Opinion Bolters - Past and Present

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14 Feb 2013
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North Melb.
#41
Seeing Parker listed as a bolter isn't too flash. I'm looking at moving Rockliff to him.

I think Parker will be one of the top mids by the end of the year, if not top 10 then not too far out of it. Watching him play, he is a contested ball beast and an absolute maniac at the ball. Reminds me a lot of Fyfe. Coming into his prime at 23 years old, 10 of his last 13 completed games last year resulted in tonnes. He's started brightly enough - I could see him going at 110 - 115 this year

So his 138 ppg opening would mean 107 for his remaining games to average 110 and 112 if he is to average 115. For 535k or whatever, that's adequate return. Assuming a 110 - 115 average, he has had one big score in round 1 and an average score in round 2 so I have only missed 1 huge one.
To play devils advocate. In the first two games he has been their biggest contested ball winner, however in the past 2-3 seasons i think the Swans biggest contested ball winner has been JPK. JPK's overall numbers have been slightly down in the first 2 games and in close games i would expect him to take charge. Although you would have only missed 1 huge score, you would have missed 2 scores above the 110-115 predicted average. Also remember that his scores have come in wins of 80 and 60 points, possibly 2 of the Swans biggest wins of the year. While it's not necessarily a factor in his 2 scores, it probably helps that the Swans dominated, they had 50-100 more possessions and 20-30 more inside 50s in those wins. The Swans first tests will come in rounds 4 and 5 when they play Adelaide (away) and West Coast (home).
Not to mention he was killing it last year until he met Buddy's knee haha. I had him from the start last year too and was one of my first picked this year :) Not complaining so far.
 
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