Opinion 2024 AFL SuperCoach Planning Thread

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It’s still a favourable bye you can use to slingshot Merrett to a Gulden, Dunkley type though.

I suppose it’s just funny seeing more love for LDU who (unlike Merrett) hasn’t been able to string together a full season of premium midfield scoring yet.

Also, being “gettable at some point in season” is probably one of the better “worst flaws” I’ve seen for someone in the elite premium midfield group this year I must admit. Most of the other elite mids have either role, injury, age or early bye issues 👍
I suppose the worry for many with Merrett is his ability to cope with a tag.

He is often first tagged for the dons and unlike a lot of the stronger mids he usually has a poor score or two against tags in the season.

That said if he goes at 150 a week prior it somewhat o***ets a 60 or so from a hard tag anyway, which he’s entirely capable of doing.

At 650k though I think there’s better alternatives, including his teammate Parish at 50k cheaper if wanting to avoid prime age breakout candidates (LDU, Serong, Rozee, Brayshaw, Butters) or the bad bye schedule guys (Green, Gulden, Dunkley).

One thing to watch is he does have:

Hawks - Macginess
Sydney - not sure who this year but they are usually one of the more likely tagging teams.
Port - Drew
Dogs - Libba (worst team to score against in his career)

in 4 of the first 5 weeks.

in his first 8 games of the prior seasons he’s gone:

2023: 103.9 (116.3 season)
2022: 106.1 (112.2 season)
2021: 107.1 (115 season)
2020: 106.6 (115.6 season)

So it does sort of point to him generally starting at a higher value than he should as he finishes better than he starts the season.

Last 5 against his opening 5 teams:

Hawks (92, 108, 93, 105, 145) 13th best career avg.
Sydney (140, 67, 168, 104, 159) 5th best career avg.
Saints (91, 115, 97, 108, 121) 9th best career avg.
Port (73, 130, 91, 108, 113) 6th best career avg.
Bulldogs (99, 123, 96, 116, 53) 18th best career avg.

So his opening 5 teams he has 5/25 prior games over his starting average of 116.3.

He could be a prime round 6-10 upgrade target at potentially below 600k when his draw opens up favourably for teams he likes to play against.

Also not the prior poster just giving my own insight.
 
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Would someone be able to tell me Wines price after round 5 if he is averaging 100 and Daicos' price after round 5 if he is averaging 115?
Couldn’t tell you exactly as I can never find that tool but Daicos is priced at 116.3. He only plays 4 games in the first 5 rounds so I’d say roughly 645k.

Wines is trickier priced at 83 but I’d be guessing with 100 x 5 in those opening rounds he’d be around 520-535k roughly (100 average for a season is 558k).
 
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Anyone else thinking a 5 premo backline is the way to go this year? Im currently running Daicos, Stewart, Ryan, Houston, Young.

Lack of startable DEF rookies is pushing me this way.
It's definitely easiest to do in the back line, but you'd likely want more flexibility as the season goes along as there's no guarantee that those 5 will be who you want to finish with at seasons end.

Having yourself less locked in and propping up other lines seems to be more balanced imo, but who's to say my opinion is right as you've finished higher than I ever have in supercoach 😂
 
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Anyone else thinking a 5 premo backline is the way to go this year? Im currently running Daicos, Stewart, Ryan, Houston, Young.

Lack of startable DEF rookies is pushing me this way.
I can see the appeal but the worry is you’re only allowing one spot meaning you really need to nail the 5 or you’ll end up with either a few sideways trades or too many D6 types.
I also think going 5 premiums + Williams/Mass is a bit too deep, as I suspect we will have at least 1 fieldable rookie plus some decent bench options.

I’m currently torn between going 4 premium/Williams/Rookie and 3 premium/Williams, Mass/rookie.
 
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Anyone else thinking a 5 premo backline is the way to go this year? Im currently running Daicos, Stewart, Ryan, Houston, Young.

Lack of startable DEF rookies is pushing me this way.
It's definitely easiest to do in the back line, but you'd likely want more flexibility as the season goes along as there's no guarantee that those 5 will be who you want to finish with at seasons end.

Having yourself less locked in and propping up other lines seems to be more balanced imo, but who's to say my opinion is right as you've finished higher than I ever have in supercoach 😂
I can see the appeal but the worry is you’re only allowing one spot meaning you really need to nail the 5 or you’ll end up with either a few sideways trades or too many D6 types.
I also think going 5 premiums + Williams/Mass is a bit too deep, as I suspect we will have at least 1 fieldable rookie plus some decent bench options.

I’m currently torn between going 4 premium/Williams/Rookie and 3 premium/Williams, Mass/rookie.
Replies spot on, plus you have these mids like Martin and Holmes who may end up defender and $100k. Do they do as well, do they leak against premiums or beat them, who knows.

Can see the appeal as rookies better on other lines but you can overreach as well.
 
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Replies spot on, plus you have these mids like Martin and Holmes who may end up defender and $100k. Do they do as well, do they leak against premiums or beat them, who knows.

Can see the appeal as rookies better on other lines but you can overreach as well.
Agreed. Plus I think there is potential to guys like Reid, Coffield, Gibvus, McDonald etc. Even Burgoyne although that’s creeping close to the Williams/Mass level..
 
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Anyone else thinking a 5 premo backline is the way to go this year? Im currently running Daicos, Stewart, Ryan, Houston, Young.

Lack of startable DEF rookies is pushing me this way.
Normally I hate this approach, because you're trying to pick 5 of the top 6 defenders from round one. Add to that, the trend is that ~3 of the top six from last year won't be top 6 this year.
However with forwards being so poor this year, it could be the way to go for once.
 
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Normally I hate this approach, because you're trying to pick 5 of the top 6 defenders from round one. Add to that, the trend is that ~3 of the top six from last year won't be top 6 this year.
However with forwards being so poor this year, it could be the way to go for once.
4 max imo with a 200k at 5 , rook at 6,7,8.
There are rooks that will make money and gives you cash for depth in the fwds and mids.
That's the way I'm going anyway.
 
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Anyone else thinking a 5 premo backline is the way to go this year? Im currently running Daicos, Stewart, Ryan, Houston, Young.

Lack of startable DEF rookies is pushing me this way.
I'm actually prepared to take a few more risks in def, 3 premos, Massimo and Williams, also Gibcus and Coffield, Reid should have good js.
This allows me to start a couple of keepers in the fwd line (hopefully keepers).
 
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We have 30 players and 40 trades. I don't think our starting team locks anyone in. You could finish the year with none of your starting picks. There was a supercoach winner, can't remember what year, who finished with about 7 or 8 of their starting picks, and we have more trades since then. People still looking for 11 or 12 keepers makes no sense to me.
 
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