I'm leaning towards one of the cats defenders for my D2, take Stewart's sub games out he ave 102. I think his good for 102-105 range this year. Holmes could easily push 105-110 with a mid HB role. I think the Freo pair are over priced, I was keen on Sinclair till his injury and NWM I'm watching as well I'm not overly keen though. Short for me is underpriced and for his price tag he's worth the punt.
Clark actually underpriced based on how he finished last year, Ryan overpriced on the same basis, obviously invert that if start of season is what you want to use for them. They had a pretty clear style change later in the season that meant a lot more go from backline and less chipping which obviously explains the change from Ryan to Clark. Ryan has started the last couple of seasons like a house on fire though so could be a very good case made that is a trend to back.
Sinclair needs to play the preseason games for me to be interested, had the calf, iirc, last preseason and started very slowly as a result, was also playing more midfield which he doesn't score as well in generally.
NWM is more an upside play, he's so silky and the team clearly want the pill in his hands so more a case of hoping he can make the jump to the elite tier, I rate him and love watching him so that biases me though!
Is there no love for Matt Roberts here? The early bye is an issue but presents value. Averaged 99 in the last 10 including finals.
He's on my watchlist but would need to see a lot of things go right to move beyond that. The r0 bye is a huge factor, basically take away the first 10ppg in improvement off him for the first 6 weeks. New coach is another huge factor, gameplan, how will he be used and the like are all valid questions. Blakey, Florent, Paton and Lloyd all other names that could take rebounding turns. Will Lloyd be wing or defense? If McCartin plays forward, can we cover for having multiple non-defenders down back in Roberts, Florent and Lloyd? Just a lot of questions. Throw in small sample size that could be a blip. Also have Mills return, if he plays midfield he'll still sweep as that's his natural style, which again cannibalises from the other defenders.
He definitely could be a great pick, natural ball finder and good user but I've got a lot of questions to ask. Doesn't help that he obviously shares both byes with Mills who is a much better option, imo, at this point in time. Worth noting that Sydney share the early bye with Geelong (also Brisbane and Pies who aren't as relevant, imo) who could also have multiple options and then also share with GC & Collingwood who have two of the top DEF carryover options and several options on other lines as well at round 14.
At the moment I've got a few other names I like more than him in that price region such as Rivers, Duggan, Saad, McKercher, Farrell and Short but I think you can make at least as good a case against for all of them as well. Realistically, it's just not a great batch of options right now.
My dream remains that 3 startable rookies come along, I'm not actually worried about the bench guys, they'll be there, but if there can be 3 starters then I can just pick Mills at D3. At the moment I'd say that Smith and Williams are probably the best bets but both have some battles to win.
It hurts that even all the forwards playing defense this year are already DPP so can't actually be swung back early (Daniel, Maric and Baker).
Other positions all look strong though to me, so will probably just be hoping to put a heavy early focus on DEF upgrades. The positive is that all of GC, GWS, Brisbane, Geelong, Collingwood, Essendon and Hawthorn have good potential targets post bye and the byes are pretty early, especially the GWS/GC one where we can actually get them before price changes.