Analysis BBL|10 Player's Price & Break Even Projections by TAILS

[Tails]

You can view the new prices by checking the match centre live scoring > “see match stats”, > “all stats”.

Worrall is $154,300!

No issues with that but don't think they have calculated it correctly ...

 

[Professor]

Great intel, thanks!

I noticed my R3 projected score changed from 1200-odd to 819, which is exactly what I scored, so something is obviously happening in the background!

I believe your projected score updates after each game played, so in this case being last game of the round it's your actual final score. There's obviously a few processes in place until it's finalised.

 

[Darkie]

I believe your projected score updates after each game played, so in this case being last game of the round it's your actual final score. There's obviously a few processes in place until it's finalised.

Very interesting. Mine has been miles off this round, but presumably it’s because of the Strikers missing their projections, and obviously they’ve only just had their final game of the round, so perhaps that’s why the projection has remained way out.

 

[Tails]

Very interesting. Mine has been miles off this round, but presumably it’s because of the Strikers missing their projections, and obviously they’ve only just had their final game of the round, so perhaps that’s why the projection has remained way out.

I don't know how they calculate the various score projections ... and to be honest don't care ...

But getting the BE's and price changes correct are more important to me ...

 

[Vicwood]

Round 3 combined summary:

View attachment 23759
View attachment 23760

Brilliant. Much Appreciated.

 

[Tails]

Round 4 BE calcs:

- Please point out any gremlins as this is a combined formula / manual process ...
- Thanks for the BE's @Professor
- Aside from the MELS and newly highlighted HOB players (DGR gremlins) they should be pretty much right and within +/- 1 ...

 

[Herbie66]

Could be a issue with Faulkner , showing as 41 on Supercoach Plus

 

[Tails]

Could be a issue with Faulkner , showing as 41 on Supercoach Plus

Yeah ... have heard that ... I will just stick with the current SCS enabled formula as it is usually right outside of ADE and MELS DGR's ...

- I have no faith in SC gold at all .... and can't predict / cater for their unexplainable anomalies ... wasted too much time on it last week as it was ...

 

[Herbie66]

Yeah ... have heard that ... I will just stick with my current formula as it is usually right outside of ADE and MELS DGR's ...

- I have no faith in SC gold at all .... and can't predict /cater for their explainable anomalies ... wasted too much time on it last week as it was ...

Amazing what you do and provide with the figures after every game as it is.

Outstanding

 

[Chumpion]

Yeah ... have heard that ... I will just stick with my current formula as it is usually right outside of ADE and MELS DGR's ...

- I have no faith in SC gold at all .... and can't predict /cater for their explainable anomalies ... wasted too much time on it last week as it was ...

The eyeball test tells me a player at his price coming off two low scores should have a high BE so would comfortably back you in over SC gold which seems riddled with issues (and seems incapable of handling DGRs)...

Ps. Absolutely love your work! There should be a standard clause in the T&Cs of this website that if anyone here wins you get a fixed % of the prize money, cause in a few short rounds you've helped make my team a billion percent better!

 

[Tails]

Round 3 Top 20 teams:

- 10 teams managed to hold their spots ... and 1 team managed to climb back into the top 20 teams
- Of the 10 teams I've included the trades they probably made ..
- At least 2 SCS members that I know of remained in it this week

 

[THCLT]

You're doing a great job @Tails

At least we know that your system is consistent from round to round...as for what happens on SC BBL

 

[Tails]

Round 4 / Game 1 update (#14):

Notes:
- Holt can't go below $42k
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- No X factor players were used by either team

 

[Tails]

Round 4 / Game 2 update (#15):

Notes:
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- One team used the X factor (SYD6 subbed out Manenti after 1 over for Sandhu)

 

[Sideshow Bob]

Round 4 / Game 2 update (#15):

Notes:
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- One team used the X factor (SYD6 subbed out Manenti after 1 over for Sandhu)

View attachment 23912

View attachment 23913

Thank you as always tails, just a note you got zampa greyed out

 

[Tails]

Thank you as always tails, just a note you got zampa greyed out

Thanks ... will amend shortly ...

- appreciate those extra set of eyes ...

 

[Tails]

Round 4 / Game 3 update (#16):

Notes:
- Any player that did not play will not receive the projections (greyed out)
- No X factor players used by either team

 

[Herbie66]

@Tails

I gather you used your BE figure for Faulkner and not 41 (from memory).

 

[Tails]

@Tails

I gather you used your BE figure for Faulkner and not 41 (from memory).

Yep .. I stuck with my calcs so he should be better priced than my estimates ...

- I kept him with their BE of 41 FWIW but would have instantly traded him out this round according to my stats ...

 

[Herbie66]

Yep .. I stuck with my calcs so he should be better priced than my estimates ...

- I kept him with their BE of 41 FWIW but would have instantly traded him out this round according to my stats ...

makes perfect sense to use your own figures 😀

first time they fly and he gets a soft tissue injury

makes 1 trade easier for Round 5 , actually exceeded my expectations so did well