Analysis BBL|10 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

[Darkie]

Round 2 / Game 2 update (#6):

Notes:
- Fraser-McGurk and Holland can't go below 42k ...
- Any player that did not play won't receive the predictions (Prestwidge)
- No X factor players were used this game ...

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Thanks @Tails - this could be quite formative given their upcoming joint DGR!

 

[Tails]

Round 2 / Game 3 update (#7):

Notes:
- Holt can't go below 42k ...
- Any player that did not play won't receive the predictions (Bartlett, Milenko, and Wood)
- No X factor players were used this game ...

 

[Tails]

Round 2 / Game 4 update (#8):

Notes:
- Both teams have completed their DGR ...
- Two X factor players were used (Briggs bowled 1 over and out for M Short) and (Botha out for M Wright)

 

[Herbie66]

So do they count Botha as a game played even though he didn't register a score ?

 

[Tails]

So do they count Botha as a game played even though he didn't register a score ?

I've just updated the above tables ... as the scores from both Nielsen and Short will count ...

- More of a "visual" formatting issue than anything else ...

 

[Darkie]

Yikes! Down 70k on my Canes and Strikers, many of whom now have tough BEs as well. That’s going to be tough to make back.

 

[Tails]

So do they count Botha as a game played even though he didn't register a score ?

I don't believe so as he took no part in the match ..

 

[Tails]

Yikes! Down 70k on my Canes and Strikers, many of whom now have tough BEs as well. That’s going to be tough to make back.

Tell me about it ... previous winners have said cash gen not important v points on the board ...

- might be a different scenario this year ...

 

[Sideshow Bob]

Thanks tails, $10k to go from Handscombe to Mcdermott still sounds like a great deal....

 

[Herbie66]

@Tails

What would Worrall's price be if he scored back to back 35's in Round 3 ?

Cheers

 

[Tails]

@Tails

What would Worrall's price be if he scored back to back 35's in Round 3 ?

Cheers

Prior to adjusting the MN I would estimate $116,883 ...

Was looking at him too but think I've missed the boat as that 129 will roll out of his last three scores ...

 

[Darkie]

Worrall is one I’ve looked at as well for his cash gen.

I recall that SC used to make an error and take the first game of the DGR, rather than the second, for price change purposes when only one is to be used.

I can’t recall whether this persists, but (1) Worrall becomes more viable if it does, and (2) if it does, SC Gold breakevens might help confirm that for us (assuming there’s not an error there as well!).

Might be Gold’s main use, given the quality of info in this thread 🙂

 

[Herbie66]

Prior to adjusting the MN I would estimate $116,883 ...

Was looking at him too but think I've missed the boat as that 129 will roll out of his last three scores ...

So he will actually lose money with 35 & 35 ?

After Round 2 you have him $ 118,775.00 with a BE of -51

Not much point chasing him then.

 

[Woosie]

Prior to adjusting the MN I would estimate $116,883 ...

Was looking at him too but think I've missed the boat as that 129 will roll out of his last three scores ...

If you don't mind me asking, what was the MN for round 1?

 

[Tails]

If you don't mind me asking, what was the MN for round 1?

I used 2863 ....

 

[Tails]

So he will actually lose money with 35 & 35 ?

After Round 2 you have him $ 118,775.00 with a BE of -51

Not much point chasing him then.

Yep ... I triple checked my figures because it didn't seem right .... I will be probably bypassing him and focus on a few others I like ...

Not a big deal for me as he was never in my initial plans anyway ...

 

[Herbie66]

Yep ... I triple checked my figures because it didn't seem right .... I will be probably bypassing him and focus on a few others I like ...

Not a big deal for me as he was never in my initial plans anyway ...

Completely surprised me when I saw it , I was expecting to see him pushing to $ 150k.

Wasn't in my plans , so good luck to those that benefitted from his batting cameo.

 

[Woosie]

I used 2863 ....

Thanks - I have no idea what I'm doing but trying to figure it all out. I randomly picked 2879 from the starting figures

 

[Tails]

Round 2 / Game 5 update (#9):

Notes:
- Match was abandoned due to weather .... PER got a full innings in batting wise and MELS had limited batting overs (7 balls)
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- One X factor player was used by MELS (O'Connell bowled 1 over and out for Dunk)

 

[Tails]

Round 2 combined summary: