Discussion 2022: Rate My Team

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Essendon
J Lloyd, J Ridley, J Short, K Coleman, G McDonagh, C Dean.
(W Gould, B Uwland.)

J Macrae, J Steele, T Mitchell, S Walsh, L Neale, M Rowell, C Constable, N Daicos.
(M Roberts, G Clark, R McComb.)

S Darcy, J Witts. (C Comben.)

I Heeney, Z Butters, J Gresham, C Rayner, S Coniglio, C Curnow.
(E Hollands, C Parker.)

6.3k remaining.
Having issues with D4, M4, and F4. With $1.185,200 to spend, I'm trying to come up with a better combo than Coleman, Walsh and Rayner.
 
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Adelaide
J Lloyd, J Ridley, J Short, K Coleman, G McDonagh, C Dean.
(W Gould, B Uwland.)

J Macrae, J Steele, T Mitchell, S Walsh, L Neale, M Rowell, C Constable, N Daicos.
(M Roberts, G Clark, R McComb.)

S Darcy, J Witts. (C Comben.)

I Heeney, Z Butters, J Gresham, C Rayner, S Coniglio, C Curnow.
(E Hollands, C Parker.)

6.3k remaining.
Having issues with D4, M4, and F4. With $1.185,200 to spend, I'm trying to come up with a better combo than Coleman, Walsh and Rayner.
Coleman, Walsh, Rayner, Gresh
To
Dunks, Touk, 123k rookie, 117k rookie.
 
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Collingwood
J Lloyd, J Ridley, J Short, K Coleman, G McDonagh, C Dean.
(W Gould, B Uwland.)

J Macrae, J Steele, T Mitchell, S Walsh, L Neale, M Rowell, C Constable, N Daicos.
(M Roberts, G Clark, R McComb.)

S Darcy, J Witts. (C Comben.)

I Heeney, Z Butters, J Gresham, C Rayner, S Coniglio, C Curnow.
(E Hollands, C Parker.)

6.3k remaining.
Having issues with D4, M4, and F4. With $1.185,200 to spend, I'm trying to come up with a better combo than Coleman, Walsh and Rayner.
11-8-11 massive fan of trying that starting structure , looks as good as any at this stage of the year
 

min0008

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1st attempt
T Stewart, L Whitfield, J Sicily, L Aleer, J Van Rooyen, G McDonagh (W Gould, C Dean)

J Macrae, J Steele, C Oliver, A Brayshaw, L Neale, J Horne-Francis, N Daicos, J Sinn (Z Taylor, G Clark, C Parker)

M Gawn, R Marshall (J Williams)

J Dunkley, M Duncan, Z Butters, S Coniglio, C Curnow, J Motlop (J Rachele, E Hollands)
3.4k remaining
 
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I guess once the Rookies situation becomes clearer we will all know how many we can field safely.
For sure, I went 13-0-17 last year, didn't work but that was probably because I started an all rookie ruckline. Even so, I had real problems finding enough rookies, particularly on the bench, felt like I was scraping the bottom of the barrel trying to fill those last 5-6 rookie spots.

So this year looking at:

DEF: 3-2-1
MID: 5-0-3
RUC: 0-2-0
FWD: 4-1-1
 
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Screenshot_20220126-172702_Brave.jpg
A current iteration...

Was a bit more mid-pricey but have swung back to 13 premiums and mostly "rookies" (if you count Butters and English as FWD prems). There's fat to play with in Berry/Curnow types if the cash is needed for rookies or D5.

I call this setup "Preuss ready", because he can slot in at R2 by juggling out any mid or forward rookie :cool:.
 
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For sure, I went 13-0-17 last year, didn't work but that was probably because I started an all rookie ruckline. Even so, I had real problems finding enough rookies, particularly on the bench, felt like I was scraping the bottom of the barrel trying to fill those last 5-6 rookie spots.

So this year looking at:

DEF: 3-2-1
MID: 5-0-3
RUC: 0-2-0
FWD: 4-1-1
I am certainly no expert on rookies , have about 25-40 written down on a piece of paper that I have seen mentioned here and other sites.

Whether any/all will play Round 1 absolutely no idea.

