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AFL SuperCoach Round 10 trade guide: The premiums to target by trading Adelaide ruckman Reilly O’Brien

Tim Michell, Herald Sun

May 20, 2019 11:23am

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This is a thankyou note to Reilly O’Brien.

The Crows No. 2 ruckman has proven one of the trades of the SuperCoach season, rising to $398,400 from his starting price of $136,800.

That $260,000 profit will mean the difference between a rookie and a premium for most sides and the time has come to cash in.

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Unless you’re content with your defence, midfield and forward line, this is the round to turn O’Brien into a top-liner such as Brodie Grundy, Max Gawn, Travis Boak, Shannon Hurn, Jack Macrae or Josh Kelly.

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If you can afford to hold O’Brien, who is in 29,764 — or about 15 per cent — of teams, then he’ll provide valuable cover in the daunting Round 13 bye when he takes on a Richmond side without its No. 1 big man Toby Nankervis.

But with Sam Jacobs due to return in 1-2 weeks from knee surgery, there’s no guarantee O’Brien will still be the first-choice ruckman when that bye arrives.

Here are the ways you can turn O’Brien into a top premium:

ROOKIE DOWNGRADE

Darcy Fort scored 105 on debut and although Geelong is stacked with ruck options, he should be a cash cow in the second half of the year. The Cats will likely regain Rhys Stanley and Esava Ratugolea in coming weeks, but $117,300 ruckman Fort will net you about $280,000 in a downgrade from O’Brien to spend elsewhere. The flaws in this plan are he shares the Round 13 bye with Gawn and Grundy and if you got O’Brien by swinging Patrick Bines forward, the Eagles rookie will be stuck in attack.

Reilly O’Brien to Darcy Fort would net a profit of about $280,000. Picture: Glenn Ferguson.

THE BINES SWING

If you’ve been banking money in the past month, you might have enough to turn O’Brien into a premium forward. For about $140,000, the Crow can become Travis Boak by swinging Bines onto your ruck bench and adding the Power star. You can also switch Bines onto the ruck bench, bring in impressive St Kilda first-gamer Robbie Young and have $280,000 to spend on upgrades elsewhere. Bines can then act as your captaincy loophole for the rest of the season. A full list of top upgrade targets is listed below.

TRADING ROB TO:

Jake Lloyd $158,300 upgrade

Lachie Whitfield $158,000 upgrade

Jack Macrae $186,200

L:Lachie Neale $237,000

Shannon Hurn $186,900

Mitch Duncan $185,800

Travis Boak $144,100

David Mundy $193,300

Elliot Yeo $179,200

Jack Ziebell $63,900

Robbie Young +281,100

Isaac Heeney $55,500

Tom Stewart $110,200

THE RUCK UPGRADE

If you still don’t have Max Gawn and Brodie Grundy, you’re burning points each week and missing the chance to gain ground in the rankings. If you build your bank by downgrading a rookie who has maxed out such as Matt Parker to his teammate Young, it might give you the money to add one of the ‘set and forget’ ruckmen.

After a score of 144, you need to start making plans to grab Max Gawn either side of his Round 13 bye. Picture: Quinn Rooney/Getty Images.

SAFETY FIRST

O’Brien has an average of 89.3 and while Don Pyke doesn’t pick his team on ranking points, the ruckman has made a strong case to keep Sam Jacobs out of the senior team or at least share ruck duties. O’Brien will be rucking against Tom Hickey/Nathan Vardy, Max Gawn and Shane Mumford before taking on Ivan Soldo and Noah Balta in Round 13. Check your bye structure and if an 80-90 score could set you apart, consider ways to hold O’Brien and upgrade elsewhere.

TOP TARGETS

Jack Macrae $584,600 Mid, Avg: 117.3 Break even: 90

Macrae hit his base price heading into Round 9 but is still very affordable considering he started the season at $689,700. If you want him, it probably has to be this week as he has a Round 12 bye. You hardly want to be bringing Macrae in for Round 11 when he’s going to miss the next week and he could be too expensive again after the bye rounds.

Lachie Neale $635,400, Mid, Avg: 131.9, BE: 117

The top scorer of the year dashed any hopes coaches had of getting him cheaply when he scored 148 — only 10 short of his high break even of 158. If you want Neale in your side after his Round 13 bye, you’re going to need to build a war chest in coming weeks to accommodate him. He won’t come cheaper than $600,000 and that means it’s going to cost you a considerable amount to get from a rookie to the prolific Lion.

Jake Lloyd $556,700, Def, Avg: 115.2, BE: 108

Much like Neale, Lloyd went close to his towering break even on Saturday with 141 against North Melbourne and therefore won’t fall much further. All signs are pointing to him being a top-two defender this year and although he has the dreaded Round 13 bye, you want him in your team soon. Don’t miss out if you can add Lloyd on the cheap this week.

You need Jake Lloyd in your defence to land the heavy SuperCoach blows. Picture: Jeremy Piper.

Shannon Hurn $585,300, Def, Avg: 116.9, BE: 81

The new kick-in rules were supposed to have a drastic impact on SuperCoach scoring, but ever-reliable West Coast skipper Hurn is the only player to have seen a significant spike in scoring. Hurn is averaging 117 after scoring 161 against Melbourne, more than 20 points higher than his career-best SuperCoach average of 96.4 for last year. A price tag of about $600,000 is steep, but can we afford to go without him?

Mitch Duncan $584,200, Mid, Avg: 111.1, BE: 80

The one member of Geelong’s star-studded midfield who has never got the SuperCoach plaudits he deserves. Duncan has four consecutive scores of 116 or better and was herculean against the Bulldogs with 144. After averaging 109.8 and 106.2 in the past two years, he appears capable of pushing into the elite 110+ bracket and is the ultimate POD in less than one per cent of teams.

Travis Boak $542,500, Fwd, Avg: 113.7, BE: 138

A high break even heading into the Power’s sodden clash with Gold Coast means Boak is below $550,000 for the first time since Round 4. He only had two hundreds in his past five games but is showing all the signs of a top-two or top-three on-baller come season’s end. If you trade Boak in this week, you get the benefit of two scores before he has a bye in Round 12.

David Mundy is the in-form SuperCoach forward in the AFL. Picture: Matt Turner.

David Mundy $591,700, Fwd-Mid, Avg: 106.4, BE: 100

You’ve got to feel for the coaches who made the understandable decision to trade David Mundy after his 35 in Round 2. Six of his last seven scores have been hundreds and five of those have been 110, including his 141 against Essendon on Saturday. Any concerns Nathan Fyfe’s return from concussion would take his points are long gone and Mundy is set to be a top-six forward.

Elliot Yeo $577,600, Mid, Avg: 104.3, BE: 93

Yeo has four successive scores of 115 or higher and five of his past six have been 114 or better. This is the form those who paid his starting price of $585,500 were anticipating and he’s a solid option to consider post his Round 13 bye.

Jack Ziebell $462,300, Fwd, Avg: 86.3, BE: 68

A return to midfield has agreed with Ziebell, who has three tons and a 68 in the past month. He was brilliant against Sydney in a losing team and is looming as the bargain forward option at his current price. He’s only averaged better than 90 once in the past six years, but in his current role the Roos captain at least deserves to be considered.

Jack Ziebell’s midfield move has resulted in a SuperCoach spike. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Media/Getty Images.

Robbie Young $117,300, Fwd, Avg: 69, BE: first game

The top downgrade option of the week, despite the SuperCoach rule to never trade in players after one game. It’s going to be hard to ignore the temptation to downgrade Matt Parker to his teammate Young this week after he had eight disposals, four tackles and kicked two goals in a positive debut showing against Collingwood.

Isaac Heeney $453,900, Fwd-Mid, Avg: 93.2, BE: 91

Welcome to SuperCoach de ja vu. Star Swan Heeney’s price will bottom out this week after a poor run before his 116 against North Melbourne and it’s the right time to trade him in if you trust he’s returned to form. If you chose to trade Heeney out earlier this year when he started the season with 85 and 67, this might be your best chance to bring him back at a discount.
 
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HOLD

Patrick Dangerfield

Marty Hore

Brad Crouch

Charlie Constable

You’ll pay the price if you trade out Dangerfield based on the possibility he might miss one week with the ankle injury he suffered late in Geelong’s victory over Western Bulldogs. Find a way to sit him on your forward or midfield bench — depending on where you have the best cover. Melbourne’s first-year defender Hore is arguably the rookie of the year and continues to score well thanks to his high rate of intercept possessions. You’ll want his points during the byes and he could even be a finishing D7 or D8. Brad Crouch broke a frustrating run of scores close to 100 with a season-high 119 against Brisbane Lions and should get close to $500,000 now. Constable should be safe enough in the Geelong team if Dangerfield misses against Gold Coast and he’s more reliable than any other midfield rookies.

Tom Liberatore has scored below 80 in his past four matches. Picture: Michael Klein.CHOPPING BLOCK

Tom Liberatore

Three scores in the 70s and a 58 from Libba in the past month. Thousands of coaches wisely jumped off in recent weeks but if the Bulldogs midfielder is still in your side, swing the axe. He’s struggling to have the same impact he did from rounds 2 to 5 when he was playing like a midfield keeper.

Angus Brayshaw

It’s been hard to watch a player who finished third in the Brownlow Medal last year struggle to adapt to a new role playing on a wing. Brayshaw hasn’t scored above 100 since Round 3 and only has two tons for the year. With his Round 13 bye also a concern, the time has come to bite the bullet, accept losing about $100,000 and decide whether you’d prefer to upgrade him or find a rookie to boost your bank balance.

Jack Petruccelle

There’s a case for holding Petruccelle, but working on the likelihood Patrick Dangerfield misses this week, you’ll want a premium forward to replace his points. If you can turn Petruccelle into Travis Boak, don’t hesitate, however you could get away with fielding the Eagle for one week if Danger will return. Petruccelle will miss Round 13, the bye round where we need rookies to be playing.

Angus Brayshaw has struggled to have the same influence as last year after being shifted to a wing. Picture: Michael Klein.

Matt Parker

Unfortunately filling the highlights reel with the odd speccy and goal doesn’t translate to SuperCoach points. Parker lost money on the weekend and after two 80s to start the year he has only scored better than 51 twice. Expect a trade to his teammate Robbie Young to be the most popular trade of Round 10.

