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Do you want to identify the next Jordan Ridley who, on the verge of Round 3 (FY20) was priced as low as $322K, before his meteoric rise to blue chip and must-have defender?
This year is no different and, to The SuperCoach Investor, the three key “unicorns” are Changkuoth Jiath ($400K, DEF), Taylor Walker ($469K, FWD) and Jarman Impey ($365K, FWD) who still display substantial value.
The ships have began sailing, but – like Jordan Ridley (FY20) – there is still time to hitch a ride and enjoy the spoils as these stocks progress towards stardom amid the top 6-8 players of their division.
The Begala Brigade only boasts the services of one of these unicorns, Impey, and rues the missed opportunity of Walker and Jiath who appear to be gathering steam each week.
There is still time – if you see their scoring trajectory continuing – to acquire their services as they’re still substantially discounted to alternative blue chip investments producing commensurate dividend yields.
Why pay north of $600k for Jake Lloyd when you can have Jiath for two-thirds of his price, equivalent scoring and, best of all, benefit from future capital appreciation?
As context, I purchased Jordan Ridley (FY20) after two price rises at $410k last season and still revelled in the spoils of each of his future dividends that progressed The Begala Brigade into the top 400 coaches in 2020.
Jiath’s trajectory all-but mirrors FY20 Ridley and should be a firmly entrenched in your investment discussions this week.
This year is no different and, to The SuperCoach Investor, the three key “unicorns” are Changkuoth Jiath ($400K, DEF), Taylor Walker ($469K, FWD) and Jarman Impey ($365K, FWD) who still display substantial value.
The ships have began sailing, but – like Jordan Ridley (FY20) – there is still time to hitch a ride and enjoy the spoils as these stocks progress towards stardom amid the top 6-8 players of their division.
The Begala Brigade only boasts the services of one of these unicorns, Impey, and rues the missed opportunity of Walker and Jiath who appear to be gathering steam each week.
There is still time – if you see their scoring trajectory continuing – to acquire their services as they’re still substantially discounted to alternative blue chip investments producing commensurate dividend yields.
Why pay north of $600k for Jake Lloyd when you can have Jiath for two-thirds of his price, equivalent scoring and, best of all, benefit from future capital appreciation?
As context, I purchased Jordan Ridley (FY20) after two price rises at $410k last season and still revelled in the spoils of each of his future dividends that progressed The Begala Brigade into the top 400 coaches in 2020.
Jiath’s trajectory all-but mirrors FY20 Ridley and should be a firmly entrenched in your investment discussions this week.
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/...6/news-story/ad7d6e11678fc34ef9cbb0be50122052
KFC SuperCoach 2021: The rookies to buy, hold and sell ahead of Round 6
It’s an important rookie week in KFC SuperCoach and a number of big trade decisions need to be made. Here’s our expert verdict and all the numbers.
KFC SuperCoach rookie downgrade season is here.
We have been blessed with several high scoring rookies, who are worth holding for the moment, but others will begin to leak cash over the coming weeks.
The usual indicator to trade out a rookie is when a breakeven passes their average, and, fortunately, we have some promising cash cow options for downgrades.
And there’s even cheapies on the horizon – one with a name synonymous with KFC SuperCoach.
Here are the rookies to buy, hold, sell and watch ahead of Round 6.
BUY
1. Lachie Jones (PA) $139,900, DEF
Average: 65 BE: -48
2. Beau McCreery (Coll) $117,300, FWD
Average: 57 BE: -45
3. Rhyan Mansell (Rich) $102,400, DEF
Average: 46.5 BE: -33
4. Mitch Lewis (Haw) $199,500, FWD
Average: 79 BE: -41
Trading in pre-season favourite Lachie Jones should be your number one priority this week.
The hard nut defender is like a mature-ager, such is his size and ability to compete with senior bodies, and posted another score in the 60s against Carlton – this is despite being off for a period with a minor ankle injury.
His job security appears sound – especially with Hamish Hartlett and Dan Houston in some doubt for this week - and Power coach Ken Hinkley tends to stick with his youngsters if they are performing.
Coaches may not have any defenders ready to downgrade but swinging Rory Laird into your midfield will allow a trade from Adelaide rookie Sam Berry, or even Braeden Campbell, with further DPP action.
McCreery, who impressed in the SANFL last year like Jones, has applied stacks of pressure in the forward half, laying 11 tackles to go with three goals in his two matches for Collingwood.
Beau McCreery has laid 11 tackles in his first two AFL games. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos
Having turned 20 on Monday, McCreery looks to be more reliable than your average small forward and has an enticing run, facing Essendon, Gold Coast and North Melbourne in his next three matches.
He’s an option worth considering if you already have Jones.
Another player off the SANFL production line, Tiger Mansell showed more promise in his second game, scoring 50 points from 13 disposals despite Richmond’s forward-half domination.
With Nick Vlastuin listed as 3-5 weeks away, Mansell should hold his spot until at least then and comes at a bargain basement price.
Lewis is an intriguing point-of-difference rookie buy.
Back in 2019, Lewis appreciated $218,000 after starting the season at around $150,000, and has a -41 break even after averaging 79 across his first two matches.
The key-forward has another two pre-seasons under his belt since then and should regain his spot after missing Round 5 with suspension.
WATCH
These rookies have played one game and are worth keeping an eye on this weekend
Finlay Macrae (Coll) $126,300, FWD/MID
R5 score: 41
Jy Farrar (GC) $184,300 FWD
R5 score: 83
Atu Bosenavulagi (NM) $175,500 FWD
R5 score: 72
Zach Reid (ESS) $166,800 DEF
R5 score: 55
Finlay Macrae is one to watch very closely after his impressive final term against the Eagles.
Those who caught Friday night’s clash would have noticed the uncanny similarity between Finlay Macrae and his half-brother, KFC SuperCoach stud Jack.
The first-round draftee has clean hands, precise disposal and even moves the same as the Bulldog star.
While he only scored 41 points, he won 10 disposals in the final quarter when the sting was out of the contest, finishing with 18 touches and three clearances.
Collingwood’s injuries should only improve his job security and scoring, and his dual position status is a plus.
Mature-age Sun Farrar, drafted as a forward, is another to keep tabs on this weekend after he finished with 21 disposals and 83 points in defence.
He comes at a higher asking price due to playing one game last year, but the 24-year-old could become a factor next week if he produces another good score.
Former Pie Bosenavulagi (72 points) and Essendon defender Zach Reid (55) could also come into consideration, with Reid’s score coming in difficult conditions for a tall.
PASS
Josh Treacy (FREM) $102,400 RUCK/FWD
Average: 25.5 BE: 9
Jaxon Prior (Bris) $123,900 DEF
Average: 44 BE: -15
Conor Stone (FWD) $144,200, FWD
Average: 45.5 BE: -7
Young Swan Errol Gulden has posted scores of 74, 68 and 66 in the past three rounds. Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images
HOLD
Matt Flynn (GWS) $227,500 RUC
Average: 102.3 BE: -34
Tom Highmore (St K) $117,300 DEF
Average: 68.5 BE: -68
Errol Gulden (Syd) $315,600 MID
Average: 96.6 BE: 51
Chad Warner (Syd) $331,100 FWD
Average: 82.4 BE: 58
James Jordon (Melb) $217,900 MID
Average: 61.8 BE: 28
Nik Cox (Ess) $289,700 DEF/FWD
Average: 60.8 BE: 34
After being managed in Round 3, Flynn has been kept out the past two weeks by veteran Shane Mumford – who is averaging a whopping 130 points if you don’t mind – and may be left on the fringes again.
Flynn scored just the 71 points in the battle with Swans reserves ruckman Callum Sinclair, with the Giants coming up against the daunting task of ruck duo Tim English and Stefan Martin.
But you should still hold the Giants ruckman, as it is only a matter of time until the 34-year-old will need a rest himself, as coach Leon Cameron hinted again post-match on Saturday.
The conditions in Round 5 didn’t suit 200cm Bombers young gun Nik Cox. Picture: NCA NewsWire/Daniel Pockett
Meanwhile, Highmore tallied 16 disposals, nine intercept possessions, four intercept marks and 95 points in the VFL and could be called on with Jimmy Webster’s injury and St Kilda’s heavy loss.
As for Gulden and Warner, both have proved to be immense scorers at stages. Warner is averaging 10 points less than the top-eight forwards and should be held for the time being.
Both he and Gulden could have a field day against the Suns.
Melbourne coach Simon Goodwin backed in Jordon and he delivered with a career-high 20 disposals, four tackles and 76 points.
His score in the 20s will drop out of his three-round rolling average after Round 6 and this will see his price surge towards $300,000 if he performs as he did against Hawthorn.
Cox had a quiet game against Brisbane in the worst possible weather for a 200cm wingman, so stick with him for now.
SELL
1. Sam Berry (Adel) $213,200 MID
Average: 53.6 BE: 43
2. Braeden Campbell (Syd) $244,000 FWD/MID
Average: 58.6 BE: 53
3. Tyler Brockman (Haw) $172,700 FWD/MID
Average: 43 BE: 28
4. Harry Sharp (Bris) $117,300 DEF/MID
Average: 35.5 BE: -2
5. Lloyd Meek (NM) $213,300 RUCK
Average: 56.8 BE: 23
Is it time to trade Braeden Campbell in KFC SuperCoach? Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images
Campbell and tough Crow Berry, who scored 31 points against Fremantle, shape as the prime rookies to sell this week, with Adelaide captain Daniel Talia flagging a rest for him in the coming weeks.
Holding Campbell looked to be a shrewd move at quarter-time with the young Swan up to 20 points, but he only managed a further 19 for the rest of the game.
At one stage in the second term, Campbell had just 34 per cent gametime and finished with an equal team-low 62 per cent (besides the sub).
He lost $12,000 on his price last week and could dip further in Round 6 – or even be dropped.
Brockman was managed by the Hawks last week but may not be worth holding onto anyway, and can be traded to Jones via Laird.
Sharp appears to be a fair way off breaking into the Lions’ senior side but does have handy dual position status, while Meek was axed last week after Rory Lobb returned.
CASH TO MAKE
Miles Bergman (PA) $156,600 FWD
Average: 50.3 BE: -27
James Rowe (Adel) $211,000 FWD
Average: 61.8 BE: -23
Tom Powell (NM) $278,300 MID
Average: 70.4 BE: -12
Alec Waterman $148,400 FWD
Average: 54.7 BE: 4
Heath Chapman $255,700 DEF
Average: 68.3 BE: 5
Jacob Koschitzke $159,00 DEF
Average: 43.8 BE: 9
KFC SuperCoach 2021: The rookies to buy, hold and sell ahead of Round 6
It’s an important rookie week in KFC SuperCoach and a number of big trade decisions need to be made. Here’s our expert verdict and all the numbers.
KFC SuperCoach rookie downgrade season is here.
We have been blessed with several high scoring rookies, who are worth holding for the moment, but others will begin to leak cash over the coming weeks.
The usual indicator to trade out a rookie is when a breakeven passes their average, and, fortunately, we have some promising cash cow options for downgrades.
And there’s even cheapies on the horizon – one with a name synonymous with KFC SuperCoach.
Here are the rookies to buy, hold, sell and watch ahead of Round 6.
BUY
1. Lachie Jones (PA) $139,900, DEF
Average: 65 BE: -48
2. Beau McCreery (Coll) $117,300, FWD
Average: 57 BE: -45
3. Rhyan Mansell (Rich) $102,400, DEF
Average: 46.5 BE: -33
4. Mitch Lewis (Haw) $199,500, FWD
Average: 79 BE: -41
Trading in pre-season favourite Lachie Jones should be your number one priority this week.
The hard nut defender is like a mature-ager, such is his size and ability to compete with senior bodies, and posted another score in the 60s against Carlton – this is despite being off for a period with a minor ankle injury.
His job security appears sound – especially with Hamish Hartlett and Dan Houston in some doubt for this week - and Power coach Ken Hinkley tends to stick with his youngsters if they are performing.
Coaches may not have any defenders ready to downgrade but swinging Rory Laird into your midfield will allow a trade from Adelaide rookie Sam Berry, or even Braeden Campbell, with further DPP action.
McCreery, who impressed in the SANFL last year like Jones, has applied stacks of pressure in the forward half, laying 11 tackles to go with three goals in his two matches for Collingwood.
Beau McCreery has laid 11 tackles in his first two AFL games. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos
Having turned 20 on Monday, McCreery looks to be more reliable than your average small forward and has an enticing run, facing Essendon, Gold Coast and North Melbourne in his next three matches.
He’s an option worth considering if you already have Jones.
Another player off the SANFL production line, Tiger Mansell showed more promise in his second game, scoring 50 points from 13 disposals despite Richmond’s forward-half domination.
With Nick Vlastuin listed as 3-5 weeks away, Mansell should hold his spot until at least then and comes at a bargain basement price.
Lewis is an intriguing point-of-difference rookie buy.
Back in 2019, Lewis appreciated $218,000 after starting the season at around $150,000, and has a -41 break even after averaging 79 across his first two matches.
The key-forward has another two pre-seasons under his belt since then and should regain his spot after missing Round 5 with suspension.
WATCH
These rookies have played one game and are worth keeping an eye on this weekend
Finlay Macrae (Coll) $126,300, FWD/MID
R5 score: 41
Jy Farrar (GC) $184,300 FWD
R5 score: 83
Atu Bosenavulagi (NM) $175,500 FWD
R5 score: 72
Zach Reid (ESS) $166,800 DEF
R5 score: 55
Finlay Macrae is one to watch very closely after his impressive final term against the Eagles.
Those who caught Friday night’s clash would have noticed the uncanny similarity between Finlay Macrae and his half-brother, KFC SuperCoach stud Jack.
The first-round draftee has clean hands, precise disposal and even moves the same as the Bulldog star.
While he only scored 41 points, he won 10 disposals in the final quarter when the sting was out of the contest, finishing with 18 touches and three clearances.
Collingwood’s injuries should only improve his job security and scoring, and his dual position status is a plus.
Mature-age Sun Farrar, drafted as a forward, is another to keep tabs on this weekend after he finished with 21 disposals and 83 points in defence.
He comes at a higher asking price due to playing one game last year, but the 24-year-old could become a factor next week if he produces another good score.
Former Pie Bosenavulagi (72 points) and Essendon defender Zach Reid (55) could also come into consideration, with Reid’s score coming in difficult conditions for a tall.
