Round 5: Teams and In-Game Discussions

[Goodie's Guns]

I don't like trading in players close to their peak price, so Birchall would be a not yet for me.
I think Mayes will make more money, faster, and have better JS and less injury problems.
Have you thought about Grimes instead of Birchall?

Hmmm, I was tending to think that Evans with a BE of -99 would increase quicker than Mayes around -55 who is also $50K more.
I am sort of hoping to only have him in for a couple of weeks and turn him into a Selwood or even SJ (FWD) via DPP.
As for Grimes I am not convinced in his past injury history and the fact that Melbourne are struggling (it is a different matter though when it comes to Demons rookies), I am looking to get Heath Shaw in probably next week or the week after if I can as well.

 

[Rowsus]

Hmmm, I was tending to think that Evans with a BE of -99 would increase quicker than Mayes around -55 who is also $50K more.
I am sort of hoping to only have him in for a couple of weeks and turn him into a Selwood or even SJ (FWD) via DPP.
As for Grimes I am not convinced in his past injury history and the fact that Melbourne are struggling (it is a different matter though when it comes to Demons rookies), I am looking to get Heath Shaw in probably next week or the week after if I can as well.

If it's a short term, 2 week in and out, then Evans probably is better than Mayes. If it were 4 weeks or more, then I'd be backing Mayes.

 

[av1jme]

Hmmm, I was tending to think that Evans with a BE of -99 would increase quicker than Mayes around -55 who is also $50K more.
I am sort of hoping to only have him in for a couple of weeks and turn him into a Selwood or even SJ (FWD) via DPP.
As for Grimes I am not convinced in his past injury history and the fact that Melbourne are struggling (it is a different matter though when it comes to Demons rookies), I am looking to get Heath Shaw in probably next week or the week after if I can as well.

I like your plan!!! And if Evans can reproduce his form again this week and next week in winnable games, you'll be sitting on a pot of gold.

 

[Goodie's Guns]

If it's a short term, 2 week in and out, then Evans probably is better than Mayes. If it were 4 weeks or more, then I'd be backing Mayes.

I like your plan!!! And if Evans can reproduce his form again this week and next week in winnable games, you'll be sitting on a pot of gold.

Yeah thanks guys, thats the plan. Evans in for a couple of weeks and then with the help of some other cash cows I should be able to target some premiums in Ablett, Selwood, Shaw and maybe SJ.
Will now just wait to make that trade on Sunday incase of any problems with who gets named subs.

 

[IDIG]

Rumours of big name tiger a potential late out according to the chat on afl site.

 

[PC]

Rumours of big name tiger a potential late out according to the chat on afl site.

Don't be Martin, don't be Martin, don't be Martin...

 

[IDIG]

Duffield out, Suban in and sub!

 

[IDIG]

Push up King out, Nahas in and sub

 

[Bomber18]

I don't like trading in players close to their peak price, so Birchall would be a not yet for me.
I think Mayes will make more money, faster, and have better JS and less injury problems.
Have you thought about Grimes instead of Birchall?

Agree with you here Rowsus with Birchall.
He without doubt will be tagged in the near future.
Potentially north might put Wright on him (probably won't affect him too much).
Petrenko and a Sydney tagger (O'keefe, McGlynn) a certainty.

Also return of Lake and Guerra, will have an effect on his scoring.
Don't expect anymore 150's within the next 3 weeks. I'm predicting 100 v north, 90-100 against crows, and sub 80 against swans.
His implied average is 110 (as per Fanfooty).
He's not going to average 110 (in my opinion) over the next 3 weeks.

You could improve your team in other areas by using the 50-70k saved on him from getting Heppell, Hartlett or Grimes.

 

[watson4brownlow]

Yay, Duffield out.

Gives me an excuse to trade the loser.

 

[Goodie's Guns]

Duffield out, Suban in and sub!

Well that makes the decision even easier.
The funny thing is 20 minutes ago I was thinking to myself, 'Duffield a late out would make my decision for me'.
Look what happens.

