Discussion BBL|14: Preseason Discussion | OPEN!

Status
Not open for further replies.

Darkie

Leadership Group
Joined
12 Apr 2014
Messages
26,012
Likes
67,368
AFL Club
Collingwood
Without getting too caught up in what unfolded in the trial game; I instantly wanted to switch Sutherland to Khan (batting higher, bowling more?), and JFM to Brown. What do we reckon?
Also, could you just go JFM to Khan?
 
Joined
22 Dec 2023
Messages
92
Likes
251
AFL Club
Geelong
If you think you have significant new information about role, I think it’s fine.

I’d be reluctant to do it based on your new assessment of form, unless it has changed dramatically … eg a batsman not being able to hit it off the square, and then coming out and smoking it from ball one.

A single delivery can change a batsman’s score, or how much a particular bowler bowls in a given game, pretty dramatically … it might be as little as a catch dropped or taken. I’d be wary of overreacting if it is potentially down to a small margin like that.
Yeah that's fair enough - with Sutherland it's more about his role. If Khan bats higher with more overs, aswell as being cheaper bit more appealing. With Brown vs JFM sort of a gut pick and is almost 50/50 what would you reckon?
 
Joined
22 Dec 2023
Messages
92
Likes
251
AFL Club
Geelong
Also, could you just go JFM to Khan?
I could. But I think having Sutherland could end badly - if he's not bowling, and batting low, looking at his scores from last year he had multiple games under 30 and just two huge games that bring up his average, which of course included him bowling. So when you take away his bowling, and compound that with Khan above him now I fear he might become redundant fantasy wise?
 
Joined
11 Dec 2019
Messages
2,297
Likes
10,849
AFL Club
Gold Coast
Is 150k too much to take into round 1? Just can’t see where I’d spend it. Allows me to get Short round 2 if he looks a must, or just spend it on 3 fix up trades into Perth/Adelaide guns, or even prep for round 3
Currently I have about that, and not sure how I feel about it.

It does give me flexibility to adapt through round 1, take advantage of the loops and protect against disaster situations (eg. Doran getting named). Also gives me enough cash to get Short fairly easily round 2.
 
Joined
24 Feb 2020
Messages
5,003
Likes
13,595
AFL Club
Collingwood
Sitting on this currently :-

View attachment 81150

Not wanting to overload too much on Stars & Gades players despite them on the double round 1, just picked the ones I like at their prices. Focusing more on high quality overall with an eye on round 2. Short/Overton/Dorff/Richo/Inglis all on the double round 2 & want all of them with their high quality.

Can loop Harper being the first game, Philippe can swing into the keeper spot if required. Salzmann handy being DP & allows McKenzie & Richo to be looped round 1.
I like it. Any news if Sutherland rolled the arm over today.?

Edit bowled 2.
 
Last edited:
Joined
20 Dec 2016
Messages
11,121
Likes
54,520
AFL Club
Carlton
Without getting too caught up in what unfolded in the trial game; I instantly wanted to switch Sutherland to Khan (batting higher, bowling more?), and JFM to Brown. What do we reckon?
I've been leaning towards Brown ahead of JFM all preseason honestly. Won't take much for JFM to get a score but he's struggled recently and I think teams will be hot on trying to stop him. Brown could go a little under the radar in comparison. The Marvel factor isn't in play either as they don't play there round 1 (although Geelong is arguably worse!)

As for Sutherland, I just don't know... I'm basically hoping Curran VC comes off because if he doesn't I view Sutherland as the obvious captain. If I already have a captain score, I'd be more inclined to take him on.
 
Joined
15 Jan 2014
Messages
681
Likes
3,543
AFL Club
Essendon
Few Scorchers notes.

Cooper Connolly Coming in at first drop, Connolly batted on the centre wicket for more than an hour, turning a sketchy start into a brisk display of power.

He hit multiple large sixes over the leg side, reminiscent of his final-winning knock in BBL12, against the quicks and climbed into spinner Matthew Spoors and Corey Rocchiccioli, who was called in to help at training.

After the impressive display with the willow, he Connolly pushed his case further, bowling without pain in a few tidy overs.

Scorchers fans would also have been excited to see imports Finn Allen and Keaton Jennings combining at the top of the order for a few fireworks.
Allen, a New Zealander, smoked his second ball for six over long-on against Jason Behrendorff and showed off his creativity with ramps against Jhye Richardson, who was on fire himself with multiple wickets.

Finn Allen smashed long bombs.
He went even bigger in his second dig as the biting sun set, crashing a ball well onto the roof of the player’s pavilion.
Richardson made Jenning’s first knock a brief one, getting him caught at square leg with a short ball.

Matt Kelly also looked to firm his chances of playing on Sunday, used as a first-change bowler behind Behrendorff and Richardson.
Lance Morris didn’t bowl but isn’t carrying injury concerns.

Nick Hobson blew out some cobwebs before Andrew Tye showed he still has it to knock back Turner’s off stump.

