Discussion SC 2021: Starting Structure

Darkie

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Collingwood
#81
Some stats on last year’s rookies. I’m adopting the definition of rookie as anyone from the Number#1 pick down – as per the suggestion of Wheedus in Post #71.

I’m focussing on Starting rookies and am stretching that to all who played their first game for the season before Round 7. And I’m tracking them across their first 7 games – so rounds 1-7 for someone playing R1 or rounds 6-12 for someone starting in R6.

View attachment 26205
Count – the number of rookies playing their first game of the season in the given round.
All 7 – the number who played in all 7 available games
Over 4 - the number who played in 4-7 of the available games
$150K – the number who made $150K at the end of 7 rounds
$100K - the number who made $100K at the end of 7 rounds
$100K% - the percentage who made $100K at the end of 7 rounds.

The star performers,
View attachment 26206
Great stats, thank you!

Lots of 50s and 60s in there.

Edit: I have a theory that the R1 debutants are typically the best of the bunch (on average, obviously).

There seems to be some evidence of that from a cash gen perspective (c 44% in R1 vs c 30% thereafter), but not as wide a gap as I would have expected.

Perhaps the R2 reset changes things up a bit in 2020.
 
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Collingwood
#82
Some stats on last year’s rookies. I’m adopting the definition of rookie as anyone from the Number#1 pick down – as per the suggestion of Wheedus in Post #71.

I’m focussing on Starting rookies and am stretching that to all who played their first game for the season before Round 7. And I’m tracking them across their first 7 games – so rounds 1-7 for someone playing R1 or rounds 6-12 for someone starting in R6.

View attachment 26205
Count – the number of rookies playing their first game of the season in the given round.
All 7 – the number who played in all 7 available games
Over 4 - the number who played in 4-7 of the available games
$150K – the number who made $150K at the end of 7 rounds
$100K - the number who made $100K at the end of 7 rounds
$100K% - the percentage who made $100K at the end of 7 rounds.

The star performers,
View attachment 26206
Fantastic information.

From your list only 10 made that "magical" $ 150k profit.

Think Pickett was a slow burn

2 debuted in Round 4 (maybe too early to be downgraded too , possibly on the bubble Round 6 coinciding with Rowell's injury)

Aarts in Round 5

and then 4 in Round 6 (possibly on the bubble Round 8 , but the original rookies may not have made enough $$$ to do the downgrade)

Almost need 2.5 downgrades to fund 1 upgrade if the majority are making $ 100k

So much depends on timing when the bubble boys appear and how strong they look , do you jump early or wait for more $$$ ?

Given the length between Round 1 & Round 2 last season was curious to how many of those who appeared in Round 1 held their spot for Round 2 ?
 
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