One advantage I guess of using a lot of $ 200-300k players in RMT in January is it is then easier to adjust downwards to rookies once they are confirmed to play Round 1.

I do like the look of the 2 or 3 - 4 - 2 - 2 starting structure at this early stage , could easily go 0-6-2 up forward as well by the looks of things.
 
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I am certainly no expert on rookies , have about 25-40 written down on a piece of paper that I have seen mentioned here and other sites.

Whether any/all will play Round 1 absolutely no idea.

One advantage I guess of using a lot of $ 200-300k players in RMT in January is it is then easier to adjust downwards to rookies once they are confirmed to play Round 1.

I do like the look of the 2 or 3 - 4 - 2 - 2 starting structure at this early stage , could easily go 0-6-2 up forward as well by the looks of things.
0-6-2 Fwd is ballsy, I'm seeing quite a bit of value there though, with De Goey, Butters, Heeney and Thomas in that group, FWIW I have 3 of them at F2-4 and Cogs at F5
 
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0-6-2 Fwd is ballsy, I'm seeing quite a bit of value there though, with De Goey, Butters, Heeney and Thomas in that group, FWIW I have 3 of them at F2-4 and Cogs at F5
I guess it comes down to who may or may not get assigned F status when they do the first lot of DPP assignments.

Like I said earlier the Top 6 forwards for the year might not even have F status at the moment

Would want to be 110% sure that Bailey , Butters , De Goey , Graham , Heeney , Thomas etc etc are guaranteed of taking that next step and being Top 6-8 forwards.

Even without the added F status (if they stay on the park) Duncan , Dunkley , Hawkins , Martin & Taranto are probably filling 5 places so not much room for the others.

I will probably debate Dunkley & Duncan v De Goey & Heeney for the next 49 days , don't mind Gresham , Coniglio & Curnow at F3-5.

Not keen on Rayner , unsure on Brodie or W Rioli , Coleman & D Rioli are definitely in my plans whether or not I start then D or F.

Seen McGovern's name mentioned , haven't had a good look at other possibilities yet.

Bowey & Campbell are of some interest in D at similar price range.

de Koning , Kelly , Skinner possibly open up the D/F link but might even be better as rookie downgrade targets.

My brain keeps switching between cricket and football at the moment so not yet 100% switched into AFL SC mode
 
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I guess it comes down to who may or may not get assigned F status when they do the first lot of DPP assignments.

Like I said earlier the Top 6 forwards for the year might not even have F status at the moment

Would want to be 110% sure that Bailey , Butters , De Goey , Graham , Heeney , Thomas etc etc are guaranteed of taking that next step and being Top 6-8 forwards.

Even without the added F status (if they stay on the park) Duncan , Dunkley , Hawkins , Martin & Taranto are probably filling 5 places so not much room for the others.

I will probably debate Dunkley & Duncan v De Goey & Heeney for the next 49 days , don't mind Gresham , Coniglio & Curnow at F3-5.

Not keen on Rayner , unsure on Brodie or W Rioli , Coleman & D Rioli are definitely in my plans whether or not I start then D or F.

Seen McGovern's name mentioned , haven't had a good look at other possibilities yet.

Bowey & Campbell are of some interest in D at similar price range.

de Koning , Kelly , Skinner possibly open up the D/F link but might even be better as rookie downgrade targets.

My brain keeps switching between cricket and football at the moment so not yet 100% switched into AFL SC mode
I'm having a bit of trouble with the DEF line so starting Rioli and Coleman at F4 & F5, particularly if 1 or 2 of De Koning, Kelly or Skinner are named rnd 1 adds that bit of security covering potential outs.

I reckon it's worthwhile taking a punt on those value FWD's, with the DPP changes at rnd 6 and more importantly rnd 12 (coming into the byes) there's considerable opportunity to slingshot to those guys that gain FWD status particularly with the extra 5 trades. If you needed to you could have 12 trades to use over those 3 rnds.

There's ?? on how Dunkley, Duncan, Hawkins, Martin and Taranto go, so I'm willing to start 1 of them and see how the others perform.
 
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SC Team v3.0.PNG

The third iteration of my lineup.

