Opinion 2024 AFL SuperCoach Planning Thread

7/11

7/11

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Ben's Beasts said:
Cross Sweet off the list.

All indications are that Soldo is the man.

A handy 55k in the bank for plenty.
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Getting the feeling Conway could be our man at R3. Enough comments and footage to suggest he is giving himself every chance for an early crack. Stanley is rather one dimensional as well which might also come into Geelong’s ruck discussions.
 
Ben's Beasts

Ben's Beasts

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7/11 said:
Getting the feeling Conway could be our man at R3. Enough comments and footage to suggest he is giving himself every chance for an early crack. Stanley is rather one dimensional as well which might also come into Geelong’s ruck discussions.
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Yes, can’t rule him out.

Likely to be rotated in and out though as the Cats have done with their rucks since I can remember.
 
Connoisseur

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jel said:
Is anyone going in with a rough plan on how they are going to use their 40 trades?
My back of the napkin thought is:
26 for rookie to premo trades
4 for early round corrections
6 for injuries
4 for finals

It never seems to work out exactly as what I thought, but I feel better thinking I have a plan. :ROFLMAO:
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Not particularly in terms of the breakdowns above but ideally would like to use all boosts before the byes and will look to trade heavy early on to maximise cash gen. Might be tough if I go for the sub $300,000 forward setup and it needs correcting if no appealing replacements present. Will likely start a few RD0 mid-pricers/premiums that I would be content with either holding long term or trading early to restructure, etc.
 
Ironhawk

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Baglimit

Baglimit

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Darkie said:
I thought I would have a go at a worked example, comparing two teams - one of which avoids round zero premiums, and one of which selects an extra value pick who does play round zero (given they have an extra eight teams to choose from).

If anyone sees any flaws in the comparison, I’d be keen to hear it. If not, it seems like any round zero value picks are quite viable.


Team A
Avoids round zero premium

Pays fair value for 100 average player ie 559k

Assume 18th player scores 60

Assume 19th player scores 55


R1-6 scores, premium + 18th player (all other players are common to both sides)
100 + 60
100 + 60
100 + 60
100 + 60
100 + 60
100 + 60

Total 960 points


Team B
Selects round zero premium - assume bye in R6

Pays less than fair value for 100 player ie <559k - assume 503k (10% discount)

Reinvests loose change elsewhere to strengthen starting team - assume this is invested at the Magic Number, and earns 10ppg (ie fair value)

Assume 18th player scores 70 (+10 versus team A)

Assume 19th player scores 55


R1-6 scores, premium (or bye replacement) + 18th player

100 + 70
100 + 70
100 + 70
100 + 70
100 + 70
55 + 70

Total 975 points


Summary
Team B is ahead by 15 points after R6

Team B has a better player (originally the 18th player), averaging 70 vs 60

Team B will have also gained more value (or lost less in value) than team A, as the premium’s price reverts to fair value
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This year in SC is doing my head in. Might end up a ghost ship…….joking lol but my head is hurting.

So if we select 1 or 2 of Gawn and Grundy which is no1 combo at this point.

Can we select anymore round zero players and where does the math converge?
 
Connoisseur

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Connoisseur said:
Consideration of return to play and return to performance is important as well, given numerous journal articles (both Aus sports and international) states that players tend to return to pre injury performance levels in their second year back from ACL. Would be better suited as a pick up on the waiver wire in draft formats or waiting until 2025/2026/etc for classic as the risk far outweighs the potential reward at his current price point.
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1661816110398976001
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C Budarick:
Position: Def
Price: $301,200
IMG_2672.jpeg
https://www.afl.com.au/news/1072865...ick-with-a-point-to-prove-ahead-of-new-season
 
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