Strategy 2024: Round 4 Trades

[freowho]

$700k to spend.

Some not gainfully employed, but with low BEs on the bench, S Berry and J Lyons.

Some MPs/rookies likely to no longer have low BEs, Fisher, Billings, Fyfe, Howes - and see what the second price changes for Roberts and Jordon are like. Ried still on Def bench.

Rookie shortlist: Darcy, Brown, Draper
Premium shortlist: Sheezel, Miller, Powell, Flanders

Thinking, 2 up one down, as bolded, but will see what the next round of rookies look like, but at $375k Powell may still demand a pick.

View attachment 70400
Who would you buy if $ were no object?

Footywire had Powell predicted to be $370k but I think they use current average for that prediction so my guess is $360k. But he will be priced at about Fisher's starting price and scoring as I hoped Fisher would score so why not make the same mistake twice!!! Shame about the r12 bye, no slingshot, but should be dual position. I traded in McKay so McKay sitting at F7 looping with Powell at F6 and covering the mids would be nice.

 

[Tails]

Does anyone know the price of billings and young at the end of this round? I havent 100% finalised my trades for this round. (Don't know geelong and Hawks teams)

My estimates are:

- Billings ~$305k with an approx BE 62
- Young ~$510k with an approx BE 95

I only just put the formula in place but think they should be close (prior to MN changing next round though)

 

[blue dreamer]

Maybe bring back Young and Martin.









Not really but as Homer would say DOH!!!

 

[donnybuang]

Reid out, anyone else?

 

[Nib]

Reid out, anyone else?

Fisher and Fyfe first for me 🤣

 

[randomcliche]

Footywire had Powell predicted to be $370k but I think they use current average for that prediction so my guess is $360k. But he will be priced at about Fisher's starting price and scoring as I hoped Fisher would score so why not make the same mistake twice!!! Shame about the r12 bye, no slingshot, but should be dual position. I traded in McKay so McKay sitting at F7 looping with Powell at F6 and covering the mids would be nice.

We cant go back to last week. There still significant value there, albeit a very different equation. It's close to requiring him to be a keeper now, will ponder for a bit. Baker similar boat.

McKay is a great selection, well done.

 

[Tails]

Footywire had Powell predicted to be $370k but I think they use current average for that prediction so my guess is $360k. But he will be priced at about Fisher's starting price and scoring as I hoped Fisher would score so why not make the same mistake twice!!! Shame about the r12 bye, no slingshot, but should be dual position. I traded in McKay so McKay sitting at F7 looping with Powell at F6 and covering the mids would be nice.

My estimate:

- Powell~$373k with an approx BE -9
(prior to MN changing next round though)

 

[Johnsy44]

How do I trade all Windhager, LDU, Billings, Jordan, Coffield all in the same week?

Windhager needs to go otherwise it’s a donut next week. Thinking Windhager and Billings to Jordan Clark and Sam Darcy

 

[BIGB0Y]

Whats our thoughts on max king? Comes back on the bubble, double ton. his disposal has increased alot and he looks pretty dangerous specially against 2 great sides in pies and cats.
Stupid selection?

 

[Tails]

How do I trade all Windhager, LDU, Billings, Jordan, Coffield all in the same week?

Windhager needs to go otherwise it’s a donut next week. Thinking Windhager and Billings to Jordan Clark and Sam Darcy

My estimates:

- Windhager ~$340k with an approx BE 35 (suspended)
- LDU ~$605k with an approx BE 171
- Billings ~$305k with an approx BE 62
- Jordon ~$344k with an approx BE 42

- Clark ~$498k with an approx BE 48
- Darcy ~$124k with an approx BE -64

(prior to MN changing next round though)

 

[randomcliche]

How do I trade all Windhager, LDU, Billings, Jordan, Coffield all in the same week?

Windhager needs to go otherwise it’s a donut next week. Thinking Windhager and Billings to Jordan Clark and Sam Darcy

Stick fat with LDU. Effective tag in H1, good Q3 with head knock just prior to the siren of Q3. Unsurprisingly Q4 was sub par. Unfortunate for sure, but I'll be holding him. Also wasn't Xerri's best outing.

 

[randomcliche]

My estimates:

- Windhager ~$340k with an approx BE 35 (suspended)
- LDU $605k with an approx BE 171
- Billings ~$305k with an approx BE 62
- Jordon ~$344k with an approx BE 42

- Clark ~$498k with an approx BE 48
- Darcy ~$124k with an approx BE -64

(prior to MN changing next round though)

Thanks Tails. I'm interested to know how the MN is changing this year. My hypothesis is that it will plummet given all the rookies.

 

[Tails]

Thanks Tails. I'm interested to know how the MN is changing this year. My hypothesis is that it will plummet given all the rookies.

I only looked at it today (to do some estimates) but came up with 5290 for this round ...

Last year I kept the following records:

 

[Maccas marvels]

Reid out, anyone else?

Yeah he is gone for me too…not showing enough…
Reid to Tom Green will be my trade out.
maybe a failing rookie to Darcy

 

[Santoz]

This not owning Heeney thing is no fun at all. I hate paying top dollar for picks like this as I know I'll be let down in the long run.

Out: Fisher & Sexton
In: Heeney & Rookie (probably Darcy)

 

[Bomber18]

Anyone have a view on T Brown? Had a pair of 60s which isn’t too bad. More interested in checking his JS… Grimes to come back in…?

 

[Tails]

Anyone have a view on T Brown? Had a pair of 60s which isn’t too bad. More interested in checking his JS… Grimes to come back in…?

Don't like the price tag but I guess beggars can't be choosers ... no idea on JS ...

- I have him with a projected BE -19 for next round which is okay ... but not great ...

 

[scarfaceclaw]

I just changed my r3 trade! Brought Sexton back in for mannagh. At least sexton hasn't been dropped yet.

Billings to Darcy.
Gibcus to Young.

 

[Bomber18]

Don't like the price tag but I guess beggars can't be choosers ... no idea on JS ...

- I have him with a projected BE -19 for next round which is okay ... but not great ...

Between him and Draper… agree, neither are that compelling but it’s not a bad time to clear deadweight…. Don’t want to trade into more deadweight though…!

 

[randomcliche]

I only looked at it today (to do some estimates) but came up with 5290 for this round ...

Last year I kept the following records:

View attachment 70434

Thanks! Super interesting spike in R8!