I feel this version is a fair bit more balanced than the others. Starting with the backline, I've swapped out Crisp, Whitfield & Sinn for Hall, Hewett & Coleman. Hall's last half of 2021 is ignorable (he's undervalued) whereas I felt Crisp is probably priced to his maximum at present. Whitfield changes place with Hewett (who should be more durable) and I'm hoping that Hewett's role at Carlton is SC conducive like the way he finished off 2021 too with the Swans. Having Coleman at D5 gives me comfort as he can easily be swapped into a forward role if the defender rookies present themselves and forward rooks don't show. I must admit I didn't see too much of his end to last year & that I'm going off the guidance of others around here.

The midfield hasn't changed too much, although Mitchell Walsh & Dunks have been swapped out for Miller, Tracc & Brayshaw. I've also added Jye Caldwell to M6 as I feel that if he can get an injury uninterrupted run he presents great value at 266k. In saying this, if another gun rookie mid I've left out stamps themselves during the preseason matches then he's an easy downgrade & frees up some more cash. Tracc & Brayshaw both feel like value for me as I see them improving on last year's averages although I don't think either are topliners in terms of season's best mids. The only injury risk on this line is Caldwell I feel. Neale I'm trusting to be good to go by Round 1 after last year's debacle.

Now to the forwards. English, De Goey & Gresham make way for Heeney, Butters & Willie Rioli. Rather than relying on English as ruck coverage, I'll have to see how Marshall goes at earning a DPP to cover both Darcy & McInerny. Butters replaces Gresham as the injury risk along the forward line and I think that Willie Rioli is a forgotten gem along the east coast. West Coast is mooted to be introducing a game plan that moves the ball faster forward & I think that he'll be a great beneficiary of the change. I've no concerns over his fitness & body as he's a naturally fit human and come back looking in good nick. There's a stat somewhere that he covered the second most k's of any Eagle in their GF win. In any sense, I think he's worth considering. I'm betting on Heeney, Butters & Conigs (if he lasts, or any of em for that matter) filling in F4, F5 & F6 come season's end.

Realistically, this side needs 10 players upgraded (3-3-1-3) although the midpriced players I'm banking on needing upgrading are Hewett, Coleman, Caldwell, McInerny & Rioli. All should score well enough in the interim. There's not much money left over to upgrade to better rookies so that may pinch come Round 1, but I feel the balance of what I have here is pretty good. Going light in the forward line gives me the chance to have a look at which players may get a change of position and be worth pursuing up forward.

I guess this is a very midpriced team as there are only 5 rookies starting on the field. I like it & think it'll stack up.
 
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First Draft after opening...

View attachment 38731


Backs

Lloyd - As much of a lock as I have at this point.
Hall - Struggle to get him out, upside is huge.
Whitfield - It's a value play that I don't love.
Coleman - Like him as a stepping stone with very low end keeper potential.
Rookies - Pure placeholders, don't like the low prices but have spent elsewhere to compensate.

I'd ideally like a Rioli/Coleman type at D3 if the rookies will float my way as I don't really like the premiums this year from a value prospect. I like the crop but I can't really pick between them so I'd rather be picking the value in season with more evidence than guessing preseason when I think there is far better value in the mids and forwards to be had and better certainty if I'm going that path.

Mids

Touk - Love him as a player but there's a ton of options here for sure.
Walsh - I like a few of the more expensive guys a bit more but think he's got value, just think the kid is a superstar.
Petracca - He closed last year out big after moving back to the midfield once Brown was back to play forward. Probably my most locked mid at this point. 123 over his last 8, goes up to 127 if your throw in his finals efforts. Just reckon Charlie is in his sights this year.
Neale - Preseason sounds very promising, last years was wrecked and he never recovered but he's still a stud and expecting big things. Also pretty locked at this point.
Berry - If he's fit and firing he's an 85+ guy who I considered before last year's preseason debacle as a genuine breakout contender. I rate him seriously highly. Keeper is an outside chance again here but realistically he's so cheap it matters not.

Rookies - All placeholders, spent up here for flexibility mostly but do expect I will be spending the extra on the top two.

Rucks

Darcy - I think he's the most likley to go 130+ of the rucks right now. That holds down to 120+.
Grundy - I don't love it and if a better value play comes along I'll take it most likely but he's second on my 120 and 125+ lists.
Preuss - Will watch, I'd rather he's at R2 at that price, if there's a rookie I'd rather go that path.

