Strategy Round 7: Trades

How many trades remaining prior to this round...?

  • 20 This is AFL Fantasy right...?

    Votes: 12 7.3%
  • 21

    Votes: 31 18.8%
  • 22

    Votes: 29 17.6%
  • 23

    Votes: 37 22.4%
  • 24

    Votes: 33 20.0%
  • 25

    Votes: 13 7.9%
  • 26+ Channeling Steven Bradbury...?

    Votes: 10 6.1%

  • Total voters
    165
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I think you're missing the key condition that is Danger missing.

Gutherie has had extraordinary SC points per minute statistics over the past 2 years, but simply lacks TOG and midfield minutes to score at a premium. (Although after double checking, the difference is only 5-10% ish in TOG/CBA, so maybe this lacks evidence?)

Gutheris has averaged 134 this season without Danger, with a similar trend last year, think 120 without Danger is conservative.
If you think that then you have to get him in.

I can't say I think Guthrie being a top 2 midfielder is the conservative opinion but that's the great thing about this game.
 
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I dunno, but your team looks ok. I wouldn't panic yet, but I'm relying on Flynn playing 1 more game, by then he's done his job and is ripe for upgrading. You can't rely on him playing more than 3 or so games in a row, so he'd be the 1st on my upgrade list, particularly with no bench cover. There's a few options available with that amount of dosh that will only cost 1 trade. Will give you 16 'premos' and 18 trades left to upgrade 6 players. A lot of players would be happy to be in your position, hell, there's even room for luxury trades later.
Cheers for that , if I follow that plan most of my cash would then be used in Round 8 to upgrade Rowe & Warner.

Been looking at a few other options today , think I am still to exposed to onfield rookies and not confident in most of my bench generating enough $$$.

Tossing up whether to pay up for Super premiums + onfield rookies or try and equalise the $$$ and try and get more consistent players.
 
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These are some good suggestions which had me thinking (sometimes outside of the box!)...

Ok so just gonna leave this here in case I forget later on...!

This round:
Out: Neale & Dunkley
In: Zorko + either Heeney/Sidebottom or if I'm feeling super brave...Hawkins :eek::LOL:

Will leave me with around $300k in the bank.
Can then upgrade either Warner or Gulden to a Steele/Bont/Marshall in round 8

Round 9:
Out: Chapman and one of Warner/Gulden
In: May (should be worth around the 400k mark) + rookie

Round 10:
Out: Powell + one of Scott/McNeil
In: Dusty + rookie

Will leave me with 5 upgrades left to do and 17 trades to do them.
Then again...this is all assuming no other premo player gets a long term injury...!
Looks like a very well thought out plan.
 
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If you think that then you have to get him in.

I can't say I think Guthrie being a top 2 midfielder is the conservative opinion but that's the great thing about this game.
Well he's currently 3rd on my list. And as shown in the above calculations, given the high variance and abundance of other options available, Danger would have to miss 10 weeks ish to make him a better option than Oliver/Bont.

If Danger were to miss the rest of the season, I'd trade Guthrie in as a priority even if he costed 650k.

Now that you're here, can I quickly just ask you how you expect Neale's injury to impact the scoring and role of Zorko/Mcluggage/Robertson?
 
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I guess it all depends on what your definition of a keeper is. :unsure:

For me the helmet, Tarantula, Jelly and Crippa are more list cloggers than keepers ... but each to their own! :p
I also hasten to add that's no slight on @Connoisseur btw. Those picks were all more than valid starting selections but have struggled for one reason or another. I started Daniel myself and no doubt these guys would be trying their coach's patience through no fault of his own.

It's also a long season so maybe some of these guys will work out later in the year. Sloane was also a fantastic POD until he got the detached retina.
 
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As much as every fibre in my body wants to kick Cripps to the curb, I think the smarter play is probably making my first upgrade.

Debating two possible combos being Cripps/Dunkley out for Walsh/Bont (the sexy route) vs Campbell/Dunkley out for Zorko/Sidebottom (the unsexy route).

Thoughts and feelings? Fellow Cripps owners where we at?
Cripps is a nothing trade right now. You should be absolutely focused on getting the best 2nd wave rookies and getting rookies off the field. As frustrating as the 60 odd score can be he's still averaging considerably more than other on field players and should continue to do so, he could have easily had 100+ if he'd used the ball even just poorly on the weekend so he wasn't really "that bad".

You either dumped him at r2/3 or you hold until the byes now and look to skip a bye using him. At least Cripps has a use in doing that unlike Kelly. Of course you mix in some prayers that he comes good but I'm using most of my prayers that guys just don't get hurt right now :LOL:


Throwing the magnets around, how does
Dunkley + Clark -> Walsh & Greene sound?

