Opinion Questions For Rowsus
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Hey Slammer,
I don't think it's a Black and White question, where one answer suits all Coaches.
I am bit biased, as I started without him. It sounds like you are mentally committed to trading him out, and that's ok too.
As to your target trade in, the question is, have you seen enough in 2 easy wins, to drastically change your opinion of Libba? If you think you have, and you think he could be a cheap Keeper, then get him. If not, there could be some advantage in sticking to not having him, and getting Gray instead. Keep in mind, Hawthorn don't tag, and more just strangle supply. When you're in and under like Libba, that won't affect him, as much as it will some other players.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
I don't think it's a Black and White question, where one answer suits all Coaches.
I am bit biased, as I started without him. It sounds like you are mentally committed to trading him out, and that's ok too.
As to your target trade in, the question is, have you seen enough in 2 easy wins, to drastically change your opinion of Libba? If you think you have, and you think he could be a cheap Keeper, then get him. If not, there could be some advantage in sticking to not having him, and getting Gray instead. Keep in mind, Hawthorn don't tag, and more just strangle supply. When you're in and under like Libba, that won't affect him, as much as it will some other players.
Good luck, I hope you jump the right way.
Aen,
complete folly! Particularly if it is Mills you are using. If Mills averages 70 he will make $130-$140k profit. That's usually enough to be considered a success, and around the 10th to 12th best earning Rookie. It would seem to be the very definition of a wasted trade, to trade him out now. While Oliver will take a while to moo, as I think he might get a rest here and there, he too would appear to be a wasted trade to get Papley. If these are your best options to get Papley, I'd say you are best to go without him.
complete folly! Particularly if it is Mills you are using. If Mills averages 70 he will make $130-$140k profit. That's usually enough to be considered a success, and around the 10th to 12th best earning Rookie. It would seem to be the very definition of a wasted trade, to trade him out now. While Oliver will take a while to moo, as I think he might get a rest here and there, he too would appear to be a wasted trade to get Papley. If these are your best options to get Papley, I'd say you are best to go without him.
I also have the Gresham option, but a Mills/Oliver correction option would allow me to go Barlow to ultra-premo - hence the thinking.
I'm interested to hear you say if Mills averages 70 and earns $140k that would be considered a success? I reckon for his starting price, and based on KLO's mid-price madness tables, he'd need to average closer to 80 wouldn't he?
On the flipside, if Papley averages 70 from here on in, even 60, he is likely to make a ton more cash quickly and still score similarly. So while I may have burned a trade, my on-field points hardly suffer, and I have potentially pocketed an extra $200-250K in the bank.
Am I missing something here?
I'm interested to hear you say if Mills averages 70 and earns $140k that would be considered a success? I reckon for his starting price, and based on KLO's mid-price madness tables, he'd need to average closer to 80 wouldn't he?
On the flipside, if Papley averages 70 from here on in, even 60, he is likely to make a ton more cash quickly and still score similarly. So while I may have burned a trade, my on-field points hardly suffer, and I have potentially pocketed an extra $200-250K in the bank.
Am I missing something here?
Hey Rowsus , i have bit of different question then normal
Im from the sticks and was wondering if a guy is a having a few beers lets say 8-12 and there schooners, at a inner city bar in melbourne with a bunch of supercoach brethren what would be a acceptable monetary amount one would need to enjoy a evening like this ? im sure there is a few variances and unforeseen costs involved but was hoping you may have a formula, spreadsheet or analysis that could help
P.S
also is there any chance i will have trades left for finals in 2016
Im from the sticks and was wondering if a guy is a having a few beers lets say 8-12 and there schooners, at a inner city bar in melbourne with a bunch of supercoach brethren what would be a acceptable monetary amount one would need to enjoy a evening like this ? im sure there is a few variances and unforeseen costs involved but was hoping you may have a formula, spreadsheet or analysis that could help
P.S
also is there any chance i will have trades left for finals in 2016
As to your trades, if you are willing and able to put up with pain and inconvenience in Rounds 14 to 19, then you will have two or three trades left for the finals. History says you are unable to to put up with either of those things, so no, no trades for the Muppets in the finals...... again!
