Strategy 2024: Round 4 Trades

BigRuss · 1 Apr 2024

Miller/Rowell the pick of the ins this week on the proviso that you can’t afford Green and youre not leaking too many points from the terrible def rookie situation I reckon.

Definitely can’t trust Howes/Hore on field and Williams even looking a bit shaky at times as well.

What’s the rest of the side look like?

freowho · 1 Apr 2024

Santoz said:

Think I agree. Not ideal but you wouldn't want to go down to another unreliable rookie. Bramble seems solid and could still make $100k. Dogs with the rnd 15 bye is great for a slingshot.

Maccas marvels · 1 Apr 2024

Does anyone have any detail on the mix of ruck/ fwd play for Sam Darcy over the 2 rounds he has played?
would love him to get DPP for round 6 if we pick him up next week….

Leroy · 1 Apr 2024

BigRuss said:

Thanks for the thoughts.

Yeah D6 is the worry. 3 prems + Massimo and Williams + Hore/Howes/Pink rotating for the last on field slot.

Jordon to Darcy buys me Howes to... Young/Clark/NWM type? Locks in one of those as D6 which is maybe not a bad move.

That said, it's only Round 4 which the D6 score will likely count (best 18 in R5 and R6) and after that we can all put McKercher there.

So maybe the best value premo on offer is the way to go, in which case I lean to Touk.

Mids are Butters, Serong, Rozee, Green; Roberts, Sanders, McKercher, Carroll; Wilson, Reid, Clark on the bench (next round anyway).

Forwards are Jackson, Heeney, Flanders, Jordon then a mess: T Berry, Sexton, Campbell and Dempsey.

I'd happily pay $550k for a top forward if there was someone who looked like a lock for a 100+ average but I'm not seeing it?

Miller is a Steele · 1 Apr 2024

Wait and see how Clark fares today but at this point in time I have 3 main concerns.

Coffield, Billings, and Libba. Don’t want to boost so will have to decide which two go.

Coffield obviously needs to go eventually. Draper and Brown are the two replacement options this week. Like Brown more, but it’s tougher when the price factor is considered. Could wait for Worner although not sure of his JS when Chapman returns. Otherwise Sexton, Roberts, and McKercher can all fill that bench spot from round 7.

Billings was a failure of a trade. Should hold price and has a good matchup in my opinion this week against Adelaide. Not a must trade by any stretch. He’s the route to Darcy though if I want him, but I’m not sure how’s he’s going to go after that first price rise. He was the lowest scorer for the Dogs yesterday (bar Poulter who was sub) and Lobb dominated in the VFL with 5 goals, 20 hitouts, and 15 disposals. The week before he got 4 goals, 24 hitouts, and 13 disposals. I think the Dogs should persist with Darcy but I don’t trust Bevo at all.

Libba is now a real concern. Faintly considered moving him on for Butters last week. This week he got subbed out at 3QT and felt a bit “ginger”. This is not a good sign so early into the season for someone above the age of 30. He also only had 47% CBAs (likely would’ve been around 60-65% if he wasn’t subbed). He’s shown in the past that CBAs are vital if he is to score well. Could be a good opportunity to jump on a Steele or Miller while there is still value to be had.

Bay11 · 1 Apr 2024

Any lions fan able to give me confidence that Zorko has the half back locked for the foreseeable future. Looking at him as a POD to Flanders plus don’t think I’ll have quite enough to go Billings to Flanders but should have enough for Zorko I think

freowho · 1 Apr 2024

Leroy said:

Thanks for the thoughts.

Yeah D6 is the worry. 3 prems + Massimo and Williams + Hore/Howes/Pink rotating for the last on field slot.

Jordon to Darcy buys me Howes to... Young/Clark/NWM type? Locks in one of those as D6 which is maybe not a bad move.

That said, it's only Round 4 which the D6 score will likely count (best 18 in R5 and R6) and after that we can all put McKercher there.

So maybe the best value premo on offer is the way to go, in which case I lean to Touk.

Mids are Butters, Serong, Rozee, Green; Roberts, Sanders, McKercher, Carroll; Wilson, Reid, Clark on the bench (next round anyway).

Forwards are Jackson, Heeney, Flanders, Jordon then a mess: T Berry, Sexton, Campbell and Dempsey.

I'd happily pay $550k for a top forward if there was someone who looked like a lock for a 100+ average but I'm not seeing it?

What about $375k for a 95 average?

Leroy · 1 Apr 2024

freowho said:

Powell?
Yeah, 95 would be enough for a top forward.

He's rocking along at 80% DE and the spike was from two goals. I can't honestly decide if he looks like the real deal or if he'll just slide back to delivering 85-90 average, in which case... meh?

Blue Bloods · 1 Apr 2024

Miller is a Steele said:

Wait and see how Clark fares today but at this point in time I have 3 main concerns.

Coffield, Billings, and Libba. Don’t want to boost so will have to decide which two go.

Coffield obviously needs to go eventually. Draper and Brown are the two replacement options this week. Like Brown more, but it’s tougher when the price factor is considered. Could wait for Worner although not sure of his JS when Chapman returns. Otherwise Sexton, Roberts, and McKercher can all fill that bench spot from round 7.

Billings was a failure of a trade. Should hold price and has a good matchup in my opinion this week against Adelaide. Not a must trade by any stretch. He’s the route to Darcy though if I want him, but I’m not sure how’s he’s going to go after that first price rise. He was the lowest scorer for the Dogs yesterday (bar Poulter who was sub) and Lobb dominated in the VFL with 5 goals, 20 hitouts, and 15 disposals. The week before he got 4 goals, 24 hitouts, and 13 disposals. I think the Dogs should persist with Darcy but I don’t trust Bevo at all.

Libba is now a real concern. Faintly considered moving him on for Butters last week. This week he got subbed out at 3QT and felt a bit “ginger”. This is not a good sign so early into the season for someone above the age of 30. He also only had 47% CBAs (likely would’ve been around 60-65% if he wasn’t subbed). He’s shown in the past that CBAs are vital if he is to score well. Could be a good opportunity to jump on a Steele or Miller while there is still value to be had.

With your name you need to bring in Miller or Steele surely. I have both if had to pick one probably Miller.

Miller is a Steele · 1 Apr 2024

Blue Bloods said:

Haha. My name was created one year when I thought Touk Miller was a bargain and named myself Miller is a Steele (as in steal). Not very imaginative am I!