PASS
Josh Treacy (FREM) $102,400 RUCK/FWD
Average: 25.5 BE: 9
Jaxon Prior (Bris) $123,900 DEF
Average: 44 BE: -15
Conor Stone (FWD) $144,200, FWD
Average: 45.5 BE: -7
Young Swan Errol Gulden has posted scores of 74, 68 and 66 in the past three rounds. Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images
HOLD
Matt Flynn (GWS) $227,500 RUC
Average: 102.3 BE: -34
Tom Highmore (St K) $117,300 DEF
Average: 68.5 BE: -68
Errol Gulden (Syd) $315,600 MID
Average: 96.6 BE: 51
Chad Warner (Syd) $331,100 FWD
Average: 82.4 BE: 58
James Jordon (Melb) $217,900 MID
Average: 61.8 BE: 28
Nik Cox (Ess) $289,700 DEF/FWD
Average: 60.8 BE: 34
After being managed in Round 3, Flynn has been kept out the past two weeks by veteran Shane Mumford – who is averaging a whopping 130 points if you don’t mind – and may be left on the fringes again.
Flynn scored just the 71 points in the battle with Swans reserves ruckman Callum Sinclair, with the Giants coming up against the daunting task of ruck duo Tim English and Stefan Martin.
But you should still hold the Giants ruckman, as it is only a matter of time until the 34-year-old will need a rest himself, as coach Leon Cameron hinted again post-match on Saturday.
The conditions in Round 5 didn’t suit 200cm Bombers young gun Nik Cox. Picture: NCA NewsWire/Daniel Pockett
Meanwhile, Highmore tallied 16 disposals, nine intercept possessions, four intercept marks and 95 points in the VFL and could be called on with Jimmy Webster’s injury and St Kilda’s heavy loss.
As for Gulden and Warner, both have proved to be immense scorers at stages. Warner is averaging 10 points less than the top-eight forwards and should be held for the time being.
Both he and Gulden could have a field day against the Suns.
Melbourne coach Simon Goodwin backed in Jordon and he delivered with a career-high 20 disposals, four tackles and 76 points.
His score in the 20s will drop out of his three-round rolling average after Round 6 and this will see his price surge towards $300,000 if he performs as he did against Hawthorn.
Cox had a quiet game against Brisbane in the worst possible weather for a 200cm wingman, so stick with him for now.
SELL
1. Sam Berry (Adel) $213,200 MID
Average: 53.6 BE: 43
2. Braeden Campbell (Syd) $244,000 FWD/MID
Average: 58.6 BE: 53
3. Tyler Brockman (Haw) $172,700 FWD/MID
Average: 43 BE: 28
4. Harry Sharp (Bris) $117,300 DEF/MID
Average: 35.5 BE: -2
5. Lloyd Meek (NM) $213,300 RUCK
Average: 56.8 BE: 23
Is it time to trade Braeden Campbell in KFC SuperCoach? Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images
Campbell and tough Crow Berry, who scored 31 points against Fremantle, shape as the prime rookies to sell this week, with Adelaide captain Daniel Talia flagging a rest for him in the coming weeks.
Holding Campbell looked to be a shrewd move at quarter-time with the young Swan up to 20 points, but he only managed a further 19 for the rest of the game.
At one stage in the second term, Campbell had just 34 per cent gametime and finished with an equal team-low 62 per cent (besides the sub).
He lost $12,000 on his price last week and could dip further in Round 6 – or even be dropped.
Brockman was managed by the Hawks last week but may not be worth holding onto anyway, and can be traded to Jones via Laird.
Sharp appears to be a fair way off breaking into the Lions’ senior side but does have handy dual position status, while Meek was axed last week after Rory Lobb returned.
CASH TO MAKE
Miles Bergman (PA) $156,600 FWD
Average: 50.3 BE: -27
James Rowe (Adel) $211,000 FWD
Average: 61.8 BE: -23
Tom Powell (NM) $278,300 MID
Average: 70.4 BE: -12
Alec Waterman $148,400 FWD
Average: 54.7 BE: 4
Heath Chapman $255,700 DEF
Average: 68.3 BE: 5
Jacob Koschitzke $159,00 DEF
Average: 43.8 BE: 9
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Trade grades: Experts rate big SuperCoach movesThis could be the biggest trading week in KFC SuperCoach history.heraldsun.com.au
https://bit.ly/3t027p9
Trade grades: Experts rate big SuperCoach movesThis could be the biggest trading week in KFC SuperCoach history.heraldsun.com.au
https://bit.ly/3t027p9
This could be the biggest trading week in KFC SuperCoach history.
With stars struck down by injury, rookies ready to cash in and bargains presenting themselves across the field, decisions made this week will define our 2021 KFC SuperCoach seasons.
Experts Al Paton, Tim Michell and Dan Batten rate the most popular trades for Round 7.
MOST TRADED-OUT PLAYERS
JOSH DUNKLEY $634,100 FWD/MID
Al Paton: TRADE — One thing I got right this year was starting this guy. Shoulder surgery means we must trade but he’ll be one of my first picked in 2022 when he might get an injury discount.
Tim Michell: TRADE — You don’t really have much choice. What a bummer as he was absolutely flying.
Dan Batten: TRADE — Will miss at least three months so unfortunately we’ll have to say goodbye to the scoring machine
LACHIE NEALE $578,700 MID
AP: TRADE — Another star who has to go. Nowhere near his Round 1 price but still expensive enough to grab a top-line gun like Clayton Oliver or even Jack Macrae or look for value with Sam Walsh or Andy Brayshaw.
TM: TRADE — It’s a shame to punt him at his lowest price but make the best of the situation. If you have Neale and Dunkley use their value to grab two absolutely guns — Oliver and Steele maybe?
DB: TRADE — Was a warrior playing through injury against Carlton but is another must-trade given his medium-term ankle setback.
DUSTIN MARTIN $482,900 FWD/MID
AP: HOLD — Please don’t trade Dusty! We have enough problems without giving away a certain top-three scorer in his position. Play Jimmy Rowe — or even cop a zero — for one week. It will be worth it in the long run.
TM: HOLD — What are you doing? Unless we hear he’s missing more than one week you have to hold. He might be the only forward premo left at this rate, even though his last month has been underwhelming.
DB: HOLD — Should miss just the one game with concussion – if he isn’t forced into a 14-day quarantine after jetting to New Zealand.
ERROL GULDEN $309,500 MID
AP: TRADE — Definitely not opposed to hanging onto Errol for a bit longer but he’s the best path to a gun midfielder for most coaches. But trade him up, not down.
TM: TRADE — The danger signs were there against the Suns. Barely any midfield time and stuck forward in a team which was well beaten. Does he get a rest this week too? The first two weeks were a dream but they were a clear outlier.
DB: TRADE — Faces a break even of 78, which he hasn’t passed since Round 2. His premium-esque scoring seems to be a thing of the past, although he shouldn’t be your No.1 priority if you have glaring issues elsewhere.
JORDAN CLARK $283,400 MID/DEF
AP: TRADE — Neale or Dunkley are higher priorities but if you can use his declining value to get a premium in defence or the midfield, go for it.
TM: TRADE — Unless he’s named in the 22. If you’ve persisted this long you might as well hold if he’s named.
DB: TRADE — While owners got lucky in Round 5 when he was unused as the medical sub, he was forced to come on late in the last term over the weekend. Is on the fringe and has a break even of 89.
BRAEDEN CAMPBELL $235,800 MID/FWD
AP: TRADE — Similar calculation to Clark after both started as the medical sub last week and played limited game time. hard to see him reaching his 65 break even if he does play.
TM: TRADE — I’d still move him on before I traded Gulden. The scoring just isn’t there and he played as a lockdown small forward when subbed on against Gold Coast.
DB: TRADE — Came on as the sub early but scored another sub-40 total. Probably best to move him on if you can despite the fact he may return this week.
JAMES ROWE $232,600 FWD
AP: HOLD — If he’s playing we’re going to need him! Should get his 31 break even this week, then we can start thinking about a trade.
TM: HOLD — I want to trade him badly but the forward line is enough of a mess without trading a guy who’s played every game. If only I could get it right instead of benching him for every 60+ score and copping the 20s on field.
DB: HOLD — Always going to be an up and down scorer, and his break even is manageable.
With stars struck down by injury, rookies ready to cash in and bargains presenting themselves across the field, decisions made this week will define our 2021 KFC SuperCoach seasons.
Experts Al Paton, Tim Michell and Dan Batten rate the most popular trades for Round 7.
MOST TRADED-OUT PLAYERS
JOSH DUNKLEY $634,100 FWD/MID
Al Paton: TRADE — One thing I got right this year was starting this guy. Shoulder surgery means we must trade but he’ll be one of my first picked in 2022 when he might get an injury discount.
Tim Michell: TRADE — You don’t really have much choice. What a bummer as he was absolutely flying.
Dan Batten: TRADE — Will miss at least three months so unfortunately we’ll have to say goodbye to the scoring machine
LACHIE NEALE $578,700 MID
AP: TRADE — Another star who has to go. Nowhere near his Round 1 price but still expensive enough to grab a top-line gun like Clayton Oliver or even Jack Macrae or look for value with Sam Walsh or Andy Brayshaw.
TM: TRADE — It’s a shame to punt him at his lowest price but make the best of the situation. If you have Neale and Dunkley use their value to grab two absolutely guns — Oliver and Steele maybe?
DB: TRADE — Was a warrior playing through injury against Carlton but is another must-trade given his medium-term ankle setback.
DUSTIN MARTIN $482,900 FWD/MID
AP: HOLD — Please don’t trade Dusty! We have enough problems without giving away a certain top-three scorer in his position. Play Jimmy Rowe — or even cop a zero — for one week. It will be worth it in the long run.
TM: HOLD — What are you doing? Unless we hear he’s missing more than one week you have to hold. He might be the only forward premo left at this rate, even though his last month has been underwhelming.
DB: HOLD — Should miss just the one game with concussion – if he isn’t forced into a 14-day quarantine after jetting to New Zealand.
ERROL GULDEN $309,500 MID
AP: TRADE — Definitely not opposed to hanging onto Errol for a bit longer but he’s the best path to a gun midfielder for most coaches. But trade him up, not down.
TM: TRADE — The danger signs were there against the Suns. Barely any midfield time and stuck forward in a team which was well beaten. Does he get a rest this week too? The first two weeks were a dream but they were a clear outlier.
DB: TRADE — Faces a break even of 78, which he hasn’t passed since Round 2. His premium-esque scoring seems to be a thing of the past, although he shouldn’t be your No.1 priority if you have glaring issues elsewhere.
JORDAN CLARK $283,400 MID/DEF
AP: TRADE — Neale or Dunkley are higher priorities but if you can use his declining value to get a premium in defence or the midfield, go for it.
TM: TRADE — Unless he’s named in the 22. If you’ve persisted this long you might as well hold if he’s named.
DB: TRADE — While owners got lucky in Round 5 when he was unused as the medical sub, he was forced to come on late in the last term over the weekend. Is on the fringe and has a break even of 89.
BRAEDEN CAMPBELL $235,800 MID/FWD
AP: TRADE — Similar calculation to Clark after both started as the medical sub last week and played limited game time. hard to see him reaching his 65 break even if he does play.
TM: TRADE — I’d still move him on before I traded Gulden. The scoring just isn’t there and he played as a lockdown small forward when subbed on against Gold Coast.
DB: TRADE — Came on as the sub early but scored another sub-40 total. Probably best to move him on if you can despite the fact he may return this week.
JAMES ROWE $232,600 FWD
AP: HOLD — If he’s playing we’re going to need him! Should get his 31 break even this week, then we can start thinking about a trade.
TM: HOLD — I want to trade him badly but the forward line is enough of a mess without trading a guy who’s played every game. If only I could get it right instead of benching him for every 60+ score and copping the 20s on field.
DB: HOLD — Always going to be an up and down scorer, and his break even is manageable.
@inwhiterooms
KFC SuperCoach Investor: How to solve forward line crisis, Round 7 trade advice
First it was crypto currencies. Now it’s the forward line. In a volatile year, the KFC SuperCoach Investor has a radical strategy.
Dan Begala
4 min read
April 28, 2021 - 4:13PM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
FOXSPORTS1:40
How Melbourne slowed Dusty
AFL: The First Crack podcast break down how Michael Hibberd perfectly disarmed Dustin Martin and why teams need to make this adjustment.
We’re only six rounds into our season, but coaches have been hit – almost weekly – with injury carnage and trading halts to key blue chip stocks.
Investors can’t take a trick in FY21.
It’s become a battle of attrition, but also a time for astute coaches to truly differentiate themselves from the rankings fraternity.
The SuperCoach Investor, Daniel Begala, analyses the key themes for coaches to consider as we embark into a new forward line frontier.
FULL TRADE GUIDE: BEST KFC SUPERCOACH TARGETS FOR ROUND 7
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FORWARD FRENZY
It happens every year.
There’s always one line (DEF, MID, RUC or FWD) that throws a curve ball.
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This year the elephant in the room is the shambolic forward line we’ve been presented with.
It’s bereft of traditional blue chip stocks and the top six includes three names – Jack Ziebell, Taylor Walker and Jarman Impey – who have never featured among the top tier of scorers at the business end of proceedings.
Will normality ever resume, or could this be the new norm?
First it was crypto currencies. Then it was non-fungible tokens. Now it’s Jack Ziebell and Co.
What a time to be alive and playing our great game, KFC SuperCoach!
Now – to the important part – the tactics on addressing the forward line challenges.
Steele Sidebottom was back to his prolific best on Anzac Day.
KFC SuperCoaches will be hoping Rowan Marshall replicates the form he showed against Port Adelaide.
For The Begala Brigade, the answer’s been quite simple: prioritise completion of my backline and midfield, where the cream of the crop has distinctly presented.
We’ve now had six weeks of dividend activity, however, it’s still difficult to ascertain who will finish among the top six forwards.
With that in mind, it’s essential that you continue to deploy your capital and trades into areas of your portfolio – such as DEF and MID – where the premium assets are most distinct and reliable.
You can only invest in things you know, so if you don’t understand it – perhaps it’s best to avoid it?
We will be presented over the next 2-3 weeks with a series of discounted securities including Dayne Zorko, Steele Sidebottom and Rowan Marshall, who may inspire some normality in the forward line.
Time will tell.
Win big in the Colonel's Comp
CREAM RISES TO THE TOP
The Banks. The Miners. The Tech Companies.
They’re the engine room of the ASX.
Much like the ASX Top 20, it’s essential that we turn our attention to the paramount importance of acquiring the best of the best in each division line.
Defence. Midfield. Ruck. Forward. Rinse. Repeat.
We’re not chasing mediocrity, folks, but instead the absolute creme de la creme on each line.
There are five key building blocks who must be central to every successful KFC SuperCoach portfolio if you’re chasing rankings immortality.
Jack Macrae has started the season in incredible form.
