Yep, @kennychao with the winner and everyone else blanking.
Competitions 2024 Spring Horse Racing Championships
- Thread starter Ironhawk
- Start date
A countback win to kennychao is my guess.
As foreshadowed earlier, a score of 1.3-1.5/race is what is needed to be competitive.
It's definitely not about picking winners, unless you can find one outside the top 3 in the betting, as kenny did with his Capt pick!
It's more about finding those 2 - 5 point scorers in the placings.
Only 7 winners tipped from 50 tries. It was a very tough day on paper, and so it proved to be!!!
I'll call it a tie. Picking the major race winner and tipping 6/10 place getters from non-favourites are both worthy achievements.
Thanks for the table updates, I must admit I was a bit distracted with the footy today to do much updating. Your scores seem to match mine which is a good sign.
I'll have a better think on the best way to balance the points to make things a bit more even in picking any horse, however your numbers do seem to have been pretty spot on. I might run with that for next week.
Hopefully we can get a few more entrants next week for the full competition. One or two good picks can really change things dramatically, and it gives everyone a shot, as seen today. I like that.
Thanks for the table updates, I must admit I was a bit distracted with the footy today to do much updating. Your scores seem to match mine which is a good sign.
I'll have a better think on the best way to balance the points to make things a bit more even in picking any horse, however your numbers do seem to have been pretty spot on. I might run with that for next week.
Hopefully we can get a few more entrants next week for the full competition. One or two good picks can really change things dramatically, and it gives everyone a shot, as seen today. I like that.
Apologies for the delays, had a busier Friday than usual. In future, I think I'll generally be posting the lists on Friday nights after work (for Saturday events), but sometimes it might be on a Thursday night - you'll have at least most of the Friday night and Saturday morning to review the official points on offer, although you can always look it up yourself if you want to enter early and still have a fairly good idea of what they will be.
I have decided to implement the slightly modified scoring method that Rowsus suggested last week and start scores at 3 rather than 1. I'm hoping this doesn't now swing things too much towards just picking favourites, but I think it should work out OK.
Races for Turnbull Stakes Day (Flemington):
R1: HQ Tavern
R2: Darley Maribyrnong Trial Stakes
R3: ABC Bullion Super Impose Stakes
R4: TAB Edward Manifold Stakes
R5: World Pool Danehill Stakes
R6: Furphy Rose Of Kingston Stakes
R7: The Lexus Bart Cummings
R8: TAB Turnbull Stakes - DOUBLE POINTS
R9: Gilgai Stakes
R10: World Pool Paris Lane Stakes
Good luck everyone. Scores from tomorrow's races will count towards the overall title, no more practice events!
I have decided to implement the slightly modified scoring method that Rowsus suggested last week and start scores at 3 rather than 1. I'm hoping this doesn't now swing things too much towards just picking favourites, but I think it should work out OK.
Races for Turnbull Stakes Day (Flemington):
R1: HQ Tavern
R2: Darley Maribyrnong Trial Stakes
R3: ABC Bullion Super Impose Stakes
R4: TAB Edward Manifold Stakes
R5: World Pool Danehill Stakes
R6: Furphy Rose Of Kingston Stakes
R7: The Lexus Bart Cummings
R8: TAB Turnbull Stakes - DOUBLE POINTS
R9: Gilgai Stakes
R10: World Pool Paris Lane Stakes
Good luck everyone. Scores from tomorrow's races will count towards the overall title, no more practice events!
Interesting spread of selections so far.
I decided that I will participate as well, and that I'll always make my selections before checking who anybody else has picked. I am rubbish at tipping, so the fact only one of my selections has been chosen by anybody else so far is probably a good sign for those that have entered.
I decided that I will participate as well, and that I'll always make my selections before checking who anybody else has picked. I am rubbish at tipping, so the fact only one of my selections has been chosen by anybody else so far is probably a good sign for those that have entered.
Good pick up with those horses. There was only one selected so far who raced tonight (@tso you may want to note this).
As for the captaincy pick, I am not too fussed how it works. I think I prefer having the feature race as being worth double points, as it's often one of the hardest races to pick and rewarding it accordingly, but if there's a preference for people to choose their own captain instead from any race, I can change to that for next weekend.
As for the captaincy pick, I am not too fussed how it works. I think I prefer having the feature race as being worth double points, as it's often one of the hardest races to pick and rewarding it accordingly, but if there's a preference for people to choose their own captain instead from any race, I can change to that for next weekend.
You'd generally hope/expect, that the favs have 3 - 4 races where they are projected to be the top scorer in the race.
Currently the favs have: 4 x projected top scores, 2 x 3rd top, 1 x 4th top, 2 x 5th top, 1 x 8th top, so picking the 10 favs, while probably "safe" and competitive, is likely to leave you 3-5 points behind the best score most weeks.
The 10 favs are projected to score 17 this week. That fits in line with my prediction, that lifting the starting point from 1 point to 3 would lift the required score/race to be competitive from 1.3-1.5 up to around 1.8/race. It also makes most of the favs open for consideration, where as last week, there was probably only 3 or 4 you could seriously consider.
Currently the favs have: 4 x projected top scores, 2 x 3rd top, 1 x 4th top, 2 x 5th top, 1 x 8th top, so picking the 10 favs, while probably "safe" and competitive, is likely to leave you 3-5 points behind the best score most weeks.
The 10 favs are projected to score 17 this week. That fits in line with my prediction, that lifting the starting point from 1 point to 3 would lift the required score/race to be competitive from 1.3-1.5 up to around 1.8/race. It also makes most of the favs open for consideration, where as last week, there was probably only 3 or 4 you could seriously consider.
A couple off to a good start with the Race 1 win. I'll edit the rest in before Race 2.
