Carlton vs Melbourne
General - Good contest, both teams went reasonably hard, not a lot of experimentation going on, felt like two sides playing about 18/22 best 22 guys going at it. Reckon we got some pretty good indicators from it. Did feel like the umpires were shaking off rust more than the players and almost feels like the new HtB rules are just making it even more confusing, apparently as long as you drop it you're still good?
Blues - Held on for a good win after a hot start and big fade out but they did a much better job slowing momentum than they have historically, big takeaway was the midfield dominance against an elite midfield that wasn't exactly loafing it out there.
Please note I've not seen SC scores so going down the list of DT scores with my thoughts on their games.
Cripps - Was immense, did fade ever so slightly to my eye, no idea if the stats support that or not, the goals are not going to be common but the more he plays midfield and the less he's forward the more he will kick because he can work mismatches much better. He looks in good shape and I was happy he played out the game as that was something I wanted to see. He's bloody tempting, the durability is a mess and should be expected to be a problem but, honestly, he's a better pick than Taranto was last year at the same price and he not only held together but was even a feature in the winning side. I mean everyone on here basically has been torched by him, time for some payback? It's just hard to ignore two very strong games in the preseason.
Kennedy - Massive game from him, perhaps the biggest standout was that for almost the first time in his career he found a way to use his size when resting forward and was able to impact the contest, that's the difference between being an 80s guy entirely dependent on midfield minutes and pushing towards the 100 range. Pity he's not a forward this year as he'd be an interesting play. The obvious guy to lose minutes to Walsh when he's back as the 4th mid for them today but definitely did enough to demand solid rotations still and would think that it would be an even spread of who Walsh bumps from.
Fisher - Scored better than I expected having watched it but he was very handy. Good role but reckon he's the first to lose those midfield rotations to Walsh. Not cheap enough to be relevant I don't think but wouldn't be shocked if finds the 80s this year.
Cerra - Another really solid game, they'd certainly rather he kicks it more but just played really well. Think he's firmly locked in as their 3rd best mid though will lose a few rotations to Walsh like everyone below him will. Rate him very highly but I think the price is just too awkward and too many stronger options.
Newman - Standard for him, will have good games, did look to be the primary rebounder.
McGovern - He played too well as someone who's had him in for a couple of weeks . Role is golden and at his price the durability kind of goes out the window, if he stays fit he's going to make 150k more likely than not. HB and that relatively bruise free role is a good one for durability also. Imagine he's going to be in a lot of sides. Took a few kick-ins as well for an added bonus. What I liked is that he got involved on the rebound rather than relying entirely on his own intercept play to get the pill. Is a strong kick as well so that's good. Outside the woeful durability, it's a similar role to Ridley a couple of years ago and I'd say that's your absolute best case scenario and the likely outcome is somewhere in the Doedee range (~85), durability can't just be thrown out though unfortunately! Plowman forward and only for a half seems to lock the role in, never really understood what they saw in Plowman as a defender but seems Voss agrees there at least.
Hewett - Similar to Kennedy/Cerra, he played great, felt like it should be a pretty strong ratio as he won a lot of clean contested first possessions and used the ball very well, basically stock standard stuff that he does. Interesting to see no marks and just two tackles, that's where he can put the cherry on top of a game like this. For mine this is an above average game on possessions but significantly below average on those two areas, so probably about an average game. He won't always use it quite that well but he is a good decision maker. I dare say this was the kind of game that sways no one, you either already thought 95+ was possible and were into him or you didn't and weren't, I think he basically can be argued either way you want. Like the others, he'll lose a few rotations to Walsh but he's also their only mid who really works defensively well so that definitely helps the cause there. Thought it was a tick if you are considering.
Saad - Was back to his best after hobbling around everywhere last year, try and steal him in your draft leagues! Too many guys down back to hit 98 again, imo, but a solid ~90 is definitely in play for a guy who doesn't miss many games.
LOB - If only he was 70k cheaper he'd be really intriguing. Role backed up and he was solid, although I imagine the ratio hurts as he had a few howlers but that's a strong role.
McDonald - It felt like he had a lot more of the ball than his DT score, was really good. Interesting choice if they play McGovern as a small or 3rd tall because I thought both McDonald and Young did great jobs to put their hand up for a game and obviously Weitering is a lock. I still think he's a bigtime last resort rookie pick but he's viable and should at least be on peoples lists.
Williams - Played a pretty defensive role, think he's underpriced but not got the ceiling with so many others.
Boyd - I liked his game a lot, thought he was a real goer out there. Williamson up forward is a pretty decent sign and he's the type you could throw in other positions I imagine and get effort and pressure at the least. I definitely might be missing someone but there's no name coming to me that he's obviously worse than that's not playing right now. Definitely would be fringe best 22 at best though, like McDonald, hopefully he's not needed but worth watchlisting as he's a chance to be there at least.
Durdin - Exceptional first quarter and then not much else. Sums up the role, I heard he's probably ok but definitely a concern. Did enough I think to get a spot come round one, like Boyd I'm not seeing the obvious name he's played ahead of the last two games so seems it's his spot to lose. If he was 100k, I'd be very high but at 145k he's the third Blues rookie in this list that I'm putting on the watchlist and hoping not to pick!