Jordan Ridley has been the premier KFC SuperCoach defender of 2021.
These names – if you’ve managed to incorporate them into your portfolio – would have helped navigate the recent volatility we’ve experienced with injuries to key blue chip stocks thwarting our weekly dividends.
Their scoring is consistent. Their durability is evidenced. They are our pillars.
You must – let me reiterate this – must have the following core assets entrenched in your portfolio as a matter of priority:
DEFENCE: Jordan Ridley ($589K)
MIDFIELD: Jack Macrae ($669K)
RUCKS: Max Gawn ($757K) and Brodie Grundy ($650K)
FORWARD: Jack Ziebell ($541K)
You cannot settle for second best here, investors.
If you don’t make the move shortly, it will be increasingly difficult to close the rankings gap without needing to accept greater risk at the selection table.
At the start of the season, The SuperCoach Investor had Jake Lloyd, Lachie Neale and Patrick Dangerfield pencilled for the defence, midfield and forward line, respectively.
How things can change, right?
These key pillars – “The Big Five” – are the core of your portfolio and will define all facets of your success across the remainder of FY21.
If you’ve been impacted by the unfortunate shoulder injury to blue chip star, Josh Dunkley, it’s time to consider reinforcing your portfolio with any one of the abovementioned stars if you’re still deficient.
Once they’re in our sides, KFC SuperCoach becomes an easier game.
Tom Mitchell’s KFC SuperCoach price has plummeted to $527k.
BLUE CHIP BARGAINS
There’s never a bad time to buy blue chip stocks.
It’s time to eye off those discounted assets and fill up the portfolio until it’s brimming with KFC SuperCoach dividends.
Although preoccupied with a myriad of sideways trades to address the weekly injury concern, The Begala Brigade has compiled a dossier of discounted stocks worthy of your consideration over the coming fortnight.
Brownlow Medallist Tom Mitchell is someone you need to add to your midfield watch list and should be the target of consideration if you boast “The Big Five” mentioned above.
He’s not really inspired the Champion Data statisticians as yet, but will be available for sub-$500K and an exceptional M6-8 as you continue to build the rest of your portfolio around him.
Josh Kelly is yet to score more than 100 this year, playing mostly as a forward.
The SuperCoach Investor also has an eye on out-of-form KFC SuperCoach stalwart Josh Kelly, who is set to enter the sub-$500K asset class.
Kelly’s a “watch” only, but other than last week – 69 KFC SuperCoach – had been relatively consistent, yet underwhelming, with all five scores between 90 and 100 points as Leon Cameron deploys him off a half-forward flank.
If he returns to his rightful role on the ball, fire up the margin loans and prepare to welcome an absolutely bargain-basement KFC SuperCoach star to your side.
Then there are those – including Steven May, Caleb Daniel and Jordan Ridley – who are set to plummet in value following injury and a once-off brain fade in Ballarat.
The Begala Brigade now boasts a full-complement in defence, so in the interim, will most likely inject Rory Laird into the engine room for a much-needed run on the ball.
More Coverage
Trade guide: How to survive SuperCoach injury crisisKFC SuperCoach: All the burning questions answeredYour best footy zinger could win a 24k gold-plated drummy
Enter, possibly, Steven May.
It’s this flexibility and willingness for players to play out of position that will define our success in FY21.
KFC SuperCoach Investor: How to solve forward line crisis, Round 7 trade advice
First it was crypto currencies. Now it’s the forward line. In a volatile year, the KFC SuperCoach Investor has a radical strategy.
Dan Begala
4 min read
April 28, 2021 - 4:13PM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
FOXSPORTS1:40
How Melbourne slowed Dusty
AFL: The First Crack podcast break down how Michael Hibberd perfectly disarmed Dustin Martin and why teams need to make this adjustment.
We’re only six rounds into our season, but coaches have been hit – almost weekly – with injury carnage and trading halts to key blue chip stocks.
Investors can’t take a trick in FY21.
It’s become a battle of attrition, but also a time for astute coaches to truly differentiate themselves from the rankings fraternity.
The SuperCoach Investor, Daniel Begala, analyses the key themes for coaches to consider as we embark into a new forward line frontier.
FULL TRADE GUIDE: BEST KFC SUPERCOACH TARGETS FOR ROUND 7
Watch the 2021 Toyota AFL Premiership Season. Every match of every round Live on Kayo. New to Kayo? Try 14-Days Free Now >
FORWARD FRENZY
It happens every year.
There’s always one line (DEF, MID, RUC or FWD) that throws a curve ball.
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This year the elephant in the room is the shambolic forward line we’ve been presented with.
It’s bereft of traditional blue chip stocks and the top six includes three names – Jack Ziebell, Taylor Walker and Jarman Impey – who have never featured among the top tier of scorers at the business end of proceedings.
Will normality ever resume, or could this be the new norm?
First it was crypto currencies. Then it was non-fungible tokens. Now it’s Jack Ziebell and Co.
What a time to be alive and playing our great game, KFC SuperCoach!
Now – to the important part – the tactics on addressing the forward line challenges.
Steele Sidebottom was back to his prolific best on Anzac Day.
KFC SuperCoaches will be hoping Rowan Marshall replicates the form he showed against Port Adelaide.
For The Begala Brigade, the answer’s been quite simple: prioritise completion of my backline and midfield, where the cream of the crop has distinctly presented.
We’ve now had six weeks of dividend activity, however, it’s still difficult to ascertain who will finish among the top six forwards.
With that in mind, it’s essential that you continue to deploy your capital and trades into areas of your portfolio – such as DEF and MID – where the premium assets are most distinct and reliable.
You can only invest in things you know, so if you don’t understand it – perhaps it’s best to avoid it?
We will be presented over the next 2-3 weeks with a series of discounted securities including Dayne Zorko, Steele Sidebottom and Rowan Marshall, who may inspire some normality in the forward line.
Time will tell.
Win big in the Colonel's Comp
CREAM RISES TO THE TOP
The Banks. The Miners. The Tech Companies.
They’re the engine room of the ASX.
Much like the ASX Top 20, it’s essential that we turn our attention to the paramount importance of acquiring the best of the best in each division line.
Defence. Midfield. Ruck. Forward. Rinse. Repeat.
We’re not chasing mediocrity, folks, but instead the absolute creme de la creme on each line.
There are five key building blocks who must be central to every successful KFC SuperCoach portfolio if you’re chasing rankings immortality.
Jack Macrae has started the season in incredible form.
Jordan Ridley has been the premier KFC SuperCoach defender of 2021.
These names – if you’ve managed to incorporate them into your portfolio – would have helped navigate the recent volatility we’ve experienced with injuries to key blue chip stocks thwarting our weekly dividends.
Their scoring is consistent. Their durability is evidenced. They are our pillars.
You must – let me reiterate this – must have the following core assets entrenched in your portfolio as a matter of priority:
DEFENCE: Jordan Ridley ($589K)
MIDFIELD: Jack Macrae ($669K)
RUCKS: Max Gawn ($757K) and Brodie Grundy ($650K)
FORWARD: Jack Ziebell ($541K)
You cannot settle for second best here, investors.
If you don’t make the move shortly, it will be increasingly difficult to close the rankings gap without needing to accept greater risk at the selection table.
At the start of the season, The SuperCoach Investor had Jake Lloyd, Lachie Neale and Patrick Dangerfield pencilled for the defence, midfield and forward line, respectively.
How things can change, right?
These key pillars – “The Big Five” – are the core of your portfolio and will define all facets of your success across the remainder of FY21.
If you’ve been impacted by the unfortunate shoulder injury to blue chip star, Josh Dunkley, it’s time to consider reinforcing your portfolio with any one of the abovementioned stars if you’re still deficient.
Once they’re in our sides, KFC SuperCoach becomes an easier game.
Tom Mitchell’s KFC SuperCoach price has plummeted to $527k.
BLUE CHIP BARGAINS
There’s never a bad time to buy blue chip stocks.
It’s time to eye off those discounted assets and fill up the portfolio until it’s brimming with KFC SuperCoach dividends.
Although preoccupied with a myriad of sideways trades to address the weekly injury concern, The Begala Brigade has compiled a dossier of discounted stocks worthy of your consideration over the coming fortnight.
Brownlow Medallist Tom Mitchell is someone you need to add to your midfield watch list and should be the target of consideration if you boast “The Big Five” mentioned above.
He’s not really inspired the Champion Data statisticians as yet, but will be available for sub-$500K and an exceptional M6-8 as you continue to build the rest of your portfolio around him.
Josh Kelly is yet to score more than 100 this year, playing mostly as a forward.
The SuperCoach Investor also has an eye on out-of-form KFC SuperCoach stalwart Josh Kelly, who is set to enter the sub-$500K asset class.
Kelly’s a “watch” only, but other than last week – 69 KFC SuperCoach – had been relatively consistent, yet underwhelming, with all five scores between 90 and 100 points as Leon Cameron deploys him off a half-forward flank.
If he returns to his rightful role on the ball, fire up the margin loans and prepare to welcome an absolutely bargain-basement KFC SuperCoach star to your side.
Then there are those – including Steven May, Caleb Daniel and Jordan Ridley – who are set to plummet in value following injury and a once-off brain fade in Ballarat.
The Begala Brigade now boasts a full-complement in defence, so in the interim, will most likely inject Rory Laird into the engine room for a much-needed run on the ball.
More Coverage
Trade guide: How to survive SuperCoach injury crisisKFC SuperCoach: All the burning questions answeredYour best footy zinger could win a 24k gold-plated drummy
Enter, possibly, Steven May.
It’s this flexibility and willingness for players to play out of position that will define our success in FY21.
TOM HICKEY $421,700 RUC
AP: TRADE — See Tim’s advice below. If you started without Gawn or Grundy now is a chance to correct that mistake.
TM: TRADE — Use the Dunkley or Neale injuries to turn him into Brodie Grundy before he massacres the Suns.
DB: TRADE — Why didn’t you give him the flick last week?
PATRICK CRIPPS $482,000 MID
AP: HOLD — Who could have predicted an 87.5 average when he nearly had that total at halftime in Round 1? A failed pick for many (including me) unfortunately but wait until he puts up a 140 and regains some value before considering a trade.
TM: HOLD — I traded him a few weeks ago so this advice seems a bit rich, but if you’ve persisted this long just keep him. He has to turn the corner soon, doesn’t he?
DB: HOLD — With the current injury crisis, sideways trades are a luxury. Still winning plenty of the footy – he just needs to tidy up his disposal.
PATRICK DANGERFIELD $611,900 FWD/MID
AP: TRADE — You can do a lot with $611k.
TM: TRADE — Out for at least another 5-6 weeks and too expensive to have sitting on your bench.
DB: TRADE — Set to miss another 6-8 weeks.
MOST TRADED-IN PLAYERS
JACK MACRAE $668,600 MID
AP: BUY — What a gun. He has a great record against the Tigers and won’t get any cheaper in the foreseeable future, so this could be your best chance to grab him.
TM: BUY — Starting him was one of my best moves. An absolute jet and perfect VC option most weeks. His kicking efficiency is through the roof this year, which has lifted his scoring to monstrous levels.
DB: BUY — As consistent as they come, scoring between 137 and 146 in four of his six matches.
SAM WALSH $581,000 MID
AP: BUY — The fourth-best scoring midfielder so far and won’t be under $600k for long.
TM: BUY — Still not completely convinced he’ll be a top-eight midfielder come season’s end unless Carlton gets its act together. But at less than $600k you can’t really go wrong with this one.
DB: BUY — Has well and truly overtaken Patrick Cripps and will be entrenched in the top-eight midfielders.
JACK ZIEBELL $541,400 FWD
AP: BUY — Of course you should have picked him before now but put that to one side — $541k is still a good price for a guy averaging 127. Could be the top-scoring forward this year, which is nuts.
TM: BUY — People still don’t have him? This is like arriving to the party just as people are starting to pack up. Might be the topscoring forward of 2021 if he stays fit.
DB: BUY — It’s not too late to jump on this freight train.
Jack Ziebell is having a fantastic season. Picture: Jake Nowakowski
RILEY THILTHORPE $202,800 RUC/FWD
AP: PASS — I can see the appeal of picking him and Rowan Marshall to provide ruck/forward cover but he kicked five goals last week for 91 points. What happens when he kicks one or none?
TM: WAIT — Young key forwards can be very volatile scorers and I want to see him go 60-plus again to guarantee a price spike before committing. He’s 200cm and moves like a gazelle, though. What a prospect.
DB: PASS… for now. He kicked a bag of five and scored 91. Watch to see how he fares in his second game before making the $200,000 investment.
DAYNE ZORKO $485,500 MID/FWD
AP: BUY — My likely Josh Dunkley replacement. Has a tendency to drop a sub-50 stinker but is under $500k and has a proven premium scoring history.
TM: BUY — But with a word of caution. The extra midfield time will be there without Lachie Neale but so is the potential for a tag. His nemesis Touk Miller awaits in a few weeks.
DB: BUY — Should receive enhanced midfield minutes with Lachie Neale out and is very affordable.
Dayne Zorko could benefit from Lachie Neale’s absence from the Lions team.
MARTIN FREDERICK $123,900 DEF
AP: WAIT — Looked amazing but that was a against the woeful Saints, so I definitely need to see another game before committing.
TM: WAIT — Brilliant on debut but how many times have coaches been burned already by going early on rookies this year? The Power team isn’t exactly easy to hold a spot in and most KFC SuperCoaches are already carrying a Tom Highmore doughnut.
DB: WAIT — Looms as a must-have ahead of Round 8, but don’t tempt the KFC SuperCoach gods. We all know what happened to Lachie Jones.
TOBY GREENE $505,100 FWD
AP: PASS — In red-hot form averaging three goals a week and exactly 100 KFC SuperCoach points. Hard to see him going up from here and always a suspension risk.
TM: PASS — I really, really want to say yes but the injury and suspension history suggests no is the right answer. Sidebottom is cheaper and DPP.
DB: BUY — He has burnt me in the past so I am treading carefully, but on the surface he is scoring well and is in great form.
Mitch Duncan had a day out against the Eagles. Picture: Michael Klein
MITCH DUNCAN $582,400 MID
AP: PASS — I picked Mitch last year on a similar hot streak and he levelled out to the 103 average he has posted for most of the past four years. That’s not terrible but I think we can aim higher.
TM: BUY — Won’t kick four goals every week but is an incredibly consistent scorer and always a POD. Really like this one.
DB: BUY — If you’re looking for a POD, Duncan is your man. Taking some kick-ins and running amok for the Cats.
DEVEN ROBERTSON $225,800 MID/FWD
AP: PASS — Very interesting prospect who could post some good scores if he’s part of the Lions’ starting midfield but that’s not guaranteed. Too risky for me at that elevated price.
TM: BUY — Smarter and higher-ranked coaches than me are on board with this pick so who am I to disagree? He’ll have a break even in the negatives after this week and should get more midfield time with Neale out. I can see this one working out really well.
DB: PASS — Feel we have missed the boat on Robertson, and there isn’t evidence to suggest he will be playing a significant midfield role – even with Neale out. That doesn’t mean he won’t be a popular pick in the future.
CHRISTIAN PETRACCA $598,300 MID
AP: BUY — Warming to taking a punt on Trac over teammate Clayton Oliver. He costs $2k more and is more volatile in his scoring but the upside is his ability to go on a massive run and the Dees’ next four games are against North Melbourne, Sydney, Carlton and Adelaide. Oh boy.
TM: BUY — But not over Clayton Oliver. If you already have Clarry then go for your life. I value consistency in KFC SuperCoach and Oliver delivers the goods every week. Petracca could score 200 this week against North Melbourne, though. In fact I’ll take a guess — 172 points.
DB: BUY — Has stacks of upside with his high ceiling, especially with Melbourne’s upcoming run.
AP: TRADE — See Tim’s advice below. If you started without Gawn or Grundy now is a chance to correct that mistake.
TM: TRADE — Use the Dunkley or Neale injuries to turn him into Brodie Grundy before he massacres the Suns.
DB: TRADE — Why didn’t you give him the flick last week?
PATRICK CRIPPS $482,000 MID
AP: HOLD — Who could have predicted an 87.5 average when he nearly had that total at halftime in Round 1? A failed pick for many (including me) unfortunately but wait until he puts up a 140 and regains some value before considering a trade.
TM: HOLD — I traded him a few weeks ago so this advice seems a bit rich, but if you’ve persisted this long just keep him. He has to turn the corner soon, doesn’t he?
DB: HOLD — With the current injury crisis, sideways trades are a luxury. Still winning plenty of the footy – he just needs to tidy up his disposal.
PATRICK DANGERFIELD $611,900 FWD/MID
AP: TRADE — You can do a lot with $611k.
TM: TRADE — Out for at least another 5-6 weeks and too expensive to have sitting on your bench.
DB: TRADE — Set to miss another 6-8 weeks.
MOST TRADED-IN PLAYERS
JACK MACRAE $668,600 MID
AP: BUY — What a gun. He has a great record against the Tigers and won’t get any cheaper in the foreseeable future, so this could be your best chance to grab him.
TM: BUY — Starting him was one of my best moves. An absolute jet and perfect VC option most weeks. His kicking efficiency is through the roof this year, which has lifted his scoring to monstrous levels.
DB: BUY — As consistent as they come, scoring between 137 and 146 in four of his six matches.
SAM WALSH $581,000 MID
AP: BUY — The fourth-best scoring midfielder so far and won’t be under $600k for long.
TM: BUY — Still not completely convinced he’ll be a top-eight midfielder come season’s end unless Carlton gets its act together. But at less than $600k you can’t really go wrong with this one.
DB: BUY — Has well and truly overtaken Patrick Cripps and will be entrenched in the top-eight midfielders.
JACK ZIEBELL $541,400 FWD
AP: BUY — Of course you should have picked him before now but put that to one side — $541k is still a good price for a guy averaging 127. Could be the top-scoring forward this year, which is nuts.
TM: BUY — People still don’t have him? This is like arriving to the party just as people are starting to pack up. Might be the topscoring forward of 2021 if he stays fit.
DB: BUY — It’s not too late to jump on this freight train.
Jack Ziebell is having a fantastic season. Picture: Jake Nowakowski
RILEY THILTHORPE $202,800 RUC/FWD
AP: PASS — I can see the appeal of picking him and Rowan Marshall to provide ruck/forward cover but he kicked five goals last week for 91 points. What happens when he kicks one or none?
TM: WAIT — Young key forwards can be very volatile scorers and I want to see him go 60-plus again to guarantee a price spike before committing. He’s 200cm and moves like a gazelle, though. What a prospect.
DB: PASS… for now. He kicked a bag of five and scored 91. Watch to see how he fares in his second game before making the $200,000 investment.
DAYNE ZORKO $485,500 MID/FWD
AP: BUY — My likely Josh Dunkley replacement. Has a tendency to drop a sub-50 stinker but is under $500k and has a proven premium scoring history.
TM: BUY — But with a word of caution. The extra midfield time will be there without Lachie Neale but so is the potential for a tag. His nemesis Touk Miller awaits in a few weeks.
DB: BUY — Should receive enhanced midfield minutes with Lachie Neale out and is very affordable.
Dayne Zorko could benefit from Lachie Neale’s absence from the Lions team.
MARTIN FREDERICK $123,900 DEF
AP: WAIT — Looked amazing but that was a against the woeful Saints, so I definitely need to see another game before committing.
TM: WAIT — Brilliant on debut but how many times have coaches been burned already by going early on rookies this year? The Power team isn’t exactly easy to hold a spot in and most KFC SuperCoaches are already carrying a Tom Highmore doughnut.
DB: WAIT — Looms as a must-have ahead of Round 8, but don’t tempt the KFC SuperCoach gods. We all know what happened to Lachie Jones.
TOBY GREENE $505,100 FWD
AP: PASS — In red-hot form averaging three goals a week and exactly 100 KFC SuperCoach points. Hard to see him going up from here and always a suspension risk.
TM: PASS — I really, really want to say yes but the injury and suspension history suggests no is the right answer. Sidebottom is cheaper and DPP.
DB: BUY — He has burnt me in the past so I am treading carefully, but on the surface he is scoring well and is in great form.
Mitch Duncan had a day out against the Eagles. Picture: Michael Klein
MITCH DUNCAN $582,400 MID
AP: PASS — I picked Mitch last year on a similar hot streak and he levelled out to the 103 average he has posted for most of the past four years. That’s not terrible but I think we can aim higher.
TM: BUY — Won’t kick four goals every week but is an incredibly consistent scorer and always a POD. Really like this one.
DB: BUY — If you’re looking for a POD, Duncan is your man. Taking some kick-ins and running amok for the Cats.
DEVEN ROBERTSON $225,800 MID/FWD
AP: PASS — Very interesting prospect who could post some good scores if he’s part of the Lions’ starting midfield but that’s not guaranteed. Too risky for me at that elevated price.
TM: BUY — Smarter and higher-ranked coaches than me are on board with this pick so who am I to disagree? He’ll have a break even in the negatives after this week and should get more midfield time with Neale out. I can see this one working out really well.
DB: PASS — Feel we have missed the boat on Robertson, and there isn’t evidence to suggest he will be playing a significant midfield role – even with Neale out. That doesn’t mean he won’t be a popular pick in the future.
CHRISTIAN PETRACCA $598,300 MID
AP: BUY — Warming to taking a punt on Trac over teammate Clayton Oliver. He costs $2k more and is more volatile in his scoring but the upside is his ability to go on a massive run and the Dees’ next four games are against North Melbourne, Sydney, Carlton and Adelaide. Oh boy.
TM: BUY — But not over Clayton Oliver. If you already have Clarry then go for your life. I value consistency in KFC SuperCoach and Oliver delivers the goods every week. Petracca could score 200 this week against North Melbourne, though. In fact I’ll take a guess — 172 points.
DB: BUY — Has stacks of upside with his high ceiling, especially with Melbourne’s upcoming run.
Trade grades: KFC SuperCoach experts reveal their trades, rate the biggest moves of Round 7
See who’s in and who’s out of our KFC SuperCoach experts’ teams this week, including a big change of plans.
12 min read
April 30, 2021 - 10:14AM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
HERALDSUN.COM.AU2:52
KFC SuperCoach AFL: Round 6 Hot & Cold
KFC SuperCoach guru Al Paton is back to discuss who is hot and cold after Round 6 of the AFL season.
This could be the biggest trading week in KFC SuperCoach history.
With stars struck down by injury, rookies ready to cash in and bargains presenting themselves across the field, decisions made this week will define our 2021 KFC SuperCoach seasons.
Experts Al Paton, Tim Michell, Dan Batten and The Phantom reveal their trades and rate the most popular trades for Round 7.
TIM MICHELL
Josh Dunkley to Clayton Oliver via Anthony Scott DPP, second trade depedent on teams
Oliver has a break even of 122 so I could afford to wait another week, but I’ve been targeting Melbourne’s game against North Melbourne for weeks as the round to finally bring him in. Hindsight is a beautiful thing and starting Oliver over Lachie Neale would have been an inspired move.
Oliver is an incredible bargain at under $600k — thank you Matt de Boer — and as a KFC SuperCoach who values reliability highly I can’t wait to bring him in. I’m surprised to see he’s in only 25 per cent of teams.
I’d love to give you a second trade now but I’d be lying if I said I knew what I was doing. I’m not sold on Steele Sidebottom, who has a bad Round 14 bye, and am about $1000 off trading Errol Gulden to Dayne Zorko. Shai Bolton and Andrew Brayshaw are also in the mix but I feel like I’ve been trying to talk myself into that pair this week and that’s never a good sign. Who needs forwards, right?
TRADE GUIDE: STATS GURU RATES DUNKLEY, NEALE REPLACEMENTS
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Christian Petracca has a three-round average of 129.
AL PATON
Josh Dunkley to Dayne Zorko, Errol Gulden to Christian Petracca
Sanity has prevailed. An all-star midfield featuring Petracca and Marcus Bontempelli looked great for a while but left my forward line (even more) horribly exposed and limited my path to future premiums.
This move leaves me $211k in the bank to potentially go straight from Heath Chapman to Steven May next week, getting another rookie off the field which is possibly more important than agonising over which replacement will average 105 or 110.
Zorko has had an OK start to the year, averaging 94, but is capable of a 105-plus return from here expecially with Lachie Neale leaving a big hole in the Lions midfield. At $485k he’s worth the punt.
I lost a bit of ground last week by making two rookie downgrades (Rhyan Mansell and Finlay Macrae) but hopefully I can make a move over the next 2-3 weeks with that cash allowing me to upgrade Gulden to a superstar — Petracca was selected narrowly over Clayton Oliver due to his explosive scoring potential over Melbourne’s mouth-watering next month — and the ability to grab another premo with one trade next week.
Having said that, I did really like the idea of swapping Dunkley to Travis Boak, who is great value at $555k, then he became the latest victim of the KFC SuperCoach injury curse when Port Adelaide announced he will miss this week with a quad injury.
Rowan Marshall has recovered from a foot injury.
DAN BATTEN
Josh Dunkley and Lachie Neale to Rowan Marshall and Clayton Oliver
Like many coaches, I’ll be making two forced trades for Dunkley and Oliver. Buying Marshall early has an element of risk given he is coming back from injury and missed a game with a plantar fascia concern in Round 5. But his sparkling 132 against Port Adelaide in a thumping loss and his mouthwatering upcoming fixtures have convinced me to take the punt.
Marshall faces Hawthown (Ben McEvoy), Gold Coast (Zac Smith) and Geelong (Rhys Stanley) in his next three matches, and if he stays on the park, he will be a definite top-three forward from here. The ruck/forward averaged 104 points in 17 matches last year with Paddy Ryder playing in 13 of them, so I’m not concerned by Ryder’s return this week.
Marshall has a high break even, which I hope will deter coaches and allow me to have a point-of-difference pick for the next fortnight. Melbourne also has an enticing run over the next month with Christian Petracca coming into my thoughts, but I think I will settle for the ever-reliable Oliver.
THE PHANTOM
Josh Dunkley to Deven Robertson, Errol Gulden/Heath Chapman to Andrew Brayshaw
I think, anyway. I’ve had more time to think about my own trades this week and it hasn’t been a good thing. I want to make money out of my injured premiums, so I initially looked at Isaac Heeney.
But, given his history, in the mess that is this year’s KFC SuperCoach forward line, is the star Swan really less of a chance to backfire than a junior ball-magnet, who scored 106 in a half in the VFL before finishing with 97 points in Jarrod Berry’s role last week? I don’t think so. Robertson also attended five centre bounces with Lachie Neale IN the side against the Blues.
It’s a move which could ruin my season but it could also make my year, given the money will help fast track the upgrade process. I’m picking him to average 85, not for his own cash generation, to be clear. I like Clayton Oliver, and I’m nervous about what he could score against the Roos, but with a break even of 122, he’s likely to roughly hold his price. Brayshaw, who has a break even score of 54 after posting back-to-back KFC SuperCoach tons, will not. Oh, and it all means I’ll be holding Neale for now. Something I might continue to do if I can execute an upgrade every round for the next 3-4 weeks.
See who’s in and who’s out of our KFC SuperCoach experts’ teams this week, including a big change of plans.
12 min read
April 30, 2021 - 10:14AM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
HERALDSUN.COM.AU2:52
KFC SuperCoach AFL: Round 6 Hot & Cold
KFC SuperCoach guru Al Paton is back to discuss who is hot and cold after Round 6 of the AFL season.
This could be the biggest trading week in KFC SuperCoach history.
With stars struck down by injury, rookies ready to cash in and bargains presenting themselves across the field, decisions made this week will define our 2021 KFC SuperCoach seasons.
Experts Al Paton, Tim Michell, Dan Batten and The Phantom reveal their trades and rate the most popular trades for Round 7.
TIM MICHELL
Josh Dunkley to Clayton Oliver via Anthony Scott DPP, second trade depedent on teams
Oliver has a break even of 122 so I could afford to wait another week, but I’ve been targeting Melbourne’s game against North Melbourne for weeks as the round to finally bring him in. Hindsight is a beautiful thing and starting Oliver over Lachie Neale would have been an inspired move.
Oliver is an incredible bargain at under $600k — thank you Matt de Boer — and as a KFC SuperCoach who values reliability highly I can’t wait to bring him in. I’m surprised to see he’s in only 25 per cent of teams.
I’d love to give you a second trade now but I’d be lying if I said I knew what I was doing. I’m not sold on Steele Sidebottom, who has a bad Round 14 bye, and am about $1000 off trading Errol Gulden to Dayne Zorko. Shai Bolton and Andrew Brayshaw are also in the mix but I feel like I’ve been trying to talk myself into that pair this week and that’s never a good sign. Who needs forwards, right?
TRADE GUIDE: STATS GURU RATES DUNKLEY, NEALE REPLACEMENTS
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Christian Petracca has a three-round average of 129.
AL PATON
Josh Dunkley to Dayne Zorko, Errol Gulden to Christian Petracca
Sanity has prevailed. An all-star midfield featuring Petracca and Marcus Bontempelli looked great for a while but left my forward line (even more) horribly exposed and limited my path to future premiums.