Race 1
1st (9) Electric Impulse: KLo30, Beg2Differ
3rd (2.5) Anilla: Ironhawk
Suparazi: toxic
Boldinho: tso, kennychao
William Thomas: Professor
My Yankee Girl: Rowsus
Bews: THCLT
Race 2
1st (5) Bodyguard: Ironhawk, Rowsus
Wolfgang: toxic, Professor, kennychao, KLo30
Centre Square: tso, Beg2Differ
Blue Illusion: THCLT
Race 3
Sunsets: Ironhawk
Apulia: toxic, KLo30, Rowsus
Kosgei: tso, Beg2Differ
Mickio: Professor
Riproar: kennychao
3rd (4) Fistsoffury: THCLT
Race 4
Basilinna: Ironhawk, Beg2Differ
Coco Sun: toxic
De Sonic Boom: tso, kennychao
Subrising: Professor, THCLT
Poifect: KLo30
Nodachi: Rowsus
Race 5
2nd (1.5) I Am Unstoppable: Ironhawk, THCLT
1st (5) Stretan Angel: toxic, KLo30
Libertad: tso, Rowsus
3rd (4) Don Corleone: Professor
Archo Nacho: kennychao
Honor Galore: Beg2Differ
Race 6
Skew Wiff: Ironhawk, toxic, KLo30
2nd (1.5) Princess Grace: tso, Rowsus, Beg2Differ, THCLT
Climbing Star: Professor
1st (4) Life Lessons: kennychao
Race 7
3rd (3) Serpentine: Ironhawk
Sheraz: toxic
Shaiyhar: tso
High Emocean: Professor
Athabascan: kennychao, THCLT
2nd (1.5) First Immortal: KLo30
Alaskan God: Rowsus
1st (8) Future History: Beg2Differ
Race 8
Right You Are: Ironhawk
2nd (6) West Wind Blows: toxic, tso, THCLT
Osipenko: Professor, KLo30
3rd (4) Soulcombe: kennychao
Romantic Warrior: Rowsus
1st (14) Gold Trip: Beg2Differ
Race 9
1st (3) Star Patrol: Ironhawk
3rd (2) C'est Magique: toxic, THCLT
Showmanship: tso
Cause For Concern: Professor, Beg2Differ
Jigsaw: kennychao
2nd (3) Triple Missile: KLo30, Rowsus
Race 10
Von Hauke: Ironhawk, KLo30, Beg2Differ
Minsk Moment: toxic
2nd (3) Just Folk: tso, Professor
3rd (2) Umgawa: kennychao
The Fortune Teller: Rowsus
1st (3) Tamerlane: THCLT
Points:
Beg2Differ: 32.5
KLo30: 18.5
THCLT: 18
Ironhawk: 15
toxic: 13
tso: 10.5
kennychao: 10
Rowsus: 9.5
Professor: 7
Race 1
1st (9) Electric Impulse: KLo30, Beg2Differ
3rd (2.5) Anilla: Ironhawk
Suparazi: toxic
Boldinho: tso, kennychao
William Thomas: Professor
My Yankee Girl: Rowsus
Bews: THCLT
Race 2
1st (5) Bodyguard: Ironhawk, Rowsus
Wolfgang: toxic, Professor, kennychao, KLo30
Centre Square: tso, Beg2Differ
Blue Illusion: THCLT
Race 3
Sunsets: Ironhawk
Apulia: toxic, KLo30, Rowsus
Kosgei: tso, Beg2Differ
Mickio: Professor
Riproar: kennychao
3rd (4) Fistsoffury: THCLT
Race 4
Basilinna: Ironhawk, Beg2Differ
Coco Sun: toxic
De Sonic Boom: tso, kennychao
Subrising: Professor, THCLT
Poifect: KLo30
Nodachi: Rowsus
Race 5
2nd (1.5) I Am Unstoppable: Ironhawk, THCLT
1st (5) Stretan Angel: toxic, KLo30
Libertad: tso, Rowsus
3rd (4) Don Corleone: Professor
Archo Nacho: kennychao
Honor Galore: Beg2Differ
Race 6
Skew Wiff: Ironhawk, toxic, KLo30
2nd (1.5) Princess Grace: tso, Rowsus, Beg2Differ, THCLT
Climbing Star: Professor
1st (4) Life Lessons: kennychao
Race 7
3rd (3) Serpentine: Ironhawk
Sheraz: toxic
Shaiyhar: tso
High Emocean: Professor
Athabascan: kennychao, THCLT
2nd (1.5) First Immortal: KLo30
Alaskan God: Rowsus
1st (8) Future History: Beg2Differ
Race 8
Right You Are: Ironhawk
2nd (6) West Wind Blows: toxic, tso, THCLT
Osipenko: Professor, KLo30
3rd (4) Soulcombe: kennychao
Romantic Warrior: Rowsus
1st (14) Gold Trip: Beg2Differ
Race 9
1st (3) Star Patrol: Ironhawk
3rd (2) C'est Magique: toxic, THCLT
Showmanship: tso
Cause For Concern: Professor, Beg2Differ
Jigsaw: kennychao
2nd (3) Triple Missile: KLo30, Rowsus
Race 10
Von Hauke: Ironhawk, KLo30, Beg2Differ
Minsk Moment: toxic
2nd (3) Just Folk: tso, Professor
3rd (2) Umgawa: kennychao
The Fortune Teller: Rowsus
1st (3) Tamerlane: THCLT
Points:
Beg2Differ: 32.5
KLo30: 18.5
THCLT: 18
Ironhawk: 15
toxic: 13
tso: 10.5
kennychao: 10
Rowsus: 9.5
Professor: 7
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