Strategy 2022: Round 3 Trades

[jarveg]

Made 2 trades last week as I had 3 outs in my fwd line immediately.

Dusty > Brodie
Baldwin > Durdin
341k itb

Thought Durdin looked good R1, pushed very far up the field and got involved, thought he was going to be a must have but he was rubbish R2.
After Dusty was withdrawn from the side I figured he'd be out indefinitely and not just a 1 weeker so go on the front foot, think Brodie is crap but his role will be good for the next 4-6 at least, also gave me enough $$ to make some needed corrections this week.

Owens > Hewett
Hough > Stephens
9k itb

Started Worner at D8 so I am able to swing Hewett back and get Gibcus/SDK off the field, Worner mid also allows me to loop Stephens and Ward at M8.

Get 2 dead rookies out, for 1 cow and hopefully 1 keeper.

Not happy that I've used 4 trades to get 3 players that were in my team for the majority of the preseason, but can't change that now.

Have Darcy at R1, but sounds like he'll get up, didn't want to trade him anyways as all the rucks suck. If he doesn't get up I'll just cop Hayes' score.
Haven't considered shifting Whitfield either, confident that he will turn it around, and don't want to be using my boosts already.

Have to fade Heeney and Cripps, they are scoring well, but I still don't think they will manage 20+ games for the season, two good scores doesn't mean the durability doubts go out the window.

Instead of Hewett have you thought about doubling down against the masses betting on Cripps and heeney and looking at other potential mid price keepers? Say Young or McDonald?

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Instead of Hewett have you thought about doubling down against the masses betting on Cripps and heeney and looking at other potential mid price keepers? Say Young or McDonald?

If McDonald already have def status I would consider him.
Was massive on him last year before he missed the start of the year and had his role stolen by Hall, I am surprised to see the 2 being able to coexist as SC scorers to be honest.

 

[McLovin]

I tried comparing Ridley's stats and heat maps with his hot start to last season, it's not pretty. Ridley was Essendon's top possession winner in rounds 2-4 last season for scores of 136, 147, and 124. That 136 also came in a 54 point loss so Essendon playing like the have so far shouldn't necessarily be an obstacle to him scoring well. He's not getting anywhere near those numbers the way he's playing at the moment. Basically I've concluded that Ridley's playing more like he did for most of last season when asked to be more accountable defensively, the inclusion of Kelly that was supposed to free Ridley up has only resulted in him having to play on taller opponents.

If I'm right, there's no upside in owning Ridley. The question is whether it's worth using a trade boost or even a 2nd premium sideways trade (shudders) to get rid of him, most likely for Lloyd. I was never starting Hall for durability reasons so obviously trading him in isn't an option.

 

[kadog]

Mulling over 2 very different trade packages.
One, an MPM $$ grab. The other, a Big Bang trade. Both pose their own risk/rewards I think. Slightly leaning toward MPM trade. Appreciate some feedback.

MPM trade:
OUT: Dusty Owens Turdin
IN: Bowey(D4) Caldwell(M6) Brodie(F4)

B: Hall Whitfield Hewett Bowey Hinge McCartin (Sinn Gibcus)
M: Macrae Touk Oliver Neale Rowell CaldwellJHF Daicos (Ward DStephens Pedlar)
R: Gawn Grundy (Hayes)
F: Dunkley Butterz Cogs Brodie Xerri Rachelle (NMartin SDK)

——————————————————————

BIG BANG trade:
OUT: Gawn Dusty Turdin
IN: English(R2) Petracca(M4) Brodie(F4)

B: Hall Whitfield Hewett Hinge Gibcus McCartin (Sinn SDK)
M: Macrae Touk Oliver Petracca Neale Rowell JHF Daicos (Ward DStephens Owens)
R: Grundy English (Hayes)
F: Dunkley Butterz Cogs Brodie Xerri Rachelle (NMartin Pedlar)

 

[whiteTiga2k]

Considering one double trade as I did a booster last week.

Gawn and durdin for either
English and Xerri - safeish? Xerri will make money and English is dogs number 1 ruck and improving. Problem with this is... I have Macrae in mid, Dunkley and Treloar in forward... is this too many dogs? Bye round death?
Jackson and Butters - Jackson could be anything... huge or score almost nothing. He does really look like he's improving at a rapid rate. Butters is a set and forget almost right? Would mean my forward line will eventually be dunks treloars heeney Butters conig Jackson...

Anyone's thoughts would be greatly greatly appreciated.

 

[neeld]

Current team:

D: Ridley, Short, Whitfield, Sicily, Hinge, McCartin; Gibcus, de Koning

M: Macrae, Brayshaw, Neale, Cripps, Rowell, Berry, Horne-Francis, Daicos; Ward, Mead, MacDonald

R: Grundy, Witts; Dixon

F: Dunkley, English, Butters, McGovern, Coniglio, Martin; Rachele, Durdin

Looking at the following changes: In: Stephens, Xerri, Hayes - Out: Mead, McGovern, Dixon

People's ideas/input much appreciated

 

[jarveg]

If McDonald already have def status I would consider him.
Was massive on him last year before he missed the start of the year and had his role stolen by Hall, I am surprised to see the 2 being able to coexist as SC scorers to be honest.