This move leaves me $211k in the bank to potentially go straight from Heath Chapman to Steven May next week, getting another rookie off the field which is possibly more important than agonising over which replacement will average 105 or 110.
Zorko has had an OK start to the year, averaging 94, but is capable of a 105-plus return from here expecially with Lachie Neale leaving a big hole in the Lions midfield. At $485k he’s worth the punt.
I lost a bit of ground last week by making two rookie downgrades (Rhyan Mansell and Finlay Macrae) but hopefully I can make a move over the next 2-3 weeks with that cash allowing me to upgrade Gulden to a superstar — Petracca was selected narrowly over Clayton Oliver due to his explosive scoring potential over Melbourne’s mouth-watering next month — and the ability to grab another premo with one trade next week.
Having said that, I did really like the idea of swapping Dunkley to Travis Boak, who is great value at $555k, then he became the latest victim of the KFC SuperCoach injury curse when Port Adelaide announced he will miss this week with a quad injury.
Rowan Marshall has recovered from a foot injury.
DAN BATTEN
Josh Dunkley and Lachie Neale to Rowan Marshall and Clayton Oliver
Like many coaches, I’ll be making two forced trades for Dunkley and Oliver. Buying Marshall early has an element of risk given he is coming back from injury and missed a game with a plantar fascia concern in Round 5. But his sparkling 132 against Port Adelaide in a thumping loss and his mouthwatering upcoming fixtures have convinced me to take the punt.
Marshall faces Hawthown (Ben McEvoy), Gold Coast (Zac Smith) and Geelong (Rhys Stanley) in his next three matches, and if he stays on the park, he will be a definite top-three forward from here. The ruck/forward averaged 104 points in 17 matches last year with Paddy Ryder playing in 13 of them, so I’m not concerned by Ryder’s return this week.
Marshall has a high break even, which I hope will deter coaches and allow me to have a point-of-difference pick for the next fortnight. Melbourne also has an enticing run over the next month with Christian Petracca coming into my thoughts, but I think I will settle for the ever-reliable Oliver.
THE PHANTOM
Josh Dunkley to Deven Robertson, Errol Gulden/Heath Chapman to Andrew Brayshaw
I think, anyway. I’ve had more time to think about my own trades this week and it hasn’t been a good thing. I want to make money out of my injured premiums, so I initially looked at Isaac Heeney.
But, given his history, in the mess that is this year’s KFC SuperCoach forward line, is the star Swan really less of a chance to backfire than a junior ball-magnet, who scored 106 in a half in the VFL before finishing with 97 points in Jarrod Berry’s role last week? I don’t think so. Robertson also attended five centre bounces with Lachie Neale IN the side against the Blues.
It’s a move which could ruin my season but it could also make my year, given the money will help fast track the upgrade process. I’m picking him to average 85, not for his own cash generation, to be clear. I like Clayton Oliver, and I’m nervous about what he could score against the Roos, but with a break even of 122, he’s likely to roughly hold his price. Brayshaw, who has a break even score of 54 after posting back-to-back KFC SuperCoach tons, will not. Oh, and it all means I’ll be holding Neale for now. Something I might continue to do if I can execute an upgrade every round for the next 3-4 weeks.
TRADE GRADES: MOST TRADED-OUT PLAYERS
JOSH DUNKLEY $634,100 FWD/MID
Al Paton: TRADE — One thing I got right this year was starting this guy. Shoulder surgery means we must trade but he’ll be one of my first picked in 2022 when he might get an injury discount.
Tim Michell: TRADE — You don’t really have much choice. What a bummer as he was absolutely flying.
Dan Batten: TRADE — Will miss at least three months so unfortunately we’ll have to say goodbye to the scoring machine
Josh Dunkley averaged 129 KFC SuperCoach points over the first six rounds. Picture: Michael Klein
LACHIE NEALE $578,700 MID
AP: TRADE — Another star who has to go. Nowhere near his Round 1 price but still expensive enough to grab a top-line gun like Clayton Oliver or even Jack Macrae or look for value with Sam Walsh or Andy Brayshaw.
TM: TRADE — It’s a shame to punt him at his lowest price but make the best of the situation. If you have Neale and Dunkley use their value to grab two absolutely guns — Oliver and Steele maybe?
DB: TRADE — Was a warrior playing through injury against Carlton but is another must-trade given his medium-term ankle setback.
DUSTIN MARTIN $482,900 FWD/MID
AP: HOLD — Please don’t trade Dusty! We have enough problems without giving away a certain top-three scorer in his position. Play Jimmy Rowe — or even cop a zero — for one week. It will be worth it in the long run.
TM: HOLD — What are you doing? Unless we hear he’s missing more than one week you have to hold. He might be the only forward premo left at this rate, even though his last month has been underwhelming.
DB: HOLD — Should miss just the one game with concussion – if he isn’t forced into a 14-day quarantine after jetting to New Zealand.
Dustin Martin is heading over the Tasman. Picture: Michael Klein
ERROL GULDEN $309,500 MID
AP: TRADE — Definitely not opposed to hanging onto Errol for a bit longer but he’s the best path to a gun midfielder for most coaches. But trade him up, not down.
TM: TRADE — The danger signs were there against the Suns. Barely any midfield time and stuck forward in a team which was well beaten. Does he get a rest this week too? The first two weeks were a dream but they were a clear outlier.
DB: TRADE — Faces a break even of 78, which he hasn’t passed since Round 2. His premium-esque scoring seems to be a thing of the past, although he shouldn’t be your No.1 priority if you have glaring issues elsewhere.
JORDAN CLARK $283,400 MID/DEF
AP: TRADE — Neale or Dunkley are higher priorities but if you can use his declining value to get a premium in defence or the midfield, go for it.
TM: TRADE — Unless he’s named in the 22. If you’ve persisted this long you might as well hold if he’s named.
DB: TRADE — While owners got lucky in Round 5 when he was unused as the medical sub, he was forced to come on late in the last term over the weekend. Is on the fringe and has a break even of 89.
Jordan Clark is on the fringe of Geelong’s best 22. Picture: Peter Ristevski
BRAEDEN CAMPBELL $235,800 MID/FWD
AP: TRADE — Similar calculation to Clark after both started as the medical sub last week and played limited game time. hard to see him reaching his 65 break even if he does play.
TM: TRADE — I’d still move him on before I traded Gulden. The scoring just isn’t there and he played as a lockdown small forward when subbed on against Gold Coast.
DB: TRADE — Came on as the sub early but scored another sub-40 total. Probably best to move him on if you can despite the fact he may return this week.
JAMES ROWE $232,600 FWD
AP: HOLD — If he’s playing we’re going to need him! Should get his 31 break even this week, then we can start thinking about a trade.
TM: HOLD — I want to trade him badly but the forward line is enough of a mess without trading a guy who’s played every game. If only I could get it right instead of benching him for every 60+ score and copping the 20s on field.
DB: HOLD — Always going to be an up and down scorer, and his break even is manageable.
TOM HICKEY $421,700 RUC
AP: TRADE — See Tim’s advice below. If you started without Gawn or Grundy now is a chance to correct that mistake.
TM: TRADE — Use the Dunkley or Neale injuries to turn him into Brodie Grundy before he massacres the Suns.
DB: TRADE — Why didn’t you give him the flick last week?
PATRICK CRIPPS $482,000 MID
AP: HOLD — Who could have predicted an 87.5 average when he nearly had that total at halftime in Round 1? A failed pick for many (including me) unfortunately but wait until he puts up a 140 and regains some value before considering a trade.
TM: HOLD — I traded him a few weeks ago so this advice seems a bit rich, but if you’ve persisted this long just keep him. He has to turn the corner soon, doesn’t he?
DB: HOLD — With the current injury crisis, sideways trades are a luxury. Still winning plenty of the footy – he just needs to tidy up his disposal.
Patrick Cripps had 21 handballs and just four kicks against Brisbane.
PATRICK DANGERFIELD $611,900 FWD/MID
AP: TRADE — You can do a lot with $611k.
TM: TRADE — Out for at least another 5-6 weeks and too expensive to have sitting on your bench.
DB: TRADE — Set to miss another 6-8 weeks.
JOSH DUNKLEY $634,100 FWD/MID
Al Paton: TRADE — One thing I got right this year was starting this guy. Shoulder surgery means we must trade but he’ll be one of my first picked in 2022 when he might get an injury discount.
Tim Michell: TRADE — You don’t really have much choice. What a bummer as he was absolutely flying.
Dan Batten: TRADE — Will miss at least three months so unfortunately we’ll have to say goodbye to the scoring machine
Josh Dunkley averaged 129 KFC SuperCoach points over the first six rounds. Picture: Michael Klein
LACHIE NEALE $578,700 MID
AP: TRADE — Another star who has to go. Nowhere near his Round 1 price but still expensive enough to grab a top-line gun like Clayton Oliver or even Jack Macrae or look for value with Sam Walsh or Andy Brayshaw.
TM: TRADE — It’s a shame to punt him at his lowest price but make the best of the situation. If you have Neale and Dunkley use their value to grab two absolutely guns — Oliver and Steele maybe?
DB: TRADE — Was a warrior playing through injury against Carlton but is another must-trade given his medium-term ankle setback.
DUSTIN MARTIN $482,900 FWD/MID
AP: HOLD — Please don’t trade Dusty! We have enough problems without giving away a certain top-three scorer in his position. Play Jimmy Rowe — or even cop a zero — for one week. It will be worth it in the long run.
TM: HOLD — What are you doing? Unless we hear he’s missing more than one week you have to hold. He might be the only forward premo left at this rate, even though his last month has been underwhelming.
DB: HOLD — Should miss just the one game with concussion – if he isn’t forced into a 14-day quarantine after jetting to New Zealand.
Dustin Martin is heading over the Tasman. Picture: Michael Klein
ERROL GULDEN $309,500 MID
AP: TRADE — Definitely not opposed to hanging onto Errol for a bit longer but he’s the best path to a gun midfielder for most coaches. But trade him up, not down.
TM: TRADE — The danger signs were there against the Suns. Barely any midfield time and stuck forward in a team which was well beaten. Does he get a rest this week too? The first two weeks were a dream but they were a clear outlier.
DB: TRADE — Faces a break even of 78, which he hasn’t passed since Round 2. His premium-esque scoring seems to be a thing of the past, although he shouldn’t be your No.1 priority if you have glaring issues elsewhere.
JORDAN CLARK $283,400 MID/DEF
AP: TRADE — Neale or Dunkley are higher priorities but if you can use his declining value to get a premium in defence or the midfield, go for it.
TM: TRADE — Unless he’s named in the 22. If you’ve persisted this long you might as well hold if he’s named.
DB: TRADE — While owners got lucky in Round 5 when he was unused as the medical sub, he was forced to come on late in the last term over the weekend. Is on the fringe and has a break even of 89.
Jordan Clark is on the fringe of Geelong’s best 22. Picture: Peter Ristevski
BRAEDEN CAMPBELL $235,800 MID/FWD
AP: TRADE — Similar calculation to Clark after both started as the medical sub last week and played limited game time. hard to see him reaching his 65 break even if he does play.
TM: TRADE — I’d still move him on before I traded Gulden. The scoring just isn’t there and he played as a lockdown small forward when subbed on against Gold Coast.
DB: TRADE — Came on as the sub early but scored another sub-40 total. Probably best to move him on if you can despite the fact he may return this week.
JAMES ROWE $232,600 FWD
AP: HOLD — If he’s playing we’re going to need him! Should get his 31 break even this week, then we can start thinking about a trade.
TM: HOLD — I want to trade him badly but the forward line is enough of a mess without trading a guy who’s played every game. If only I could get it right instead of benching him for every 60+ score and copping the 20s on field.
DB: HOLD — Always going to be an up and down scorer, and his break even is manageable.
TOM HICKEY $421,700 RUC
AP: TRADE — See Tim’s advice below. If you started without Gawn or Grundy now is a chance to correct that mistake.
TM: TRADE — Use the Dunkley or Neale injuries to turn him into Brodie Grundy before he massacres the Suns.
DB: TRADE — Why didn’t you give him the flick last week?
PATRICK CRIPPS $482,000 MID
AP: HOLD — Who could have predicted an 87.5 average when he nearly had that total at halftime in Round 1? A failed pick for many (including me) unfortunately but wait until he puts up a 140 and regains some value before considering a trade.
TM: HOLD — I traded him a few weeks ago so this advice seems a bit rich, but if you’ve persisted this long just keep him. He has to turn the corner soon, doesn’t he?
DB: HOLD — With the current injury crisis, sideways trades are a luxury. Still winning plenty of the footy – he just needs to tidy up his disposal.
Patrick Cripps had 21 handballs and just four kicks against Brisbane.
PATRICK DANGERFIELD $611,900 FWD/MID
AP: TRADE — You can do a lot with $611k.
TM: TRADE — Out for at least another 5-6 weeks and too expensive to have sitting on your bench.
DB: TRADE — Set to miss another 6-8 weeks.
MOST TRADED-IN PLAYERS
JACK MACRAE $668,600 MID
AP: BUY — What a gun. He has a great record against the Tigers and won’t get any cheaper in the foreseeable future, so this could be your best chance to grab him.
TM: BUY — Starting him was one of my best moves. An absolute jet and perfect VC option most weeks. His kicking efficiency is through the roof this year, which has lifted his scoring to monstrous levels.
DB: BUY — As consistent as they come, scoring between 137 and 146 in four of his six matches.
SAM WALSH $581,000 MID
AP: BUY — The fourth-best scoring midfielder so far and won’t be under $600k for long.
TM: BUY — Still not completely convinced he’ll be a top-eight midfielder come season’s end unless Carlton gets its act together. But at less than $600k you can’t really go wrong with this one.
DB: BUY — Has well and truly overtaken Patrick Cripps and will be entrenched in the top-eight midfielders.
JACK ZIEBELL $541,400 FWD
AP: BUY — Of course you should have picked him before now but put that to one side — $541k is still a good price for a guy averaging 127. Could be the top-scoring forward this year, which is nuts.
TM: BUY — People still don’t have him? This is like arriving to the party just as people are starting to pack up. Might be the topscoring forward of 2021 if he stays fit.
DB: BUY — It’s not too late to jump on this freight train.
Jack Ziebell is having a fantastic season. Picture: Jake Nowakowski
RILEY THILTHORPE $202,800 RUC/FWD
AP: PASS — I can see the appeal of picking him and Rowan Marshall to provide ruck/forward cover but he kicked five goals last week for 91 points. What happens when he kicks one or none?
