Opinion Questions For Rowsus
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Aaron Young it is! He is far from locked though.
Well done Blossoms, I didn't think anyone would guess, and I didn't think too many had looked at him seriously. Yes, he has been vested a lot, and continues to be a vest candidate, but not many people would realise exactly how low his TOG% was last season, or how good his SC/100%TOG actually is either!
Well done Blossoms, I didn't think anyone would guess, and I didn't think too many had looked at him seriously. Yes, he has been vested a lot, and continues to be a vest candidate, but not many people would realise exactly how low his TOG% was last season, or how good his SC/100%TOG actually is either!
When I did a search of players b/w $150,000 @ $250,000 his numbers were like 'Hey! Look at me!'. If anyone is 'banging the door down' it's Aaron Young.
I'm not starting Ablett or Rockliff so no probs selecting him. On my short list. No one is locked until we know the Round 1 teams.
I've been worried about picking Dangerfield this preseason based on the fact he tends to get put up forward and different positions and only rotating through the midfield, do you think with crouch going down for 8 weeks he becomes a better option?
Also are Selwood and Fyfe must haves? Really wanting to start jpk this year, but I'm finding it a little hard to separate all these mids! (I have pendles locked and am still undecided on ablett)
Also are Selwood and Fyfe must haves? Really wanting to start jpk this year, but I'm finding it a little hard to separate all these mids! (I have pendles locked and am still undecided on ablett)
I can't see Crouch being out affecting Dangers role too much. It certainly didn't stop Danger playing Fwd a lot when Crouch got injured, and they were one short in the rotation then, they won't be when the real stuff starts.
Now that Ablett is to be considered suspect as a lock for the C/VC job, the only must haves in your starting team is one or both of Pendlebury and Selwood. Anyone else is just gravy, and not "must haves", but "good to haves".
Now that Ablett is to be considered suspect as a lock for the C/VC job, the only must haves in your starting team is one or both of Pendlebury and Selwood. Anyone else is just gravy, and not "must haves", but "good to haves".
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Hi Rowsus,
Love your work, I read your thread almost every day!
A couple of questions for you:
1. I've got room in my team for either Wines or Griffin. I see them both increasing their averages on last year but I can't decide between them. Who do you think will have the higher average of the two? Will either of them be top 10 / keepers or are they eventual m9s?
2. Josh Gibson looks the goods, with Lake and Frawley able to take the key forwards he seems set to roam and intercept/rebound. Can you see him being a top 6 def this year or is it just a NAB cup trick?
3. Harley Bennel & Dane Swan - Love them both but I feel like I'm setting myself up for disappointment with these two. Is taking both too risky? Which one do you see as the "safer" option?
Thanks!
Love your work, I read your thread almost every day!
A couple of questions for you:
1. I've got room in my team for either Wines or Griffin. I see them both increasing their averages on last year but I can't decide between them. Who do you think will have the higher average of the two? Will either of them be top 10 / keepers or are they eventual m9s?
2. Josh Gibson looks the goods, with Lake and Frawley able to take the key forwards he seems set to roam and intercept/rebound. Can you see him being a top 6 def this year or is it just a NAB cup trick?
3. Harley Bennel & Dane Swan - Love them both but I feel like I'm setting myself up for disappointment with these two. Is taking both too risky? Which one do you see as the "safer" option?
Thanks!
Rowsus I am interested in your thoughts on both Caddy and Ziebell now that NAB is finished and there is some exposed form?
I am really stuck on Ziebell as I am a North supporter and I have selected him in previous SC seasons. I have had him locked in my side almost the whole pre season but I am starting to think that I have my NORTH blinkers on.
I am really stuck on Ziebell as I am a North supporter and I have selected him in previous SC seasons. I have had him locked in my side almost the whole pre season but I am starting to think that I have my NORTH blinkers on.
Hey Rowsus, most of the teams I've seen so far look quite the same regarding prem fwds. So I have been searching for that one player that can set me apart. One of the many I'm looking at is Taylor Adams, do you think he can increase his average to 90+? I know his DE% is letting him down and his TOG% is low. But I see some upside in him.
Hey Rowsus,
Thoughts on Malceski (not sure if you've mentioned this before)?