Can you get by with him the mids for 3 rounds until he does?

 

[inwhiterooms]

My feet are getting colder and colder on removing Gawn as the weekend draws closer...

 

[Johnsy44]

My feet are getting colder and colder on removing Gawn as the weekend draws closer...

I second that. However I need Neale and as it stands, Gawn is the only premium I’m willing to cut to create the funds to facilitate getting Neale

 

[mwross91]

I've got two

Are the photos of my side not showing up properly? I can see them, maybe others can’t though?

Either way, see below…

View attachment 41992 View attachment 41993

main issue you’ll have this week and over the next few is I can see a donut coming to your rucks.
Saints have said that they’re not sure they’ll run 3 bigs. And Hayes will then miss out. Maybe Whitfield to a Jackson/ English type via mccartin for some flexibility in the short term?

 

[Seymour Skinner]

Can you get by with him the mids for 3 rounds until he does?

I only started with 3 premo defs, I have just traded Hewett in so I only have to field Hinge & McCartin.

I cant go back to fielding one of Gibcus or SDK, they just don't have the scoring power.

I don't want to trade Steele or Whitfield either, and certainly don't want to use a boost to get it done.

 

[PressurePoint]

Really want Petracca and Heeney but I really only have players in defence to move on.

Ridley and Whitfield out for Hewett and Petracca

Or with the trade boost

Ridley/Whitfield/worner out for Hewett/bowey and Heeney

I guess it really comes down to who should I grab earlier. Petracca or Heeney?

 

[THCLT]

If McDonald already have def status I would consider him.
Was massive on him last year before he missed the start of the year and had his role stolen by Hall, I am surprised to see the 2 being able to coexist as SC scorers to be honest.

Don't forget old mate Ziebell, he still has a pulse down back too.

 

[bloke]

Pulled the trigger on Whitfield > Hewett, McGovern > Xerri

Have the option of one more trade, or can just keep the cash in the bank.

 

[lavenderbandit]

Reading my way slowly through the entire thread, so much good info here loving everyones advice! my trade plans this week hinge around one key question though, and to do it i would be trading fit premiums/slightly restructuring my team, as i dont have Cripps:

Is Cripps such an absolute must have that even if you are trading out fit premiums, who might have had a bad week, that you just do it?

(sorry if this is already asked, not quite through the entire thread yet) He looks fit, he finally has support around him, and everyone else has him so is this one where you just don't over think it and just go with the crowd?

the only 2 rookies i am really missing are Hinge (I'm skeptical his body will hold up) and Xerri, only really Soligo who is my rubbish rookie left. so trade plan is (Marshall or Ridley)/soligo/ Durdin for cripps/Xerri/Hinge or similar. Net gain is only really on the rookie side ie out 1 premium, 1 poor rookie, 1 ok rookie for 1 premium and 2 good rookies. not sure this is worth 3 trades

 

[Montyjnr]

I'm tempted to go J.Berry to Caldwell as a 3rd trade with Merrett injured. Any thoughts?

I'm staggered how unpopular Jye Caldwell is this week after the Merrett injury.

Only 857 people have traded him in so far - compared to 15,000+ for Bowey, Hewett, Cripps & Heeney.

Why such low interest for a guy that should be a reliable on field scorer and make 150K+?

 

[bloke]

Reading my way slowly through the entire thread, so much good info here loving everyones advice! my trade plans this week hinge around one key question though, and to do it i would be trading fit premiums/slightly restructuring my team, as i dont have Cripps:

Is Cripps such an absolute must have that even if you are trading out fit premiums, who might have had a bad week, that you just do it?

(sorry if this is already asked, not quite through the entire thread yet) He looks fit, he finally has support around him, and everyone else has him so is this one where you just don't over think it and just go with the crowd?

the only 2 rookies i am really missing are Hinge (I'm skeptical his body will hold up) and Xerri, only really Soligo who is my rubbish rookie left. so trade plan is (Marshall or Ridley)/soligo/ Durdin for cripps/Xerri/Hinge or similar. Net gain is only really on the rookie side ie out 1 premium, 1 poor rookie, 1 ok rookie for 1 premium and 2 good rookies. not sure this is worth 3 trades

I think you do it.

Two rookie trades are corrections, which I normally allow a few trades at the start of the year for anyway.

