Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Manikato1 · 27 Apr 2014

Hi Rowsus

My forward line needs open heart surgery. So far I have already had three goes at it but have done no better than a butcher with a rusty can opener. Current team looks like this.

Back Swallow, Hooker, Hibberd, S Mitch, Enright and Langford/Laidler , Georgiou Overall been quite good and have no complaints.

Mid Gab, D Beams, M Murphy, Prestia, Priddis, Polec, Aish, Robertson, Ellis, M Crouching One.

Like the backs I am happy with the mids. Prestia and Priddis will go during the byes but they have done a great job so far (am I inviting trouble saying that?????)

Rucks Sandi with a big dollop of Sauce. Derickx lurking and Thurlow. Given the ruck carnage this pair have been a godsend.

Fwd Danger, Chapman, Roughead, Kennedy (WCE version), Fasolo and then one of JKH, L Hunter and Honeycrunchsweetiepie depending how much I want to torture myself.

Disaster. I took the risk with Chappie knowing the injury issues but only wanted him to last until the byes. He started great but now I think I have problems looming. Roughead was a replacement for Dixon. Kennedy was only there because I thought in the first half of the season WC had a good draw. Been disappointing. Fasolo has just come in so I got the cash but now who knows. Hunter, *** was I thinking.

My thoughts are if Chappie doesn’t come up then trade to Pav. I was always going to bring in Pav but after the byes when Freo get a good run in the draw.

Kennedy however stumps me. Any suggestions??? With $144k In the kitty.

Monya Meow Meow · 27 Apr 2014

Hi there Row, before I do anything stupid (like pressing the team delete button), thought I'd ask you for some of your wisdom first.
As you can see from my team link, there are problems everywhere in my team.

My problematic defenders at the moment are Suckling and McDonald.
My problematic midfielders at the moment are Dunstan and Taylor.
My problematic ruck is Sam Jacobs but who doesn't have ruck problems eh? Will hold him no issues there.
My problematic forwards at the moment are Jackson Merrett and Lloyd.

Question is, which 2 of those do I trade out this week?

Suckling has too high a B/E and his job as a cash cow is done, should I be looking to upgrade him to Hibberd or should I downgrade McDonald to a Cutler?

Dunstan should go as well and there is none other than Watson that I am looking at.

Lloyd still has some cash to do so I am inclined to hold him. That means Merrett has to go and I'm looking at someone like Luke Parker.

What do I do wise one? I have $371,900 in the bank.

bloke · 28 Apr 2014

Hey Rowsus, just wondering if its necessary to go into the bye rounds with 100k+. I picked up Swan last week and am considering Ellis>Hallahan and Dunstan for either Cutler (via Grimes, 355k left over) or Dahlhaus/Cyril (via Dusty, 35-50k left).

If I did go Dahlhaus I would keep Dusty in MIDs until one of Lloyd, JKH or Impey reach peak and a mid rookie shows himself. Cheers mate

Rowsus · 28 Apr 2014

Courtesans said:

Thanks Keith,
Sometimes it gets a little grating, but most of the time I try to see the funny side of being on the wrong side of 50/50 calls, and under-performing Premiums....... I don't always succeed, but I try!

Santoz · 28 Apr 2014

Monya Meow Meow said:

If these are the only problems you have then you're giggling. Seriously.

Monya Meow Meow · 28 Apr 2014

Santoz said:

It's not the only problems that I have coz the other players I am holding, no point trading them out.
Players like Enright, Libba, and Martin.

sangkuriang · 28 Apr 2014

Hi Rowsus,

Thought I'd check back in with you as the radical overhaul of my side is progressing. If you could run your eye over it that would be great.

Still short a Defender. Could go Houli or Enright this week if I can generate the cash. Anyone else at good value?

Pyke and J. Cameron the other two issues but holding at this stage as I want to focus on culling rookies when they are ready.

Thanks again.

maken7 · 28 Apr 2014

Hey Rowsus

I have $738k in the bank, could you give me some advice to where I should spend the money.

