Analysis BBL|10 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

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Round 10 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- Thanks for the BE's @Woosie
- MELS and PER have a DGR so these won't match SC Gold
- They should still be pretty much right and within +/- 1 ...

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He will be very popular as a trade-in round 11.

Perfect with the Gades playing the first game in round 11 and 12 too. Whack him on the bench with the E and see what happens. Low risk, high reward.
Their next 4 games are all in Melb, either at Marvel or the G.
In his interview tonight he sounded like someone who would like to go home.
 
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Round 9 Top 20 teams:

- 15 teams managed to hold their spots ... and 1 team managed to climb their way back into the Top 20 this week
- I've provided the trades that 15 teams probably made ...
- At least 3 SCS members that I know of are in it this week ... running total is now at least 10 so far this year ...

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Round 10 / Game 1 update (#40):

Notes:
- MELS have a DGR so their projections won't be correct until they have played their 2nd game
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- Neither team used an X Factor

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View attachment 24921
Are the Stars’ projected BE’s for next round or next game?
 
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Are the Stars’ projected BE’s for next round or next game?
Next game but it doesn't quite work like that as there will only be one price change at the end of the round ....

- So I wouldn't trade based purely of my projections for any DGR player as they aren't a true reflection for any player that still has a 2nd game to play just yet .....
- But they do tend to level out and price changes are supposed be adjusted according to any players last three games ...
- I've actually thought about not including DGR teams until they have completed their 2nd game but some people might still find it as a useful guide ...

Some examples ...

- If Zampa is injured and doesn't play the next game then the projections should be correct ...
- But if scores another 50 this round he would still only rise by ~$22k but will be facing a new BE of approx 11

- Likewise for Rauf if he was dropped, but if he scores say 10 next game would still only drop approx $34k but be facing a new BE of approx 120

So not as dramatic on both the upside and downside as it may initially appear for this round ...

- What will change is what their future BE's will be though as they are calculated on a players new price and last 2 games
 
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Finch 58k lock as a downgrade target and E option next round.
I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't play - his shot to Maxwell reminded me of Maxi's own brain fade when he let the ball go on middle stump a few years back, after which he admitted he needed a break from the game. Finch looks a man in dire need of a break, and if they're having to do two weeks quarantine before the NZ series he won't really get one.
 
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I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't play - his shot to Maxwell reminded me of Maxi's own brain fade when he let the ball go on middle stump a few years back, after which he admitted he needed a break from the game. Finch looks a man in dire need of a break, and if they're having to do two weeks quarantine before the NZ series he won't really get one.
I think you are correct, but not sure they an afford to 'rest' him. There batting has been poor and without him (even though he is in terrible form) would be way too thin IMO.

But there biggest problem is the bowling. After in the game last night after Richo bowled out, there was nothing in the shed for the last 3 overs, they didn't trust Sutherland. Hatzoglou, Ahmed and Wasim bowling the last 3 overs in a 150 run chase was never going to get the job done.
 
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I think you are correct, but not sure they an afford to 'rest' him. There batting has been poor and without him (even though he is in terrible form) would be way too thin IMO.

But there biggest problem is the bowling. After in the game last night after Richo bowled out, there was nothing in the shed for the last 3 overs, they didn't trust Sutherland. Hatzoglou, Ahmed and Wasim bowling the last 3 overs in a 150 run chase was never going to get the job done.
How long until Lalor returns
He is one of the most consistent players in the competition in my mind
 
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How long until Lalor returns
He is one of the most consistent players in the competition in my mind
Not sure, I assume he was injured.

Had totally forgotten him, maybe as I had a recollection that in one of the last games I recall him playing in he bowled dreadfully and was hit to all areas of the field :rolleyes:
 
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