Keep seeing graphics along these lines and thought it'd be nice to discuss it with people who can actually string a sentence together.
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So who do we think fills in the four gaps?
I'll go in order of my level of certainty.
Green isn't bowling, so 6 is
Webster. That's not really a contest for me. He's the incumbent and hasn't put a foot wrong in any role asked of him.
I have a pretty strong view that
Marnus will be retained - he basically built his career on strong form in England and even though his Test record there is more good than great (avg 39.36) I think they'll value the experience in a one-off game. If they want to move him on the start of the new cycle - WI away - feels like the more obvious time to do it.
Hazlewood is a significant injury risk now so I'd be picking
Boland as the third seamer. There's a lot of talk that Boland's record in England is poor, but there's two significant caveats here. Firstly, he took five wickets at 21 in the last final, including Gill twice and Kohli. His bowling was actually viewed as incredibly well suited to England before 2023, the bigger issue is the way England played, which is almost designed to take down that kind of bowler who hits the same spot over and over. I maintain that even McGrath would have struggled against that kind of approach. (Or more likely, would have developed into a different kind of bowler, much as T20 has been pushing bowlers towards for a generation.) So the real question is whether South Africa can replicate that approach. I don't think so, their batting has come along in leaps and bounds this cycle but it's still pretty raw and aside from Stubbs they aren't super aggressive by nature either. You feel like they'd be better suited to playing the way that got them to this point. I think that favours Boland.
The opener could be any one of the remaining batters that have been tried recently but I absolutely would not be throwing another debutant in against what will be an elite attack no matter who is picked/fit. Given how it's gone throwing middle order players up to open though I'm sticking with
Konstas.
Reserves - Green, Inglis, Hazlewood, Kuhnemann
First three are self explanatory, can't see two spinners being the play at Lord's but you never know... and he's surely going to WI anyway so he may as well come along.