Is it better to go Rookies at HOK to get those Gun CTWs early?
It's a tough question, I think there are just so many factors at play. When is there first bye, price, do they play origin, draw, what is their role in the team? (I think there are a ton more as well).
Now with rookie Hoks, I just don't think they really exist. This season we basically had Levi and that was it, guys like Chan Kum Tong, Muhleisen, Mamouzelous, Mozer, Simpkin, FLusick would've been terrible picks (even if taken at Hok2 they would've been AE nightmares for most of the year).
Levi made about 135K and that was after going on a tryscoring run, I don't think playing him at Hok1 was the answer although if you flipped to a Grant it wouldn't have been the worst call.
Now we do get some midprice options like Hands, Lussick & Brailey I think if it looks like they are getting a 60 minute role you have to seriously consider them.
At the start of the season I'm a big believer that the comp is much tighter so the CTWs just don't score as much, your Hok, FRF & SRF are more likely to get you some consistent scores. But that doesn't mean someone like Ronaldo won't score 8 tries in 5 games and be averaging 120.
Also CTWS tend to have the best rookies, so I don't think you can load up too much on CTW guns to start the season.
So with all this said, if I'm picking a CTW gun to start the season - they need to have a high workrate, potentially play origin and goalkick. I think you need to start at least one maybe two of these guys.
My main goal will be to save trades, I don't want to burn a stack of trades at Hok and I don't want to be bringing in guys like Holmes, To'o and Lomax at Round 7 only to have to trade them out when origin comes.
The CTW guns I'm considering to start would be Holmes, Garrick, Lomax, To'o and maybe even Kiraz. I would most likely fade the likes of Young, Ronaldo and most other CTWs.
But I'm a nrl SC dinosaur unfortunately, I need to adapt a little more to the modern game.