Ridley > Cripps I think is absolutely a net gain. More points and avoid a price drop from Ridley. I think you'll see a few def "premiums" traded out this week

 

[Shannon]

Interesting article on Gawn :-

Gawn has made his second-worst start to a season on record after the opening two rounds – averaging 90 points (he averaged 89 way back in 2016). If we take a closer look at the numbers, there has been an obvious decline in almost every category, but the most concerning of all is his ball use. Overall, his disposal efficiency of 50 per cent is currently a career-low and 12 per cent below 2021. If we compare that figure to other ruckmen, it’s clearly the worst and 6 per cent below anyone else.

Gawn’s kicking efficiency has plummeted to 42 per cent, once again a career-low. But looking at disposal and kicking efficiency in isolation may not paint the truest picture. We need to look at how the player is winning the ball and with Gawn, he has won 12 contested possessions per game which is currently a career-high and the most by any ruckman. If you’re winning the ball in tight, then ball use will suffer and that’s exactly the case with Gawn.

His ruck numbers have suffered a similar fate, with both hitout win rate and hitout-to-advantage percentage dropping considerably. In terms of ruck contests attended, there hasn’t been a major change – attending 53 per game this year compared to 55 in 2021.

From a positional point of view, Gawn has spent 30 per cent of game time up forward, which is an increase from 18 per cent in 2021. Adding to that is Luke Jackson getting more ruck time, up to 43 per cent this year from 37 per cent last season.

So basically, Gawn not as effective in the ruck, his ball use isn’t great and he’s spending more time forward. SuperCoaches have a huge decision to make this week.

 

[PC]

Interesting article on Gawn :-

Gawn has made his second-worst start to a season on record after the opening two rounds – averaging 90 points (he averaged 89 way back in 2016). If we take a closer look at the numbers, there has been an obvious decline in almost every category, but the most concerning of all is his ball use. Overall, his disposal efficiency of 50 per cent is currently a career-low and 12 per cent below 2021. If we compare that figure to other ruckmen, it’s clearly the worst and 6 per cent below anyone else.

Gawn’s kicking efficiency has plummeted to 42 per cent, once again a career-low. But looking at disposal and kicking efficiency in isolation may not paint the truest picture. We need to look at how the player is winning the ball and with Gawn, he has won 12 contested possessions per game which is currently a career-high and the most by any ruckman. If you’re winning the ball in tight, then ball use will suffer and that’s exactly the case with Gawn.

His ruck numbers have suffered a similar fate, with both hitout win rate and hitout-to-advantage percentage dropping considerably. In terms of ruck contests attended, there hasn’t been a major change – attending 53 per game this year compared to 55 in 2021.

From a positional point of view, Gawn has spent 30 per cent of game time up forward, which is an increase from 18 per cent in 2021. Adding to that is Luke Jackson getting more ruck time, up to 43 per cent this year from 37 per cent last season.

So basically, Gawn not as effective in the ruck, his ball use isn’t great and he’s spending more time forward. SuperCoaches have a huge decision to make this week.

Bye bye Maxy, bye bye.

 

[Ben's Beasts]

Interesting article on Gawn :-

Gawn has made his second-worst start to a season on record after the opening two rounds – averaging 90 points (he averaged 89 way back in 2016). If we take a closer look at the numbers, there has been an obvious decline in almost every category, but the most concerning of all is his ball use. Overall, his disposal efficiency of 50 per cent is currently a career-low and 12 per cent below 2021. If we compare that figure to other ruckmen, it’s clearly the worst and 6 per cent below anyone else.

Gawn’s kicking efficiency has plummeted to 42 per cent, once again a career-low. But looking at disposal and kicking efficiency in isolation may not paint the truest picture. We need to look at how the player is winning the ball and with Gawn, he has won 12 contested possessions per game which is currently a career-high and the most by any ruckman. If you’re winning the ball in tight, then ball use will suffer and that’s exactly the case with Gawn.

His ruck numbers have suffered a similar fate, with both hitout win rate and hitout-to-advantage percentage dropping considerably. In terms of ruck contests attended, there hasn’t been a major change – attending 53 per game this year compared to 55 in 2021.

From a positional point of view, Gawn has spent 30 per cent of game time up forward, which is an increase from 18 per cent in 2021. Adding to that is Luke Jackson getting more ruck time, up to 43 per cent this year from 37 per cent last season.

So basically, Gawn not as effective in the ruck, his ball use isn’t great and he’s spending more time forward. SuperCoaches have a huge decision to make this week.

As someone who has decided to hold I find it encouraging that he is still attending almost the same amount of ruck contests as last season.

A couple of things that aren’t mentioned above are all the dropped marks so far this season and the eight free kicks he’s given away. The Dees have also played against two decent midfields over the first two rounds who have sharked a fair few Gawn hit outs. If he can hold his marks, not give away as many frees, increase his HTA and tidy up his ball use then that should allow him to score at 110+ which looks fine for rucks this season.

Obviously the flip-side is that he continues to perform how he has over the first two rounds which would be an almighty fail for a player at his price.