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Could improve his HTA numbers but eventually they are going to have consider life after Gawn and will an increase in HTA be enough to compensate for a potential decrease in ruck contests attended, time on ground, a drop from career high averages in disposals and contested possessions? Run him into the ground during the regular season and scapegoat the lack of depth, lack experience of his replacement for a quick finals exit when it is a self inflicted decision.
Age factor has merit but usually a simplistic and lazy analysis. Defenders are ridiculed for playing the bruise free “seagull” brand of footy yet people still cite the age factor when it is less of a concern for a defender relative to that of a midfielder who has more exposure to contact injuries, etc. Rucks take longer to develop thus peak later in the career (mid to late twenties) in comparison to midfielders (around early to mid twenties), so can still have value into the early thirties.
Depends on risk appetite of individual coach as well. Personally for a player of his ceiling then sub $600,000 big whoop whereas over $650,000 then set realistic expectations that you are overpaying for their services due to a lack of confidence in the other options or as you mentioned for captaincy.
Some coaches place too much emphasis on last season and believe it magically translate to the next season and their past avg is their starting base and thus the $600,000+ premiums need to be selected for their perceived safety. Those that missed out last year possibly due to the large risk they felt Gawn held will now dismiss those same issues a year in advance because of … oh look at those shiny scores.