Jordan Clark

If you fielded Clark after his positive return in Round 8, you were badly burned as he finished on 24 at the final siren before being scaled to 33. With a break even of 26 heading into Round 9, he won’t make any more money. If you have to hold him, make sure he’s on your bench as his scoring has been volatile.

Reilly O’Brien

For all the reasons listed above, I favour cashing in O’Brien this week. He’s no guarantee to still be the No. 1 ruckman in Round 13 with Sam Jacobs close to returning. A trade this week could set up your team for the rest of the campaign.

BARGAIN BIN

Jeremy Cameron $496,400 Avg: 99.2

Brayden Fiorini $492,400 Avg: 101.2

Daniel Rich $491,700 Avg: 99.8

Shane Savage $490,100 Avg: 92

James Harmes $484,100 Avg: 94.8

Bachar Houli $473,800 Avg: 100.8

Michael Walters $472,800 Avg: 95

Patrick Dangerfield $471,000 Avg: 100.7

Tom Rockliff $469,400 Avg: 100.3

Jack Billings $462,700 Avg: 94.4

Jack Ziebell $462,300 Avg: 86.3

Jack Crisp $461,200 Avg: 89.1

Isaac Heeney $453,900 Avg: 93.2

Rowan Marshall $447,900 Avg: 97.7

Luke Dunstan $446,300 Avg: 90.6
 
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13 potential stars available at a discount price in SuperCoach

Al Paton, Herald Sun

May 21, 2019 4:36pm

Subscriber only

The SuperCoach trade plan this week is simple.

Offload rookies who have run their race like Saint Matty Parker or Blue Michael Gibbons and use the cash to grab a superstar like Lachie Whitfield or Josh Kelly.

There’s only one problem.

A double trade featuring the two rookies mentioned above — or others in a similar situation such as Jordan Clark, Jack Petruccelle or Jack Scrimshaw — will net you about $450,000. That’s well short of the cash required to buy a player like Whitfield ($556,400), Shannon Hurn ($585,300) or Kelly ($615,300), even if they are at the bottom of their price cycle.

Unless you’re sitting on a pile of cash from previous weeks, you’ll have to wait — and use more trades — to get a rolled gold premium. Or you could make a play for value.

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There are a number of players putting up premium scoring numbers with a price tag that should be within reach for most teams.

There is an element of risk involved with all the players below, but getting a discount gun — especially one that hardly anyone else has picked — could be the turning point of your season.

And they are all pretty much guaranteed to score more than Gibbons or Parker this week.

DEFENDERS

Brandon Ellis $444,400 | Average: 92 | Break even: 46

Damien Hardwick has admitted he judged Ellis too harshly and is now appreciating what the defender does for the team, and that’s run until the final siren to get the pill. Richmond’s injuries have put more responsibility on Ellis and he has responded with three 100-plus scores in the past month.

Bachar Houli $473,800 | Avg 101 | BE 75

Another Tiger who is having a very good, and largely unnoticed, season down back. Houli has four triple-figure scores and two in the 70s from his six games. Richmond has a friendly Round 14 bye, too. The only worry is the potential for soft-tissue injuries at age 31.

Brandon Ellis is playing a key role for the undermanned Tigers.

Heath Shaw $489,300 | Avg 89 | BE 45

Is the one-time SuperCoach king back in business? Heater has a three-round average of 114 largely on the back of a 144 two weeks ago, but his lowest in the past four is 94. High risk, high reward?

Shane Savage $490,100 | Avg 92 | BE 75

The rebounding Saint has been a popular pick in the past but is in just 1 per cent of teams this year despite averaging the best SuperCoach numbers of his 10-year career. Two of his next three games are against Carlton and Gold Coast.

Daniel Rich $491,700 | Avg 100 | BE 100

Can the perennial SuperCoach burn man finally be trusted? He has only dropped below 89 once this season as the Lions make the most of his raking left boot. And, incredibly, he could be playing for a top-four team.

MIDFIELDERS

Brad Crouch $468,100 | Avg 96 | BE 61

Has been a frustrating player for the 50,000 coaches who started with him but if you are really short of money he can be relied upon to score 90 or more most weeks. Did he turn the corner with a 119 last weekend?

Tom Rockliff $469,400 | Avg 100 | BE 55

Clearly the standout of the bargain options in terms of his ability to post huge scores, including a 138 and a 140 so far this year. Has thrown in a few stinkers as well so be prepared to ride the Rocky rollercoaster if you jump on.

James Harmes $484,100 | Avg 95 | BE 54

The bolter of the week, he seems to have taken Angus Brayshaw’s role — or at least his SuperCoach points. Harmes finished last year like a house on fire and started this season slowly but has hit form in a big way, averaging 117 in his past three. In 1 per cent of teams.

James Harmes has hit a purple patch in recent weeks.

Dustin Martin $503,800 | Avg 96 | BE 73

Is Dusty back? He looked a lot like the 2017 version against the Hawks, racking up 37 disposals and 128 points. The hunger was there and he was also the unexpected beneficiary of Ivan Soldo’s expert tap work, with the nine-gamer putting the ball down Martin’s throat seven times on the weekend (Toby Nankervis managed the same feat 10 times in the previous eight matches). Available for $60,000 under his starting price.

Dane Zorko $520,200 | Avg 99 | BE 75

The Brisbane captain has always run hot and cold, and he’s red hot right now, scoring 128, 114 and 121 in his past three. The Lions’ fixture is pretty friendly, just factor in a meeting with Matt de Boer in Round 16.

FORWARDS

Rowan Marshall $447,900 | Avg 98 | BE 85

Fears the young ruckman would wilt or lose his spot to Billy Longer or Lewis Pierce have proven unfounded as he continues to power along, scoring a very respectable 90 against Brodie Grundy last weekend. A Max Gawn-inflicted 50 is his only blemish in a season that has featured four 100-plus scores. Shapes as a likely top-six forward.

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Jack Ziebell $462,300 | Avg 86 | BE 68

A move back into the Kangaroos midfield has been the catalyst for a scoring surge from Ziebell, whose 140 against the Swans was his third ton in four games. His price is about to head north.

Jeremy Cameron $496,400 | Avg 99 | BE 159

The Coleman Medal leader’s price has dipped back under $500k after kicking 0.8 in the past two weeks, although he still tonned up against the Blues thanks to 27 disposals and eight marks. His price will take another hit this week with a high break even but jump on before he plays Gold Coast in Round 11.
 
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Adelaide ruckman Sam Jacobs eyes Melbourne return following knee surgery
Andrew Capel, The Advertiser
30 minutes ago
Subscriber only
Ace Crows ruckman Sam Jacobs — sidelined for two months following knee surgery — expects to be available for next week’s Darwin assignment against Melbourne.
The veteran ironman, who had played 53 consecutive games and 181 of a possible 185 before missing the round three clash against Geelong and undergoing an operation on his battle-scarred right knee, is fully healed and only needs to tick a couple of more boxes at training to ink his name on the selection whiteboard.
Jacobs, 31, told The Advertiser he might have been available to play this week “if push came to shove’’ but that he would benefit from an extra week of training.
He said his knee “feels amazing’’ after he had surgery to repair damaged meniscus cartilage.
Jacobs injury — he had battled soreness to his right knee for some time — flared after
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Adelaide ruckman Sam Jacobs eyes Melbourne return following knee surgery
Andrew Capel, The Advertiser
30 minutes ago
Subscriber only
Ace Crows ruckman Sam Jacobs — sidelined for two months following knee surgery — expects to be available for next week’s Darwin assignment against Melbourne.
The veteran ironman, who had played 53 consecutive games and 181 of a possible 185 before missing the round three clash against Geelong and undergoing an operation on his battle-scarred right knee, is fully healed and only needs to tick a couple of more boxes at training to ink his name on the selection whiteboard.
Jacobs, 31, told The Advertiser he might have been available to play this week “if push came to shove’’ but that he would benefit from an extra week of training.
He said his knee “feels amazing’’ after he had surgery to repair damaged meniscus cartilage.
Jacobs injury — he had battled soreness to his right knee for some time — flared after
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‘Avaliable’ doesn’t mean sh#t if there’s a ruckman better than him playing right now :ROFLMAO:
 
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AFL SuperCoach Round 10 trade ratings: Should you target Shannon Hurn, Lachie Whitfield or Jake Lloyd first?

Tim Michell and Al Paton, Herald Sun

May 22, 2019 4:04pm

Subscriber only

Prioritising which premiums to add first is always tough.

With so little splitting top defensive picks Shannon Hurn, Lachie Whitfield and Jake Lloyd this year, price and bye structure should ultimately determine which you target.

If you’ve already got the top defensive trio, you’re well ahead of the pack.

If you need Whitfield and Lloyd, in particular, the next two weeks represent a prime opportunity to jump on before their prices start to head north.

Jake Lloyd is shaping as a top defender in SuperCoach after another blazing start. Picture: Phil Hillyard.

You’ll find success hard to come by in the second half of the campaign without Hurn, but with his Round 13 bye on the horizon you might need to wait before paying top dollar for the Eagles captain.

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WE RATE YOUR TOP ROUND 10 TRADES*

Matt Parker to Robbie Young (4941 trades)

Tim: I had a feeling this would be the No. 1 trade this week. Parker scored 87 and 89 in his first two games but has only managed better than 60 twice since. His price dropped by $11,400 after scoring 30 against Collingwood and he has a break even of 90. Young only had eight disposals but kicked two goals and scored 69 on debut. The Saints play Carlton this week and Parker could score well, but in all likelihood you aren’t losing much by moving him on.

Al: Parker is clearly crying out to be traded. He lost $11,400 last week and is set to plunge further, so grabbing Young a week early would avoid that loss. However, risks of going a week early on a rookie have been well-documented and Young’s output won’t be much greater considering his 69 last week came from eight disposals, four tackles and two goals.

Willem Drew to Robbie Young (3692 trades)

Tim: Watch the teams this week. Drew had 32 disposals in the SANFL after being dropped by Port Adelaide, mounting a strong case for a senior re-call. You’ll want to hold him for bye cover if he’s back in the Power team. He could also be valuable in Round 10 if Patrick Dangerfield misses due to injury. You can always grab Young next week before his price rise.

Al: Drew is a different case to Parker — his break even of 64 is gettable if he returns to the side this week. But he’s also worth almost $100k more which could open the door for a trade to Travis Boak or another gun forward. If that’s the play I don’t have an issue with it.