Yes, I remember. You drank so responsibly last time, you drunk dialled me at 2.30am!!!
Hahahahahaha...I'd like to see that!
Hmmm, you may have me on a slight technicality there mate.
A lot depends on individual circumstances. For example, I am going to go Karpany to Papley. Karpany is a $123k M/F F/D I have, in conjunction with Ueber. WC play early the next 2 weeks, so Karpany serves little purpose those weeks. By the time WC play late again, I will probably have some natural donuts I can use anyway. I also think it is reasonable to use Rookies like Gresham, if you feel you don't have enough of the top 10 or 12 early Cash cows. If you have enough of the other top 10 or 12, I would forego Papley, rather than sideways from another Rookie.
I'm not sure what method you are using, but it seems a bit flawed. In an easy way to calculate where they are heading, use 4700 x ave as a ball park. The longer you hold them, the closer you can move that to 5000 x ave.
If Mills ave 70 from here, he is heading to $329,000 and if you hold him longer, to $350,000 - profit $120k-$140k
If Papley ave 60 from here, he is heading to $282,000, and if you hold him longer, to $300,000 - profit $172k-$190k
So no matter which way you look at it, Papley is looking to make around $50k more than Mills on those numbers. I would keep a trade, before I took a $50k injection of cash.
If the Loose Change makes the difference in getting to a solid Keeper, then that could be a worthwhile option, but I think you might have micalculated the difference in values. Can you explain how you arrived at potentially $250k better off?
I'm not sure what method you are using, but it seems a bit flawed. In an easy way to calculate where they are heading, use 4700 x ave as a ball park. The longer you hold them, the closer you can move that to 5000 x ave.
If Mills ave 70 from here, he is heading to $329,000 and if you hold him longer, to $350,000 - profit $120k-$140k
If Papley ave 60 from here, he is heading to $282,000, and if you hold him longer, to $300,000 - profit $172k-$190k
So no matter which way you look at it, Papley is looking to make around $50k more than Mills on those numbers. I would keep a trade, before I took a $50k injection of cash.
If the Loose Change makes the difference in getting to a solid Keeper, then that could be a worthwhile option, but I think you might have micalculated the difference in values. Can you explain how you arrived at potentially $250k better off?
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I'm not sure what method you are using, but it seems a bit flawed. In an easy way to calculate where they are heading, use 4700 x ave as a ball park. The longer you hold them, the closer you can move that to 5000 x ave.
If Mills ave 70 from here, he is heading to $329,000 and if you hold him longer, to $350,000 - profit $120k-$140k
If Papley ave 60 from here, he is heading to $282,000, and if you hold him longer, to $300,000 - profit $172k-$190k
So no matter which way you look at it, Papley is looking to make around $50k more than Mills on those numbers. I would keep a trade, before I took a $50k injection of cash.
If the Loose Change makes the difference in getting to a solid Keeper, then that could be a worthwhile option, but I think you might have micalculated the difference in values. Can you explain how you arrived at potentially $250k better off?
If Mills ave 70 from here, he is heading to $329,000 and if you hold him longer, to $350,000 - profit $120k-$140k
If Papley ave 60 from here, he is heading to $282,000, and if you hold him longer, to $300,000 - profit $172k-$190k
So no matter which way you look at it, Papley is looking to make around $50k more than Mills on those numbers. I would keep a trade, before I took a $50k injection of cash.
If the Loose Change makes the difference in getting to a solid Keeper, then that could be a worthwhile option, but I think you might have micalculated the difference in values. Can you explain how you arrived at potentially $250k better off?
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I would but then I wouldn't be sending the right message for our members by doing the same trades as other MODS here, they might think that we're sharing too much intel!
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