Strategy 2024: Round 5 Trades

[ChrisCross]

Really torn on the JHF trade in. If he gets the FWD status probably means he’ll have spent a fair chuck forward resulting in lower scores.

Flipside if he scores well means he played predominantly MID doesn’t get the FWD status…

 

[inwhiterooms]

Really torn on the JHF trade in. If he gets the FWD status probably means he’ll have spent a fair chuck forward resulting in lower scores.

Flipside if he scores well means he played predominantly MID doesn’t get the FWD status…

I personally think the DPP is quite unlikely, 91% CBA’s last week.

 

[ChrisCross]

I personally think the DPP is quite unlikely, 91% CBA’s last week.

Sadly looks that way. However Wines is back this week which ironically should be a good thing.

 

[JY5165]

grundy mckercher massimo for gawn martin clohesy (need to trade off the 2 rookies early to make the money work)

or keep it simple and go

grundy hore to gawn clohesy (saving the boost(have 3))

 

[Goodie's Guns]

grundy mckercher massimo for gawn martin clohesy (need to trade off the 2 rookies early to make the money work)

or keep it simple and go

grundy hore to gawn clohesy (saving the boost(have 3))

Second option for mine, although don't love going Gawn prior to his bye.

 

[JY5165]

Second option for mine, although don't love going Gawn prior to his bye.

other option could be this and would let me hold mckercher for a bit longer

issue is im not sold on meek

 

[Chumpion]

A bit lost on what to do this week and my trades so far this season have been mostly good but have also had some absolute stinkers.

Round 2: Gibcus to D'Ambrosio (√), Lazzaro to Cadman (√), Fisher to Heeney (√)
Round 3: Short to Sheezel (√), Martin to Serong (X), Bonner to Carrol (X); missed Sharp and Dempsey, luckily held Young
Round 4: Fyfe to Powell (X), Sexton to Darcy (√); held Jordon, faded Brown

Considering this week:

• Coffield to Clohesy; happy to go early on Clohesy, probably for Coffield to be able to field 6 defenders but could do Howes.
• Don't know what to do with my second trade, would like to move on Jordon but don't feel great about also going early on Comben. Considering Lohmann if he avoids the green vest this week.
• Already used 2 boosts, but not completely opposed to using a third if it allows for a creative solution

As a Hawks supporter I think Meek is a trap given the run of opponents we have coming up, and I'm comfortable holding Grundy given his scoring history as a solo ruck.

Team is as below, would love to hear any thoughts.
View attachment 71103

You could go Jordon to Clohesy via Wilson and Daicos DPP, which gives you just under $270k to spend on an upgrade or to hold for next week.

 

[XabiFernando]

Congrats on the start so far! The next 2 rounds will probably bunch a little with popular premiums on the bye, so I would probably say identify where you want your team for round 7 (back to best 22) and work backwards from there.
The difference between Meek and a rookie is probably less over this next 2 rounds and what probably stood out to be across rounds 2 & 3 is it’s the high ceiling premiums that made the most difference.

It’s for that reason I’m trying to work out if I have a good way to get Grundy up to English rather than down to Meek. But if there is no pathway that makes sense, I’m probably looking at Meek as my next option and then 3rd is looking at some of the <$550k players I could possibly 1 trade Grundy too.

Good luck whichever way you go!

Thank you! Appreciate the words and thoughts. I'm starting to cool a bit on Meek, but now wondering if I go Grundy to Steele directly with a bit of DPP magic. There's also heaps of analysis about previous winners trades and comments so I can review all of that as well - this forum is amazing

 

[freowho]

Really torn on the JHF trade in. If he gets the FWD status probably means he’ll have spent a fair chuck forward resulting in lower scores.

Flipside if he scores well means he played predominantly MID doesn’t get the FWD status…

You've answered your own question.
I wouldn't mind picking him as a stepping stone but I just can't make it work because I have a full midfield and it would mean 2 of McKercher, Sanders and Reid are on the bench and the next 2 rounds are best 18 anyway. I'm better off chasing someone with a higher ceiling.

 

[NT.Thunder]

Meek is stressing me.

