Strategy Round 2: Trades

[Torress]

I agree with the person who said this should be called rage trade until thursday/Friday.
Fwiw, I think not trading is ideal this week, however if you are to trade, trade well and don't waste the trades.
Collins is interesting, I'm not sure what to do here so will field duursma this week and sit on it for another week.
I thought worpel was a bit of a hack and probably wouldn't score well and get moved off ball. Might have to eat my humble pie and accept if a guy is racking up tackles and clearances and pushing forward, for 390k as a fwd playing on ball will be a good pick!
So my only trade I'm considering is darling f4 to worpel. Frees up some cash and good chance of more consistency and scoring

 

[quite ironic]

I feel like I’m close to doing Darling to Worpel and Collins to Ridley.

But may ended up just doing none or simply Collins to Wilkie/Joyce

 

[Spifflicator]

Out of those, Rocky maybe worth a punt.

Seriously considering Walsh up to Rocky as I have the cash, and will stick the VC (into McRae) on him just for good measure.

 

[bomberboy]

Seriously considering Walsh up to Rocky as I have the cash, and will stick the VC (into McRae) on him just for good measure.

Not sure why you'd get rid of Walsh though - kid looks good for a 75 average if you ask me.

 

[Spifflicator]

Walsh only makes $150k if he averages 75. Rocky also makes that if he averages 90.

I am punting that Rocky will average well over the ton and become a keeper, if he averages 90 well its not a win but he still elevated my overall score, and it was worth a try.

 

[bomberboy]

Walsh only makes $150k if he averages 75. Rocky also makes that if he averages 90.

I am punting that Rocky will average well over the ton and become a keeper, if he averages 90 well its not a win but he still elevated my overall score, and it was worth a try.

Fair call. Not sure I'd be taking a punt with only one game's worth of data, but I hope it works for you.

 

[Herbie66]

will hold fire on Collins and just plonk him on the bench , hopefully he has enough JS to make some $$$.

My luck I would bring in Duursma/Joyce/Wilkie and they get dropped.

Does McKay's JS rise with EVW out for the season ?

 

[Leroy]

Walsh only makes $150k if he averages 75. Rocky also makes that if he averages 90.

I am punting that Rocky will average well over the ton and become a keeper, if he averages 90 well its not a win but he still elevated my overall score, and it was worth a try.

Might need to check your numbers slightly. Rocky is priced around $400k: an average of 90 gets him (slowly) to about $450k.
He'd need to average 110 to make 150k, more like 115 if you want to see that in 7 or 8 rounds.

 

[Connoisseur]

N Newman:
Career SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 20: 100.08 from 13 (low of 80 and a high of 151, 8/13 below 100)
Career SC Avg when disposals below 20: 65.31 from 16 (low of 24 and a high of 90, 12/16 below 80)

 

[quite ironic]

N Newman:
Career SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 20: 100.08 from 13 (low of 80 and a high of 151, 8/13 below 100)
Career SC Avg when disposals below 20: 65.31 from 16 (low of 24 and a high of 90, 12/16 below 80)

That’s acrually very telling considering it’s quite likely he goes at 20+ most weeks imo.

13 games too so not crazy and low of 80 when doing it is promising. Too bad I have no way to get him in for Collins unless I drastically find 200k by way of another bit downgrade.

 

[Connoisseur]

J Worpel:
Career Disposal Avg: 19.4
Sc avg when disposals equal/exceed 20: 94.6 from 5 (low of 70 and a high of 110, 3/5 below 100)
Sc avg when disposals below 20: 58.6 from 5 (low of 32 and a high of 92)

Career Contested Possession Avg: 7.8
Sc avg when Contested possessions equal/exceed 8: 94.17 from 6 (low of 70 and a high of 110, 2/6 below 90, 4/6 below 100)
Sc avg when Contested possesions below 8: 50.25 from 4 (low of 32 and a high of 72)

 

[Spifflicator]

Might need to check your numbers slightly. Rocky is priced around $400k: an average of 90 gets him (slowly) to about $450k.
He'd need to average 110 to make 150k, more like 115 if you want to see that in 7 or 8 rounds.

I stand corrected, thanks!

 

[armesy]

My finger is hovering over Collins , no idea what happens to Joyce/Wilkie if Brown comes back in + Marsh & Rowe in the mix.