The time has come to trade popular starting rookie Matthew Parker. Picture: Michael Klein.

Zac Williams to Lachie Whitfield (1607 trades)

Tim: Not the first time we’ve seen this feature in the top-10 trades of the week. I urged caution last time as there was a strong case for Williams being a finishing D6 or D7. But Whitfield is shaping as the No. 1 defender by average of the year, vying with Shannon Hurn and Jake Lloyd. If you’re chasing rankings glory then you need to be aggressive. With Williams to miss due to a hamstring injury, you can afford to make this move. But if league success is your priority, find another way to get Whitfield.

Al: Torn on this one. Williams is travelling well enough to hang on to as a sixth defender in a finished team, but injuries at the Giants always ring the alarm bells — it’s not unusual for a one-weeker to stretch way beyond that. If you don’t have Whitfield (or Jake Lloyd) it’s hard to argue against using an extra trade.

Xavier Duursma to Lachie Whitfield (1596 trades)

Tim: Like this trade a lot. Duursma (avg 68.5) has been serviceable as either a defensive on-field option or midfield cover, but with only two rounds left before Port Adelaide’s bye you can safely upgrade him. Whitfield still has a break even of 117 so you could wait another week, but the sooner you add one of the top defensive scorers of the year (avg 116.8) the better. GWS has the Round 14 bye so you’ll get four games from Whitfield before he has another rest. You’ll need $233,500 in the bank to facilitate this trade.

Al: This makes sense. I’m still OK with fielding Duursma as I’ve got bigger issues but he’s not going to make much more than his current $192k profit and Whitfield is a must-have.

Jack Petruccelle to Robbie Young (1222 trades)

Tim: If you can wait another week before adding Young, hold fire. Petruccelle has an average of 56.6, more than his Round 10 break even of 52. There’s no issue holding the West Coast flyer for another game before making this move ahead of Round 11. However, if you need the $159,000 profit to grab a premium scorer, you might need to trade Petruccelle this week and take the risk on Young.

Al: No urgency here. Jack is plugging along with 50-60 scores and won’t lose much value, giving us another week to look at Young. If you make the move and Young scores 20 this week, how will you feel about it?

Lachie Whitfield is hot property after his score of 170 against Carlton. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images.

Xavier Duursma to Jake Lloyd (1019 trades)

Tim: Hopefully you already have one of Lloyd and Lachie Whitfield so you don’t have to prioritise between the two. It would be a coin toss if you could only have one, but Whitfield has the more favourable Round 14 bye. At $556,700 and with a break even of 108, it’s the perfect time to jump on Lloyd.

Al: See above answer re: Whitfield. Lloyd is likely to be one of the top-three defenders this year so you want him at some point, but beware he has the nasty Round 13 bye (same applies to Shannon Hurn).

Liam Baker to Robbie Young (909 trades)

Tim: Baker hadn’t scored less than 72 before his 54 at the weekend, a strong record from a player who started the year with a slightly elevated rookie price tag. I’d be inclined to hold Baker for another week before trading for Young. As a worst-case scenario, Baker might lose $10k if he scores another 50 against Essendon.

Al: Watch the Tiger teams this week — Daniel Rioli is a likely inclusion for Dreamtime at the G and Baker might be the unlucky player who makes way. If that happens I don’t mind the trade, but well done to the 44,000 coaches (not including me) who made almost $170k off the small forward.

Reilly O’Brien to Darcy Fort (893 trades)

Tim: Chris Scott flagged the likelihood Esava Ratugolea and Rhys Stanley will be recalled, so have a back-up plan to downgrade O’Brien. Although Fort was outstanding on debut, Scott has shown with Charlie Constable he’s not afraid to make ruthless calls. If you have Patrick Bines sitting on your forward bench, you can swing him to R3 and turn O’Brien into a forward premium or rookie. I’m eyeing off O’Brien to Travis Boak.

Al: I tipped this! Fort was in the team I picked in December, when I was hoping he would be Geelong’s No. 1 ruckman. That didn’t quite work out but I was pleased to see him ton up on debut. Having said that, I’m in no rush to trade him into my side, but then I don’t have O’Brien and his $398k sitting on my ruck bench. A trade would free up $281k and given the problems we’re having getting cash out of other rookies, that’s too good to pass up.

West Coast captain Shannon Hurn is in career-best form, averaging 117 points per game. Picture: AAP Image/Richard Wainwright.

Michael Gibbons to Joe Atley (797 trades)

Tim: Atley managed 66 points from 19 disposals in his first appearance of the year for Port Adelaide. His job security is a worry with Willem Drew lurking and Ollie Wines expected back after the Power’s Round 12 bye. Contested-ball winners are SuperCoach gold and that’s what Atley bases his game on. But if you can afford to hold off another week to see if he’s worth the punt, do so. It will mean he only plays one game before his bye but you will have a better indication of whether he’s a long-term prospect.

Al: If I was going to go early on a rookie this week, Atley would be my pick. He had 19 disposals on debut last weekend (66 SuperCoach points) and should hold his spot for a few weeks. Gibbons’ time has come.

Xavier Duursma to Shannon Hurn (765 trades)

Tim: Hard to argue with grabbing the top defender of the year to date. Hurn is the sixth-best scorer of the year overall and has been the biggest beneficiary of the new kick-in rules. His $585,300 price tag might put some coaches off but he’s worth it if you’ve been building a war chest for this type of move. Just check your bye structure first as he’s off in Round 13.

Al: See above verdict on the Duursma to Whitfield and Lloyd trades. I had Hurn in my team for a lot of the pre-season and wish he was still there, but I’m waiting until after Round 13 — when the Eagles share a bye with Collingwood, Melbourne, Geelong, Sydney and Brisbane — to pick him up.

*Trades as of 3pm Wednesday
 
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Lance Franklin not bothered by talk Sydney should trade him to fast track its rebuild

Ben Horne, The Daily Telegraph

25 minutes ago

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Lance Franklin has fired back at speculation Sydney should trade him, declaring he is out to “prove people wrong” as he pushes for a blockbuster return on Friday night at the SCG.

A storm erupted earlier in the year when Collingwood great Tony Shaw, Essendon legend Matthew Lloyd and former Western Bulldogs captain Bob Murphy suggested the Swans could be best served trying to trade their $10 million man and clear the decks for a complete rebuild.

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The argument centred around Sydney accepting that its ‘premiership window’ was closed, and that it could move on a 32-year-old Franklin and bring in an influx of top draft picks that would set the club up for another era of dominance.

TONY SHAW: SWANS SHOULD CONSIDER TRADING BUDDY

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‘HARD TO WATCH’: BUDDY OPENS UP ON GOODES DOCO

SWANS CHAMP: BACK INJURY FORCES GRUNDY TO RETIRE

Franklin left it to coach John Longmire and others to shut down the rumours at the time, but ahead of his looming return against Collingwood, he has broken his silence and bristled at the doubt cast over his ability to recapture his scintillating best over the final four years of his Swans contract.

Frustrated after four weeks out with a hamstring injury, the caged lion leaves no doubt he’s determined to reassert himself at the top of the food chain.

Lance Franklin says trade talk has been “water off a duck’s back”. Picture: Phil Hillyard

“I’ve been in football for a long time so it’s water off a duck’s back for me to be honest,” said Franklin in response to trade talk.

“I’m contracted for another four years. What can you do (about the talk)?

“It’s pretty hard when you’re not playing though isn’t it, to prove people wrong.

“At the end of the day that’s a comment by the media and I just get on with it. It’s difficult when you’re injured and you can’t do anything about it.”

Goalkicking all-time great Lloyd said on radio Sydney would have to “seriously consider” a Buddy trade, while Murphy said Franklin himself might appreciate a fresh chance at a club capable of winning a premiership.

HAMSTRING INJURY: BUDDY CLOSING IN ON SWANS RETURN

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Since then the Swans have rallied with back-to-back wins and the emergence of young stars Nick Blakey and Tom McCartin has suggested the rebuild may not be a long-term one.

Franklin was hampered by injury last year to the point he barely trained and after missing most of this pre-season, he has now been forced to sit on the sidelines for four weeks after a slow start, by his lofty standards, in the opening rounds.

However, Swans coach Longmire insists Franklin’s prime is not finished. Longmire is confident some of Buddy’s best years remain ahead of him.

Franklin in action at training ahead of the clash against Collingwood. Picture: Phil Hillyard

“Oh yeah, absolutely. He’s an All-Australian captain last year and he’s been good this year, even off no pre-season,” Longmire told The Daily Telegraph last month.

“He is so absolutely invested in this. He’s fantastic with his investment.

“His interaction in our meetings and with the coaches, driving the standards, he’s fantastic. He sits there and goes through Tommy McCartin’s tape and Nick Blakey’s, and he’s loving it.

“I think absolutely (some of his best is still ahead). You can only go by what he’s been able to do last year and so far this year. He’s still a reasonable force in the game.

“How that looks in the next two or three years, who knows, but you can only comment on what we’ve seen so far.”

Franklin says he loves helping young players and doesn’t rule out a move into coaching post his playing career.

“Who knows what the future holds in terms of coaching,” said Franklin.

“I definitely do enjoy that side of things in terms of educating young guys about their football. But yeah, that’s still a while away. It’s so good to see the development of these young guys so far and they’re learning constantly and they’re improving every week.”
 
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SuperCoach late mail: Patrick Dangerfield ruled out with injury, Constable dropped again...

Dan Batten, Herald Sun

5 minutes ago

Subscriber only

Geelong youngster Charlie Constable is one of the unluckiest players in the competition.

It’s groundhog day for the popular SuperCoach cash cow, after he was dropped for the third straight week ahead of the Cats’ clash with the Suns on Saturday, frustrating those who have persisted with him.

Constable has been a late inclusion last two games for Joel Selwood and Tom Atkins, posting scores of 92 and 61.

He collected just 11 disposals and booted a goal last week against the Bulldogs, spending more time up forward, with fellow rookie Tom Atkins (hip) back to replace him.

Constable has been named as an emergency once again but it appears he won’t get a late reprieve this week after reports he is not on the flight to the Gold Coast.

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Superstar Patrick Dangerfield the other notable casualty for the Cats at selection, forcing more than 135,000 SuperCoaches to bench him.

Dangerfield suffered an ankle injury in the last quarter of their match-up with the Bulldogs, with the Cats opting not to risk him for the trip to Gold Coast.