Was so pumped to bring in Gawn for Grundy but now can see I can do Grundy to Meek and Sexton to Flanders.

But I want Gawn.

 

[Ben's Beasts]

Really torn on the JHF trade in. If he gets the FWD status probably means he’ll have spent a fair chuck forward resulting in lower scores.

Flipside if he scores well means he played predominantly MID doesn’t get the FWD status…

Perhaps give it one more week?

We’ll have a more accurate idea as to whether he’s likely to get mid/fwd status after this weekend’s match and he’ll still be affordable at under 500k.

 

[Bombers2win]

You know the fwd line is thread bare when we’re all hoping JHF and Sanders get dpp!

 

[Old Big 'Ead]

You know the fwd line is thread bare when we’re all hoping JHF and Sanders get dpp!

Or you move DPP midfielders, like Flanders into the FWD line just to make you feel better about your FWD Keepers!

 

[wt44]

How do people feel about trading LDU for Steele this week. Only 20k difference between the two but that will change exponentially soon.

LDU doesn't look interested so far this season, Steele looks amazing...

 

[Zim^zuM]

Cooled off on trading Grundy to Meek. However after Howes, jordan to clohsey trades I can afford a rookie to meek for 2 weeks to cover grawndy over 2 weeks and then pocket any meek profits just incase. Still feel more data on Meek is needed

 

[freowho]

Cooled off on trading Grundy to Meek. However after Howes, jordan to clohsey trades I can afford a rookie to meek for 2 weeks to cover grawndy over 2 weeks and then pocket any meek profits just incase. Still feel more data on Meek is needed

More data on Meek will miss his biggest price rise which seems to be the point.

 

[Old Big 'Ead]

Cooled off on trading Grundy to Meek. However after Howes, jordan to clohsey trades I can afford a rookie to meek for 2 weeks to cover grawndy over 2 weeks and then pocket any meek profits just incase. Still feel more data on Meek is needed

Is this enough data. Great analysis from @Under The Dome

For those considering Meek.

Games with him above 50% Ruck contests:

Hawthorn

2024
R3: 74% vs Conway/Blicavs/Hawkins/De Koning 92 DT : 88 SC
R4: 80% vs Cameron/Cox 89 DT : 130 SC

2023
R2 68% vs Ladhams/McLean 83 DT : 98 SC
R9 80% vs Gawn/Grundy 84 DT : 112 SC
R10 61% vs B.Williams/Jameison 95 DT : 78 SC
R16 57% vs Young/Silvagni 73 DT : 55 SC (Switched to main ruck after Reeves subbed in Q3)
R20 94% vs Marshall/Caminiti/Cordy 89 DT: 104 SC

Fremantle

2022
R1 77% vs ROB 67 DT : 83 SC
R2 59% vs Marshall/Hayes 62 DT : 88 SC
R3 73% vs Naitanui/Dixon 56 DT : 89 SC
R7 78% Stanley/Blicavs/Hawkins 64 DT : 100 SC

2021
R1 76% vs Gawn/Jackson/McDonald 26 DT : 43 SC (Debut game)
R2 64% vs Flynn/Buckley 55 DT : 83 SC
R3 59% vs Pittonet/Casboult 57 DT : 69 SC
R23 67% vs Marshall/Hunter 55 DT : 48 SC

 

[OnTopBar]

More data on Meek will miss his biggest price rise which seems to be the point.

I think that's exactly what he's saying, rather than trade Grundy out now on limited data, trade a rookie to Meek then make a decision on whether it's worthwhile to trade Grundy out.

 

[Woodsey]

How do people feel about trading LDU for Steele this week. Only 20k difference between the two but that will change exponentially soon.

LDU doesn't look interested so far this season, Steele looks amazing...

Personally I’ve got bigger fish to fry than LDU. Can see the merit in trading him out but every chance he turns it around. Our draw starts to get a bit easier too.

 

[dicksilverman]

How do people feel about trading LDU for Steele this week. Only 20k difference between the two but that will change exponentially soon.

LDU doesn't look interested so far this season, Steele looks amazing...

Don’t mind it.