At the moment I'm thinking of a double upgrade:

Dunstan -> Montagna and Polec -> Watson

or

Dunstan -> Montagna/Watson and Impey -> Zorko/Gray

or

Dunstan -> Montagna/Watson and Georgiou -> D.Swallow/Hibberd

I'm hoping Mumford returns very soon too.

Thanks

DEF:
S.Mitchell, Enright, Hanley, Simpson, McDonald, Langford (Langdon, Georgiou)

MID:
Ablett, Pendles, Cotchin, Beams, Aish, Dunstan, Polec, N.Robertson (Crouch, J.Hunt)

RUCK:
Sandilands, Mumford (Derickx, King)

FWD:
Dusty, Danger, Pavlich, Fasolo, Higgins, Lloyd (Impey, JKH)

Sloth · 28 Apr 2014

rowsus could u do some analysis on nathan jones from melb. never really been sc relevant with avg around 90 but this year has spiked up to 115. is there any reason to justify this large increase - more time on ground, increased disposals, efficiency etc. he seems to be leading from the front on field.

Junior Wölf · 28 Apr 2014

When is it time to dump Libba???

Juzzo · 28 Apr 2014

Hi Rowsus, would appreciate if you could have a quick look at my team and give thoughts on this week's trading idea...

Polec to Watson
McDonlad to Hallahan

Cheers

freowho · 28 Apr 2014

Hi Rowsus

You seem a bit busy by all the posts. If you have time I am looking at a mid upgrade this week. I am avoiding Rnd 8 players even though Swanny looks like good value. I'm avoiding Jobe because I don't think Mark Thompson is trying to win a premiership, I think he is experimenting too much and holding the fort for Prince James. I'm avoiding Griffin because he looks injured. I've looked at what I think they can average for the rest of the year given their current average, their price and price drop for the year and their breakevens. The 3 that appear to have value in my opinion are Mundy, Priddis and Jack. I know you think Mundy is Red Rooster, Priddis and Jack are probably not KFC but do you think they might be Red Rooster with free hot chips? I have Ablett, Beams, Murphy, Cotchin and Kennedy so I'll still have 2 mid spots available after this trade to bring in a bit more KFC after the byes.

I was also wondering if you could table Chris Mayne? I don't think he is a top 10 forward but he is so cheap.

Mange Tak

baz_machine · 28 Apr 2014

With the low scoring and appartent defensive mindset drom coaches, i was thinking is this having an effect on the scoring of forwards this year or is it just a matter of forward inconsistency?

I'm not sure the best way to test this hypothesis; maybe take the total points of the top 50 forwards and compare them to the previous say two years?

Prochard · 28 Apr 2014

Is this the week to get Watson? Still high break even but I think he will dominate against dogs
What do you think about
McDonald>cutler
Tyson>hodge
Leaves me with around 370k in the bank which will be used on both watson and griffin next week?

Rowsus · 28 Apr 2014

Manikato1 said:

Hi Man,
Trading is not going to be easy this week for those without a good cash reserve. There just any good downgrade targets, so it's either do what you can with the cash you have, or accept a lesser quality downgrade option. Salem and O'Rourke are possibilities, but I'd really rather see what happens with them next week, before taking one of them a week early. I don't have a lot of faith in Hallahan sticking around long enough. Hawthorn don't have a great record of playing their Rookies too much. J Lloyd hasn't inspired confidence either.
If Chappy doesn't play, you either neary forced to go Chappy ---> Pav, or take the risk on Hallahan or Salem a week early, going Ellis to Hallahan/Salem, which will give you enough to go Fasolo ---> Pav, but that largely depends on Fasolo's prognossis. If Chappy plays, it's a fairly simple Kennedy ---> Pav, still leaving you with the quandary about whether to chop Ellis this week. Keep in mind it is a really good idea to hit the byes with some cash, if possible.
Not much help, but it's a tricky situation this week, with no positive downgrade targets.
Good luck

Drew · 28 Apr 2014

Up against you in Div 1 this week mate, just looked and our projected scores are dead even on 2128 so looks like a cracking match-up

Anyway here's my likely trades for the week...... let the mind games begin!