Mitch Cleary

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No Roughead for third consecutive week.

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Crows ball-magnet Matt Crouch (hip) and Pies defender Darcy Moore (ankle) will miss again after both were late outs last week, while Zac Williams (hamstring strain) is set to spend at least a fortnight on the sidelines.

In some better news, Stephen Coniglio (finger) is back for the Giants’ matchup with the Demons.

Fantasy Freako@FantasyFreako

No Matt Crouch. Danger out injured and Constable dropped. Likewise Hayes, J.Garner and J. Atley. #SuperCoach #AFLFantasy

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CROWS MAKE LATE CHANGE

Adelaide has made the first late change of the weekend with Tom Lynch pulling out of the Crows’ side to face West Coast. Paul Seedsman is his replacement.

BLUES FINAL SQUAD TAKES SHAPE

SuperCoach players are sweating on the final make-up of Carlton’s team against the Saints on Sunday, with popular rookies Will Setterfield (103,000 teams) and Liam Stocker (31,000 teams) named on the extended interchange bench which will be cut later today.

Blues coach Brendon Bolton gave away one hint at his press conference this morning when he said Matt Kennedy will play against St Kilda.

That means just three of Harrison Macreadie, Patrick Kerr, Will Setterfield, Alex Fasolo, Liam Stocker, Lachie Plowman and David Cuningham will play (assuming Michael Gibbons, who was named in a forward pocket last night), is safe.

HATELY IN?

It wouldn’t be a SuperCoach round without Charlie Constable and Jackson Hately being on the fringe of selection.

The popular Giants bubble boy has been named in an extended squad, with Williams the only forced omission.

Hately has averaged 90 SuperCoach points across his two games and is in 16 per cent of teams, with more than 10,000 SuperCoaches bringing him in last week despite not being named.

It is unlikely we will see Hately play his third game over the weekend with Coniglio returning, but we can thank coach Leon Cameron for getting our hopes up (again).

WHERE ARE THE ROOKIES?

With few rookies on the bubble, some SuperCoaches were looking to jump on a promising cash cow a week early.

Those plans were quashed when Power rookie duo Joel Garner (65 points) and Joe Atley (66 points) were both axed despite solid outings in the wet against Gold Coast.

Fortunately, St Kilda’s Robbie Young and Geelong ruckman Darcy Fort kept their spots, while expensive option Rupert Wills has remained in the Pies line-up.

SuperCoaches bench cover has also taken a hit with cash cows Will Hayes, Lachie Young, Dylan Moore, and James Rowbottom dumped ahead of the weekend. Rowbottom’s omission will sting the most after the Swans rookie appreciated just $14k following his third game last week.

Power cash cow Joe Atley has been dropped despite a promising game against the Suns.

THE UNLIKELY HERO?

With a number of forwards and defenders missing with injury, the inclusion of Chris Burgess has come at the opportune time.

Burgess has been filling a vital captain/emergency loophole role in many sides, but now will step up to the plate after four weeks in the NEAFL.

The mature-age swingman isn’t exactly a noted scorer, registering just one 45-plus score for the season, but this week we will take what we can get.

Burgess has been named in defence to replace the injured Sam Collins.

FANTASY FREAKO: DAVID MUNDY TRADE REGRET WHICH DEFENSIVE PREMO SHOULD YOU TARGET?SUPERCOACH PODS: IS IT TIME TO BRING IN YEO?

DEBUTANTS

Two ruckman will make their AFL debuts this weekend.

The Tigers will blood Callum Coleman-Jones ($123,900, RUCK/FWD) after the suspension to replacement ruckman Ivan Soldo, while the Power will unveil Peter Ladhams ($123,900, RUCK).

Ladhams has performed strongly in the SANFL in recent weeks, but appears to be a short-term inclusion following the injury to Scott Lycett (adductor).

Don’t expect the pair to remain in their respective sides.

Meanwhile, Dockers rookie Brett Bewley and emerging Lion Connor Ballenden have been included in extended squads.
 
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From HS Live Feed, doesn't bode well for Selwood owners, with more rests to occur.

Selwood: I needed a break

Alistair Paton

Geelong skipper Joel Selwood admits he needed his injury-enforced break and will look to manage his body throughout the rest of the season.

Selwood spent a fortnight on the sidelines with a leg injury before returning in last week’s win over the Western Bulldogs.

There was confusion during the Cats' Round 8 clash against North Melbourne when Selwood was named as a late inclusion, then withdrew less than an hour before the game.

“I needed the couple of weeks, to be honest,” the 279-game veteran told reporters at Melbourne Airport today.

“I travelled down and was going to play the (North Melbourne) game and it came over me that I probably needed another week off as I was driving down. “I missed a couple but I feel better for it.”

The six-time All-Australian will line up in Saturday’s clash against Gold Coast at Metricon Stadium but will consider resting himself later in the season.

“It’ll really just depend on how the body is feeling. For a couple of weeks there, it wasn’t up to playing the standard of footy the AFL’s got to these days,” he said. “We’ll just wait and see on that.”

Star midfielder Patrick Dangerfield will miss the Suns’ clash with an ankle injury but Rhys Stanley and Tom Atkins are both back.

“He didn’t train throughout the week so it was a pretty easy decision, I think, from the coaches,” Selwood said of Dangerfield.

“He’ll prepare over the weekend and then we’ll just see how he is next week.”

– AAP
 
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SuperCoach Rage Trades: Who’s on the chopping block after Round 10?

Paul Dunn, Herald Sun

an hour ago

Subscriber only

We thought last week was bad at the selection table. This week was even worse!

Premiums didn’t come back from injury and just when we needed to rely on some rookies, they didn’t get a game. No one said this game was easy.

Thankfully there were some big scores from those who did play (thank goodness for Brodie Grundy and the VC loophole!) but there were some stinkers too.

Here’s who we could be looking at booting and buying this week.

SUPERCOACH: EVERY SCORE FROM ROUND 10

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SUPER LADDER: WHERE YOUR CLUB SITS

BOOT HIM

Brodie Smith

This is now four weeks without a SuperCoach ton for Smith. To make matters worse, he dropped in value this week as he missed his break even by a fair margin. It does look like Luke Brown’s return to that backline is having adverse effect on Smith’s scoring output.

Joel Selwood

Selwood has only reached 100 once this season so far and his score this week of 89 was only one point higher than his break even. He has dropped nearly $100k from his starting price and after 10 years of 100-plus averages this could be the year he drops out of the SuperCoach premium bracket.

Dyson Heppell

Last season Heppell was very consistent with his scoring — he didn’t miss 100 very often and when he did it wasn’t by much. However, in the past four weeks he has now had three scores in the 70s which is not a good sign for owners. With just three scores over 100 from 10 games you can’t persist with him much longer.

Patience is running thin on Crows defender Brodie Smith. Picture: Sarah ReedHas father time finally caught up with Joel Selwood?

Aaron Naughton

After his 134 a few weeks ago which was backed up by a 97 many coaches jumped on Naughton, but the past two weeks haven’t been so productive. He had his second-lowest score of the season this week as it appears his bubble has burst. Those who jumped on should now be looking to jump off.

Shane Mumford

This may be a little harsh given he has been scoring reasonably well in recent weeks but his 61 which included seven free kicks isn’t what we want to see. He lost about 80 points to Gawn and that is just too much to be missing each week.

Stefan Martin

Three in a row now under 100 for Stef and this was his lowest. His value continues to fall but it is time to cut our losses and trade him out. He lost just under 100 points to Gawn this week and you can’t afford for that to happen too often.

LATE MAIL: IS TIM KELLY THE NO.1 FORWARD?

TRADE RATINGS: DEFENSIVE STARS TO TARGET

Lance Franklin

There were 2.1 per cent of coaches that held Buddy throughout his time off and some coaches even traded him in this week. Unfortunately, he nearly had more frees against than he did touches. He gave away four free kicks and had just six kicks, which thankfully resulted in two goals. He may go huge some weeks but scores like this are also going to be mixed in there.

Toby McLean

While Josh Dunkley has risen in the past few weeks McLean has been down. This is now three in a row under 80 points and this is not what we need to see. Unfortunately, you can’t really hold him with scores like this.

BUY HIM

Josh Dunkley

This is now three out of the past four scores over 130. This should be more than enough for you to now know that he is the real deal and has his SuperCoach-friendly role back. He is looking like being one of the top six forwards that you must have by season’s end.

Luke Parker

Parker has scored 114, 145 and now a 135 in his last three games and is quietly putting together a very solid season and his scores are on the up, particularly with Josh Kennedy injured again. He is in very few teams and well worth looking at as a unique midfield option.

Ricky Henderson

Henderson is not a name we normally consider but he just can’t be ignored with now seven scores over 100 and five of them have been 110-plus. With 37 touches on the weekend and 27 of those were kicks he seems to be having a career season.

Bulldog Josh Dunkley has hit form in a big way. Picture: Michael Klein

Elliot Yeo

Yeo was overlooked by many this season when he didn’t retain defender status but he now has five 110-plus scores in a row and put on 15 tackles this week to go with his 27 touches. He is staking a claim as one of the top midfielders this season and is in a rich vein of form.

Mitch Duncan

Duncan is yet another player that has had five scores over 110 in a row with the past four of these now 120-plus scores. He seems to be reaping the rewards of both Dangerfield and Selwood either injured or not playing in the middle. But either way he would be a good choice for your team with form like this.

Bachar Houli

Houli must now enter the conversation for a top-six defender. While he did miss some games early in the season he has only been under 100 twice and has posted two scores of 142 in his seven games. He finished with 37 touches this week and used the footy well in the wet, going at 75 per cent efficiency.

Josh Kelly

Three scores over 130 should be more than enough to convince us that Kelly is back and is

performing to the level that we expect. We just need him to stay on the Park. His BE is low and if you plan to jump on him this would be the time.

Luke Ryan

Ryan is averaging 105 for the season and had another 131 this week. He is one of the top six

defenders this season yet he is in less than 5% of teams. His value came down this week but with more scores like this he could be someone you need to get in the next few weeks.

WATCH FOR ANOTHER WEEK

These guys aren’t buys or boots just yet, but they are ones that we should just keep a close eye on.

Jack Gunston

It has been eight weeks between 100-plus scores, but a haul of six goals straight makes us sit up and take notice. We shouldn’t jump on him just yet but if he can get on a run, he may be a useful unique player in your team.

