The traditional unspoken rule in SuperCoach was 'Do Not Trade After Round 1' with reasons varying from:
Remember, I kept 2 trades for the last 10 rounds and ChewyLizard left 1 trade for the last 7 rounds; refer to: How Far Is Too Far to be the 2013 SuperCoach Winner article.
I still believe that all things being equal you should NOT trade after round 1. However, there are exceptions which will be discussed later on. I will firstly give my views on the popular topics.
Trading Patrick Dangerfield Out?
As most will be aware, Dangerfield punished me last year when he was a MID/FWD when I didn't have him in my SuperCoach team. Now that Dangerfield is in my SuperCoach team, he continues the punishment with his score of 63 when priced at 119.
While it is very tempting to trade Dangerfield to JPK, personally, I'll be keeping Dangerfield.
Dangerfield was rumoured to have had a cold before the Essendon game and tagged very closely. Naturally, Dangerfield could and is very likely to be tagged every week, however we knew this when we first picked Dangerfield in our team. I will give Dangerfield another week and if he scores sub-100, I think there is no choice but to trade him out to avoid a significant drop in price.
Trading Buddy Franklin Out?
As most will know after reading the Buddy Franklin, that Buddy Franklin is not in my initial SuperCoach team.
However, those with Buddy Franklin, I suggest you at least give Buddy one more week as there will be no price change until the of round 3.
Trading Oliver Wines In?
This is a tough one as Wines played really well and had 24 possession and 125SC against Melbourne and now plays GWS. Obviously priced at $169,500 was the concern for non-Wines owners, which if he averages 125SC the initial price tag means nothing.
For me, I'll be holding off for another week before I decide to get Wines or not. However, I don't think there is a major downfall, if you want to follow your gut feeling. The reason I'm holding off for another week is that Wines getting to $360K is the same as M.Jones getting to $300K.
Naturally, if Wines scores another 100, then it may force my hand (yes, I'll cop losing Wine's score this round).
Trading Gary Ablett In?
I think some Gary Ablett owners are in a bit of pain after his score of 178, which I thought was a bit lower than expected. Now the knee-jerk reaction is to look for a way to bring in the SuperCoach Maestro?
The thing with Buddy and Ablett is that most people would pick them and those who purposely decided not to pick them would be due to their own strategy. You don't simply not pick Buddy and/or Ablett unless there is a reason whether it's value, early draw, overpriced etc and there is definitely nothing wrong with that (at this stage).
Personally, if I was are a non-Ablett owner and I chose to back myself to not have Ablett in my initial SuperCoach team, then I would hold off for one week before making my decision. Yes, Ablett has a great record against the Swans but for some reason I don't think the Swans will take Ablett/Gold Coast lightly.
I think if you a Dangerfield owner and you are desperate to bring Ablett In and it will take 1 or 2 trades (and not 3) then Maybe.
The Ablett call is for you to make!
On a side issue, just note that if you decided to have JPK (147) instead of Ablett (178) and used the loose change to say upgrade a cheaper premium to say a Cotchin (119) then you could be on par. Remember at 3 quarter time, Ablett was on track to score about the same as JPK or lower, which would have meant a win for JPK owners as he is cheaper. Ablett just had a freakish final quarter.
Trading Generally
I for one will be definitely trading this round and will be using 2 trades.
I will be trading Newman to Pittard, which was planned after the Richmond game and thus I chose not to have Pittard for round 1. I think if I was not downgrading Newman, I would keep him for a another week. If it wasn't a Pittard or someone with reasonable job security and a rookie, then I would keep Newman.
I will also be using another trade to likely upgrade Byrnes.
I think with 30 trades, you can be a bit cavalier for the first few trades, but they must be 'correction trades'.
Personally, I would not side-trade premiums, but with Newman it's a downgrade (and indirectly a 'team structure change).
I think the key here is to back yourself for non-performing premiums, give them another week.
I'm giving Dangerfield, Pavlich and Zorko another week.
Newman just didn't look right and not a naturally midfielder/winger and my trades is for the team structure.
Either way, I think the key is to back your own judgment. There are pros and cons for trading after the first round.