Templeton -> Watson
B.Martin -> Burgoyne

Courtesans · 28 Apr 2014

Rowsus said:

Hi Man,
Trading is not going to be easy this week for those without a good cash reserve. There just any good downgrade targets, so it's either do what you can with the cash you have, or accept a lesser quality downgrade option. Salem and O'Rourke are possibilities, but I'd really rather see what happens with them next week, before taking one of them a week early. I don't have a lot of faith in Hallahan sticking around long enough. Hawthorn don't have a great record of playing their Rookies too much. J Lloyd hasn't inspired confidence either.
If Chappy doesn't play, you either neary forced to go Chappy ---> Pav, or take the risk on Hallahan or Salem a week early, going Ellis to Hallahan/Salem, which will give you enough to go Fasolo ---> Pav, but that largely depends on Fasolo's prognossis. If Chappy plays, it's a fairly simple Kennedy ---> Pav, still leaving you with the quandary about whether to chop Ellis this week. Keep in mind it is a really good idea to hit the byes with some cash, if possible.
Not much help, but it's a tricky situation this week, with no positive downgrade targets.
Good luck

Is worth keeping an eye on O'Rourke I reckon. He was nr 3 draft pick or thereabouts in 2013 I think, injury ruined his year. Going him over Hallahan in a thinner GWS side than the Hawks.

Rowsus · 28 Apr 2014

Monya Meow Meow said:

Hey MMM,
some of your highlighted players are not so deep into the problem basket yet, they are just teetering on the edge.
The biggest problems appear to be:
Merrett J: $371,900 B/E 87, last 3: 70, 58, 79, next 3 weeks: Bull, Bris, Syd
Suckling: $404,900 B/E 123, last 3: 122, 63, 58, next 3 weeks: StK, Syd, Bye
Dunstan: $311,400 B/E 70, last 3: 55, 52, 66, next 3 weeks: Haw, Carl, GC
The rest of them aren't too bad. Suckling could easily belt out a 100+ score this week, but still lose cash.
Merrett and Dunstan seem to be a line ball on their prospects of beating their B/E's this week.
Looking at the trade in prospects:
Hibberd: $525,100 B/E 80
Watson: $533,600 B/E 131
Parker: $501,500 B/E 90
I love Hibberd as a player, but he is potentially the worst priced of the 3 of them. His price suggests you want him to score at about 107, where as Watson's says 109 and Parker's 102. Even though he will likely rise in price this week, a correction can't be far away. Against that, if you're really keen on him, you are facing a price drop on Suckling, and a rise on Hibberd. I'd probably go Hibberd and Watson this week.
Good luck.

bloke · 28 Apr 2014

Rowsus said:

Hey bloke,
where possible I think you should try and take $300-$400k into the byes. They are probably the most important trading period of the season, particularly now they are in mooing season. It won't be possible for everyone to have that much, but you will find your options a lot easier to deal with if you have a bank to work with.

Ok I'll downgrade. Thanks Rowsus.

Rowsus · 28 Apr 2014

Courtesans said:

Definitely agree O'Rourke looks a better prospect than Hallahan, but I would wait until he bubbles, as he has an injury history. In fact all he has is an injury history!

If you have to go one of the 1 gamers this week, I'd go Salem. He should be safe for a few games.

Opinion Questions For Rowsus

Manikato1

Monya Meow Meow

bloke

Rowsus

Statistician

Santoz

Monya Meow Meow

sangkuriang

maken7

Rising Star Nominee

Sloth

Rising Star Winner

Junior Wölf

Juzzo

freowho

baz_machine

Prochard

Rowsus

Statistician

Drew

Courtesans

Rowsus

Statistician

bloke

Rowsus

Statistician