TM: WAIT — Young key forwards can be very volatile scorers and I want to see him go 60-plus again to guarantee a price spike before committing. He’s 200cm and moves like a gazelle, though. What a prospect.
DB: PASS… for now. He kicked a bag of five and scored 91. Watch to see how he fares in his second game before making the $200,000 investment.
DAYNE ZORKO $485,500 MID/FWD
AP: BUY — My likely Josh Dunkley replacement. Has a tendency to drop a sub-50 stinker but is under $500k and has a proven premium scoring history.
TM: BUY — But with a word of caution. The extra midfield time will be there without Lachie Neale but so is the potential for a tag. His nemesis Touk Miller awaits in a few weeks.
DB: BUY — Should receive enhanced midfield minutes with Lachie Neale out and is very affordable.
Dayne Zorko could benefit from Lachie Neale’s absence from the Lions team.
MARTIN FREDERICK $123,900 DEF
AP: WAIT — Looked amazing but that was a against the woeful Saints, so I definitely need to see another game before committing.
TM: WAIT — Brilliant on debut but how many times have coaches been burned already by going early on rookies this year? The Power team isn’t exactly easy to hold a spot in and most KFC SuperCoaches are already carrying a Tom Highmore doughnut.
DB: WAIT — Looms as a must-have ahead of Round 8, but don’t tempt the KFC SuperCoach gods. We all know what happened to Lachie Jones.
TOBY GREENE $505,100 FWD
AP: PASS — In red-hot form averaging three goals a week and exactly 100 KFC SuperCoach points. Hard to see him going up from here and always a suspension risk.
TM: PASS — I really, really want to say yes but the injury and suspension history suggests no is the right answer. Sidebottom is cheaper and DPP.
DB: BUY — He has burnt me in the past so I am treading carefully, but on the surface he is scoring well and is in great form.
ROOKIE GUIDE: WHO TO BUY, HOLD, SELL THIS WEEK
Mitch Duncan had a day out against the Eagles. Picture: Michael Klein
MITCH DUNCAN $582,400 MID
AP: PASS — I picked Mitch last year on a similar hot streak and he levelled out to the 103 average he has posted for most of the past four years. That’s not terrible but I think we can aim higher.
TM: BUY — Won’t kick four goals every week but is an incredibly consistent scorer and always a POD. Really like this one.
DB: BUY — If you’re looking for a POD, Duncan is your man. Taking some kick-ins and running amok for the Cats.
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DEVEN ROBERTSON $225,800 MID/FWD
AP: PASS — Very interesting prospect who could post some good scores if he’s part of the Lions’ starting midfield but that’s not guaranteed. Too risky for me at that elevated price.
TM: BUY — Smarter and higher-ranked coaches than me are on board with this pick so who am I to disagree? He’ll have a break even in the negatives after this week and should get more midfield time with Neale out. I can see this one working out really well.
DB: PASS — Feel we have missed the boat on Robertson, and there isn’t evidence to suggest he will be playing a significant midfield role – even with Neale out. That doesn’t mean he won’t be a popular pick in the future.
CHRISTIAN PETRACCA $598,300 MID
AP: BUY — Warming to taking a punt on Trac over teammate Clayton Oliver. He costs $2k more and is more volatile in his scoring but the upside is his ability to go on a massive run and the Dees’ next four games are against North Melbourne, Sydney, Carlton and Adelaide. Oh boy.
More Coverage
Left-field solution to KFC SuperCoach forward crisisKFC SuperCoach Plus: 11 stats you need to know this week
TM: BUY — But not over Clayton Oliver. If you already have Clarry then go for your life. I value consistency in KFC SuperCoach and Oliver delivers the goods every week. Petracca could score 200 this week against North Melbourne, though. In fact I’ll take a guess — 172 points.
DB: BUY — Has stacks of upside with his high ceiling, especially with Melbourne’s upcoming run.
JACK MACRAE $668,600 MID
AP: BUY — What a gun. He has a great record against the Tigers and won’t get any cheaper in the foreseeable future, so this could be your best chance to grab him.
TM: BUY — Starting him was one of my best moves. An absolute jet and perfect VC option most weeks. His kicking efficiency is through the roof this year, which has lifted his scoring to monstrous levels.
DB: BUY — As consistent as they come, scoring between 137 and 146 in four of his six matches.
SAM WALSH $581,000 MID
AP: BUY — The fourth-best scoring midfielder so far and won’t be under $600k for long.
TM: BUY — Still not completely convinced he’ll be a top-eight midfielder come season’s end unless Carlton gets its act together. But at less than $600k you can’t really go wrong with this one.
DB: BUY — Has well and truly overtaken Patrick Cripps and will be entrenched in the top-eight midfielders.
JACK ZIEBELL $541,400 FWD
AP: BUY — Of course you should have picked him before now but put that to one side — $541k is still a good price for a guy averaging 127. Could be the top-scoring forward this year, which is nuts.
TM: BUY — People still don’t have him? This is like arriving to the party just as people are starting to pack up. Might be the topscoring forward of 2021 if he stays fit.
DB: BUY — It’s not too late to jump on this freight train.
Jack Ziebell is having a fantastic season. Picture: Jake Nowakowski
RILEY THILTHORPE $202,800 RUC/FWD
AP: PASS — I can see the appeal of picking him and Rowan Marshall to provide ruck/forward cover but he kicked five goals last week for 91 points. What happens when he kicks one or none?
TM: WAIT — Young key forwards can be very volatile scorers and I want to see him go 60-plus again to guarantee a price spike before committing. He’s 200cm and moves like a gazelle, though. What a prospect.
DB: PASS… for now. He kicked a bag of five and scored 91. Watch to see how he fares in his second game before making the $200,000 investment.
DAYNE ZORKO $485,500 MID/FWD
AP: BUY — My likely Josh Dunkley replacement. Has a tendency to drop a sub-50 stinker but is under $500k and has a proven premium scoring history.
TM: BUY — But with a word of caution. The extra midfield time will be there without Lachie Neale but so is the potential for a tag. His nemesis Touk Miller awaits in a few weeks.
DB: BUY — Should receive enhanced midfield minutes with Lachie Neale out and is very affordable.
Dayne Zorko could benefit from Lachie Neale’s absence from the Lions team.
MARTIN FREDERICK $123,900 DEF
AP: WAIT — Looked amazing but that was a against the woeful Saints, so I definitely need to see another game before committing.
TM: WAIT — Brilliant on debut but how many times have coaches been burned already by going early on rookies this year? The Power team isn’t exactly easy to hold a spot in and most KFC SuperCoaches are already carrying a Tom Highmore doughnut.
DB: WAIT — Looms as a must-have ahead of Round 8, but don’t tempt the KFC SuperCoach gods. We all know what happened to Lachie Jones.
TOBY GREENE $505,100 FWD
AP: PASS — In red-hot form averaging three goals a week and exactly 100 KFC SuperCoach points. Hard to see him going up from here and always a suspension risk.
TM: PASS — I really, really want to say yes but the injury and suspension history suggests no is the right answer. Sidebottom is cheaper and DPP.
DB: BUY — He has burnt me in the past so I am treading carefully, but on the surface he is scoring well and is in great form.
ROOKIE GUIDE: WHO TO BUY, HOLD, SELL THIS WEEK
Mitch Duncan had a day out against the Eagles. Picture: Michael Klein
MITCH DUNCAN $582,400 MID
AP: PASS — I picked Mitch last year on a similar hot streak and he levelled out to the 103 average he has posted for most of the past four years. That’s not terrible but I think we can aim higher.
TM: BUY — Won’t kick four goals every week but is an incredibly consistent scorer and always a POD. Really like this one.
DB: BUY — If you’re looking for a POD, Duncan is your man. Taking some kick-ins and running amok for the Cats.
Win big in the Colonel's Comp
Flex your footy banter in the KFC Colonel's Comp and you could win a 24k gold-pated drummy!
Just answer in 11 words or less: What's the best zinger to shout from the sidelines?
CLICK HERE TO ENTER NOW
DEVEN ROBERTSON $225,800 MID/FWD
AP: PASS — Very interesting prospect who could post some good scores if he’s part of the Lions’ starting midfield but that’s not guaranteed. Too risky for me at that elevated price.
TM: BUY — Smarter and higher-ranked coaches than me are on board with this pick so who am I to disagree? He’ll have a break even in the negatives after this week and should get more midfield time with Neale out. I can see this one working out really well.
DB: PASS — Feel we have missed the boat on Robertson, and there isn’t evidence to suggest he will be playing a significant midfield role – even with Neale out. That doesn’t mean he won’t be a popular pick in the future.
CHRISTIAN PETRACCA $598,300 MID
AP: BUY — Warming to taking a punt on Trac over teammate Clayton Oliver. He costs $2k more and is more volatile in his scoring but the upside is his ability to go on a massive run and the Dees’ next four games are against North Melbourne, Sydney, Carlton and Adelaide. Oh boy.
More Coverage
Left-field solution to KFC SuperCoach forward crisisKFC SuperCoach Plus: 11 stats you need to know this week
TM: BUY — But not over Clayton Oliver. If you already have Clarry then go for your life. I value consistency in KFC SuperCoach and Oliver delivers the goods every week. Petracca could score 200 this week against North Melbourne, though. In fact I’ll take a guess — 172 points.
DB: BUY — Has stacks of upside with his high ceiling, especially with Melbourne’s upcoming run.
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KFC SuperCoach bye planner: Best trades, targets for Round 12, 13 and 14 byes
The byes are coming in KFC SuperCoach and unless you start planning now, you’ll be in trouble. Check out our full guide to make sure you’re ready.
Tim Michell
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11 min read
May 11, 2021 - 10:53AM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
HERALDSUN.COM.AU4:19
KFC SuperCoach AFL: Round 8 Buy Hold Sell
KFC SuperCoach expert Tim Mitchell runs through all the players being shopped around ahead of Round 8.
Every year, the three bye rounds are what set the best KFC SuperCoaches apart from the pack.
Get your bye round strategy right, nail most of your nine trades available during that three-round period and you set a platform for KFC SuperCoach glory.
This season will be different to past years for many KFC SuperCoaches though, as the long-term strategies of thousands have been ruined by the ever-growing injury toll.
What hasn’t changed is the importance of planning ahead and ensuring each of your trades in the next month are made with one eye on the byes.
If you already have a host of Round 14 premiums, for example, is it really worth trading in Jack Steele and Steven May in the next few weeks?
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Or in Round 13, how will you be placed when popular premiums such as Dustin Martin, Jordan Ridley and Jack Macrae have their rest?
If you had popular starting picks such as Patrick Dangerfield, Matthew Rowell, Lachie Neale, Isaac Heeney and Josh Dunkley, you will have been plugging holes most weeks and burning through your 30 trades.
The bye rounds have always been the period where KFC SuperCoaches can be at their most aggressive, using the three weekly trades available to offload rookies and arrive at Round 15 with a team stacked with premiums.
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For example, in any ordinary season, KFC SuperCoaches would be looking to offload Tom Powell and Jacob Koschitzke during their Round 12 bye and boost their bank for a premium spending spree in the last two bye rounds.
This year isn’t any ordinary year though.
If you’ve been forced to use 10 trades or more already (as many KFC SuperCoaches have), you would need to use a maximum of 4-5 trades between now and Round 12 to be confident of being able to deploy eight or nine trades and bolster your side during the byes.
That would mean coming into Round 15 with somewhere between 6-10 trades remaining, which any seasoned KFC SuperCoach will tell you you’re going to need.
KFC SUPERCOACH BYE ROUND BASICS
KFC SuperCoach defensive star Tom Stewart has the first bye in Round 12.
Most coaches will aim to have an absolute minimum of six trades left post-bye.
If you think the opening eight rounds of the campaign have been chaotic in KFC SuperCoach, the last nine rounds are going to be even worse.
It’s the period of the season where players are sent for surgery when their teams crash out of finals contention or are rested when their club clinches a top-eight berth.
You can’t blame AFL coaches for taking this approach, but almost every year it spells disaster for KFC SuperCoaches.
Burn through your trades by Round 17 or 18 and you’re going to be in a world of pain come Round 22 or 23 when the inevitable carnage ensures.
Of course, for every rule there’s an exception, and some KFC SuperCoaches will get away with riding their luck and running out of trades with weeks left in the season.
But it’s an incredibly risky approach and the likelihood is you will end up with 2-3 premiums sitting on your bench during the run home.
That will almost certainly mean your overall rank suffers and you will bomb out of KFC SuperCoach league finals.
Trade smartly in the next four to five rounds — and be prepared to take a hit some weeks — if you want to be ready for the bye rounds.
You might not be able to get every trade target you want at a their lowest price — Steven May in Round 8 was a good example.
He bottomed out at $408k and thousands of coaches jumped on, but they now have the added issue of carrying an extra Round 14 premium.
Assuming those coaches have Max Gawn, Clayton Oliver, Brodie Grundy and Jake Lloyd, that’s a lot of talent sitting on their benches in Round 14 and cover will be crucial.
Check out our ultimate guide to the most important three weeks of the KFC SuperCoach season below:
The byes are coming in KFC SuperCoach and unless you start planning now, you’ll be in trouble. Check out our full guide to make sure you’re ready.
Tim Michell
Follow
@tim_michell
11 min read
May 11, 2021 - 10:53AM
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
HERALDSUN.COM.AU4:19
KFC SuperCoach AFL: Round 8 Buy Hold Sell
KFC SuperCoach expert Tim Mitchell runs through all the players being shopped around ahead of Round 8.
Every year, the three bye rounds are what set the best KFC SuperCoaches apart from the pack.
Get your bye round strategy right, nail most of your nine trades available during that three-round period and you set a platform for KFC SuperCoach glory.
This season will be different to past years for many KFC SuperCoaches though, as the long-term strategies of thousands have been ruined by the ever-growing injury toll.
What hasn’t changed is the importance of planning ahead and ensuring each of your trades in the next month are made with one eye on the byes.
If you already have a host of Round 14 premiums, for example, is it really worth trading in Jack Steele and Steven May in the next few weeks?
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Or in Round 13, how will you be placed when popular premiums such as Dustin Martin, Jordan Ridley and Jack Macrae have their rest?
If you had popular starting picks such as Patrick Dangerfield, Matthew Rowell, Lachie Neale, Isaac Heeney and Josh Dunkley, you will have been plugging holes most weeks and burning through your 30 trades.
The bye rounds have always been the period where KFC SuperCoaches can be at their most aggressive, using the three weekly trades available to offload rookies and arrive at Round 15 with a team stacked with premiums.
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For example, in any ordinary season, KFC SuperCoaches would be looking to offload Tom Powell and Jacob Koschitzke during their Round 12 bye and boost their bank for a premium spending spree in the last two bye rounds.