Jack Ziebell

A horror game for Ziebell owners as he only got to 50 but this is the third time he has been sub-60 for the season so it shouldn’t come as any huge surprise. However, last time he had a poor score like this in Round 5 he bounced back with two 100-plus scores in a row.

Jack Gunston was outstanding for the Hawks against the Power. Picture: Chris KiddTOP SCORERS OF THE ROUND

How many did you have in your side?

1. Brodie Grundy: 165

2. Sam Reid: 151

3. Max Gawn: 149

4. Josh Kelly: 148

5. Scott Pendlebury: 146

CAPTAINS SCORECARD

Here we grade the players that would have been in consideration for your captain role this week. So, this isn’t necessarily the highest scorers of the round but those who are in contention for the top job.

A ++: Brodie Grundy 165

A+: Max Gawn 149, Josh Kelly 148, Scott Pendlebury 146, Rory Sloane 140, Tim Kelly 140

A: Nat Fyfe 126, Patrick Cripps 116, Jake Lloyd 115, Lachie Whitfield 115, Shannon Hurn 112, Jack

Macrae 105, Zach Merrett 104

B: Dusty Martin 92

F: Lachie Neale 79, Tom Rockliff 72*

*Injury affected
 
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ROOKIE WATCH

Rookies that may have reached their peak.

Jack Scrimshaw — BE 68, scored 52. He left the game at the end of the third as he hurt his knee. That along with not making his break even then he must be traded.

Luke Davies-Uniacke — BE 67, scored 44. After missing three games he couldn’t improve on his value, time to trade.

Reilly O’Brien — BE 84, scored 91. He didn’t drop in value, but he is getting very close to his peak. Now the tough decision, hold him until the Round 13 bye when Grundy and Gawn or missing or take the value now.

J ack Petruccelle — BE 52, scored 37. He has featured in this section a few times now but many need to hold him because he is still getting a game. You can hold him to cover byes or take the cash. With not many rookies coming through he may be worth holding.

Chris Burgess — BE 47, scored 41. Returned to the side after four weeks out and unfortunately didn’t make his BE. If you were holding look to trade him if you can.

Jack Lukosius — BE 50, scored 30. Lukosius is going to take time to find his feet at this level and while he is doing that he can’t be in your side.

Gryan Miers — BE 82, scored 34. This was his worst score of the season and first under 60 since Round 1. For value reasons you would trade him out but there are plenty of reasons to say that this could be an anomaly.

It might be time to trade Tigers cult hero Sydney Stack. Picture: Alex Coppel

Sydney Stack — BE 66, scored 67. Stack appears to have levelled out with his scoring and value. This could be the ideal time to cash him in but as Richmond have the Round 14 bye you may want to hold him until after Round 12 or 13.

Corey Wagner — BE 27 scored 32. He got to his BE but not much past it and it was his lowest score, which will see his BE rise now.

Jay Lockhart — BE 27 scored 32. Lockhart had identical numbers to Wagner but his job security seems a lot better.

Callum Wilkie — BE 75 scored 78. He had a high BE but he got there. Still getting a game, may be worth holding for byes.

Matthew Parker — BE 90 scored 75. A great result as many people were forced to hold him. He will drop in value but he is another player that seems to be holding his spot.

Michael Gibbons — BE 68 scored 60. Gibbons has been a staple in our team and in the Carlton line-up. This is another guy that you may want to keep over the byes.

Sam Walsh — BE 106 scored 93. A good score from him but he is losing value, he won’t lose a lot and will provide cover. Perhaps wait until his bye before moving him out.

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ROOKIES ON THE BUBBLE

Darcy Fort — Scores of 105 and 51. A big range of scores there but if you were looking to trade out Reilly O’Brien, he would be someone you can look at. Just beware he shares his bye with Grundy and Gawn.

Billy Frampton — Scores of 62 and 25. Not an ideal second game from Billy and I wouldn’t go rushing him into your side on the back of that.

Ben King — Scores of 17 and 22. Judging by these first two games we don’t want to be bringing him in.

Oskar Baker — Scores of 41 and 57. Solid scoring but in a Melbourne side that are being beaten his job security is a concern. If you need a downgrade though he may be one of the better options this week.

Harrison Petty — Scores of 52 and 36. An option as a defender. Not ideal scoring but if you need a downgrade there he could be an option.

Isaac Cumming — Scores of 37 and 50. Much like Petty and Baker he is an option if you really need one but don’t expect big things.

Robbie Young — Scores of 69 and 17. Very hard to get a read on him from these two scores. It may be prudent to wait for a third score.

Marty Hore scored 116 points on Sunday. Picture: GettySTART HIM

We have moved the mark here as you start to have fewer rookies on field in your teams.

Marty Hore 116, Tom Atkins 115, Xavier Duursma 108, Liam Baker 105, Sam Walsh 93, Reilly O’Brien 91, Bailey Smith 88, Jordan Clark 85, Noah Balta 83, Callum Wilkie 78, Nick Larkey 77, Matthew Parker 75, Sydney Stack 67, Rupert Wills 66, Peter Ladhams 66, Connor Rozee 66, Liam Stocker 64.

SIT HIM

Although with a week like this unfortunately we had to play anyone that was selected in most instances.

Michal Gibbons 60, Callum Coleman-Jones 60, Josh Begley 59, Oskar Baker 57, Tarryn Thomas 56, Zak Butters 54, Jack Scrimshaw 52, Chayce Jones 52, Isaac Cumming 50, Brett Bewley 49, Josh Corbett 47, Nick Blakey 47, Shai Boltoon 45, Luke Davies-Uniacke 44, Chris Burgess 41, Darcy Fort 41, Jack Petruccelle 37, Harrison Petty 36, Gryan Miers 34, Corey Wagner 32, Jay Lockhart 32, Jack Lukosius 30, Billy Frampton 25, Ben King 22, Robbie Young 17.
 
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Doctor’s Orders: Nine bye tips to help your SuperCoach team get ahead

If you haven’t thought about the byes yet, don’t panic. But taking them seriously now will help you survive the next month and propel your SuperCoach side into the second half of the season.

Doctor SuperCoach, Herald Sun

Subscriber only

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May 28, 2019 1:56pm

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Deluca goes at pick one

AFL: Former Fremantle midfielder Josh Deluca was taken with the first pick by Carlton in the mi...

It’s the end of Round 10 and it’s time we start taking the byes seriously.

While you should have already put thought into your team structure for the upcoming byes, it is by no means season over if you are yet to put any plans into action.

The byes are actually the best chance all season to surge up the rankings, as a sound bye strategy will maximise your scoring potential during these weeks.

The expert team at Doctor SuperCoachhave put together some key tips to consider over the coming weeks.

Firstly, let’s talk basics. During the three-weeks spanning Round 12-14, six-teams each round have a week off to rest and recuperate. The 2019 byes are shown below:

ROUND 12: Essendon, Fremantle, Hawthorn, Port Adelaide, St Kilda, Western Bulldogs

ROUND 13: Brisbane, Collingwood, Geelong, Melbourne, Sydney, West Coast

ROUND 14: Adelaide, Carlton, GWS, Richmond, Gold Coast, North Melbourne

During the byes only your 18 highest scoring, on-field players count towards your weekly score. You can still loophole both captaincy and emergency options but it’s important to remember that your emergencies work the same as any other week. A forward emergency still cannot have their score counted for non-scoring defender.

The following tips are by no means ground-breaking; however, following them should put you on the path to success.

Tip 1: Plan your trades a week or more in advance

Many coaches trade on a week-by-week basis during the year, however, this can lead you into bye trouble. Specifically during the byes you should have some idea of which premium players you’re looking to bring in each week. A simple list of each premium you want to upgrade to each week will help prevent frivolous and impulsive trading.

Nat Fyfe will miss with the bye in Round 12.

Tip 2: Write a list of your predicted top scorers

This list should be your predicted top scorers in each line for the remainder of the year. Just because a player had a ripping start to the season doesn’t mean they are guaranteed to continue that form. In addition, some premiums will have a better post-bye fixture than pre-byes. That should present some undervalued players to jump on that will surge in the post-bye run home. Likewise, players with easier pre-bye fixtures tend to be overpriced for their post-bye run home. The most expensive or highest averaging player is rarely the same when comparing pre-bye and post-bye averages.

Tip 3: DPP flexibility is nice, but not a necessity

Coaches often get hung up on how many dual-position (DPP) links they can obtain in their team. However, picking a player for their DPP flexibility only works if they are a genuine top scorer in their line. Forgoing a DPP eligible player for a player with better scoring potential nearly always works in your favour long-term.

Tip 4: Hold rookies with the later bye

To help maximise your on-field availability it always helps to have rookies that play during the early bye rounds. You should have upgraded significant parts of your team by the final bye round so you shouldn’t be requiring a plethora of rookies to play in Round 14. This means you should attempt to hold on to the likes of Carlton and Richmond rookies like Michael Gibbons, Sydney Stack and Liam Baker to help during the early bye rounds.

Sam Walsh can provide solid midfield scores until Carlton’s Round 14 bye.

Tip 5: Hold off bringing in Round 12 premiums this week

It sounds controversial, but with their bye only one more round away, bringing in the likes of Travis Boak and Nat Fyfe this week will actually negatively affect your team’s scoring potential. That is because they will only play one of the next two weeks. Instead, wait until they have had their bye to help bolster your scoring potential during Rounds 13 and 14.

Tip 6: Value available premiums over available rookies

Most of our scoring comes from our premium players. For this reason we should prioritise having a consistent number of premiums available each week instead of having at least 18 available players. This is because a score generated from 14 premiums and four rookies is vastly different than the opposite ratio.

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Tip 7: Don’t spread your byes too evenly

Counter-intuitively, having a perfectly even spread of available players each week isn’t the best strategy to go into the byes with. The best plan of attack is to have progressively more players, especially rookies, having the later bye. This means you have more scoring potential in the earlier byes and by upgrading during the byes to players coming off the bye; naturally you will cover the holes caused by the later bye players. Done correctly, you should end up with more players available each round as the byes progress.

Tip 8: Don’t chase short-term fixes

Many coaches find themselves hung up over not having 18 available players in a given bye round. The trades you make during the byes should be to make your team better in the long-term.

