Another way for

@Juzzo to look at it:

QI is 24/73, with a minimum of 5 selections to come.

That makes him 29/(73 +

**P**oints to be scored)

Juzzo is 32/76 with potentially 18 selections to come.

Assuming QI makes the minimum number of selections, he finishes on:

(73 +

**P**)/29 =2.5172 +

**P**/29

Juzzo, if he can score

**X** number of 4's from here is: (76 + 4

**X**)/(32 +

**X**)

After complicated back and forths, you get:

**X** = (132 + 32

**P**)/(43 -

**P**)

So, for

**P**oints QI scored by, Juzzo can see how many

**4**'s he needs to score.

ie, if QI scores

**6** points from here, then Juzzo needs

**X** = (132 + 32*

**6**/(43 -

**6**) = 8.76,

so Juzzo would need

**9** out of

**9** 4's to catch QI.

Conversely, if QI scored 13 points from his last 5 selections, Juzzo cannot catch him!

X = (132 + 32*13)/(43-13) = 18.2, with Juzzo only having 18 possible picks to come.