Definitely the area I don't like the cash being in this year because I'm struggling to trust the Grundy/Gawn pairing and don't see the upside on NicNat.

Forwards

De Goey - Subject to change but rate his upside too highly.
Thomas - Not as high a ceiling but underpriced and like him at 95+, which for me is where I see the fringe F6 guys being as long as you took the value to get there. I think 100 is the true F6 this year and it certainly could be 105+ given the names in the mix and likelihood of a few mids/rucks also getting it throughout the season, the position changes change the acceptable thresholds quite quickly.
Heeney - Should be 95+, capable of 115+, at low 80s, I like that value prop.
Butters - Probably the least sold on him of the 4, if I can weasel out of Grundy I dare say he becomes Dunkley/Duncan, but I like him for 90+, which wouldn't be acceptable but would not be the end of the world and he's certainly capable of going 100+.
Coniglio - For me he's a lock if he's fit, out of position and copping injuries he's a 91+ scorer for the past 6 years, when his body holds up and/or he plays the right positions he's a 105+ guy. Given he's priced at 75+ as his par mark, those are outstanding potential outcomes.

Rookies - Placeholding.

Love the forwards this year, I can see a solid 10 I feel confident starting and believe can go 100+. Preseason will dictate this to a huge extent.
I only count 9 players that I would count as true premiums.
The first 4 fwds I like but all have some concerns - I think picking one of Dunkley/ Duncan & 2 of those 4 would be a better balance.
Any reason for no Charlie Curnow? I get serious Joe Daniher vibes from last year with him.
 
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First Draft after opening...

View attachment 38731


Backs

Lloyd - As much of a lock as I have at this point.
Hall - Struggle to get him out, upside is huge.
Whitfield - It's a value play that I don't love.
Coleman - Like him as a stepping stone with very low end keeper potential.
Rookies - Pure placeholders, don't like the low prices but have spent elsewhere to compensate.

I'd ideally like a Rioli/Coleman type at D3 if the rookies will float my way as I don't really like the premiums this year from a value prospect. I like the crop but I can't really pick between them so I'd rather be picking the value in season with more evidence than guessing preseason when I think there is far better value in the mids and forwards to be had and better certainty if I'm going that path.

Mids

Touk - Love him as a player but there's a ton of options here for sure.
Walsh - I like a few of the more expensive guys a bit more but think he's got value, just think the kid is a superstar.
Petracca - He closed last year out big after moving back to the midfield once Brown was back to play forward. Probably my most locked mid at this point. 123 over his last 8, goes up to 127 if your throw in his finals efforts. Just reckon Charlie is in his sights this year.
Neale - Preseason sounds very promising, last years was wrecked and he never recovered but he's still a stud and expecting big things. Also pretty locked at this point.
Berry - If he's fit and firing he's an 85+ guy who I considered before last year's preseason debacle as a genuine breakout contender. I rate him seriously highly. Keeper is an outside chance again here but realistically he's so cheap it matters not.

Rookies - All placeholders, spent up here for flexibility mostly but do expect I will be spending the extra on the top two.

Rucks

Darcy - I think he's the most likley to go 130+ of the rucks right now. That holds down to 120+.
Grundy - I don't love it and if a better value play comes along I'll take it most likely but he's second on my 120 and 125+ lists.
Preuss - Will watch, I'd rather he's at R2 at that price, if there's a rookie I'd rather go that path.

Definitely the area I don't like the cash being in this year because I'm struggling to trust the Grundy/Gawn pairing and don't see the upside on NicNat.

Forwards

De Goey - Subject to change but rate his upside too highly.
Thomas - Not as high a ceiling but underpriced and like him at 95+, which for me is where I see the fringe F6 guys being as long as you took the value to get there. I think 100 is the true F6 this year and it certainly could be 105+ given the names in the mix and likelihood of a few mids/rucks also getting it throughout the season, the position changes change the acceptable thresholds quite quickly.
Heeney - Should be 95+, capable of 115+, at low 80s, I like that value prop.
Butters - Probably the least sold on him of the 4, if I can weasel out of Grundy I dare say he becomes Dunkley/Duncan, but I like him for 90+, which wouldn't be acceptable but would not be the end of the world and he's certainly capable of going 100+.
Coniglio - For me he's a lock if he's fit, out of position and copping injuries he's a 91+ scorer for the past 6 years, when his body holds up and/or he plays the right positions he's a 105+ guy. Given he's priced at 75+ as his par mark, those are outstanding potential outcomes.