If you only have 17 players available in any given bye round due to unforeseeable injuries or rests, don’t make the mistake of trading a rookie or a premium player sideways to bring that number up to 18. Instead, persevere with your planned out trading strategy to make your overall team stronger each week.

Lastly, there is always something we cannot predict during the byes. If 2018 taught us anything, it’s that even the best-laid plans can be brought undone by a surprise rest to a premium or rookie. Hold firm and focus on the big picture — which is to have a fully upgraded team when you come out the other side of the byes.

Get more expert tips from the Doctor SuperCoach team here and listen to their latest podcast below:
 
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NORTH MELBOURNE v RICHMOND

Friday 31 May, 7.50pm at Marvel Stadium

PREDICTED KANGAROOS 22:

B: Marley Williams, Scott D. Thompson, Jamie Macmillan

HB: Shaun Atley, Robbie Tarrant, Jasper Pittard

C: Jy Simpkin, Trent Dumont, Jared Polec

HF: Jed Anderson, Mason Wood, Kayne Turner

F: Jack Ziebell, Ben Brown, Tarryn Thomas

FOL: Todd Goldstein, Ben Cunnington, Shaun Higgins

I/C: Luke Davies-Uniacke, Luke McDonald, Nick Larkey, Cameron Zurhaar

PREDICTED TIGERS 22:

B: Ryan Garthwaite, David Astbury, Dylan Grimes

HB: Sydney Stack, Shane Edwards, Bachar Houli

C: Brandon Ellis, Dion Prestia, Kamdyn McIntosh

HF: Liam Baker, Shai Bolton, Daniel Rioli

F: Noah Balta, Tom J. Lynch, Jason Castagna

FOL: Ivan Soldo, Dustin Martin, Josh Caddy

I/C: Nick Vlastuin, Jack Higgins, Nathan Broad, Connor Menadue

Team tips: The Kangaroos team may be a hard one to crack into this week, after a strong 25-point win over the Western Bulldogs. But there’s one big difference this week: the coach. Rhys Shaw may have players that he wants to bring into the team, such as Nathan Hrovat and Aaron Hall, both of whom were strong in the VFL. Meanwhile, Ivan Soldo should return from suspension to play for Richmond, most likely at the expense of debutant Callum Coleman-Jones. Skipper Trent Cotchin (hamstring) could be a surprise inclusion, but is still probably a week away from returning.

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CALCULATED INTERNAL LEAK ENDED SCOTT’S CAREER: LYON

COLLINGWOOD v FREMANTLE

Saturday 1 June, 1.45pm at the MCG

PREDICTED MAGPIES 22:

B: Brayden Maynard, Jordan Roughead, Levi Greenwood

HB: Jack Crisp, Darcy Moore, Jeremy Howe

C: Steele Sidebottom, Scott Pendlebury, Tom Phillips

HF: Josh Thomas, Ben Reid, Jordan De Goey

F: Jaidyn Stephenson, Brody Mihocek, Chris Mayne

FOL: Brodie Grundy, Dayne Beams, Rupert Wills

I/C: Travis Varcoe, Adam Treloar, Callum L. Brown, Will Hoskin-Elliott

PREDICTED DOCKERS 22:

B: Joel Hamling, Alex Pearce, Luke Ryan

HB: Taylin Duman, Nathan Wilson, Brett Bewley

C: Sam Switkowski, Nat Fyfe, Bradley Hill

HF: Andrew Brayshaw, Brennan Cox, Connor Blakely

F: Michael Walters, Jesse Hogan, Brandon Matera

FOL: Rory Lobb, Darcy Tucker, David Mundy

I/C: Adam Cerra, Reece Conca, Ethan Hughes, Ed Langdon

Team tips: The Magpies have some big decisions to make ahead of their clash against the Dockers. Jordan De Goey (shin), Darcy Moore (leg) and Mason Cox (ankle) could all be included, although it’s unlikely the club will bring in all three at once. Travis Varcoe (suspension) is available, but Daniel Wells suffered what could be a season-ending knee injury and won’t feature. On the opposite side of the coin, Fremantle emerged with a clean bill of health from its thrilling one-point win over Brisbane and could go into this weekend’s match unchanged. In his return from a calf injury, Harley Bennell kicked two goals from 30 touches in the WAFL. It was a performance worthy of a recall, but the Dockers may prefer to take a conservative approach with their talented but injury-prone player.

AFL should punish Scott

2:15

GWS GIANTS v GOLD COAST SUNS

Saturday 1 June, 1.45pm at Giants Stadium

PREDICTED GIANTS 22:

B: Aidan Corr, Phil Davis, Nick Haynes

HB: Heath Shaw, Sam Taylor, Brett Deledio

C: Stephen Coniglio, Harry Perryman, Lachie Whitfield

HF: Matt de Boer, Harry Himmelberg, Toby Greene

F: Jeremy Finlayson, Jeremy Cameron, Sam J. Reid

FOL: Shane Mumford, Tim Taranto, Josh Kelly

I/C: Jacob Hopper, Brent Daniels, Adam Tomlinson, Adam Kennedy

PREDICTED SUNS 22:

B: Jarrod Harbrow, Chris Burgess, Charlie Ballard

HB: Nick Holman, Jack Hombsch, Lachie Weller

C: Jordan Murdoch, Jack Martin, Wil Powell

HF: Jack Lukosius, Peter Wright, Josh Corbett

F: Darcy MacPherson, Alex Sexton, Ben King

FOL: Jarrod Witts, David Swallow, Jack Bowes

I/C: Anthony Miles, Brayden Fiorini, Will Brodie, Jesse Joyce

Team tips: Aidan Corr should make his return from an ankle injury, with Isaac Cumming shaping as the player to lose his spot. Draftee Jackson Hately continues to bang down the door for selection, with a 36-disposal performance in the NEAFL. But it’s difficult to see which midfielder would make way for the youngster. Zac Langdon (foot) could also come into consideration if he can get through training. For the Suns, Ben Ainsworth (ankle) will need replacing after finishing the club’s loss to Geelong on crutches. Will Brodie and George Horlin-Smith starred in the NEAFL and will be strongly considered for selection, but Callum Ah Chee is more of a like-for-like replacement for Ainsworth. Despite this, Ah Chee only played his first game for the year last weekend because of a quad injury and is more than likely to build up fitness in the NEAFL.

Lyon's Scott leak theory

0:58

GEELONG CATS v SYDNEY SWANS

Saturday 1 June, 4.35pm at GMHBA Stadium

PREDICTED CATS 22:

B: Jake Kolodjashnij, Zach Tuohy, Tom Stewart

HB: Mark Blicavs, Harry Taylor, Mark O’Connor

C: Tom Atkins, Tim Kelly, Mitch Duncan

HF: Gary Rohan, Darcy Fort, Tom Hawkins

F: Cam Guthrie, Luke Dahlhaus, Brandan Parfitt

FOL: Rhys Stanley, Patrick Dangerfield, Joel Selwood

I/C: Jordan Clark, Gryan Miers, James Parsons, Jack Henry

PREDICTED SWANS 22:

B: Callum Mills, Lewis Melican, Dane Rampe

HB: Jake Lloyd, Aliir Aliir, Colin O’Riordan

C: Jordan Dawson, Tom Papley, Oliver Florent

HF: Ryan Clarke, Sam Reid, Tom McCartin

F: Will Hayward, Lance Franklin, Luke Parker

FOL: Callum Sinclair, George Hewett, Isaac Heeney

I/C: James Rowbottom, Jackson Thurlow, Nick Blakey, Robbie Fox

Team tips: Gary Ablett accepted a one-match suspension for striking Gold Coas opponent Anthony Miles and will miss this weekend’s clash against the Swans. But it’s not all doom and gloom for the Cats, with one Brownlow Medal winner replacing another in Patrick Dangerfield. The Swans will be without one of their co-captains, with the durable Josh Kennedy injuring his knee in his first game back since a quad complaint. Kieren Jack, James Rowbottom and Daniel Menzel are among the names that could come into the side. Rowbottom racked up 31 touches in the NEAFL, while Menzel booted five majors. Jack (hip) will face a fitness test later this week.
 
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BRISBANE LIONS v HAWTHORN

Saturday 1 June, 7.25pm at the Gabba

PREDICTED LIONS 22:

B: Luke Hodge, Harris Andrews, Daniel Rich

HB: Alex Witherden, Darcy Gardiner, Ryan Lester

C: Mitch Robinson, Lachie Neale, Hugh McCluggage

HF: Cam Rayner, Eric Hipwood, Lincoln McCarthy

F: Charles Cameron, Daniel McStay, Josh Walker

FOL: Oscar McInerney, Dayne Zorko, Rhys Mathieson

I/C: Stefan Martin, Jarryd Lyons, Mitchell Hinge, Noah Answerth

PREDICTED HAWKS 22:

B: James Sicily, James Frawley, Jarman Impey

HB: Ben Stratton, Tim O’Brien, Blake Hardwick

C: Tom Scully, Jaeger O’Meara, Ricky Henderson

HF: Luke Breust, Paul Puopolo, Shaun Burgoyne

F: Chad Wingard, Mitchell Lewis, Jack Gunston

FOL: Jonathon Ceglar, James Worpel, Liam Shiels

I/C: Harry Morrison, Conor Glass, Mark Pittonet, James Cousins

Team tips: Rhys Mathieson should return from suspension. On paper, you’d expect him to replace Lewis Taylor. But team balance could see Ryan Lester demoted. Cam Rayner and Lincoln McCarthy are both going through lean patches, particularly the former who has been hanging on to his spot by a thread. Hawthorn will almost certainly bring back emerging forward Mitchell Lewis (concussion). Lewis could be a straight swap for Jack Scrimshaw, who suffered a knee injury against Port Adelaide in Launceston. Coach Alastair Clarkson must consider whether he thinks Jonathan Ceglar can shoulder the ruck load against Stefan Martin, or if he needs the assistance of Mark Pittonet.

Will Scott coach again?

2:02

MELBOURNE v ADELAIDE CROWS

Saturday 1 June, 7.40pm at TIO Stadium

DEMONS PREDICTED 22:

B: Jay Lockhart, Sam Frost, Josh Wagner

HB: Marty Hore, Oscar McDonald, Jayden Hunt

C: Angus Brayshaw, Jack Viney, Billy Stretch

HF: Nathan Jones, Tom McDonald, Harrison Petty

F: Jeff Garlett, Tim Smith, Christian Petracca

FOL: Max Gawn, Corey Wagner, Clayton Oliver

I/C: James Harmes, Christian Salem, Bayley Fritsch, Oskar Baker

CROWS PREDICTED 22:

B: Alex Keath, Daniel Talia, Luke Brown

HB: Rory Atkins, Kyle Hartigan, Rory Laird

C: Brodie Smith, Brad Crouch, Wayne Milera

HF: Lachlan Murphy, Taylor Walker, Tom Lynch

F: David Mackay, Sam Jacobs, Eddie Betts

FOL: Reilly O’Brien, Rory Sloane, Cameron Ellis-Yolmen

I/C: Hugh Greenwood, Jordan Gallucci, Jake Kelly, Chayce Jones

Team tips: Christian Salem was a late withdrawal ahead of the Demons’ loss to GWS on Sunday at the MCG because of concussion. But Salem is expected to return to face the Crows, while Mitch Hannan (knee) could also return. Jordan Lewis won’t feature, after he was handed a one-week suspension for striking Williamstown’s Nick Mellington in the VFL. Jake Lever is probably a week away, after rolling his ankle in his second comeback match. Meanwhile, there could be changes galore at Adelaide, with David Mackay, Matt Crouch and Tom Lynch all pushing for selection, as are dumped duo Bryce Gibbs and Josh Jenkins.

Worsfold's tense presser

9:02

ST KILDA v PORT ADELAIDE

Sunday 2 June, Adelaide, 2.20pm Arena at Jiangwan Stadium

PREDICTED SAINTS 22:

B: Daniel McKenzie, Nathan Brown, Shane Savage

HB: Callum Wilkie, Josh Battle, Jonathon Marsh

C: Ed Phillips, Seb Ross, Jack Newnes

HF: Jack Billings, Josh Bruce, Hunter Clark

F: Dean Kent, Tim Membrey, Jade Gresham

FOLL: Rowan Marshall, Jack Steele, Jack Sinclair

I/C: Luke Dunstan, Blake Acres, Ben Long, Matt Parker

PREDICTED POWER 22:

B: Matthew Broadbent, Tom Clurey, Dan Houston

HB: Tom Jonas, Dougal Howard, Darcy Byrne-Jones

C: Xavier Duursma, Tom Rockliff, Karl Amon

HF: Robbie Gray, Justin Westhoff, Steven Motlop

F: Sam Gray, Paddy Ryder, Connor Rozee

FOLL: Scott Lycett, Sam Powell-Pepper, Travis Boak

I/C: Ryan Burton, Hamish Hartlett, Jarrod Lienert, Zak Butters

Team tips: It might be time for St Kilda to give first-round pick Hunter Clark a gig at senior level. Clark, who’s played three AFL games this season, had 29 disposals in the VFL on the weekend. He could come in for Robbie Young, who had a shocker against Carlton. The Power will take a 26-man squad to Shanghai, with Scott Lycett and Ryan Burton both strong chances to return. Lycett would replace Peter Ladhams, while Burton might come in for Kane Farrell. Tom Rockliff will also make the trip, despite suffering a hamstring injury, as will Hamish Hartlett, who’s a strong chance to play his first game since Round 5 last year. Hartlett kicked one goal from 18 disposals in his return SANFL game on the weekend.

Judd: Thomas was stupid

0:52

ESSENDON v CARLTON

Sunday 2 June, 3.20pm at the MCG

PREDICTED BOMBERS 22:

B: Jayden Laverde, Cale Hooker, Michael Hurley

HB: Andew McGrath, Patrick Ambrose, Adam Saad

C: Mason Redman, Zach Merrett, Josh Begley

HF: Conor McKenna, Mitch Brown, David Zaharakis

F: Shaun McKernan, Aaron Francis, Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti

FOLL: Tom Bellchambers, David Myers, Dyson Heppell

I/C: Darcy Parish, Matt Guelfi, Kyle Langford, Jordan Ridley

PREDICTED BLUES 22:

B: Kade Simpson, Jacob Weitering, Nic Newman

HB: Caleb Marchbank, Levi Casboult, Dale Thomas

C: Sam Walsh, Patrick Cripps, Sam Petrevski-Seton

HF: Charlie Curnow, Mitch McGovern, Ed Curnow

F: Michael Gibbons, Harry McKay, Will Setterfield

FOLL: Matthew Kreuzer, Paddy Dow, Zac Fisher

I/C: Liam Stocker, Lachie Plowman, Matt Kennedy, David Cuningham

Team tips: John Worsfold said Dylan Shiel’s hamstring wasn’t as bad as first thought, but it’s hard to see him getting up for Sunday’s game. Jake Stringer definitely won’t be there as his hamstring injury isn’t good. Expect Mitch Brown to come in for Stringer and David Myers, fresh off 25 VFL disposals, to make replace Shiel. And after a quiet game on Saturday night, Ben McNiece is unlikely to hold his spot, with Jordan Ridley the most likely to come in. Despite losing to St Kilda, Carlton showed great effort across the four quarters, with skill execution letting them down. Don’t expect Brendon Bolton to make too many rash changes — if any at all — but Will Setterfield is a chance to return after one goal and 23 disposals in the VFL.
 
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WEST COAST EAGLES v WESTERN BULLDOGS

Sunday 2 July, 5.20pm at Optus Stadium

PREDICTED EAGLES 22:

B: Shannon Hurn, Will Schofield, Brad Sheppard

HB: Liam Duggan, Jeremy McGovern, Tom Cole

C: Dom Sheed, Elliot Yeo, Mark Hutchings

HF: Jack Redden, Jack Darling, Willie Rioli

F: Liam Ryan, Josh Kennedy, Jamie Cripps

FOLL: Nathan Vardy, Luke Shuey, Andrew Gaff

I/C: Josh Smith, Oscar Allen, Jack Petruccelle, Lewis Jetta

PREDICTED BULLDOGS 22:

B: Jason Johannisen, Jackson Trengove, Hayden Crozier

HB: Caleb Daniel, Zaine Cordy, Easton Wood

C: Lachie Hunter, Tom Liberatore, Bailey Dale

HF: Clay Smith, Aaron Naughton, Sam Lloyd

F: Toby McLean, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Wallis

FOLL: Tim English, Josh Dunkley, Jack Macrae

I/C: Matt Suckling, Lukas Webb, Patrick Lipinski, Bailey Williams

Team tips: The Eagles will welcome back Lewis Jetta from suspension, with Jackson Nelson likely to make way. They also might be tempted to go in against the Bulldogs slightly smaller, meaning Josh Smith — who had 28 touches in the WAFL on the weekend — could replace Jake Waterman. For the Dogs, Ed Richards might be due for a stint in the VFL. Lukas Webb has been racking them up at VFL level — he’s averaged 20.7 touches from seven games — and he could be in the mix to play his first AFL game since Round 13 last year after a few injury setbacks with his neck.
 
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Market Watch: SuperCoach trade tips, key price moves after Round 10

It’s time to put the crosshairs on your big trade targets, and picking a left-field mid-pricer could be the way to land a Lachie Neale or Josh Kelly during the byes. Here’s how it works.

Al Paton, Herald Sun

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May 27, 2019 3:37pm

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FOXSPORTS2:38

Saints sneak past Blues

AFL: St Kilda have avoided a Round 10 upset by scraping past Carlton at the MCG.

The byes are around the corner, premiums are falling in price and SuperCoach players across the country are licking their lips ready to pounce on a bargain-priced Lachie Neale, Travis Boak or Clayton Oliver in a few weeks’ time.

It’s time to get the calculator out to figure out how you’re going to afford them.

Unfortunately, many of the most popular rookies haven’t exactly raked in the cash and trading in the likes of Michael Gibbons or Matty Parker won’t be enough on their own.

That means we need a longer-term plan involving trading multiple rookies over the next fortnight to build a bank for a shopping spree over the bye rounds (see our reviews of the available rookies below).

Or you could try a SuperCoach get-rich quick scheme in the form of a mid-price stepping stone.

That would involve trading in a player that you might not normally consider in SuperCoach in the hope of snagging a two or three-week cash injection — the kind of money that it might take Liam Stocker 10 rounds to make.

Take Magpie Chris Mayne for example. Fresh off a 124 against Sydney, his break even is down to -2 and he’s projected to rise about $50,000 before Collingwood’s Round 13 bye.

That is based on his season average of 80 and the profit could be a lot larger if Mayne keeps scoring the way he did on Friday night.

Tim Michell

✔@tim_michell

Who's brave enough to get Chris Mayne this week? Worst score 84 when not injured this year. Will be 340-350k #supercoach

9:57 PM - May 24, 2019

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The perfect scenario is to get him in as almost a straight swap for a player like Charlie Constable, watch him shoot up in value then trade him out again for a superstar like Neale in 3-4 weeks.

Chris Mayne has a key role in the Collingwood side. Picture: Michael Klein

It’s high risk but for SuperCoach players scratching for a way to get ahead, it could pay off.

A slightly less risky option is Port Adelaide defender Matthew Broadbent ($295,500 DEF) who has returned from the wilderness with scores of 52, 80 and 99. His break even is -3 and he should get close to $400,000 in the next month, which could help you get a player like Lachie Whitfield who might be out of reach otherwise.

Then there’s Saint Jade Gresham ($361,100 FWD), who scored 114 against the Blues. Annoyingly, like Broadbent he has a bye in Round 12.

ROUND 11 BUBBLE BOYS

Robbie Young (StK) $117,300 FWD | Avg 43 | BE -16

Barely touched it against Carlton after a great debut the week before. But unless Jarryn Geary makes a miraculous recovery for the China game, he should hold his spot.

Mitch Hinge (BL) $123,900 DEF | Avg 65 | BE -55

Looked very composed scoring 73 against the Dockers and seems a safe bet in defence. Has the bye in Round 13 which isn’t ideal.

Oskar Baker (Melb) $123,900 MID | Avg 49 | BE -24

A midfield rookie is handy for players looking to cash in a Constable, Jack Ross or Will Hayes type — no use holding those guys over the byes when you need every player available. Showed some spark and surely the Dees will give him more chances.

Darcy Fort (Geel) $117,300 RUCK | Avg 78 | BE -86

Couldn’t back up his ton on debut, scoring 51 against Gold Coast. Only really an option for owners of Reilly O’Brien who can cash him in and make almost $300k.

Demons midfielder Oskar Baker at training.

Jackson Hately (GWS) $148,800 MID | Avg 90 | BE -92

He had 36 disposals in the NEAFL but the GWS midfield is almost impossible to break into so don’t get your hopes up. The same goes for long-time bubble boys Josh Rotham (BE -80), Darragh Joyce (-53) and Tom Sparrow (BE -26).

ONE GAMERS

If we’re making medium or long-term trade plans, it pays to look ahead to which rookies will be available going into Round 12 — the first bye round.

Brett Bewley (Frem) $117,300 MID. Score: 49

Already in 15,000 teams, most of them from his promising pre-season. Finally cracked a debut and while he didn’t dominate, some very important touches late will hopefully convince Ross Lyon to persist.

RAGE TRADES: WHO’S ON CHOPPING BLOCK?

THE PHANTOM: MAKE BOAK YOUR NO.1 TARGET

LATE MAIL: TOP TRADE FAILS TO FIRE

Joe Atley (Port) $123,900 MID. Score: 66

Was dropped after his first game but did his best to push for a recall with 31 disposals in the SANFL — and the seniors weren’t great.

Callum Coleman-Jones (Rich) $123,900 RUCK/FWD. Score: 60

That ruck/fwd status would be handy if he was going to get more games but that seems highly unlikely with Ivan Soldo to return from suspension this week.

ROUND 10 STARS

165 Brodie Grundy

151 Sam Reid

149 Max Gawn

148 Josh Kelly

146 Scott Pendlebury

WEEKLY TOP SCORES

2648 Eddo’s Emus, James

2631 GoddessOfRhamnous, Warren

2626 Such Is Life, Tracy

2614 johnnybegood, John

2607 Heeney In a Bottle, Ronan

OVERALL LEADERS

23,014 Ryder2Gray, Adam

22,932 DreamTeam, Adrian

22,797 BroomBoomAfridi, Rohan

22,774 Holt, Brad

22,774 The Dahl House, Sam

THIS WEEK’S WINNING TEAM

Team: Eddo’s Emus

Coach: James

Score: 2648

This week's top-scoring SuperCoach line-up.PLAYER OF THE WEEK: BRODIE GRUNDY

Grundy monstered Callum Sinclair on his way to a season and round-high 165 SuperCoach points. He won the hitout battle 56-19 in ruck contests against Sinclair, winning the hitouts-to-advantage 14-4. Grundy also had 18 disposals, 14 contested possessions, eight tackles and seven clearances.

CHAMPION DATA MARKET WATCH

Jake Lloyd

A final term burst propelled Lloyd to 115 SuperCoach points last round against Collingwood from 92 per cent game time. He did most of the damage on the spread, with 105 of his points recorded post-clearance. Lloyd finished with 29 effective disposals, 20 uncontested possessions, two clearances and 567 metres gained.

Todd Goldstein

Goldstein led the Kangaroos to a hard-fought win over the Bulldogs with a season-high 140 SuperCoach points. He comprehensively won the ruck battle against Tim English, winning the hitouts-to-advantage 6-1 and finishing with 28 disposals, 14 contested possessions and six clearances from 90 per cent game time.

Clayton Oliver

Oliver became Matt De Boer’s latest victim, finishing with a season-low 53 SuperCoach points against GWS. He also had 17 disposals, four uncontested possessions, four clearances and seven tackles from 90 per cent game time. To make matters worse, Oliver also gave away four free kicks – his equal-most in any game in 2019.

YOUNG GUN: NOAH BALTA

Balta’s renaissance continued as he scored 83 SuperCoach points against Essendon, spiking in price by $51,700 along the way. He finished with season-highs of 18 disposals, 16 contested possessions, seven clearances and five tackles from 78 per cent game time. He was also involved in four scoring chains.
 
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Five strategies to have SuperCoach success during the AFL’s three bye rounds

Is SuperCoach league glory or a tilt at the No. 1 ranking your priority? Whatever your target is, the three bye rounds will be vital to your prospects. Here’s five ways you can ensure you are successful.

Tim Michell, Herald Sun

May 29, 2019 12:42pm

HERALDSUN5:46

AFL Mid-season draft 2019 wrap

Jay Clark and Jon Ralph take a look the winners from the Mid-season draft and what it means for...

It takes months of planning to avoid SuperCoach carnage in the next four weeks.

But as any coach will tell you, even the best-laid plans can go awry when selection, injuries and the dreaded mid-season rest are factored in.

How you attack rounds 12 to 14 of the SuperCoach season — the AFL byes — should be determined by your motivations.

If you’re in line for the ultimate rankings prize, you need to use the next three weeks to either preserve your standing or make a move.

Should your team sit in the top-200 but not close enough to mount a genuine challenge, the byes are the time to throw caution to the wind and bring in top scorers who don’t feature in the majority of the top-20 teams.

TRADE GUIDE: WHICH PLAYERS SHOULD YOU TARGET IN ROUND 11?

MID-SEASON DRAFT: EVERY ROOKIES PRICE REVEALED

WHISPERS: WILL ROCKLIFF, DANGER BE FIT TO RETURN?

It’s a risk-reward strategy which could spell the end of your hopes or rocket you towards the top.

If league glory is your target, there are several ways you can play the next few weeks.

The most important factor is assessing who you’re up against.

If your team has the three sides you face during the byes covered without trading, you might be able to preserve trades for the run home and finals.

If you need league wins to stay in contention for a top-eight finish, capitalise on your three trades each week by bringing in premium scorers.

HERE’S FIVE WAYS YOU CAN TACKLE THE BYES:Nat Fyfe will be a popular trade option after he has a bye in Round 12.

1. PLAN WEEKS IN ADVANCE

If you had a long-term plan to be prepared for the byes, the next month should be when it pays off. Most coaches will target players who have the Round 14 bye (GWS, Carlton, Richmond, Gold Coast, North Melbourne and Adelaide) in Round 12. Those players will then be available to cover the opening two weeks of the byes and you will have six trades to compensate for their absence in Round 14. After Round 12, your priority should be trading in players who have had their bye. Ahead of Round 13, target players from Port Adelaide (Travis Boak), Fremantle (Nat Fyfe), Essendon (Zach Merrett), Hawthorn (James Sicily), St Kilda (Jack Billings) and Western Bulldogs (Jack Macrae). Leave some money spare in your bank, as Lachie Neale, Max Gawn, Brodie Grundy, Elliot Yeo, Adam Treloar, Clayton Oliver and a host of stars will feature for the rest of the year after their Round 13 bye.

2. CONCEDE VICTORY IN ONE ROUND

We don’t condone tanking. But if you are sitting pretty in your league and only need two wins from the three bye rounds to maintain your position, this strategy can pay off. It effectively means trading in top-liners such as Lachie Neale, Adam Treloar and Elliot Yeo early and conceding you will score poorly in Round 13. With these players available for both Round 12 and Round 14, you would be banking on picking up wins in these rounds to compensate for a poor score in Round 13. It will cost you dearly in the rankings but could set you up to charge home in leagues. However, it could backfire spectacularly if your team loses in rounds where you have pencilled in a win.

Coaches will be desperate to secure Lachie Neale after his Round 13 bye. Picture: AAP Image/Darren England.

3. BANK MONEY IN ROUND 12

You want to be as close to a team full of premiums as possible by the end of the bye rounds and banking cash in preparation for a trade heist is the best way to load your side with top guns. Trading Sam Walsh (Round 14 bye) to Lachie Neale (Round 13) will be a popular move in the last round of the byes, but this will cost you about $200,000. You need to have money in the bank to make premium upgrades. A move to facilitate this type of trade could be downgrading a mid-pricer to Fremantle’s Brett Bewley, who will be on the bubble after Round 12 and should play during the last two byes. It’s important you don’t leave yourself without any money at the end of each bye round as it could cost you a premium the next week.

4. BE PREPARED NOT TO FIELD 18 PLAYERS EACH WEEK

Short-term thinking can cost you dearly in SuperCoach. As nice as it would be to have Lachie Neale in Round 12, if you trade a player such as Marcus Bontempelli or Jack Macrae to the No. 1 scorer, you’ll only pay the next week when Brisbane Lions have the bye. If you’ve got enough premium players on field, you might get away with only fielding 16 or 17 players one week. After all, a Patrick Dangerfield 120 — for example — equals a 60 score from two rookies.

Patrick Dangerfield’s score could be enough to cover two rookies in league matches. Picture: AAP Image/Julian Smith.

5. ASSESS EACH OF YOUR LEAGUE MATCHES BEFORE TRADING

If you’re running low on trades (16 or less), you need to take a look at who you are playing in the league match-ups which matter and whether you can afford to hold trades. If you’re struggling on a Saturday or a Sunday of the byes, you can always use your three trades then due to the rolling lockout to secure a league win. If you’re up against a team which is missing a host of players in a bye round where you have 17 or 18 players, bank on them securing victory and use the three trades later in the season when other coaches are running dangerously low. It could ultimately be what wins you a final.
 

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Market Watch: SuperCoach trade tips, key price moves after Round 10

CHAMPION DATA MARKET WATCH

Jake Lloyd

A final term burst propelled Lloyd to 115 SuperCoach points last round against Collingwood from 92 per cent game time. He did most of the damage on the spread, with 105 of his points recorded post-clearance. Lloyd finished with 29 effective disposals, 20 uncontested possessions, two clearances and 567 metres gained.

Todd Goldstein

Goldstein led the Kangaroos to a hard-fought win over the Bulldogs with a season-high 140 SuperCoach points. He comprehensively won the ruck battle against Tim English, winning the hitouts-to-advantage 6-1 and finishing with 28 disposals, 14 contested possessions and six clearances from 90 per cent game time.

Clayton Oliver

Oliver became Matt De Boer’s latest victim, finishing with a season-low 53 SuperCoach points against GWS. He also had 17 disposals, four uncontested possessions, four clearances and seven tackles from 90 per cent game time. To make matters worse, Oliver also gave away four free kicks – his equal-most in any game in 2019.

YOUNG GUN: NOAH BALTA

Balta’s renaissance continued as he scored 83 SuperCoach points against Essendon, spiking in price by $51,700 along the way. He finished with season-highs of 18 disposals, 16 contested possessions, seven clearances and five tackles from 78 per cent game time. He was also involved in four scoring chains.
Wonder if those stats are just against T English as Goldy finished with 12 HTA in comparison to English's 2 (via AFL Stats Pro).
 
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