Discussion The Round 0 Knee Jerk

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The other thing to consider with Heeney that may also affect his scoring even when playing forward is there is no more Buddy. I can see the ball being kicked a lot more in Heeney’s direction as there other forwards don’t exactly scream kick it to me like Buddy did.
 
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Rejigged the side as mentioned two nights ago to maximise points on field over rookie dollar making.

I brought Grundy back in (who'll no doubt put his cue in the rack), but had to downgrade a strong mid to Nick Martin.

Harmes & Fyfe had to go for Luke Jackson at F1 and I like what I've been able to do. Lost a gun mid, but feel stronger across the field points wise.
 
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I mean this is SCS. If there's one rule it's that we must chase last week's points at all times.

Regarding the rookies this week, especially the Sydney and Collingwood ones. Do we feel that the fact that their price increases will come a week earlier might be a positive for our teams. Roberts could make enough by his bye to bring forward upgrade season by a week?
I think it Roberts scores bulk to get the price rise you probably want to hold him through the bye as he’ll have negative breakevens potentially.
 
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No changes after last night's game.

Trying to avoid players from both sides except rookies as already have a couple of double bye players from the Swans. Passing on Williams, three midpricers in my team is enough risk and even with 40 trades I'll be in a mess if all the others don't work out. If his body holds together he'll score ok though from watching last night. Will likely pick up Dunkley after his bye, maybe even a touch cheaper. Don't like the look of Neale, he's avoiding tackling, presumably due to injury.

Good game of footy, much better than the night before.
 
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Is it a knee jerk reaction to take Fyfe back out of my side when I wasn't that keen on having him in the first place?
Both rage and common sense trades are guilt free for another five days or so.
This might be considered the latter, depending on how many other injury prone but potentially high scoring players you have.
 

Philzsay

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My knee-jerk at the moment is dropping Gawn, and moving Luke Jackson to the ruck instead of forward. I'll eventually move Jackson to the forward line, so effectively playing just 1 ruck and buying time to see who I will go with in there.
 
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Super surprised at some of the knee jerking to bring in Lyons. Massive sub risk and has a bye before his price changes anyway. If he scores well in R1 and is not the sub in R3 I could understand the narrative but to take him going into R1 is crazy!
 
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I reckon Kelly will come out and firing and if I was taking a GWS player in my opening team it would be Kelly. I think he'll be the beneficiary from their soft early draw.
Big concerns for him given his role last year, I don't really see why they'd change it given how close to a GF they got in the end. Maybe they change it up and he does go back inside this year, especially with Callaghan out for a bit.

Love him as a player but with his durability, his bye and his role under Kingsley last year, I'd need to see something very different this afternoon.

He's got value though.

Touk Miller is the one I need to see. Him and Steele could be as cheap as they'll ever be this season and both are capable to bi in the top 8 mids for the season.
Both in my current side, not actually sure what I want to see from Touk, probably prefer an 80 with a great role than a 130 with slight role concerns.

I think at this point that his role is the only thing that would move him out of my side (obviously injury also).

Jayden Short at 3%

Just want to see him cruise around & nudge 100 without going too big & blowing his lovely pod status out of the water.
Will be watching. He feels like that safe bet for a guy to average in the 95-105 range. Ultimately though I think the bye factor kills him as I just don't see the 110 scoring to sustain the bye. He's the kind of safe player I'll be looking at post bye if he's cheap though.
 

Rowsus

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Outs: Stewart, Jordon, Voss
In: Heeney, Newcombe, Phillips

Total changes:
Stewart ---> Howes
Jordon ---> Newcombe
Voss ---> Heeney

I just think Stewart is priced to his max, even though he has increased his SC ave every season. He only gets two of his first 8 games at GMHBA, where he traditionally scores better. Add in he's nearly 32, and I think at $635,300 he's not going to hurt me too much (those words likely to comeback and haunt me!).
Didn't really want to chop Jordon. I think he can make $180k, but against that Newcombe is only 22, and coming into his 3rd full season (4th season overall) in the system. He has a big ceiling, and is on an upward trend. I guess Stewart technically is too, but he's 10 years older.
It really comes down to keeping Fisher or Jordon. Fisher a 10-15% chance of being a Keeper, but more likely to not be, and imo makes less money than Jordon. Will think closely on Fisher back to Jordon.
Out: Fisher, Parish - hamstring concerns reported in injury thread.
In: Green, Jordon

Total changes:
Stewart ---> Howes
Fisher ---> Newcombe
Voss ---> Heeney
Parish ---> Green
 
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My knee-jerk at the moment is dropping Gawn, and moving Luke Jackson to the ruck instead of forward. I'll eventually move Jackson to the forward line, so effectively playing just 1 ruck and buying time to see who I will go with in there.
I really don't love this move. Ignoring the Gawn aspect, who I'm big on fwiw, I just feel like you're taking the best forward prospect so that you can pick a forward over a ruck, essentially, and given English/Marshall at the top (far, far better picks than any forward) or Xerri/Grundy (far better value than any comparable forward) are all in the rucks it feels like a wasted opportunity.