Rookies - Placeholding.

Love the forwards this year, I can see a solid 10 I feel confident starting and believe can go 100+. Preseason will dictate this to a huge extent.
We think about players quite similarly, and my first draft is eerily similar. I have one deeper in the mids, one less in the forwards. Also my mid premos go Macrae/Steele/Walsh/Petracca/Neale - but you can basically throw a blanket over most these guys, I'm not particularly wedded to any of them except Neale and Steele..... (e.g. swap in Oliver, Miller, Bont, Titch etc, and you don't upset the apple cart).

Also have Crisp & Ridley over Hall & Lloyd but again could go either way there.


The only thing that really surprises me is the forwards..... (I have Tarryn Thomas at F3. Will ruminate over Thomas v Heeney).
I'm of the opinion that Dunkley and Duncan are two of the easiest starting picks this year. There's not a forward on the list that can score like Dunkley. He's a realistic 120+ player and can legitimately burn non-starters in a way that not many can. Priced at 102, that's money for old rope.
And and Duncan to me is just a no-brainer. I suspect he'll play a lot of that quarterback role this year. He's the best kick at Geelong, they'll be shifting the ball into his hands as much as possible to play that distributor role, and I don't buy into the durability concerns. Sign me up for 21 @ 108
 
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We think about players quite similarly, and my first draft is eerily similar. I have one deeper in the mids, one less in the forwards. Also my mid premos go Macrae/Steele/Walsh/Petracca/Neale - but you can basically throw a blanket over most these guys, I'm not particularly wedded to any of them except Neale and Steele..... (e.g. swap in Oliver, Miller, Bont, Titch etc, and you don't upset the apple cart).

Also have Crisp & Ridley over Hall & Lloyd but again could go either way there.


The only thing that really surprises me is the forwards..... (I have Tarryn Thomas at F3. Will ruminate over Thomas v Heeney).
I'm of the opinion that Dunkley and Duncan are two of the easiest starting picks this year. There's not a forward on the list that can score like Dunkley. He's a realistic 120+ player and can legitimately burn non-starters in a way that not many can. Priced at 102, that's money for old rope.
And and Duncan to me is just a no-brainer. I suspect he'll play a lot of that quarterback role this year. He's the best kick at Geelong, they'll be shifting the ball into his hands as much as possible to play that distributor role, and I don't buy into the durability concerns. Sign me up for 21 @ 108
I think the burn factor of Dunkley is the reason he's in my team at F1.
In all of SC currently there are only a handful of players (10 maybe?) that have ever played a full season and averaged 115+ or look like they might be able to do it this year.

One of those is 25 years old and available as a forward. If he goes bang it's going be fun lining him up as a POD against the likes of De Goey every week :ROFLMAO:
 
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With Dunkley I don't think I'll select him. He's one of my favourite players, unfortunately, the coach has a lot to say about his role. Was on fire rounds 1-6 averaging 129 last year. I brought him in round 18 for an 87, then went DNP, 65, 75. Then in finals 61 and 66. If he plays on ball, then he does have a high average. Playing on ball in patches and up forward, not so much. He doesn't seem to be totally comfortable in the forward line, that it doesn't come naturally to him.
 
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With Dunkley I don't think I'll select him. He's one of my favourite players, unfortunately, the coach has a lot to say about his role. Was on fire rounds 1-6 averaging 129 last year. I brought him in round 18 for an 87, then went DNP, 65, 75. Then in finals 61 and 66. If he plays on ball, then he does have a high average. Playing on ball in patches and up forward, not so much. He doesn't seem to be totally comfortable in the forward line, that it doesn't come naturally to him.
Seems like an odd personal bias to bring forward. The times Dunkley was out of your side are just as important as the times he was in your side, when judging his potential for this year. 2021 is gone, don't let unfortunate trade timing impact your 2022 decision making.
 
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