Big Bash League: Cooper Connolly firming to play Perth Scorcher’s opener after hand fracture | The West Australian
 

Darkie

Leadership Group
Joined
12 Apr 2014
Messages
26,012
Likes
67,368
AFL Club
Collingwood
I could. But I think having Sutherland could end badly - if he's not bowling, and batting low, looking at his scores from last year he had multiple games under 30 and just two huge games that bring up his average, which of course included him bowling. So when you take away his bowling, and compound that with Khan above him now I fear he might become redundant fantasy wise?
I think it’s a valid concern, but there may be a few o***ets:

- Both are quite cheap for proper all rounders (if that’s what they prove to be) - arguably there ks some buffer there

- Sutherland is working his way back to fitness after injury, so him bowling at all is arguably positive, rather than not bowling his full complement being a negative necessarily.

- From memory Sutherland floated in the order last season, sliding up and down based on circumstance. I would say he clearly came in too late on some occasions, but they have a new coach and a new captain (Sutherland himself), so I would expect them to be more rational going forward. At a minimum I’m not inclined to read the batting order in one Renegades game as being the plan for each game going forward.

- It was a practice game. I could see a scenario where getting overs and time in the middle into a player who (I assume) hasn’t played much, if at all, in Australia, would be a priority over giving game time to your recovering skipper.

I probably need to think further about today’s game, but went Sutherland to Khan a few days back, and am now thinking I should find a spot for Sutherland as well.
 

Darkie

Leadership Group
Joined
12 Apr 2014
Messages
26,012
Likes
67,368
AFL Club
Collingwood
Yeah that's fair enough - with Sutherland it's more about his role. If Khan bats higher with more overs, aswell as being cheaper bit more appealing. With Brown vs JFM sort of a gut pick and is almost 50/50 what would you reckon?
I think changing your mind on a 50-50 pick based on new information is fine - arguably it almost doesn’t matter, if it was a genuine 50-50 before the new information arrived (ie it didn’t matter either way before the info, so it can only improve with greater info).

If you were dropping an established player you had really liked based on a single low score, despite them maintaining a good role, I think that would be quite different.

If you could explain your previous thinking, and why it has changed, to another person and it would seem reasonable to them, I think that’s usually a good guide/check that it’s a reasonable change to make.
 
Joined
6 Dec 2022
Messages
430
Likes
2,185
AFL Club
Gold Coast
Just stumbled on a South v North grade t20 played today at the WACA which included quite a few relevant players as well as a couple that have played a bit of first class recently and may end up as local replacement players.

North 8-136
Jayden Goodwin 28 (26), batted 3
Keaton Critchell 2 (6), 1/2 from 1, batted 5
Matthew Spoors 29 (16) & 0/22 from 2.1, batted 7
Corey Rocchiccioli 9 (15) & 0/28 from 3, batted 8

South 1-137
Sam Fanning 63 (41), opened
Joel Curtis DNB
Baxter Holt DNB
Teague Wyllie DNB
Bryce Jackson 2/21 from 4, DNB
Mahli Beardman 1/35 from 3, DNB

I watched most of the game if anyone's got any questions, North was made up of all the clubs North of the Swan River and same for South.
 
Joined
22 Dec 2023
Messages
92
Likes
251
AFL Club
Geelong
I think changing your mind on a 50-50 pick based on new information is fine - arguably it almost doesn’t matter, if it was a genuine 50-50 before the new information arrived (ie it didn’t matter either way before the info, so it can only improve with greater info).

If you were dropping an established player you had really liked based on a single low score, despite them maintaining a good role, I think that would be quite different.

If you could explain your previous thinking, and why it has changed, to another person and it would seem reasonable to them, I think that’s usually a good guide/check that it’s a reasonable change to make.
I know you don't have all the answers - but in your experience, would Sutherland over Brown be worth it? Or do you reckon stick with the gut feeling of Khan x Brown and if Sutherland goes good, bring him in for round 4 double?
 
Joined
8 Jan 2020
Messages
6,382
Likes
26,722
AFL Club
Geelong
I think Harper is too risky so would not include which is what I was suggesting. I'd be open to playing him if he was in 1-4 position and would play two games however he could do that for the first game and then get dropped if Maxy comes back.
Think Kellaway/Merlo are dropped before Harper, unless Webster is released I think hes secure for a while.
 

Darkie

Leadership Group
Joined
12 Apr 2014
Messages
26,012
Likes
67,368
AFL Club
Collingwood
I know you don't have all the answers - but in your experience, would Sutherland over Brown be worth it? Or do you reckon stick with the gut feeling of Khan x Brown and if Sutherland goes good, bring him in for round 4 double?
I’d say it pretty much comes down to expected role for Sutherland. In order, I would say the preferred roles are:

All rounder
Bowler bowling death
Other bowlers
Top order bats / wicket keepers
Middle / lower order bats

So Brown is in the fourth, or second worst, category. Sutherland is either in the first or the last (ie worst). Given he bowled today, I think it’s more likely the first than the worst, and in any case I think the risk is probably skewed in his favour.

With that said, the Renegades have two early doubles, so erring on including all of the Gades you like the look of is not a bad approach. You just want to make sure you don’t end up with a donut on their bye (eg by having too many on one line), and that they’re at price points that allow you the players you want when you trade them out (eg you can’t get Matt Short if you’re only trading out Steketee/Paris types).

It was just a practice match, but it seems the Stars were disappointing. I wouldn’t panic about that, but if you like Brown and want Sutherland, maybe there is a Star who can make way.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top