Definitely not disagreeing he could be the best cash generator of the season, I just don’t understand bringing him in before round 1 given all the obvious risks and question marks. You get 1 game, then a bye, then the price rise. A lot can happen in that time so just doesn’t seem worth the risk. It’s an easy correction trade if he looks a must have but most rookies without a bye should outscore him over rounds 1-2 so it’s taking out some depth for minimal early return.
I’m just captaining team “wait and assess going into round 3”.
I actually disagree with this logic for a few reasons.
1. If he's worth having, he's scoring another 90+ type score, that's probably 30 points on an unknown rookie, he's proven himself capable of 130 as well. Could conceivably be 70 points.
2. His price is structural. He's actually not an easy trade unless you plan for him in which case, you may as well start him and get the benefit of point 1.
3. Week 3 trades are precious correction moves, as per point two, he probably involves two of the trades to get done but at best, he's one of your trades. Even assuming no injuries to that point that trade has a lot of value.
4. You can loop with him in week 2, which itself has genuine value and could generate points, picking your best 18 from 23 instead of 22 is a bonus. Most will have Williams so the captaincy side not as relevant but if you don't have Williams, he also adds that. To be fair, I'd be surprised if even with two shots the M9 counts in many best 18s!
I don't disagree that the wait and see approach is possible but I don't think it's the optimum idea.
Playing the last game in round 1 is a genuine nightmare though! I guess could bail into Sharp, if he's there, but pretty limited options outside that but I'd be genuinely surprised if he was the sub this week (things I definitely said about Billings this week for $200 please).