If Balta & Gibbons keep playing happy to ride them out , Burgess stays as long as I have Moore.

Shaw , Kennedy & Zac Attack are all fighting for the same points , although Essendon were woeful , Whitfield is better coming off HBF.

Heeney , Mundy & Darling are on notice.

And Walsh is currently my M10 , lot of $$$ if he scores 60-70's.

Interesting few days

Agreed on Burgess, Gibbons and Balta. I will look at one of them to Parker is he scores well again however. I always allow myself a couple of corrections to chase cash early.

Heeney scored 85 in a losing game with Buddy not looking 100%. There is a reason he is selected by almost everyone. He will be a fwd keeper. Don't trade him.

Walsh passed the eye test big time. His dream team/SC ratio of 87/68 was simply because it was his first game in my opinion. He tried to do too much in the first qtr and i think from memory his first 2 or 3 possessions were clear errors. I'm super happy with how he played and still think he will be the best scoring rookie.

 

[armesy]

Considering a trade this week, because I feel like next week we're going to want to make 3.

Collins looks like he is going to stink it up - serious consideration being given to correcting him a week early.

I also am considering Darling to Worpel - I think Worpel is going to pull an Oliver. Will wait a week on that though.

I'll be considering Billings to Worpel next week if he plays as well again. He looked good AND I was burnt by Oliver in 2017 as kept telling myself he couldn't continue the form.

 

[Herbie66]

Agreed on Burgess, Gibbons and Balta. I will look at one of them to Parker is he scores well again however. I always allow myself a couple of corrections to chase cash early.

Heeney scored 85 in a losing game with Buddy not looking 100%. There is a reason he is selected by almost everyone. He will be a fwd keeper. Don't trade him.

Walsh passed the eye test big time. His dream team/SC ratio of 87/68 was simply because it was his first game in my opinion. He tried to do too much in the first qtr and i think from memory his first 2 or 3 possessions were clear errors. I'm super happy with how he played and still think he will be the best scoring rookie.

Heeney is more of a worry if Buddy is not fit then as they will play him predominately as a F target , play the Crows Friday night so can watch.

Bought Heeney on the expectation of more mid time , if he plays predominately forward he is not the lock everyone assumes he is.

Plenty of other F/M options that can score 95 +.

If he is not getting mid time out he goes.

I did notice Walsh's higher DT score , was under pressure a lot early , think Constable got 20 for his goal and Setterfield DE was 50%.

I have 2 rookie spots onfield in my mids so it is Scott + Constable/Setterfield/Walsh.

Really need him to be scoring 75+ to make worthwhile $$$ so will weigh him up again after the Port game and see how Sparrow & Wagner go.

 

[Presto]

Walsh only makes $150k if he averages 75. Rocky also makes that if he averages 90.

I am punting that Rocky will average well over the ton and become a keeper, if he averages 90 well its not a win but he still elevated my overall score, and it was worth a try.

If Rocky averages 90, he will make make 40k by bye time, to make 150k needs to average 115

 

[armesy]

Sure, but Oliver, Danger etc ARE ultra promos. Trading down a premium to a player used as stepping stone to get a premium makes no sense.

Agree with this.

I am considering trading Oliver, but as a structure change. Oliver to LLoyd means im not losing a ultra premium in their position and it allows me to play an extra mid rookie on field over a back rookie. I think i made a mistake going too thin in the backline.

 

[jaca]

Good post but i think players like Rockliff & Sheed would be great stepping-stones for the ultra premos like Macrae, Cripps, etc...if you didn't start them (that's me).

Problem is that now they don't just cost you 400k, they cost you 400k and a trade.

 

[Herbie66]

Problem is that now they don't just cost you 400k, they cost you 400k and a trade.

exactly + another trade if they are not keepers or I guess they could stay as a M9.

 

[Hasnoshoes]

Geez seeing a lot of people ready to get rid of Darling after one poorish (75 isn't that bad) game.

Played in a side that got thumped by 44 points - won't happen often.

Played without JJK - won't happen often.

Played on one of the best full backs in the league - won't happen often (especially with JJK in the team).

If you started a KPF thinking they weren't going to be up and down (especially in big losses) then you had the wrong expectations!