This year isn’t any ordinary year though.
If you’ve been forced to use 10 trades or more already (as many KFC SuperCoaches have), you would need to use a maximum of 4-5 trades between now and Round 12 to be confident of being able to deploy eight or nine trades and bolster your side during the byes.
That would mean coming into Round 15 with somewhere between 6-10 trades remaining, which any seasoned KFC SuperCoach will tell you you’re going to need.
KFC SUPERCOACH BYE ROUND BASICS
- The bye rounds are Round 12, 13 and 14.
- Six teams have a bye in each of these rounds. See below for which teams are missing in each round.
- Best-18 scoring applies. Your total score is your best 18 players that round, which can include emergency players, where applicable. Players still need to be on field as in any normal round, unless chosen as an emergency to replace a DNP. For example, your best 18 will not count the two bench scores if you have eight forwards available.
- KFC SuperCoaches can use up to three trades every bye round.
KFC SuperCoach defensive star Tom Stewart has the first bye in Round 12.
Most coaches will aim to have an absolute minimum of six trades left post-bye.
If you think the opening eight rounds of the campaign have been chaotic in KFC SuperCoach, the last nine rounds are going to be even worse.
It’s the period of the season where players are sent for surgery when their teams crash out of finals contention or are rested when their club clinches a top-eight berth.
You can’t blame AFL coaches for taking this approach, but almost every year it spells disaster for KFC SuperCoaches.
Burn through your trades by Round 17 or 18 and you’re going to be in a world of pain come Round 22 or 23 when the inevitable carnage ensures.
Of course, for every rule there’s an exception, and some KFC SuperCoaches will get away with riding their luck and running out of trades with weeks left in the season.
But it’s an incredibly risky approach and the likelihood is you will end up with 2-3 premiums sitting on your bench during the run home.
That will almost certainly mean your overall rank suffers and you will bomb out of KFC SuperCoach league finals.
Trade smartly in the next four to five rounds — and be prepared to take a hit some weeks — if you want to be ready for the bye rounds.
You might not be able to get every trade target you want at a their lowest price — Steven May in Round 8 was a good example.
He bottomed out at $408k and thousands of coaches jumped on, but they now have the added issue of carrying an extra Round 14 premium.
Assuming those coaches have Max Gawn, Clayton Oliver, Brodie Grundy and Jake Lloyd, that’s a lot of talent sitting on their benches in Round 14 and cover will be crucial.
Check out our ultimate guide to the most important three weeks of the KFC SuperCoach season below:
ROUND 12
The first bye of the year is going to be the easiest to navigate and a nice warm-up for what is to come. Most KFC SuperCoach teams will be without Jack Ziebell, Tom Stewart and Jarman Impey, but this is the week least affected by premium byes. The likelihood is most coaches will have no fuss fielding 18 players before things get much trickier in the next two rounds. Use players such as Ziebell or Stewart to loophole the best scores from your remaining rookies and boost your score (see loophole advice below). Bye players don’t lock out until the last game of the round starts.
FIXTURE
Friday, June 4
Melbourne v Brisbane Lions, 7.50pm, Traeger Park, Alice Springs
Saturday, June 5
St Kilda v Sydney Swans, 1.45pm, Marvel Stadium
Adelaide v Collingwood, 4.35pm, Adelaide Oval
Essendon v Richmond, 7.25pm, MCG
Sunday, June 6
Carlton v West Coast, 3.20pm, MCG
Fremantle v Western Bulldogs, 6.40pm, Optus Stadium
BYE TEAMS: Gold Coast, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Hawthorn, Geelong, GWS Giants.
POPULAR PREMOS: Jack Ziebell, Jarman Impey, Tom Stewart, Tim Taranto, Travis Boak, Toby Greene, Tom Mitchell, Cam Guthrie, Jack Bowes.
Jack Ziebell has been a revelation this year in defence.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 12?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
POPULAR ROOKIES: Tom Powell, Matthew Flynn, Jacob Koschitzke, Tyler Brockman, Jordan Clark, Lachlan Jones, Miles Bergman.
TRADE TACTIC: Don’t use all three of your available trades. Offload two rookies (Powell and Koschitzke will be popular), build your bank and prepare to go shopping in Round 13. It will mean players such as Matthew Rowell, Tom Mitchell, Travis Boak and Lachie Whitfield can be in your sights as upgrade targets coming off the bye in Round 13. If you need to, be prepared to use your third trade to ensure you field 18 during the first bye. A key decision for thousands will be whether to hold or trade Matthew Flynn. Assess how you are placed for Round 14 before offloading Flynn. If you’re going to struggle to field 18 players when Max Gawn and Brodie Grundy have a bye, you might need to hold Flynn and pray Shane Mumford isn’t chosen that week. The only kicker is Braydon Preuss might be back by then, which could put Flynn even further down the pecking order.
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: Make Max Gawn your VC in the opening game of the round against Brisbane Lions. If it backfires, you have Brodie Grundy against Adelaide or Jack Macrae against Fremantle as the best captaincy choices left.
Tom Mitchell could still be too cheap to ignore after Hawthorn’s Round 12 bye.
Sam Walsh is shaping as one of the topscoring KFC SuperCoach players this year.
ROUND 13
FIXTURE (Dates, times TBC)
Melbourne v Collingwood
North Melbourne v GWS Giants
St Kildas v Adelaide
Sydney v Hawthorn
Port Adelaide v Geelong Cats
Fremantle v Gold Coast
This is where things start to get messier. Some of the top scorers in KFC SuperCoach will be missing this round, with Jordan Ridley, Jack Macrae, Marcus Bontempelli and Dustin Martin on the bye. No West Coast player features in more than 10 per cent of teams, but those with Joe Daniher, Dayne Zorko, Jayden Short, Patrick Cripps and rookie Anthony Scott could be feeling the pinch. You can get yourself out of a hole if you’re struggling to field 18 players by targeting those who have already had your bye. By doing this, you’re trading in players who –— injury and suspension permitting — will be available for the rest of the season. For example you could trade Scott to a bargain-price rookie and upgrade Daniher to Tom Mitchell or Josh Kelly, should they remain fallen premiums after their Round 12 bye. Round 14 is where most of the carnage will hit, but Round 13 will certainly present challenges for thousands of KFC SuperCoaches too.
BYE TEAMS: Brisbane Lions, Carlton, Western Bulldogs, Essendon, Richmond, West Coast.
POPULAR PREMOS: Dustin Martin, Jack Macrae, Jayden Short, Marcus Bontempelli, Patrick Cripps, Jordan Ridley, Sam Walsh, Zach Merrett, Dayne Zorko, Caleb Daniel, Lachie Neale, Shai Bolton.
Jayden Short is one of the most-popular defensive premiums in KFC SuperCoach.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 13?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
POPULAR ROOKIES: Anthony Scott, Alec Waterman, Nik Cox, Harry Sharp, Lachlan McNiel, Paddy Dow, Harrison Jones, Deven Robertson, Rhyan Mansell, Tom Fullarton.
PREMIUM TRADE TARGETS (projected price): Josh Kelly (projected price* $526,800), Tom Mitchell ($566,500), Travis Boak ($512,900), Lachie Whitfield ($509,600), Matthew Rowell ($421,600 – likely to be higher due to injury), Jack Bowes ($483,300), Dan Houston ($428,400), Cameron Guthrie ($585,000), Mitch Duncan ($607,900), Tom Stewart ($572,600).
TRADE TACTIC: Let’s go shopping for Round 12 bye premiums. Lachie Whitfield will be hugely popular after missing the opening six rounds as he recovered from a lacerated liver. Many KFC SuperCoaches are planning for this week to complete their defences with Whitfield, who has averaged 104 and 111 in the past two years. Coaches will have had ample time to assess Whitfield’s role by this week and will hope he has dropped significantly from a starting price of $561k. If Matthew Rowell is back playing, he’ll need to be considered too as a bargain pick to become your M7 or M8. He should still cost less than $500k. Travis Boak and a bargain-priced Tom Mitchell are great options, while Josh Kelly will also be cheap. Cam Guthrie and Mitch Duncan also need to be considered if you have the money. Ultimately, you might need to trade based on positional need. If you’re short in defence due to players such as Jayden Short and Jordan Ridley having their bye, a player such as Tom Stewart would be a perfect addition.
Who is your top KFC SuperCoach trade target of Round 13?
Tom Mitchell
Tom Stewart
Travis Boak
Dan Houston
Cam Guthrie
Mitch Duncan
Jack Bowes
Josh Kelly
Lachie Whitfield
Other
Cast your vote
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: Gawn and Grundy go head-to-head on Queen’s Birthday. Gawn had 34 disposals and 33 hit outs against the Magpies two seasons ago, finishing with 153 KFC SuperCoach points. GWS Giants have North Melbourne so Josh Kelly or Tim Taranto could be a smoky vice-captain. Otherwise Jack Steele against the Crows.
Jordan Ridley will be a popular trade target come Round 14.
Brodie Grundy and Max Gawn will both be missing in Round 14.
Many KFC SuperCoaches will be without a ruckman in their best 18 for Round 14.
The first bye of the year is going to be the easiest to navigate and a nice warm-up for what is to come. Most KFC SuperCoach teams will be without Jack Ziebell, Tom Stewart and Jarman Impey, but this is the week least affected by premium byes. The likelihood is most coaches will have no fuss fielding 18 players before things get much trickier in the next two rounds. Use players such as Ziebell or Stewart to loophole the best scores from your remaining rookies and boost your score (see loophole advice below). Bye players don’t lock out until the last game of the round starts.
FIXTURE
Friday, June 4
Melbourne v Brisbane Lions, 7.50pm, Traeger Park, Alice Springs
Saturday, June 5
St Kilda v Sydney Swans, 1.45pm, Marvel Stadium
Adelaide v Collingwood, 4.35pm, Adelaide Oval
Essendon v Richmond, 7.25pm, MCG
Sunday, June 6
Carlton v West Coast, 3.20pm, MCG
Fremantle v Western Bulldogs, 6.40pm, Optus Stadium
BYE TEAMS: Gold Coast, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Hawthorn, Geelong, GWS Giants.
POPULAR PREMOS: Jack Ziebell, Jarman Impey, Tom Stewart, Tim Taranto, Travis Boak, Toby Greene, Tom Mitchell, Cam Guthrie, Jack Bowes.
Jack Ziebell has been a revelation this year in defence.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 12?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
POPULAR ROOKIES: Tom Powell, Matthew Flynn, Jacob Koschitzke, Tyler Brockman, Jordan Clark, Lachlan Jones, Miles Bergman.
TRADE TACTIC: Don’t use all three of your available trades. Offload two rookies (Powell and Koschitzke will be popular), build your bank and prepare to go shopping in Round 13. It will mean players such as Matthew Rowell, Tom Mitchell, Travis Boak and Lachie Whitfield can be in your sights as upgrade targets coming off the bye in Round 13. If you need to, be prepared to use your third trade to ensure you field 18 during the first bye. A key decision for thousands will be whether to hold or trade Matthew Flynn. Assess how you are placed for Round 14 before offloading Flynn. If you’re going to struggle to field 18 players when Max Gawn and Brodie Grundy have a bye, you might need to hold Flynn and pray Shane Mumford isn’t chosen that week. The only kicker is Braydon Preuss might be back by then, which could put Flynn even further down the pecking order.
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: Make Max Gawn your VC in the opening game of the round against Brisbane Lions. If it backfires, you have Brodie Grundy against Adelaide or Jack Macrae against Fremantle as the best captaincy choices left.
Tom Mitchell could still be too cheap to ignore after Hawthorn’s Round 12 bye.
Sam Walsh is shaping as one of the topscoring KFC SuperCoach players this year.
ROUND 13
FIXTURE (Dates, times TBC)
Melbourne v Collingwood
North Melbourne v GWS Giants
St Kildas v Adelaide
Sydney v Hawthorn
Port Adelaide v Geelong Cats
Fremantle v Gold Coast
This is where things start to get messier. Some of the top scorers in KFC SuperCoach will be missing this round, with Jordan Ridley, Jack Macrae, Marcus Bontempelli and Dustin Martin on the bye. No West Coast player features in more than 10 per cent of teams, but those with Joe Daniher, Dayne Zorko, Jayden Short, Patrick Cripps and rookie Anthony Scott could be feeling the pinch. You can get yourself out of a hole if you’re struggling to field 18 players by targeting those who have already had your bye. By doing this, you’re trading in players who –— injury and suspension permitting — will be available for the rest of the season. For example you could trade Scott to a bargain-price rookie and upgrade Daniher to Tom Mitchell or Josh Kelly, should they remain fallen premiums after their Round 12 bye. Round 14 is where most of the carnage will hit, but Round 13 will certainly present challenges for thousands of KFC SuperCoaches too.
BYE TEAMS: Brisbane Lions, Carlton, Western Bulldogs, Essendon, Richmond, West Coast.
POPULAR PREMOS: Dustin Martin, Jack Macrae, Jayden Short, Marcus Bontempelli, Patrick Cripps, Jordan Ridley, Sam Walsh, Zach Merrett, Dayne Zorko, Caleb Daniel, Lachie Neale, Shai Bolton.
Jayden Short is one of the most-popular defensive premiums in KFC SuperCoach.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 13?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
POPULAR ROOKIES: Anthony Scott, Alec Waterman, Nik Cox, Harry Sharp, Lachlan McNiel, Paddy Dow, Harrison Jones, Deven Robertson, Rhyan Mansell, Tom Fullarton.
PREMIUM TRADE TARGETS (projected price): Josh Kelly (projected price* $526,800), Tom Mitchell ($566,500), Travis Boak ($512,900), Lachie Whitfield ($509,600), Matthew Rowell ($421,600 – likely to be higher due to injury), Jack Bowes ($483,300), Dan Houston ($428,400), Cameron Guthrie ($585,000), Mitch Duncan ($607,900), Tom Stewart ($572,600).
TRADE TACTIC: Let’s go shopping for Round 12 bye premiums. Lachie Whitfield will be hugely popular after missing the opening six rounds as he recovered from a lacerated liver. Many KFC SuperCoaches are planning for this week to complete their defences with Whitfield, who has averaged 104 and 111 in the past two years. Coaches will have had ample time to assess Whitfield’s role by this week and will hope he has dropped significantly from a starting price of $561k. If Matthew Rowell is back playing, he’ll need to be considered too as a bargain pick to become your M7 or M8. He should still cost less than $500k. Travis Boak and a bargain-priced Tom Mitchell are great options, while Josh Kelly will also be cheap. Cam Guthrie and Mitch Duncan also need to be considered if you have the money. Ultimately, you might need to trade based on positional need. If you’re short in defence due to players such as Jayden Short and Jordan Ridley having their bye, a player such as Tom Stewart would be a perfect addition.
