Round 18: Teams & In Game Discussion

Darkie

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Liam7 minutes ago



PUNTING NIGHTMARE
Jamie Tate
YOU can’t say that no one saw Gold Coast’s upset victory coming yesterday.
One lonely, but very happy, TAB punter placed $200 on the Suns pre-match at $17 to defeat Sydney for a $3400 collect.
That person was far happier than the punter who had $5000 on the Swans at $1.03.
Such was the predicted one-sided nature of the SCG clash that the TAB even suspended its head-to-head market at quarter-time with Sydney leading by 29 points.
In terms of pre-match odds it was the biggest upset since the TAB starting fielding on AFL games in 1995.
CAN YOU BELIEVE IT?
Biggest ever AFL upsets (TAB odds)
R18 2018: GC ($17) d. Syd by 24
R18 2014: STK ($16) d. Frem by 58
R22 2012: GC ($15) d. Carl by 12
R5 2011: GC ($14) d. Port Adel by 3
R8 2013: BRIS ($13) d. Ess by 10
I have two reactions to this:

(1) It probably says a fair bit about the Gold Coast that they've had three of the five biggest upsets of all time, seven years apart.

(2) If the biggest upset of all time was only priced at $17 pre game (c. 6% chance), how bad are the TAB's odds?!
 
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Hawthorn
Speaking of upsets - am I crazy to be picking the Lions over the Crows?
 

IDIG

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Speaking of upsets - am I crazy to be picking the Lions over the Crows?
Not a bad upset to take I reckon. I don’t mind the dees either but i’d probably take brissy first.
 
Likes: PC
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The Danger/Gawn ruck fiasco is a perfect example of why they should get rid of the that stupid ruck nomination rule.
 

Tamuhawk

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Only wanted 50 from you Joel Smith but you've just about reached it before half time. :D Now get a 100 plz!
 
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It has got me stuffed, if I know what the point of tagging Selwood is when you let Danger run pretty much unchecked.

Surely Danger does twice as much damage as Selwood on a normal day. No point taking Selwood out if you let Danger have 20 and 2 goals in half a game.

:mad::mad::mad::mad::mad:
 
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McInerney and Joel Smith performing beautifully as cover for Nic Nat and Sicily - or they would, had I not brought Stef and TMac in.

With Zorko, Laird, Gawn and Dangerfield (C) playing, I'm perfectly set up to be bitterly disappointed tomorrow.
 
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