I'm tipping things will be ok between Gaff and Hamish, they are reportedly good mates, Hamish will no doubt be disappointed though.
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Firstly I want to be clear I am not condoning or making excuses for Gaff... Breaking a guys jaw is not good and he deserves to be punished.
The above shots taken milliseconds apart show Gaff's right arm on Brayshaw's shoulder, then as he strikes with his left in the next frame... Brayshaw drops his height by a fair margin, Keep in mind Brayshaw is actually 2cm taller than Gaff. Now knowing Gaff's great character and personality... I think his intent would have been to hit him in the shoulder or chest to get rid of the unwanted attention he was copping off the ball all game long. It clearly went wrong when Brayshaw suddenly dropped lower than Gaff expected and instead he collected him in the head.
He deserves a harsh penalty but a lot of the hysteria being bandied about by the media and in particular the Victorian media about this being a thug act or dog act, is just pure rubbish, I don't believe Gaff's intent was ever to hit Brayshaw who it seems he is actually mates with, in the jaw. It was just a poorly judged action.