At his hefty price tag, you would be saving 70k by going for Simpson (questions over age)/Brodie Smith (questions over coach), letting you upgrade say an Andrew Swallow to Dangerfield.
His upside is that surely the Gold Coast youngsters will always be looking to give it to him, and he will almost certainly be in top 6 defenders.
Also, do you rate Michael Johnson as a replacement for him?
Cheers
Thoughts on Malceski (not sure if you've mentioned this before)?
At his hefty price tag, you would be saving 70k by going for Simpson (questions over age)/Brodie Smith (questions over coach), letting you upgrade say an Andrew Swallow to Dangerfield.
His upside is that surely the Gold Coast youngsters will always be looking to give it to him, and he will almost certainly be in top 6 defenders.
Also, do you rate Michael Johnson as a replacement for him?
Cheers
Gets like 32 possessions over half of them contested and like 9 clearances only to finish with 90 odd points, this level of possession count normally would equate to 130+scores for a premium mid with average disposals such as JPK. Can you really expect 30+possessions from him week in week out to justify his selection for a f5 or f6?
Hi JJ,
I'm glad you're enjoying reading my sometimes rambling responses.
1) I'm going to fence sit here. Griffen to beat Wines on average, but Wines to play more games, and beat Griffen on aggregates. I think they will be just outside the top 10 on averages, and Griffen might be a bit further behind on aggregates. They should still average enough to be useful on field contributors, but I doubt you can carry a player that expensive through to be M9 at the end of the year anyway. You have to raise a ridiculous amount of cash to carry a $500k player through the season to sit on your bench.
2) Here is what I wrote about Gibson at post #3395 on the 20/2/2015. Nothing has changed my mind since then.
3) I've toyed with both, and had both in and out of my team. Neither are in there right now. I think it is ok to run with either, or both, but have an exit plan! Bennell is a Classic Flat Track Bully. If he doesn't beat up on some of the easy teams he plays early, then bail out. Swan can be easy to decide about too. If he's not covering ground, getting into packs, and just spending too much time up forward, I'd jump off him, too. They're both risky, but Bennell is the bigger risk, partly because of his history, and partly because his price is higher. I wouldn't show patience with Bennell. You should know after 2 games, because they play Melb and StK in their first 2, if you are going to keep him. I'd want around 250 points from those 2 games to keep him, 220 becomes a tough decision, and anything less should ring alarm bells!
I hope it helps.
I'm glad you're enjoying reading my sometimes rambling responses.
1) I'm going to fence sit here. Griffen to beat Wines on average, but Wines to play more games, and beat Griffen on aggregates. I think they will be just outside the top 10 on averages, and Griffen might be a bit further behind on aggregates. They should still average enough to be useful on field contributors, but I doubt you can carry a player that expensive through to be M9 at the end of the year anyway. You have to raise a ridiculous amount of cash to carry a $500k player through the season to sit on your bench.
2) Here is what I wrote about Gibson at post #3395 on the 20/2/2015. Nothing has changed my mind since then.
3) I've toyed with both, and had both in and out of my team. Neither are in there right now. I think it is ok to run with either, or both, but have an exit plan! Bennell is a Classic Flat Track Bully. If he doesn't beat up on some of the easy teams he plays early, then bail out. Swan can be easy to decide about too. If he's not covering ground, getting into packs, and just spending too much time up forward, I'd jump off him, too. They're both risky, but Bennell is the bigger risk, partly because of his history, and partly because his price is higher. I wouldn't show patience with Bennell. You should know after 2 games, because they play Melb and StK in their first 2, if you are going to keep him. I'd want around 250 points from those 2 games to keep him, 220 becomes a tough decision, and anything less should ring alarm bells!
I hope it helps.
Caddy is in that really awkward price area. To my mind, Stepping Stones need to make points and dollars. That means you want him to average 100 to be a good pick, and I think the risk is just too high. Maybe if he was F/M, but as a pure Mid, I have to say "No".
Ziebell is F/M, but a little more expensive. He can potentially score at a useful Keeper level, especially as he has done it before. I think his game count is the thing that tips the scales against him though: 17, 18, 16, 21, 14, 10. If he averages a career high 98, but only plays 18 games, and you take a Rookie score in those other 4 (let's assume the Rookie scores 70), it effectively reduces Ziebell to a 93/game player. Still considered useful, but what if he only averages 90, or even 87, and still misses those 4 games? If you like watching him, and want to cheer him as both a Shinboner, and a SC Coach then get him. From a pure SC point of view, it seems too risky to me.