General - Good contest, both teams went reasonably hard, not a lot of experimentation going on, felt like two sides playing about 18/22 best 22 guys going at it. Reckon we got some pretty good indicators from it. Did feel like the umpires were shaking off rust more than the players and almost feels like the new HtB rules are just making it even more confusing, apparently as long as you drop it you're still good?
Blues - Held on for a good win after a hot start and big fade out but they did a much better job slowing momentum than they have historically, big takeaway was the midfield dominance against an elite midfield that wasn't exactly loafing it out there.
Please note I've not seen SC scores so going down the list of DT scores with my thoughts on their games.
Cripps - Was immense, did fade ever so slightly to my eye, no idea if the stats support that or not, the goals are not going to be common but the more he plays midfield and the less he's forward the more he will kick because he can work mismatches much better. He looks in good shape and I was happy he played out the game as that was something I wanted to see. He's bloody tempting, the durability is a mess and should be expected to be a problem but, honestly, he's a better pick than Taranto was last year at the same price and he not only held together but was even a feature in the winning side. I mean everyone on here basically has been torched by him, time for some payback? It's just hard to ignore two very strong games in the preseason.
Kennedy - Massive game from him, perhaps the biggest standout was that for almost the first time in his career he found a way to use his size when resting forward and was able to impact the contest, that's the difference between being an 80s guy entirely dependent on midfield minutes and pushing towards the 100 range. Pity he's not a forward this year as he'd be an interesting play. The obvious guy to lose minutes to Walsh when he's back as the 4th mid for them today but definitely did enough to demand solid rotations still and would think that it would be an even spread of who Walsh bumps from.
Fisher - Scored better than I expected having watched it but he was very handy. Good role but reckon he's the first to lose those midfield rotations to Walsh. Not cheap enough to be relevant I don't think but wouldn't be shocked if finds the 80s this year.
Cerra - Another really solid game, they'd certainly rather he kicks it more but just played really well. Think he's firmly locked in as their 3rd best mid though will lose a few rotations to Walsh like everyone below him will. Rate him very highly but I think the price is just too awkward and too many stronger options.
Newman - Standard for him, will have good games, did look to be the primary rebounder.
McGovern - He played too well as someone who's had him in for a couple of weeks . Role is golden and at his price the durability kind of goes out the window, if he stays fit he's going to make 150k more likely than not. HB and that relatively bruise free role is a good one for durability also. Imagine he's going to be in a lot of sides. Took a few kick-ins as well for an added bonus. What I liked is that he got involved on the rebound rather than relying entirely on his own intercept play to get the pill. Is a strong kick as well so that's good. Outside the woeful durability, it's a similar role to Ridley a couple of years ago and I'd say that's your absolute best case scenario and the likely outcome is somewhere in the Doedee range (~85), durability can't just be thrown out though unfortunately! Plowman forward and only for a half seems to lock the role in, never really understood what they saw in Plowman as a defender but seems Voss agrees there at least.
Hewett - Similar to Kennedy/Cerra, he played great, felt like it should be a pretty strong ratio as he won a lot of clean contested first possessions and used the ball very well, basically stock standard stuff that he does. Interesting to see no marks and just two tackles, that's where he can put the cherry on top of a game like this. For mine this is an above average game on possessions but significantly below average on those two areas, so probably about an average game. He won't always use it quite that well but he is a good decision maker. I dare say this was the kind of game that sways no one, you either already thought 95+ was possible and were into him or you didn't and weren't, I think he basically can be argued either way you want. Like the others, he'll lose a few rotations to Walsh but he's also their only mid who really works defensively well so that definitely helps the cause there. Thought it was a tick if you are considering.
Saad - Was back to his best after hobbling around everywhere last year, try and steal him in your draft leagues! Too many guys down back to hit 98 again, imo, but a solid ~90 is definitely in play for a guy who doesn't miss many games.
LOB - If only he was 70k cheaper he'd be really intriguing. Role backed up and he was solid, although I imagine the ratio hurts as he had a few howlers but that's a strong role.
McDonald - It felt like he had a lot more of the ball than his DT score, was really good. Interesting choice if they play McGovern as a small or 3rd tall because I thought both McDonald and Young did great jobs to put their hand up for a game and obviously Weitering is a lock. I still think he's a bigtime last resort rookie pick but he's viable and should at least be on peoples lists.
Williams - Played a pretty defensive role, think he's underpriced but not got the ceiling with so many others.
Boyd - I liked his game a lot, thought he was a real goer out there. Williamson up forward is a pretty decent sign and he's the type you could throw in other positions I imagine and get effort and pressure at the least. I definitely might be missing someone but there's no name coming to me that he's obviously worse than that's not playing right now. Definitely would be fringe best 22 at best though, like McDonald, hopefully he's not needed but worth watchlisting as he's a chance to be there at least.
Durdin - Exceptional first quarter and then not much else. Sums up the role, I heard he's probably ok but definitely a concern. Did enough I think to get a spot come round one, like Boyd I'm not seeing the obvious name he's played ahead of the last two games so seems it's his spot to lose. If he was 100k, I'd be very high but at 145k he's the third Blues rookie in this list that I'm putting on the watchlist and hoping not to pick!