KFC SuperCoach 2022: Best trade targets for round 22
With Patrick Cripps almost certain to miss the final two rounds, who you replace him with will define your KFC SuperCoach fortunes. See who our experts are picking.
It’s the move that could make or break your KFC SuperCoach finals campaign.
Of the top 10 trades this week, all 10 are swaps for suspended Carlton captain Patrick Cripps.
But there is no clear consensus on who the best replacement is.
With options at every price range and across multiple positions (
The Phantom has run the rule over 14 of them), which way should you turn?
Here’s what our experts recommend this week.
AL PATON
1. Darcy Parish
2. Jordan Dawson
3. Andrew Brayshaw
You would need about $7000 in the bank to get Parish in one trade and $3000 for Dawson, while Brayshaw comes in at $543,400, leaving you $10k in change from a Cripps swap.
Parish graduated to premium status in KFC SuperCoach last year and despite what may seem like a slightly underwhelming season his average of 113.2 is just one point lower than 2021, and ahead of players including Sam Walsh, Andrew Brayshaw and Jack Steele. He quietly slipped back into the Bombers line-up last week and scored 120 and could go even bigger against Port Adelaide and Richmond (a team he scored 166 against last year).
I also love Dawson’s fixture (North Melbourne, Port Adelaide) and some bonus DPP flexibility, which Gus Brayshaw also delivers. He has been moved into the guts in recent weeks and is a genuine ball magnet in there. He has a three-round average of 119 and should absolutely monster a Patrick Cripps-less Blues onball outfit on Saturday night.
TIM MICHELL
1. Max Gawn
2. Jordan Dawson
3. Sam Walsh
Demons skipper Gawn has rebounded from three scores under 100 between rounds 13-18 (when he was also out injured) with 147, 114 and 136 in successive matches. He takes on the combination of Marc Pittonet and Tom De Koning in round 22 and Oscar McInerney in round 23, both match-ups he should dominate. Gawn has 117 and 184 in his last two against the Blues and 138 and 157 against the Lions. How would you work the DPP? Trade Cripps, swing a MID-FWD to midfield, swing Tim English/Rowan Marshall to your FWD line and trade in Gawn for only $20k more than Cripps.
Dawson has North Melbourne this week and Port Adelaide in round 23. The Crows star has DPP, which could be crucial if another player is injured or suspended this week and you need to go down to zero trades. Dawson has also scored 123, 111 and 110 in his past three matches against Port.
Walsh stepped up with 38 disposals and 128 KFC SuperCoach points when Cripps missed in round 5, and seems unlikely to get more attention even though Cripps and George Hewett will be missing. I have him just ahead of Darcy Parish. I would advise against trading in Andrew Brayshaw, who will get a hard tag against GWS Giants next week. That’s a huge red flag.
EM CHALLIS (2021 KFC SuperCoach champion)
1. Jordan Dawson
2. Callum Mills
3. Andrew Brayshaw
Obviously if you have money I would get Rory Laird but I wouldn’t use two trades to make it happen. He’s a gun! For just $19k more I would get Callum Mills, who is the 4th averaging midfielder this year. I also rate Brayshaw highly, who will only cost you $2k. Nick Daicos is my preferred $0 money in the bank option!
LEKDOG (jockreynolds.com.au)
1. Callum Mills
2. Sam Walsh
1. Jordan Dawson.
I’m getting Clayton Oliver but if you don’t have that cash Mills has a high ceiling and reasonable form of late. The void of significance means Walsh will need to stand up for the Blues to make finals. He averages 95 against Melbourne and 120 against Collingwood. Dawson averages 116 against North and 109 against Port, and already has scores of 134 and 123 against them respectively in 2022
DANIEL BEGALA (KFC SuperCoach Investor)
1. Rory Laird
2. Callum Mills
3. Jordan Dawson
If you’ve got the liquidity, Laird has to be the priority replacement for Patrick Cripps this weekend, with daylight second. He is the most in-form player in the competition and chalks up 150s like they’re going out of fashion. As Vincent Freeman proclaims in the final stanza of Gattaca, we’re not playing KFC SuperCoach to “save anything for the swim back”.
Mills is the competition’s fourth best scorer is the picture of consistency and available at a “gettable” price of $572K. His scoring has tapered off slightly, but at that price point and scoring average, it’s quite simply: arbitrage.
“Smoky” Dawson finds a spot on the podium as my third best option to replace Cripps. I like the dual position (MID/DEF) option as I have coverage across every line except the defence if one of my premiums was to be concussed, injured or impacted by H&S protocols.
Dawson has a date with the Kangaroos this weekend, so he could be the catalyst for a momentous drive into the KFC SuperCoach grand final.
FANTASY FREAKO’S CRIPPS TRADE ADVICE
The biggest dilemma facing SuperCoaches this round is the Patrick Cripps suspension. Currently the fifth-most selected player at the time of writing, for those with a trade up their sleeve, the answer is an easy one – just trade him out. For those without any trades, you’ll have to rely on your bench over the final two rounds.
There’s still a glimmer of hope though, as the Blues will appeal the decision for a second time, so Cripps’ fate won’t be known until Thursday evening.
For SuperCoaches looking to make the move, there are plenty of options to consider but the one thing we always look for is consistency. It’s one of the most important traits we look for in a player, regardless of the result of a match.
In searching for consistency, if we use the top 50 scorers in the game and rank them by points differential based on results, then the most even performer is Bailey Dale – averaging 103.5 in wins and 103.6 in losses. You can’t get more even than that. He has scored at least 87 points in all 10 wins, while dropping below 80 just once from 10 losses. Well played to SuperCoaches that started or even traded him in this year.
ack Macrae’s consistency is one of the main reasons why he’s a revered SuperCoach asset and this season his numbers have once again stood up – averaging 115.8 in wins and 116.5 in losses – a differential of just -0.6 points per game. Yes, he has frustrated SuperCoaches at times this season, but at the end of the day – he continues to produce consistently high scores. Priced at $544,700, he’s cheaper than Cripps.
Rory Laird, on the other hand, has both consistency and ceiling – two of the most valuable traits in a fantasy player. He’s averaging 131.2 in wins and 128.2 in losses. We can expect a 125-plus point score from him every week irrespective of the result on a match.
If we look at players with the biggest differential based on results, then Stephen Coniglio comes out on top – averaging 130.4 in wins and 89.2 in losses for a differential of +41.2 points per game.
At the other end of the spectrum, Tom Stewart is a better scorer when Geelong loses, averaging 102.7 in wins and 132.9 in losses for a differential of -30.2 points per game. Max Gawn is another player who has posted better scores in losses, averaging 107.6 inwins and 127.9 in losses for a differential of –20.3 points per game.