SuperCoach Analysis: Premium Rucks
https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/su...s/news-story/9960ad9f3f211399bfcb180aa97783d3
BRODIE GRUNDY | COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES | $708,200 | 130.5 avg. in 2018
If not for Max Gawn, Grundy would have been the runaway best-performed ruckman last season. Grundy is a true ‘follower’ in that he seems to bob up all over the ground — his ability to run with the ball, kick it accurately, clunk it cleanly, and put it down the throat of his plethora of midfielders while playing an average of over 106 minutes per game sets him apart as a unique player. He won’t be a unique SuperCoach selection though; many players won’t think twice at committing over $700,000 of their $10 million salary cap on the Magpies’ ruckman, and they’ll be rewarded with consistent performances as a result. In selecting Grundy, you’re essentially picking up a ninth midfielder.
MAX GAWN | MELBOURNE DEMONS | $692,100 | 127.5 avg. in 2018
The reigning AFL Coaches Association Champion Player of the Year, Gawn was everywhere for the Dees in 2018 — he drifted forward and impacted the scoreboard earlier in the season, and then once Jake Lever went down with a season-ending ACL, he was more often than not found clunking strong marks in the back half of the ground to cut off attacking opposition forward momentum. All the while he absolutely dominated his primary ruck role, having more hit-outs than anyone in the competition has ever had in a single season. Will 2019 be a different story, with Brayden Preuss joining him at the Demons? It’s been mooted that they will wax and wane together as a ruck / forward pairing working in combination, so it might be worth waiting to see how that works out during the pre-season before committing almost $700,000 of salary cap towards Gawn.
STEFAN MARTIN | BRISBANE LIONS | $573,700 | 105.7 avg. in 2018
A model of consistency since joining the Lions from the Demons, Martin has played every home and away match for the last two seasons, and in 2018 his seasonal average has been trending upwards in that time, going from 89.7 to 98.2 in 2017, and then on to 105.7 last year. It’s heading back to where he was in 2014-15, when he averaged over 110 points a game. He opens the season against West Coast, a team he traditionally scores well against, and with a projected score some 15 points higher than his break-even, he looms as a minimum $120,000 saving compared to Grundy and Gawn for a likely not too dissimilar output.
BEN McEVOY | HAWTHORN HAWKS | $553,100 | 101.9 avg. in 2018
‘Big Boy’ is another standalone ruck standard — there’s not much competition for his role at the Hawks, despite both Jonathon Ceglar and Marc Pittonet being more than capable. McEvoy is another ruckman who seems to benefit having the pressure on him to perform, and on 17 occasions he lead the line for the Hawks, only once dropping below 70 SuperCoach points, and topping 100 eight times, seven of those being 110+ point games. In terms of average along, 2018 was his best scoring SuperCoach season since 2012, and his second best overall. There’s no reason to believe he can’t match that in 2019, making him an easy selection as a premium ruck option. But will Tom Mitchell’s absence impact his hit-outs to advantage, a stat in which McEvoy excels at?
JUSTIN WESTHOFF | PORT ADELAIDE POWER | $549,500 | 101.2 avg. in 2018 | RUC / FWD
Calling Westhoff a RUCK / FWD is doing a disservice to a player who appears to be just as capable of slotting in on the wing as he is playing the ‘loose’ down back and intercepting everything that comes within his reach. #fearthebeard doesn’t just apply to Max Gawn; the ‘Hoff has become such a consistent weapon that it is reasonable to expect that he will be a favoured selection in either of his available Dual Position Player positions. With the addition of West Coast premiership ruckman Scott Lycett to lend support to Patrick Ryder, Westhoff could find himself with even more license to roam than he’s had previously. With a breakeven of under 100 to start the season, he’s worth every salary cap cent of $550,000 … and you’ll still have $500 change.
TODD GOLDSTEIN | NORTH MELBOURNE KANGAROOS | $548,000 | 101.0 avg. in 2018
There has been a perception that Goldstein has been on the wain for some time, but while he hasn’t been able to replicate his high-water season of 2015, when he averaged 128.5 SuperCoach points per game, last year saw him return to an average over 100 after a lacklustre 2017. Goldstein is the epitome of consistent — he played every game in 2018, only dipped below 70 points on three occasions, but almost as importantly smashed out 14 scores of over 100, with ten of those 110+, with six of those coming after the bye round. As the lone ruckman in the North line-up, he’s a set-and-forget option who’s pointscoring could arguably increase with the additions of Jared Polec, Dom Tyson and Aaron Hall at his feet.
TOBY NANKERVIS | RICHMOND TIGERS | $533,000 | 98.2 avg. in 2018
At times in 2017 and 2018 it felt like if Nankervis wasn’t rucking, then Richmond didn’t actually have a ruckman at all — when ostensible midfielder Shaun Grigg is your ‘support slot’, it’s no surprise that Nankervis averaged over 100 minutes per game on-ground in those years. If anything, his 2018 was even more impressive than his first year in yellow and black in 2017, with his SuperCoach average jumping over 10 points per game, with nine totals of over 100 points a game compared to seven, but only two scores below 70 compared to the previous year’s five. He’s a safe bet as Richmond really don’t have anyone else to rely upon in the ruck.
AARON SANDILANDS | FREMANTLE DOCKERS | $529,000 | 97.5 avg. in 2018
Only playing 11 games in 2018, the ‘Human Tree’ remains a premium ruck choice because when he is able to get on the park there’s few ruckmen as dominant as he can be. He had four scores of over 100 SuperCoach points, and three of those exceeded 130. With a breakeven opening Round 1 of 96 points to not lose any value, selecting Sandilands is fraught with danger, with the likes of Rory Lobb set to take up some of his minutes in the middle. That doesn’t even count Sean Darcy as a likely competitor for a secondary ruck role, which could see the 37 year old Sandi used sparingly to preserve his aching body. Pick him with risk.
CALLUM SINCLAIR | SYDNEY SWANS | $528,000 | 97.3 avg. in 2018
For the first time in his career, Sinclair played the lead role in all 22 home and away matches, increasing his average score per round by almost 20 SuperCoach points. Prior to last season, Sinclair had never played more than 17 times in a season, and have never lead from the ruck, instead primarily playing a support role. Sinclair hit the 100 point marker in half of his 22 appearances in 2018, but most important went 120+ in five of those. The big knock on his coming year ahead is that it’s likely that Sam Naismith will more than compete for his starting ruck roll, relegating Sinclair to a more forward-focused role. His average per game could plummet if this is the case.
NIC NAITANUI | WEST COAST EAGLES | $524,400 | 96.6 avg. in 2018
Anyone starting with the high-flying Fijian is picking on reputation alone — sadly, Naitanui will be missing for the majority of the 2018 season, following on from his knee injury and ACL reconstruction in Round 17 against the Pies at the MCG. At this stage, he is targeting a mid-year return in Eagles’ colours, around about the Round 15 mark, after his previous knee knack saw him miss over 18 months of footy after tearing the ACL in his other knee in late 2016. There are no such fears th