Shane Mumford of Sydney had a terrific SuperCoach 2011, but a poor SuperCoach 2012. Mumford has a high ceiling but is a SuperCoach risk. It's a matter of risk versus return with Mumford.
Name - Shane Mumford (SYD)
Position - RUC
Price - $486,900
Average - 91.0(14), 112.6(17), 92.6(19), 53.2(18), 21.6(3)
Draw - GWS, GCS, NTH, GEE, STK, BRL, HAW, FRE, COL, ESS, ADE, BYE, PTA
While Nic Naitanui is likely to be unavailable early in the season and since Dean Cox will be the popular pick, I know most people may not consider Shane Mumford in their initial SuperCoach team. Also with Hamish McIntosh moving to Geelong, both McIntosh and his previous teammate Todd Goldstein have also come up in a few teams. However, I think Mumford should be a consideration, even though he is unlikely to be popular with most teams.
It's funny how a year can change most people's view on Mumford. I remember Mumford was very popular at the beginning of SuperCoach 2012 with most teams being uncomfortable about selecting Cox due to his starting price of average 122.2 and with the emergence of Naitanui. People were also concerned about Goldstein and McIntosh stealing each other's points. And with Mumford having a few monster SuperCoach scores in 2011 and with the Swans having GWS in its first game, everyone wanted to jump on Mumford and use the Captain Loophole. Hell, even I selected Mumford in my starting SuperCoach team in 2012.
Obviously, things have changed for 2013 and now Cox, McIntosh and Goldstein are more tempting than Mumford.
REASONS FOR SHANE MUMFORD
The Swans have a few easily early games and so long as Mumford stays on the field and actually has some 'care factor' in his game, he could have a monster start. In 2012, Mumford has a few monster scores of 146, 159, 148, 165 and 170 hence we know Mumford has potential to have those captain-like scores, naturally with the concern of consistency.
I'm not sure what the impact of Sydney Swans winning the grand final in 2012, but note that Mumford almost missed the Flag with his hamstring injury. However, without any evidence, I believe that Mumford will possibly want to pay the Swans back for allowing him to play the grand final.
REASONS AGAINST SHANE MUMFORD
The obviously problem with Mumford is the guy is so injury prone, it's not funny. However, the days of being concerned of having late-outs are over as we now have the rolling lock out and with the extra 6 trades to 30 trades, we can always trade out Mumford. I know it's not an ideal situation, but Mumford's ceiling is quite decent.
Pike's emergence is a bit of a concern too and with Pike's decent grand final game, I think Pike will become a permanent fixture of the Swans. After half way writing this I realised that Kurt Tippett's move to the Swans could also have some impact on Mumford's SuperCoach scores. However, note that Tippett has been banned for the first 11 rounds and at that stage, Mumford may have already played his part in my SuperCoach team.
While it could be arguable that playing GWS and Gold Coast is a positive overall, on the flip-side of having a soft draw it could also have a negative impact. Interestingly, Mumford's previous record against GWS (95/93) and Gold Coast (93) isn't great, they are still solid score. Being the optimist, if Mumford has a decent pre-season, I think he will score more.
Depending on Mumford's pre-season, I am seriously considering Mumford. I'm not sure I can go through with selecting Mumford, but Mumford to Naitanui after a few games from Naitanui? Perhaps have a read of the Pinch Hitter article
Verdict: WATCH(3)
PS: I know most people will vote No or Unlikely, but I like to explore different options not just the popular ones
Name - Shane Mumford (SYD)
Position - RUC
Price - $486,900
Average - 91.0(14), 112.6(17), 92.6(19), 53.2(18), 21.6(3)
Draw - GWS, GCS, NTH, GEE, STK, BRL, HAW, FRE, COL, ESS, ADE, BYE, PTA
While Nic Naitanui is likely to be unavailable early in the season and since Dean Cox will be the popular pick, I know most people may not consider Shane Mumford in their initial SuperCoach team. Also with Hamish McIntosh moving to Geelong, both McIntosh and his previous teammate Todd Goldstein have also come up in a few teams. However, I think Mumford should be a consideration, even though he is unlikely to be popular with most teams.
It's funny how a year can change most people's view on Mumford. I remember Mumford was very popular at the beginning of SuperCoach 2012 with most teams being uncomfortable about selecting Cox due to his starting price of average 122.2 and with the emergence of Naitanui. People were also concerned about Goldstein and McIntosh stealing each other's points. And with Mumford having a few monster SuperCoach scores in 2011 and with the Swans having GWS in its first game, everyone wanted to jump on Mumford and use the Captain Loophole. Hell, even I selected Mumford in my starting SuperCoach team in 2012.
Obviously, things have changed for 2013 and now Cox, McIntosh and Goldstein are more tempting than Mumford.
REASONS FOR SHANE MUMFORD
The Swans have a few easily early games and so long as Mumford stays on the field and actually has some 'care factor' in his game, he could have a monster start. In 2012, Mumford has a few monster scores of 146, 159, 148, 165 and 170 hence we know Mumford has potential to have those captain-like scores, naturally with the concern of consistency.
I'm not sure what the impact of Sydney Swans winning the grand final in 2012, but note that Mumford almost missed the Flag with his hamstring injury. However, without any evidence, I believe that Mumford will possibly want to pay the Swans back for allowing him to play the grand final.
REASONS AGAINST SHANE MUMFORD
The obviously problem with Mumford is the guy is so injury prone, it's not funny. However, the days of being concerned of having late-outs are over as we now have the rolling lock out and with the extra 6 trades to 30 trades, we can always trade out Mumford. I know it's not an ideal situation, but Mumford's ceiling is quite decent.
Pike's emergence is a bit of a concern too and with Pike's decent grand final game, I think Pike will become a permanent fixture of the Swans. After half way writing this I realised that Kurt Tippett's move to the Swans could also have some impact on Mumford's SuperCoach scores. However, note that Tippett has been banned for the first 11 rounds and at that stage, Mumford may have already played his part in my SuperCoach team.
While it could be arguable that playing GWS and Gold Coast is a positive overall, on the flip-side of having a soft draw it could also have a negative impact. Interestingly, Mumford's previous record against GWS (95/93) and Gold Coast (93) isn't great, they are still solid score. Being the optimist, if Mumford has a decent pre-season, I think he will score more.
Depending on Mumford's pre-season, I am seriously considering Mumford. I'm not sure I can go through with selecting Mumford, but Mumford to Naitanui after a few games from Naitanui? Perhaps have a read of the Pinch Hitter article
Verdict: WATCH(3)
PS: I know most people will vote No or Unlikely, but I like to explore different options not just the popular ones