As well as the factor that Jackson as a forward provides incredible cover to Gawn/Grundy through their byes or just if out for a week for whatever reason (cover applies to all rucks really) and it just feels like Jackson at F1.

Really only case for it, imo, is you don't like any of the Gawn, Grundy, English, Xerri or Marshall (or another) group to pick them ahead of the likes of Heeney/Flanders/Macrae?

Maybe I've got a different read but if you asked me to name the position I feel the most certainty with the premiums it would be the rucks. English might actually be the best premium pick available and the only reason he's not at Bont levels of selection is that Gawn and Grundy are so underpriced. Put it this way, if this was the Bolter comp where you have the 4 utilities, I'd be taking English, Marshall, Gawn, Grundy and Xerri in my starting side!
 
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Super surprised at some of the knee jerking to bring in Lyons. Massive sub risk and has a bye before his price changes anyway. If he scores well in R1 and is not the sub in R3 I could understand the narrative but to take him going into R1 is crazy!
He's barely more expensive than the rookies, who all have at least as much sub risk, and he's got proven scoring history of 100+, priced at 45 he only needs a 75 average. He's also proven he's capable of big scores which accelerate cash gains and has a 106 in his rolling average to start with.

As much as we're flooded with trades, can still only make a couple a week and r3 remains a vital round to maximise trades so saving one for him could be very limiting, a couple of injuries and you could miss the best cow there is.

I 100% agree with everything you've said with the sub/job security but I also completely get why people are picking him. I really like McKercher and Reid but they're only priced about 8-10 points cheaper than Lyons and I know if Lyons keeps that role he's going to score 90+.

The biggest problem with Lyons is he plays the very last game next week and you'd be basically locked into keepinig the cash to get Fyfe instead (assuming you don't have) as the only real bailout if he was the sub.

I also think the sub next week is pretty unlikely, I don't like that they play him because he only plays one role and it's at the expense of much better players but he had a really solid game and laying 9 tackles in a game where your team was embarrassingly soft is always a good starting point for another chance next week. Coleman injury also obviously moves them one run down their depth ladder as well.
 
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Big concerns for him given his role last year, I don't really see why they'd change it given how close to a GF they got in the end. Maybe they change it up and he does go back inside this year, especially with Callaghan out for a bit.

Love him as a player but with his durability, his bye and his role under Kingsley last year, I'd need to see something very different this afternoon.

He's got value though.
60K to Green. I can't pick Kelly on that reasoning first and foremost. And then the role you mentioned. It's not inside like it used to be.

I really don't love this move. Ignoring the Gawn aspect, who I'm big on fwiw, I just feel like you're taking the best forward prospect so that you can pick a forward over a ruck, essentially, and given English/Marshall at the top (far, far better picks than any forward) or Xerri/Grundy (far better value than any comparable forward) are all in the rucks it feels like a wasted opportunity.

As well as the factor that Jackson as a forward provides incredible cover to Gawn/Grundy through their byes or just if out for a week for whatever reason (cover applies to all rucks really) and it just feels like Jackson at F1.

Really only case for it, imo, is you don't like any of the Gawn, Grundy, English, Xerri or Marshall (or another) group to pick them ahead of the likes of Heeney/Flanders/Macrae?

Maybe I've got a different read but if you asked me to name the position I feel the most certainty with the premiums it would be the rucks. English might actually be the best premium pick available and the only reason he's not at Bont levels of selection is that Gawn and Grundy are so underpriced. Put it this way, if this was the Bolter comp where you have the 4 utilities, I'd be taking English, Marshall, Gawn, Grundy and Xerri in my starting side!
The landscape has changed on Gawn though. A 70 has been dropped. He now has to hit ~120 to maintain price through round 2. And then the bye in round 6. Just don't think he has as much hurt factor for non-owners as he did prior to his round 0 score.

Depends how many forwards you rate as well. Can easily run Jackson at R1 and be happy with the selections I have.
 
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I think the last couple of times someone questioned Gawn to hit his BE he went 160 and then again questioned a few weeks later went 198
 
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I think the last couple of times someone questioned Gawn to hit his BE he went 160 and then again questioned a few weeks later went 198
My post isn't quoted but I will throw my 2c in.

I'm not questioning his BE. Averages average out though. I'm just questioning how out of control his price can get in the short term with an upcoming bye.
 
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My post isn't quoted but I will throw my 2c in.

I'm not questioning his BE. Averages average out though. I'm just questioning how out of control his price can get in the short term with an upcoming bye.
I agree with you, I'm just wary of Gawn knowing what he's capable of but if he thinks he was worked over around the ground with Grundy, look out next week against English.
 
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