2023: SC Planning Thread
- Thread starter Gruffles
- Start date
Fantasy related but you get the gist.
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Duncan calf still, Bowes training with the main group.
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There's a few things here to try and disseminate.
What I'm seeing is a lot of teams with no rookies on the field in the forward and a few others with say Flanders/Cheezel/ McLean at F6. This is in part due to the more viable rookies being available in defence, although they are still looking pretty thin there too. Plus the fact that Fwd rookies and/or young KPF's in poor teams just don't have reliable scoring. So fielding 1 or 2 MP's forward gives us the option to not field a rookie at F5/6. Same can be said for the mids where a couple of MP's allows us to just field 2 rookies there ie: Ashcroft and MacKenzie with Phillips on the bench. Ditto for defence where most are only fielding Ginbey at D6 or Constable at D6 and Ginbey at D5, again, 2-3 Mp's on this lines gives us the opportunity for this to happen.
As Selby alluded to, past strategies relied on a G n R's approach because of the difficulty of scoring a hit on the MidPricers, but with 6 extra trades we can take a chance on 6 MP's, maybe scoring a hit on 2-3 of them and using maybe 4 correctional trades getting the ones that look like they'll be successful picks. Adjusting for rookies on the bubble come round 3 is part of the equation as is jumping on a value premo off to a hot start and attractive BE, like Cripps and Heeney last year.
Another thing that the extra trades allows for is the chance to jump on an unexpected spike scorer for just a couple of rounds and benefit from an immediate cash injection, Jake Bowey did this for me last year where his price jump gave me the opportunity to trade an underperforming MP with him to nab Doc in round 6. That sort of strategy isn't really possible with limited trades and can still only be done once or twice a year. I'm still smarting from not jumping on Walker the year before.
We still have to chase value though as those 'free points' are absolute gold. VC/C scores are also vital, which really goes without saying. The other thing connected to value is cash generation, you don't really get that from a value premo who outscores his starting price by 10-20 pts apart from the initial purchase price as you're unlikely to trade him out. There were numbers however from 2021 (I haven't seen any from 2020 yet) that showed 14 rookies gaining $150k+ and 17 MP's gaining $150k+, so there's a solid argument in the pro's column for both the cash generation, points scoring and possibly the most important, job security in choosing a successful MP (or 2) over a premium and a rookie. You obviously have to get those picks close to right which the extra trades certainly help achieve.
What I'm seeing is a lot of teams with no rookies on the field in the forward and a few others with say Flanders/Cheezel/ McLean at F6. This is in part due to the more viable rookies being available in defence, although they are still looking pretty thin there too. Plus the fact that Fwd rookies and/or young KPF's in poor teams just don't have reliable scoring. So fielding 1 or 2 MP's forward gives us the option to not field a rookie at F5/6. Same can be said for the mids where a couple of MP's allows us to just field 2 rookies there ie: Ashcroft and MacKenzie with Phillips on the bench. Ditto for defence where most are only fielding Ginbey at D6 or Constable at D6 and Ginbey at D5, again, 2-3 Mp's on this lines gives us the opportunity for this to happen.
As Selby alluded to, past strategies relied on a G n R's approach because of the difficulty of scoring a hit on the MidPricers, but with 6 extra trades we can take a chance on 6 MP's, maybe scoring a hit on 2-3 of them and using maybe 4 correctional trades getting the ones that look like they'll be successful picks. Adjusting for rookies on the bubble come round 3 is part of the equation as is jumping on a value premo off to a hot start and attractive BE, like Cripps and Heeney last year.
Another thing that the extra trades allows for is the chance to jump on an unexpected spike scorer for just a couple of rounds and benefit from an immediate cash injection, Jake Bowey did this for me last year where his price jump gave me the opportunity to trade an underperforming MP with him to nab Doc in round 6. That sort of strategy isn't really possible with limited trades and can still only be done once or twice a year. I'm still smarting from not jumping on Walker the year before.
We still have to chase value though as those 'free points' are absolute gold. VC/C scores are also vital, which really goes without saying. The other thing connected to value is cash generation, you don't really get that from a value premo who outscores his starting price by 10-20 pts apart from the initial purchase price as you're unlikely to trade him out. There were numbers however from 2021 (I haven't seen any from 2020 yet) that showed 14 rookies gaining $150k+ and 17 MP's gaining $150k+, so there's a solid argument in the pro's column for both the cash generation, points scoring and possibly the most important, job security in choosing a successful MP (or 2) over a premium and a rookie. You obviously have to get those picks close to right which the extra trades certainly help achieve.
