Forwards Discussion
- Thread starter Impromptu
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I'm pretty sure Buddy will be right up there on the "Captain's Choice" ownership % table. I'm guessing around 35-40% ownership in round 1, which should put him in the top 7 or 8 most popular players. And I say to you, why not?!
It would seem to be a pick with little downside. You're buying him at 90.4, and his averages since 2007 read: 91.4, 107.0, 87.9, 107.5, 110.8, 115.5 and 90.4. It would seem his worst case scenario would be break even. You generally want a 95 from your Forwards, and he has bettered that easily in 4 out of the last 7 seasons. Even if you discount his 2012 season, by removing his 236, his average that season falls to 107.5, and gives you 4 seasons that suggest his price represents a 20% discount for the coming season. Will he miss games? Probably, and that becomes a problem to deal with when it happens. Bottom line, if he's fit and selected round 1, I can't see much downside to having him in your team.
It would seem to be a pick with little downside. You're buying him at 90.4, and his averages since 2007 read: 91.4, 107.0, 87.9, 107.5, 110.8, 115.5 and 90.4. It would seem his worst case scenario would be break even. You generally want a 95 from your Forwards, and he has bettered that easily in 4 out of the last 7 seasons. Even if you discount his 2012 season, by removing his 236, his average that season falls to 107.5, and gives you 4 seasons that suggest his price represents a 20% discount for the coming season. Will he miss games? Probably, and that becomes a problem to deal with when it happens. Bottom line, if he's fit and selected round 1, I can't see much downside to having him in your team.
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I am liking Christensen's improved scoring for the last 3 years
2011 - 65.8
2012 - 79.9
2013 - 92.8
but im not brave enough to pick him. Will see how he goes in 2014 and see if he is a must have in 2015. He has the ability to become a superstar. Motlop on the other hand i see him more an X-factor. Killing it one game and quite the next. BUT in 3 years, after he has finished his apprenticeship with Stevie J, I will pick him. Because he could be better then Stevie J. The apprentice may become the master.
2011 - 65.8
2012 - 79.9
2013 - 92.8
but im not brave enough to pick him. Will see how he goes in 2014 and see if he is a must have in 2015. He has the ability to become a superstar. Motlop on the other hand i see him more an X-factor. Killing it one game and quite the next. BUT in 3 years, after he has finished his apprenticeship with Stevie J, I will pick him. Because he could be better then Stevie J. The apprentice may become the master.
- Joined
- 12 Oct 2013
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- 2,924
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- 267
- AFL Club
- Bulldogs
I'm pretty sure Buddy will be right up there on the "Captain's Choice" ownership % table. I'm guessing around 35-40% ownership in round 1, which should put him in the top 7 or 8 most popular players. And I say to you, why not?!
It would seem to be a pick with little downside. You're buying him at 90.4, and his averages since 2007 read: 91.4, 107.0, 87.9, 107.5, 110.8, 115.5 and 90.4. It would seem his worst case scenario would be break even. You generally want a 95 from your Forwards, and he has bettered that easily in 4 out of the last 7 seasons. Even if you discount his 2012 season, by removing his 236, his average that season falls to 107.5, and gives you 4 seasons that suggest his price represents a 20% discount for the coming season. Will he miss games? Probably, and that becomes a problem to deal with when it happens. Bottom line, if he's fit and selected round 1, I can't see much downside to having him in your team.
It would seem to be a pick with little downside. You're buying him at 90.4, and his averages since 2007 read: 91.4, 107.0, 87.9, 107.5, 110.8, 115.5 and 90.4. It would seem his worst case scenario would be break even. You generally want a 95 from your Forwards, and he has bettered that easily in 4 out of the last 7 seasons. Even if you discount his 2012 season, by removing his 236, his average that season falls to 107.5, and gives you 4 seasons that suggest his price represents a 20% discount for the coming season. Will he miss games? Probably, and that becomes a problem to deal with when it happens. Bottom line, if he's fit and selected round 1, I can't see much downside to having him in your team.
Looks like my forward will be Buddy, Dusty, Daisy, Rocky, Naty with 3 rookies
Is the difference of a top 10 finish and a top 5000 finish.
1 thing I learnt last season near the end was to sometimes go with your gut and not the crowd.
Nothing like shooting up the ranks on the back of your gut decision while the rest loose ground
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