Am I buying a world of pain and disappointment with Greene, or do we have version 2.0 who is more mature and reliable?
Greene is a guy you buy when he's cheap, not at full price. Durability is really poor, though a preseason spent training rather than on the piss overseas may help that factor but I'd say he's maxed out right now (barring a midfield move, in which case move heaven and earth to get him!) so you're paying for his price with all his risk factors of injury and suspension. If he has a bad game or two I'd say he's a solid target.

Personally would rather Zorko or Sidebottom with better scoring histories, roles and durability records at lower prices.
 
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Thinking of holding off on Grundy and going Dunkley to a elite mid.

Throwing up two options right now...
Dunkley to Grundy
Kinda hurts the forward line because will have to play 2 rookies... Rowe and mccreary

Or

Dunkley and Clark to Brayshaw and Duncan/Walsh. Favouring Duncan
Zorko goes forward and I loop Rowe and McCreery
 
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Thinking of holding off on Grundy and going Dunkley to a elite mid.

Throwing up two options right now...
Dunkley to Grundy
Kinda hurts the forward line because will have to play 2 rookies... Rowe and mccreary

Or

Dunkley and Clark to Brayshaw and Duncan/Walsh. Favouring Duncan
Zorko goes forward and I loop Rowe and McCreery
No options that avoid Rowe/McCreery having to play at all?

It seems like that spot would have to be your weakest spot on the field if those are the best options and you should try and prioritise fixing that spot, imo.
 
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No options that avoid Rowe/McCreery having to play at all?

It seems like that spot would have to be your weakest spot on the field if those are the best options and you should try and prioritise fixing that spot, imo.
I know you have been keen on Mills, seems like he is playing HB and maybe some mid time.

Mills vs Houston
 
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I know you have been keen on Mills, seems like he is playing HB and maybe some mid time.

Mills vs Houston
Mills is playing midfield but went to HB when Hewett went down until we could adjust and then was sweeping a bit when we were under assault on the weekend but has otherwise been pure midfield and is our best in that area.

6 weeks in I think his average is pretty much where it should be over the season give or take a few points.

Houston is actually playing a pretty similar role for Port, he has more competition but also more supply as the team is better and also very patient with ball movement. He's also the guy they like the most kicking I50 which adds some pretty big bonuses to his scoring. He's lower from the injury game 2 weeks ago.

I think Mills has the slightly higher ceiling of the pair as far as possible season score, his best case for me remains 115+ because he's that good. Houston I think with more midfield sharing and more half back sharing when he does float there is probably more of a 105-110 that he has averaged without the injury game. I will say though that if Mills did end up in defense on a more permanent basis that it's not good for his scoring and he'd drop significantly. Houston has more balance in his scoring between roles.

I think both are really solid picks though. The reality is that 6 weeks is actually a pretty reliable sample size so barring significant role changes/injuries these guys should maintain what they're doing.
 
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I think you're missing the key condition that is Danger missing.

Gutherie has had extraordinary SC points per minute statistics over the past 2 years, but simply lacks TOG and midfield minutes to score at a premium. (Although after double checking, the difference is only 5-10% ish in TOG/CBA, so maybe this lacks evidence?)

Gutheris has averaged 134 this season without Danger, with a similar trend last year, think 120 without Danger is conservative.
And only in 6% of teams so a real POD. Or Jarryd Lyons only in 1% of teams.
 
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No love for Mundy? 133.3 3rd avg and 126.0 5rd avg. $578K
Longmuir playing him where he is best - straight mid. Good user. Heavily considering between him/Walsh/Boak (1%,16%,20% ownership)

Only question is longevity over the length of the season, but actually winding back time with his form going back to last season. 3/12 games <100, the rest all 130+ish. Good contested user

Edit: 5 out of the next 7 games at Optus too 🧐 very tempting

Fun stat -
None of the top 2000 teams have Mundy (0%)
 
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Is Menaspew worthy of a spot in our teams? Have no idea of role or job security.
 
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Can anyone tell me if Duncan or Guthrie (the sc good one) are a healthy and a target now?
I know that Guthrie plays well when Dangers not there
But i remember Duncan being really good ladt season and this season. But those 2 rounds missed has me worried

Any ideas?
 
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Wow the suckfest that is my team needs to change. I look at it and it doesn't even seem that bad... having Impey in my team all pre season and swapping him to dow has along likely cost me about 7000 ranking spots. Every week so many 20 and 30 scores - mid price madness may be the future of SC! I keep telling myself I am playing the long game...sigh

Hopefully Ridley is back this week and I have cash so hopefully Dunkley/Gulden to Oliver/Walsh can make me feel a bit better about my SC world! sorry owners if I break them
 
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