Cheerios,
Jay
NB: I have a feeling Wines will punish me with a 100+ and Dangerfield with a 70, hopefully I'm wrong
- Avoiding NAB Cup pre-season bolters
- Avoiding Round 1 bolters, who may have an easy first game
- Avoiding trading in a player when there is another game before a price increase
- Avoiding trading out premiums after 1 bad game
Remember, I kept 2 trades for the last 10 rounds and ChewyLizard left 1 trade for the last 7 rounds; refer to: How Far Is Too Far to be the 2013 SuperCoach Winner article.
I still believe that all things being equal you should NOT trade after round 1. However, there are exceptions which will be discussed later on. I will firstly give my views on the popular topics.
Trading Patrick Dangerfield Out?
As most will be aware, Dangerfield punished me last year when he was a MID/FWD when I didn't have him in my SuperCoach team. Now that Dangerfield is in my SuperCoach team, he continues the punishment with his score of 63 when priced at 119.
While it is very tempting to trade Dangerfield to JPK, personally, I'll be keeping Dangerfield.
Dangerfield was rumoured to have had a cold before the Essendon game and tagged very closely. Naturally, Dangerfield could and is very likely to be tagged every week, however we knew this when we first picked Dangerfield in our team. I will give Dangerfield another week and if he scores sub-100, I think there is no choice but to trade him out to avoid a significant drop in price.
Trading Buddy Franklin Out?
As most will know after reading the Buddy Franklin, that Buddy Franklin is not in my initial SuperCoach team.
However, those with Buddy Franklin, I suggest you at least give Buddy one more week as there will be no price change until the of round 3.
Trading Oliver Wines In?
This is a tough one as Wines played really well and had 24 possession and 125SC against Melbourne and now plays GWS. Obviously priced at $169,500 was the concern for non-Wines owners, which if he averages 125SC the initial price tag means nothing.
For me, I'll be holding off for another week before I decide to get Wines or not. However, I don't think there is a major downfall, if you want to follow your gut feeling. The reason I'm holding off for another week is that Wines getting to $360K is the same as M.Jones getting to $300K.
Naturally, if Wines scores another 100, then it may force my hand (yes, I'll cop losing Wine's score this round).
Trading Gary Ablett In?
I think some Gary Ablett owners are in a bit of pain after his score of 178, which I thought was a bit lower than expected. Now the knee-jerk reaction is to look for a way to bring in the SuperCoach Maestro?
The thing with Buddy and Ablett is that most people would pick them and those who purposely decided not to pick them would be due to their own strategy. You don't simply not pick Buddy and/or Ablett unless there is a reason whether it's value, early draw, overpriced etc and there is definitely nothing wrong with that (at this stage).
Personally, if I was are a non-Ablett owner and I chose to back myself to not have Ablett in my initial SuperCoach team, then I would hold off for one week before making my decision. Yes, Ablett has a great record against the Swans but for some reason I don't think the Swans will take Ablett/Gold Coast lightly.
I think if you a Dangerfield owner and you are desperate to bring Ablett In and it will take 1 or 2 trades (and not 3) then Maybe.
The Ablett call is for you to make!
On a side issue, just note that if you decided to have JPK (147) instead of Ablett (178) and used the loose change to say upgrade a cheaper premium to say a Cotchin (119) then you could be on par. Remember at 3 quarter time, Ablett was on track to score about the same as JPK or lower, which would have meant a win for JPK owners as he is cheaper. Ablett just had a freakish final quarter.
Trading Generally
I for one will be definitely trading this round and will be using 2 trades.
I will be trading Newman to Pittard, which was planned after the Richmond game and thus I chose not to have Pittard for round 1. I think if I was not downgrading Newman, I would keep him for a another week. If it wasn't a Pittard or someone with reasonable job security and a rookie, then I would keep Newman.
I will also be using another trade to likely upgrade Byrnes.
I think with 30 trades, you can be a bit cavalier for the first few trades, but they must be 'correction trades'.
Personally, I would not side-trade premiums, but with Newman it's a downgrade (and indirectly a 'team structure change).
I think the key here is to back yourself for non-performing premiums, give them another week.
I'm giving Dangerfield, Pavlich and Zorko another week.
Newman just didn't look right and not a naturally midfielder/winger and my trades is for the team structure.
Either way, I think the key is to back your own judgment. There are pros and cons for trading after the first round.
Cheerios,
Jay
NB: I have a feeling Wines will punish me with a 100+ and Dangerfield with a 70, hopefully I'm wrong