 

[watson4brownlow]

Mmmm... Duffield > Docherty, bring in Dangerfield nice and early at rock bottom price next week, and have a bit of money left over for another upgrade the week after?

Risky, but tempting...

 

[Rowsus]

Agree with you here Rowsus with Birchall.
He without doubt will be tagged in the near future.
Potentially north might put Wright on him (probably won't affect him too much).
Petrenko and a Sydney tagger (O'keefe, McGlynn) a certainty.

Also return of Lake and Guerra, will have an effect on his scoring.
Don't expect anymore 150's within the next 3 weeks. I'm predicting 100 v north, 90-100 against crows, and sub 80 against swans.
His implied average is 110 (as per Fanfooty).
He's not going to average 110 (in my opinion) over the next 3 weeks.

You could improve your team in other areas by using the 50-70k saved on him from getting Heppell, Hartlett or Grimes.

Spot on, Bomber18. The last 2 seasons he has averaged 94. He has played 156 games now, so is outside of the area where you'd typically see a 20+ point/game season average increase. Let's be super generous, and say he will finish the season with 110 average. I really think 105 is being generous, too. Also, he hasn't played a full season since 2008, so let's assume he plays 21 games this season.
He currently has 510 in 4 games.

If he was to finish the season with what I think is a really high guess of 110/game, then from here he will average:

21 x 110 = 2,310 --> (2,310 - 510)/17 = 105.9/game from here on in.

If he finishes the season with, what is still a big jump for him, an average of 105/game, then from here he will average:

21 x 105 = 2,205 --> (2,205 - 510)/17 = 99.7/game from here on in.

Don't fooled into the illusion, that his current 127/game average will translate into something like 115 by seasons end!

 

[PC]

Duffield out, Suban in and sub!

Oh sh1t. PC playing one defender down this week it seems.

 

[Jordyfoz]

Awesome Duffield, Hanley and Stevenson out.
Had to use my two trades yesterday, donut for me with 2 premiums scorers out. Just what I need...

 

[Bomber18]

Spot on, Bomber18. The last 2 seasons he has averaged 94. He has played 156 games now, so is outside of the area where you'd typically see a 20+ point/game season average increase. Let's be super generous, and say he will finish the season with 110 average. I really think 105 is being generous, too. Also, he hasn't played a full season since 2008, so let's assume he plays 21 games this season.
He currently has 510 in 4 games.

If he was to finish the season with what I think is a really high guess of 110/game, then from here he will average:

21 x 110 = 2,310 --> (2,310 - 510)/17 = 105.9/game from here on in.

If he finishes the season with, what is still a big jump for him, an average of 105/game, then from here he will average:

21 x 105 = 2,205 --> (2,205 - 510)/17 = 99.7/game from here on in.

Don't fooled into the illusion, that his current 127/game average will translate into something like 115 by seasons end!

Good to see I have some support out there! ^^
I think I will definitely have him in my side at some point in my team as a 100-105 avg is a top 6 defender.
But currently priced at 110, he's over priced and too risky to lose value should he get tagged (I would say more likely than not that he will)

He has GWS, GC, Melb in three weeks time. Ideally, you'd want him in your side for those games. (Hoping, he averages peanuts for the next 3 )

 

[PC]

Yep, you and me both Jordy, stupid semi-split round caused this, oh and Ross Lyon being a ...

There goes my back POD.

Round 3 Aust Open update - set point, PeptideCourage slips, the ball catches the line and Maso has the first set!

 

[AngryAnt]

So long Duffield and your spud scores.

 

[IDIG]

Oh sh1t. PC playing one defender down this week it seems.

Awesome Duffield, Hanley and Stevenson out.
Had to use my two trades yesterday, donut for me with 2 premiums scorers out. Just what I need...

Ouch and double ouch. Terrible luck fellas.

 

[The_Rogues]

What is the source for the Duffman being out?