Who is your top KFC SuperCoach trade target of Round 13?
Tom Mitchell
Tom Stewart
Travis Boak
Dan Houston
Cam Guthrie
Mitch Duncan
Jack Bowes
Josh Kelly
Lachie Whitfield
Other
Cast your vote
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: Gawn and Grundy go head-to-head on Queen’s Birthday. Gawn had 34 disposals and 33 hit outs against the Magpies two seasons ago, finishing with 153 KFC SuperCoach points. GWS Giants have North Melbourne so Josh Kelly or Tim Taranto could be a smoky vice-captain. Otherwise Jack Steele against the Crows.
Jordan Ridley will be a popular trade target come Round 14.
Brodie Grundy and Max Gawn will both be missing in Round 14.
Many KFC SuperCoaches will be without a ruckman in their best 18 for Round 14.
ROUND 14
This is the round most KFC SuperCoaches have been dreading. The Gawn-Grundy vice-captain/captain choice which is the staple of so many KFC SuperCoach teams won’t be in play — and there’s no guarantee popular R3 Matthew Flynn will be available either after being usurped by Shane Mumford. Rory Laird, Jake Lloyd, Taylor Walker, Clayton Oliver and Jake Steele are other topscorers who won’t feature. KFC SuperCoaches can avoid absolute carnage by trading smartly in the lead-up to the byes and using 5-6 trades in Round 13 and 14 to bolster their best 18. Most coaches are likely to hold James Jordon and Chad Warner until their bye, but this is the round you can assess whether you’re still going to need them from Round 15 onwards. If you’re tracking towards full premium, thank them for their service and bid them farewell — targeting big guns who have just had the bye in Round 13.
FIXTURE (Dates, times TBC)
Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Gold Coast v Port Adelaide
GWS Giants v Carlton
Hawthorn v Essendon
North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
West Coast v Richmond
BYE TEAMS: Adelaide, Collingwood, St Kilda, Sydney, Fremantle, Melbourne
POPULAR PREMOS: Max Gawn, Brodie Grundy, Rory Laird, Jake Lloyd, Taylor Walker, Clayton Oliver, Jack Steele, Nat Fyfe, Christian Petracca, Andrew Brayshaw, Luke Ryan.
POPULAR ROOKIES: Errol Gulden, James Rowe, Tom Highmore, James Jordon, Braeden Campbell, Chad Warner, Sam Berry, Finlay Macrae, Josh Treacy, Beau McCreery.
PREMIUM TRADE TARGETS (projected price): Jarryd Lyons (projected price* $616,800), Sam Walsh ($589,700), Marcus Bontempelli ($626,000), Jack Macrae ($600,200), Caleb Daniel ($413,700), Jordan Ridley ($473,300), Dustin Martin ($382,600), Jayden Short ($485,900), Zach Merrett ($608,600), Hugh McCluggage ($626,900).
Lachie Neale not listed due to injury.
TRADE TACTIC: Oh boy. This round is going to be a nightmare for most KFC SuperCoaches. The big two are gone in the ruck and unless you held Matthew Flynn through Round 12 (assuming he was your R3), then you’re facing a week with no ruckman. That could be the scenario even if you have Flynn should Shane Mumford be picked. Does that mean you should consider trading Grundy or Gawn? Not a chance. Your 18 players for Round 14 are going to have to come from your remaining 20 on-field spots.
Jack Steele is one of the top scorers who will be missing in Round 14.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 14?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
That scenario sounds worse than it actually is. You’ve got a host of top premiums to choose from and if you traded smartly in Round 13, you can target those coming off the middle bye round. If you’ve missed out on Jordan Ridley, Jack Macrae or been waiting on Dustin Martin, this is the round to get them. Having 20 scorers might end up being luxury. Be prepared to use your three trades if needed to avoid a donut. You won’t be alone if you’re unable to field 18 but have the chance to make a jump in the rankings or secure a valuable late-season league win if you play your cards right this round. This is the point of the season where you would jump off a reliable rookie such as Chad Warner, who will have done his job by getting through to the byes.
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: No Gawn and Grundy to fall back on … that will leave Marcus Bontempelli and Jack Macrae as leading choices against Geelong. If Lachie Neale is back from injury the Lions have North Melbourne. You could also trade in Jarryd Lyons coming off the bye if you wanted a POD captain.
Who is your top KFC SuperCoach trade target of Round 14?
Jack Macrae
Marcus Bontempelli
Jordan Ridley
Dustin Martin
Jayden Short
Zach Merrett
Sam Walsh
Jarryd Lyons
Hugh McCluggage
Other
Cast your vote
THREE TIPS TO NAIL THE KFC SUPERCOACH BYE ROUNDS
1. START YOUR PLANNING NOW
It’s no good getting to Round 12 and then realising your bye structure is a complete mess – especially if you’re missing a host of Round 12 premiums. Three trades a round will help coaches plug holes, but they only go so far and you can’t just flip premiums who miss a bye round for another top scorer. If you do, you’re going to run out of trades long before the end of the season with a KFC SuperCoach team which is far from complete. It sounds daunting, but if you use the KFC SuperCoach bye tool available to KFC SuperCoach Plus subscribers, it becomes a lot easier. You can click on any of the three bye rounds and see which players you will have missing. Assuming you have at least 2-3 rookies on the bench in the byes and want to field 20 players, that would be a maximum of about eight premiums you can carry each round. Make sure you consider this when trading in coming weeks and be prepared to miss out on a trade target or two if it helps you navigate the byes successfully. If you start planning now, you might get away without using all nine trades during the bye period and have ammunition to launch into KFC SuperCoach league finals and the run home for overall rankings.
Don’t get to the bye rounds in KFC SuperCoach without a plan of attack.
2. USE YOUR BYE PLAYERS AS LOOPHOLES
This is a great way to maximise your score during the byes. In a scenario where you have seven forwards or defenders available in any given bye, you can use your bye players to have two chances to claim the best score from your D6 or F6. For example, if your forward line was Rowan Marshall, Steele Sidebottom, Chad Warner, Jack Ziebell, Jarman Impey, Miles Bergman and Tyler Brockman in Round 13, you could use a player such as Dustin Martin to loophole either Bergman or Brockman off the bench. This is made easier as players with the bye don’t lock out until the last game of the round starts. You can also use this tactic to double your vice-captain’s score if they perform well early in the round. Their score will be doubled if you then put the captaincy onto a bye player. In the above scenario, if Josh Kelly or Tim Taranto went big against North Melbourne, you could make Dustin Martin captain and double their score. Just be prepared to wait as the double vice-captaincy score likely won’t kick in until the last game of the round starts.
More Coverage
Trade guide: Best value SuperCoach starsStar Dog’s crazy KFC SuperCoach score explained
3. TRADE IN PLAYERS COMING OFF THE BYE
Sounds simple enough, doesn’t it? But there will be a temptation for many KFC SuperCoaches to grab fallen premiums such as Jack Steele – who is projected to be about $568k at the first bye round and doesn’t miss until Round 14. Historically, this is a tactic fraught with danger. While other KFC SuperCoaches are stacked with premiums in the last bye round, you would be scrambling to field a team by going down this path. Instead, show restraint during the first bye round, build your bank and then go shopping in rounds 13 and 14. Jacob Koschitzke is tipped to be $276k in Round 12, while Tom Powell should be worth more than $400k. If you were to downgrade those two players to rookies playing in Round 12, you would add about $450k to your bank to help snare a premium scorer in Round 13 or Round 14. Then if you traded in a player such as Josh Kelly or Tom Stewart in Round 13, you would have them available for the rest of the season — pending fitness of course. You can apply this same theory in Round 14. The best premiums to target and their projected price tags are listed above.
This is the round most KFC SuperCoaches have been dreading. The Gawn-Grundy vice-captain/captain choice which is the staple of so many KFC SuperCoach teams won’t be in play — and there’s no guarantee popular R3 Matthew Flynn will be available either after being usurped by Shane Mumford. Rory Laird, Jake Lloyd, Taylor Walker, Clayton Oliver and Jake Steele are other topscorers who won’t feature. KFC SuperCoaches can avoid absolute carnage by trading smartly in the lead-up to the byes and using 5-6 trades in Round 13 and 14 to bolster their best 18. Most coaches are likely to hold James Jordon and Chad Warner until their bye, but this is the round you can assess whether you’re still going to need them from Round 15 onwards. If you’re tracking towards full premium, thank them for their service and bid them farewell — targeting big guns who have just had the bye in Round 13.
FIXTURE (Dates, times TBC)
Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Gold Coast v Port Adelaide
GWS Giants v Carlton
Hawthorn v Essendon
North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
West Coast v Richmond
BYE TEAMS: Adelaide, Collingwood, St Kilda, Sydney, Fremantle, Melbourne
POPULAR PREMOS: Max Gawn, Brodie Grundy, Rory Laird, Jake Lloyd, Taylor Walker, Clayton Oliver, Jack Steele, Nat Fyfe, Christian Petracca, Andrew Brayshaw, Luke Ryan.
POPULAR ROOKIES: Errol Gulden, James Rowe, Tom Highmore, James Jordon, Braeden Campbell, Chad Warner, Sam Berry, Finlay Macrae, Josh Treacy, Beau McCreery.
PREMIUM TRADE TARGETS (projected price): Jarryd Lyons (projected price* $616,800), Sam Walsh ($589,700), Marcus Bontempelli ($626,000), Jack Macrae ($600,200), Caleb Daniel ($413,700), Jordan Ridley ($473,300), Dustin Martin ($382,600), Jayden Short ($485,900), Zach Merrett ($608,600), Hugh McCluggage ($626,900).
Lachie Neale not listed due to injury.
TRADE TACTIC: Oh boy. This round is going to be a nightmare for most KFC SuperCoaches. The big two are gone in the ruck and unless you held Matthew Flynn through Round 12 (assuming he was your R3), then you’re facing a week with no ruckman. That could be the scenario even if you have Flynn should Shane Mumford be picked. Does that mean you should consider trading Grundy or Gawn? Not a chance. Your 18 players for Round 14 are going to have to come from your remaining 20 on-field spots.
Jack Steele is one of the top scorers who will be missing in Round 14.
How many premiums will you have missing in Round 14?
Three or less
4-5
6-7
Eight or more
Cast your vote
That scenario sounds worse than it actually is. You’ve got a host of top premiums to choose from and if you traded smartly in Round 13, you can target those coming off the middle bye round. If you’ve missed out on Jordan Ridley, Jack Macrae or been waiting on Dustin Martin, this is the round to get them. Having 20 scorers might end up being luxury. Be prepared to use your three trades if needed to avoid a donut. You won’t be alone if you’re unable to field 18 but have the chance to make a jump in the rankings or secure a valuable late-season league win if you play your cards right this round. This is the point of the season where you would jump off a reliable rookie such as Chad Warner, who will have done his job by getting through to the byes.
TOP CAPTAINCY PICKS: No Gawn and Grundy to fall back on … that will leave Marcus Bontempelli and Jack Macrae as leading choices against Geelong. If Lachie Neale is back from injury the Lions have North Melbourne. You could also trade in Jarryd Lyons coming off the bye if you wanted a POD captain.
Who is your top KFC SuperCoach trade target of Round 14?
Jack Macrae
Marcus Bontempelli
Jordan Ridley
Dustin Martin
Jayden Short
Zach Merrett
Sam Walsh
Jarryd Lyons
Hugh McCluggage
Other
Cast your vote
THREE TIPS TO NAIL THE KFC SUPERCOACH BYE ROUNDS
1. START YOUR PLANNING NOW
It’s no good getting to Round 12 and then realising your bye structure is a complete mess – especially if you’re missing a host of Round 12 premiums. Three trades a round will help coaches plug holes, but they only go so far and you can’t just flip premiums who miss a bye round for another top scorer. If you do, you’re going to run out of trades long before the end of the season with a KFC SuperCoach team which is far from complete. It sounds daunting, but if you use the KFC SuperCoach bye tool available to KFC SuperCoach Plus subscribers, it becomes a lot easier. You can click on any of the three bye rounds and see which players you will have missing. Assuming you have at least 2-3 rookies on the bench in the byes and want to field 20 players, that would be a maximum of about eight premiums you can carry each round. Make sure you consider this when trading in coming weeks and be prepared to miss out on a trade target or two if it helps you navigate the byes successfully. If you start planning now, you might get away without using all nine trades during the bye period and have ammunition to launch into KFC SuperCoach league finals and the run home for overall rankings.
Don’t get to the bye rounds in KFC SuperCoach without a plan of attack.
2. USE YOUR BYE PLAYERS AS LOOPHOLES
This is a great way to maximise your score during the byes. In a scenario where you have seven forwards or defenders available in any given bye, you can use your bye players to have two chances to claim the best score from your D6 or F6. For example, if your forward line was Rowan Marshall, Steele Sidebottom, Chad Warner, Jack Ziebell, Jarman Impey, Miles Bergman and Tyler Brockman in Round 13, you could use a player such as Dustin Martin to loophole either Bergman or Brockman off the bench. This is made easier as players with the bye don’t lock out until the last game of the round starts. You can also use this tactic to double your vice-captain’s score if they perform well early in the round. Their score will be doubled if you then put the captaincy onto a bye player. In the above scenario, if Josh Kelly or Tim Taranto went big against North Melbourne, you could make Dustin Martin captain and double their score. Just be prepared to wait as the double vice-captaincy score likely won’t kick in until the last game of the round starts.
More Coverage
Trade guide: Best value SuperCoach starsStar Dog’s crazy KFC SuperCoach score explained
3. TRADE IN PLAYERS COMING OFF THE BYE
Sounds simple enough, doesn’t it? But there will be a temptation for many KFC SuperCoaches to grab fallen premiums such as Jack Steele – who is projected to be about $568k at the first bye round and doesn’t miss until Round 14. Historically, this is a tactic fraught with danger. While other KFC SuperCoaches are stacked with premiums in the last bye round, you would be scrambling to field a team by going down this path. Instead, show restraint during the first bye round, build your bank and then go shopping in rounds 13 and 14. Jacob Koschitzke is tipped to be $276k in Round 12, while Tom Powell should be worth more than $400k. If you were to downgrade those two players to rookies playing in Round 12, you would add about $450k to your bank to help snare a premium scorer in Round 13 or Round 14. Then if you traded in a player such as Josh Kelly or Tom Stewart in Round 13, you would have them available for the rest of the season — pending fitness of course. You can apply this same theory in Round 14. The best premiums to target and their projected price tags are listed above.