Dawson's a great example. I don't have him so I cant give it a crack but yeah, if he puts out 129 a week against Hawthorn and Collingwood then he'll be up around 690k.
If he finishes at 120, then yeah hell need to go at 117. Doubt that Macrae and Zerrett will still be under 600k in a couple of rounds but it gives you an idea of who might be available that can average you 110. If they too are reverting to mean, then that average will be a little higher, maybe even getting you close to like-for -like. Even if you have only 30-50k in your kitty at that stage, that and the money freed up from the downgrade could fund a topped out McKenna for a bottomed out Sicily or Cogs or whoever.
1 down 1 up (with a small bit of help from the kitty) and you've improved your premo count and added 20 -30ppg. It's good supercoach. Yeah you don't have Dawson anymore. But it isn't about who you have in your squad. That's all just means to an end. What counts is how many points you have at the end of it all.
Where might it go wrong?
Well.... Clayton Oliver for 1. Still waiting for any sign that 130 isn't actually his benchmark. Tim English is probably another now. He's a machine at the moment and it doesn't just look like a run of good form. He looks to be now realising his potential. Is it the same with Dawson? Is he the next Clayton Oliver?
