calculate that and when I do it actually sets 2 emergencies on the mid and forward lines which become relevant during the bye rounds. However making the model select the lowest non-zero scoring emergency in the situation when only 1 is required has proven quite tricky so haven't quite got that to work yet.

View attachment 22006
This is interesting. Instead of trying to get 22 solid premiums it was better to take 2 higher priced players in Lloyd and Oliver (although they did out perform their price) and loop rookies.
 

THCLT

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#62
Could a ghost ship have won the overall comp? By that I mean could a team selected for round 1 with captain, vice and emergencies set and no trades made during the year scored higher than the overall winner. I believe the answer to that question is yes.

The following team would have scored a total of 40,902 points at an average of 2,264 and beaten the overall winner by 436 points (total 40,466 at an average of 2,248).

Note that whilst I believe this would be very close to the highest scoring team of this nature I don't actually think it is the max score achievable. I have tried to calculate that and when I do it actually sets 2 emergencies on the mid and forward lines which become relevant during the bye rounds. However making the model select the lowest non-zero scoring emergency in the situation when only 1 is required has proven quite tricky so haven't quite got that to work yet.

View attachment 22006
Take note 'Lock & Load' players...(y)
 
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#64
Can someone just confirm the rule change for me. Was the following the only changes due to covid.

Round 8 trades: Maximum of two
Round 9-12 trades: Maximum of three
Best 18 scoring system for bye rounds (Round 10 and 11)


34 total trades

Or was there more rounds with top 18 players scoring? Thanks!
 

THCLT

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#65
Can someone just confirm the rule change for me. Was the following the only changes due to covid.

Round 8 trades: Maximum of two
Round 9-12 trades: Maximum of three
Best 18 scoring system for bye rounds (Round 10 and 11)


34 total trades

Or was there more rounds with top 18 players scoring? Thanks!
Summary of KEY changes outlined below, including excerpt from SC website:
  • 18 Rounds
  • 37 Total Trades
  • Max 5 trades for Round 2
  • Max 3 trades Rounds: 9,10,11,12,14,15,16
  • Best 18 scoring Rounds: 3(Essendon & Melbourne Byes),10,11,14,15,16
1601774458178.png 1601774476242.png
 
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#66
Hey @Beg2Differ, I'm about to run my code for this year and came across this thread. Look's like you have been doing a lot of work this year! What solver are you using? Will let you know if my stuff confirms what you got.
Can someone just confirm the rule change for me. Was the following the only changes due to covid.

Round 8 trades: Maximum of two
Round 9-12 trades: Maximum of three
Best 18 scoring system for bye rounds (Round 10 and 11)


34 total trades

Or was there more rounds with top 18 players scoring? Thanks!
Summary of KEY changes outlined below, including excerpt from SC website:
  • 18 Rounds
  • 37 Total Trades
  • Max 3 trades Rounds: 9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16
  • Best 18 scoring Rounds: 3(Essendon & Melbourne Byes),10,11,14,15,16
View attachment 22155 View attachment 22156
Indeed I have been. You may have helped create a monster in that I have been bombarding the site with all sorts of max score calcs through the season.
  • I have been using opensolver which is why it is now taking so long. I haven’t been able to wrap my brain around taking the step to solverstudio.
  • It would be great if you could confirm my outcome. It would be less great if you come up with a higher score and reduce my credibility ;)
  • Rules as per @THCLTs post with a couple of clarifications.
    • After the resumption for round 2, 5 trades were permitted however there was no increase to the max of 30 at that time.
    • Round 13 was only a max 2 trade week.
  • The one thing I couldn’t work out is in the ghost team and how you get it to select the lowest scoring emergency when only one is required. I read your paper on this matter and it mentions indexing emergency scores somehow which was new to me.
I look forward to seeing your results.
 
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