Ziebell is F/M, but a little more expensive. He can potentially score at a useful Keeper level, especially as he has done it before. I think his game count is the thing that tips the scales against him though: 17, 18, 16, 21, 14, 10. If he averages a career high 98, but only plays 18 games, and you take a Rookie score in those other 4 (let's assume the Rookie scores 70), it effectively reduces Ziebell to a 93/game player. Still considered useful, but what if he only averages 90, or even 87, and still misses those 4 games? If you like watching him, and want to cheer him as both a Shinboner, and a SC Coach then get him. From a pure SC point of view, it seems too risky to me.
Hey Alex_26,
I was umming and aahing over him, but decided against risking him. I then read that he is under consideration to take a tagging role while Macaffer is out, and I was even happier I decided against him. Unless he takes a hard tagging role, he probably won't lose Cash, but my gut feel tells me he won't be a "happy" selection either. As you and the boys point out, his DE% can be too low, and I do worry about players that don't get scores to match their possessions. Douglas from Adelaide springs to mind. There can be fewer frustrating Things, than having your value pick have one of his better games, clocking up 30 possessions, and scoring a "measly" 100. Those are the games you need him to get his 130 scores, if he is going to average what you want/need. He's not the worst risk you could take, but he is a bit too risky for mine.
I was umming and aahing over him, but decided against risking him. I then read that he is under consideration to take a tagging role while Macaffer is out, and I was even happier I decided against him. Unless he takes a hard tagging role, he probably won't lose Cash, but my gut feel tells me he won't be a "happy" selection either. As you and the boys point out, his DE% can be too low, and I do worry about players that don't get scores to match their possessions. Douglas from Adelaide springs to mind. There can be fewer frustrating Things, than having your value pick have one of his better games, clocking up 30 possessions, and scoring a "measly" 100. Those are the games you need him to get his 130 scores, if he is going to average what you want/need. He's not the worst risk you could take, but he is a bit too risky for mine.
Hey dyii,
I'm not 100% sold he is a definite Top 6 PIT60 Def this season. I think it's more likely than not, but not guaranteed. I can see his price getting down to $450-$470 at some stage, and he becomes an easy grab if/when he does. It's easier to grab a Def Prem that drops $100k in price, than an Ablett/Rocky that drops $150k in price. He only has 4 seasons of 90+ averages in 10 years of SC, and when you combine that with him being 31 now, and having an injury history, I think he is best left as an upgrade target.
I like MJ, was in my team last year until injured, and currently sits at D2 in my team, and I'm happy to have him there.
I'm not 100% sold he is a definite Top 6 PIT60 Def this season. I think it's more likely than not, but not guaranteed. I can see his price getting down to $450-$470 at some stage, and he becomes an easy grab if/when he does. It's easier to grab a Def Prem that drops $100k in price, than an Ablett/Rocky that drops $150k in price. He only has 4 seasons of 90+ averages in 10 years of SC, and when you combine that with him being 31 now, and having an injury history, I think he is best left as an upgrade target.
I like MJ, was in my team last year until injured, and currently sits at D2 in my team, and I'm happy to have him there.
Hey Rowsus,
Alot of people like myself are considering jumping off Swan. Do you plan on replacing him with a rookie and having 3 premos and 3 rookie fwd line? Or have you gone for another F4 similiar value to Swan? I currently don't have Ablett or Rocky so have Swan atm at F4. But thinking of dumping Swan for Rookie to free up cash and getting in Rocky. I am now really concerned about not starting with Ablett or Rocky and its doing my head in
Alot of people like myself are considering jumping off Swan. Do you plan on replacing him with a rookie and having 3 premos and 3 rookie fwd line? Or have you gone for another F4 similiar value to Swan? I currently don't have Ablett or Rocky so have Swan atm at F4. But thinking of dumping Swan for Rookie to free up cash and getting in Rocky. I am now really concerned about not starting with Ablett or Rocky and its doing my head in
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